Sacramento St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#296
Expected Predictive Rating-11.5#323
Pace62.0#349
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.5#342
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#183
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 4.7% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 18.3% 27.7% 10.9%
.500 or above in Conference 31.6% 39.7% 25.3%
Conference Champion 3.3% 4.7% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 24.6% 18.8% 29.1%
First Four1.6% 1.7% 1.5%
First Round2.8% 4.0% 1.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal St. Northridge (Home) - 43.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 72 - 10
Quad 49 - 911 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 234   @ Fresno St. L 57-64 27%     0 - 1 -7.4 -13.6 +6.0
  Nov 12, 2024 132   @ UC San Diego L 54-64 14%     0 - 2 -5.2 -10.4 +4.0
  Nov 16, 2024 202   Cal St. Northridge L 67-69 44%    
  Nov 24, 2024 119   @ California L 61-74 11%    
  Nov 27, 2024 286   @ Air Force L 59-62 38%    
  Nov 30, 2024 356   Mercyhurst W 66-56 82%    
  Dec 04, 2024 309   @ Denver L 68-70 42%    
  Dec 07, 2024 266   Nebraska Omaha W 66-65 55%    
  Dec 14, 2024 168   UC Davis L 64-68 37%    
  Dec 17, 2024 103   @ Oregon St. L 54-69 9%    
  Jan 04, 2025 209   Portland St. L 70-71 45%    
  Jan 09, 2025 282   Idaho W 65-63 58%    
  Jan 11, 2025 228   Eastern Washington L 70-71 48%    
  Jan 16, 2025 288   @ Northern Arizona L 66-69 38%    
  Jan 18, 2025 192   @ Northern Colorado L 64-72 24%    
  Jan 23, 2025 265   Idaho St. W 60-59 54%    
  Jan 25, 2025 233   Weber St. L 63-64 48%    
  Jan 30, 2025 165   @ Montana St. L 62-72 20%    
  Feb 01, 2025 218   @ Montana L 61-68 27%    
  Feb 06, 2025 228   @ Eastern Washington L 67-74 28%    
  Feb 08, 2025 282   @ Idaho L 62-66 38%    
  Feb 13, 2025 192   Northern Colorado L 67-69 43%    
  Feb 15, 2025 288   Northern Arizona W 69-66 59%    
  Feb 20, 2025 233   @ Weber St. L 60-67 29%    
  Feb 22, 2025 265   @ Idaho St. L 57-62 35%    
  Feb 27, 2025 218   Montana L 64-65 46%    
  Mar 01, 2025 165   Montana St. L 65-69 37%    
  Mar 03, 2025 209   @ Portland St. L 67-74 27%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.1 3.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.8 1.2 0.4 0.0 4.9 2nd
3rd 0.3 1.7 2.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 6.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.4 3.7 1.4 0.2 0.0 7.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.4 1.8 0.2 0.0 9.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.2 2.3 0.3 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.5 5.5 3.1 0.3 0.0 11.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 3.3 5.8 3.5 0.5 0.0 13.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.3 5.6 2.9 0.5 0.0 15.3 9th
10th 0.5 2.0 3.6 4.8 3.9 1.8 0.4 0.0 17.0 10th
Total 0.5 2.0 4.0 6.5 9.0 11.1 11.9 12.3 11.2 9.6 7.7 5.8 3.9 2.3 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 91.8% 0.5    0.5 0.1 0.0
14-4 68.7% 0.9    0.5 0.3 0.0
13-5 40.2% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 14.3% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.3% 3.3 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 55.0% 55.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.3% 39.3% 39.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.6% 37.4% 37.4% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
14-4 1.2% 25.1% 25.1% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.9
13-5 2.3% 16.4% 16.4% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 2.0
12-6 3.9% 11.6% 11.6% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 3.5
11-7 5.8% 9.1% 9.1% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 5.2
10-8 7.7% 6.7% 6.7% 15.9 0.1 0.5 7.2
9-9 9.6% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4 9.2
8-10 11.2% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.3 10.9
7-11 12.3% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 12.1
6-12 11.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.8
5-13 11.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.1
4-14 9.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.0
3-15 6.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.5
2-16 4.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.0
1-17 2.0% 2.0
0-18 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.3 96.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%