Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.3#347
Expected Predictive Rating-10.3#322
Pace71.3#119
Improvement+1.0#118

Offense
Total Offense-7.8#354
First Shot-9.3#358
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#98
Layup/Dunks-5.7#334
2 Pt Jumpshots+13.5#1
3 Pt Jumpshots-14.4#364
Freethrows-2.7#311
Improvement+1.4#74

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#313
First Shot-4.4#315
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#197
Layups/Dunks-4.1#308
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#15
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#288
Freethrows-0.2#200
Improvement-0.5#224
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.7% 4.2% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 6.4% 17.9% 5.2%
.500 or above in Conference 40.6% 54.6% 39.2%
Conference Champion 2.5% 3.9% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 11.0% 6.3% 11.5%
First Four2.6% 3.8% 2.5%
First Round1.2% 2.0% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Delaware (Away) - 9.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 30 - 40 - 8
Quad 48 - 108 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 120   @ Virginia Tech L 60-83 6%     0 - 1 -17.5 -9.7 -7.5
  Nov 09, 2024 163   @ Columbia L 62-83 9%     0 - 2 -18.2 -16.6 -0.2
  Nov 19, 2024 100   @ Providence L 48-78 4%     0 - 3 -21.8 -11.9 -14.8
  Nov 23, 2024 259   @ Mount St. Mary's L 66-76 17%     0 - 4 -12.2 -1.3 -11.7
  Nov 29, 2024 34   @ Texas L 68-90 1%     0 - 5 -6.4 -0.3 -4.7
  Dec 03, 2024 186   @ Delaware L 69-83 9%    
  Dec 07, 2024 333   Loyola Maryland W 69-68 52%    
  Dec 11, 2024 350   NJIT W 70-67 61%    
  Dec 19, 2024 229   Grambling St. L 64-73 21%    
  Dec 20, 2024 253   Alabama St. L 69-76 25%    
  Dec 28, 2024 89   @ Saint Joseph's L 61-82 3%    
  Jan 04, 2025 279   @ Howard L 69-78 21%    
  Jan 06, 2025 158   Norfolk St. L 65-75 19%    
  Jan 11, 2025 305   South Carolina St. L 70-72 44%    
  Jan 13, 2025 274   @ NC Central L 68-77 20%    
  Jan 25, 2025 361   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 69-70 50%    
  Feb 01, 2025 363   @ Coppin St. W 70-65 67%    
  Feb 03, 2025 340   Morgan St. W 76-74 57%    
  Feb 15, 2025 279   Howard L 72-75 40%    
  Feb 17, 2025 158   @ Norfolk St. L 62-78 8%    
  Feb 22, 2025 305   South Carolina St. L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 24, 2025 274   NC Central L 71-74 39%    
  Mar 01, 2025 363   Coppin St. W 73-62 82%    
  Mar 03, 2025 340   @ Morgan St. L 73-77 36%    
  Mar 06, 2025 361   Maryland Eastern Shore W 73-67 70%    
Projected Record 8 - 17 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 3.0 2.7 0.7 0.1 7.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 5.3 3.6 0.7 0.0 11.6 3rd
4th 0.2 3.0 7.5 4.9 0.6 0.0 16.3 4th
5th 0.7 4.7 9.5 5.1 0.6 0.0 20.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.4 6.4 9.0 3.7 0.4 0.0 21.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 5.6 5.4 1.9 0.1 14.9 7th
8th 0.2 1.3 2.4 1.4 0.3 0.0 5.6 8th
Total 0.2 1.4 4.2 8.5 12.7 15.8 16.5 15.0 11.7 7.4 4.1 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
12-2 85.7% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
11-3 54.2% 0.9    0.4 0.5 0.0
10-4 19.7% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0
9-5 2.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 2.5% 2.5 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0
13-1 0.1% 22.7% 22.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-2 0.6% 19.7% 19.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5
11-3 1.6% 19.2% 19.2% 15.9 0.0 0.3 1.3
10-4 4.1% 11.4% 11.4% 16.0 0.5 3.7
9-5 7.4% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.5 7.0
8-6 11.7% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.4 11.3
7-7 15.0% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.4 14.6
6-8 16.5% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.3 16.3
5-9 15.8% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 15.6
4-10 12.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 12.6
3-11 8.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.5
2-12 4.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.2
1-13 1.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.4
0-14 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.7 97.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%