Louisiana Tech
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.7#120
Expected Predictive Rating+3.2#116
Pace62.7#331
Improvement-2.9#311

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#118
First Shot+4.0#71
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#290
Layup/Dunks+4.6#35
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#293
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#92
Freethrows-1.2#265
Improvement-0.9#234

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#154
First Shot+1.8#119
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#296
Layups/Dunks-1.9#259
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#110
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#153
Freethrows+2.0#59
Improvement-2.0#290
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.4% 12.9% 8.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.2 13.1 13.5
.500 or above 92.7% 96.9% 85.4%
.500 or above in Conference 58.7% 69.2% 39.9%
Conference Champion 4.8% 6.5% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 4.0% 2.3% 7.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round11.4% 12.9% 8.8%
Second Round0.9% 1.0% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Kentucky (Home) - 64.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 38 - 69 - 10
Quad 48 - 218 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 201   @ Texas Arlington W 92-77 57%     1 - 0 +15.9 +22.6 -5.9
  Nov 13, 2024 171   Massachusetts W 76-66 62%     2 - 0 +9.6 +3.2 +6.3
  Nov 25, 2024 190   Southern Illinois W 85-79 OT 65%     3 - 0 +4.7 -1.8 +5.5
  Nov 26, 2024 209   Richmond W 65-62 69%     4 - 0 +0.6 -0.6 +1.5
  Nov 27, 2024 248   Eastern Kentucky W 78-69 76%     5 - 0 +4.2 +8.5 -3.5
  Nov 30, 2024 219   Southern L 70-73 79%     5 - 1 -9.0 -2.4 -6.5
  Dec 04, 2024 43   @ Memphis L 71-81 14%     5 - 2 +4.3 +6.7 -2.6
  Dec 08, 2024 307   @ Louisiana W 69-58 78%     6 - 2 +5.6 -1.1 +7.5
  Dec 13, 2024 272   Georgia Southern W 77-63 86%     7 - 2 +5.0 +6.2 -0.1
  Dec 16, 2024 83   Grand Canyon W 74-66 45%     8 - 2 +12.0 +7.5 +4.9
  Jan 02, 2025 131   @ UTEP L 60-70 42%     8 - 3 0 - 1 -5.4 -6.6 +0.7
  Jan 04, 2025 128   @ New Mexico St. L 48-78 41%     8 - 4 0 - 2 -25.0 -13.9 -15.6
  Jan 09, 2025 241   Florida International W 81-64 82%     9 - 4 1 - 2 +9.9 +15.0 -3.5
  Jan 11, 2025 92   Liberty W 79-74 47%     10 - 4 2 - 2 +8.4 +9.1 -0.8
  Jan 16, 2025 162   @ Jacksonville St. L 61-63 49%     10 - 5 2 - 3 +1.0 +2.6 -2.2
  Jan 18, 2025 183   @ Kennesaw St. L 76-78 53%     10 - 6 2 - 4 -0.2 +8.3 -8.7
  Jan 23, 2025 135   Western Kentucky W 75-71 64%    
  Jan 25, 2025 111   Middle Tennessee W 71-69 60%    
  Feb 01, 2025 170   Sam Houston St. W 75-69 72%    
  Feb 06, 2025 92   @ Liberty L 63-69 27%    
  Feb 08, 2025 241   @ Florida International W 72-68 65%    
  Feb 13, 2025 183   Kennesaw St. W 77-71 73%    
  Feb 15, 2025 162   Jacksonville St. W 71-66 69%    
  Feb 20, 2025 111   @ Middle Tennessee L 68-71 38%    
  Feb 22, 2025 135   @ Western Kentucky L 72-74 42%    
  Mar 01, 2025 170   @ Sam Houston St. W 73-72 51%    
  Mar 06, 2025 128   New Mexico St. W 69-66 63%    
  Mar 08, 2025 131   UTEP W 72-68 64%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 2.4 1.4 0.2 4.8 1st
2nd 0.7 4.1 3.0 0.5 0.0 8.3 2nd
3rd 0.3 4.6 5.6 1.1 11.6 3rd
4th 0.1 3.7 7.6 2.1 0.0 13.6 4th
5th 0.0 2.1 9.1 3.6 0.1 14.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 6.9 6.1 0.5 14.7 6th
7th 0.8 5.0 6.6 1.1 0.0 13.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 3.4 5.1 1.4 0.0 10.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 2.0 2.9 1.0 0.1 6.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.6 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.1 7.4 12.4 17.1 20.3 17.0 12.7 6.6 1.9 0.2 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 95.7% 0.2    0.2 0.0
13-5 71.8% 1.4    0.7 0.5 0.1
12-6 36.9% 2.4    0.5 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0
11-7 5.8% 0.7    0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.8% 4.8 1.5 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.2% 34.8% 34.8% 11.3 0.1 0.0 0.2
13-5 1.9% 29.3% 29.3% 12.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 1.3
12-6 6.6% 25.5% 25.5% 12.6 0.0 0.7 0.8 0.1 4.9
11-7 12.7% 16.8% 16.8% 12.9 0.6 1.2 0.4 0.0 10.5
10-8 17.0% 14.8% 14.8% 13.1 0.3 1.5 0.6 0.0 14.5
9-9 20.3% 11.2% 11.2% 13.4 0.2 1.1 0.9 0.1 18.1
8-10 17.1% 7.7% 7.7% 13.8 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 15.8
7-11 12.4% 5.0% 5.0% 14.4 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 11.8
6-12 7.4% 2.4% 2.4% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.2
5-13 3.1% 1.9% 1.9% 15.3 0.0 0.0 3.1
4-14 1.2% 1.2
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 11.4% 11.4% 0.0% 13.2 0.1 2.2 5.3 2.9 0.7 0.1 88.6 0.0%