St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -3.6 228
Expected Predictive Rating -1.9 202
Pace 64.5 294
Improvement +4.2 36

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ #265 D- C+ C- B- C-
Defense C #169 C D B F D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 282 50% 340 -4.8 336
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 152 37% 188 +0.4 155
Three Pointers 43% 134 29% 341 -2.0 255
1st FG Attempt 0.89 346 -6.4 345
Second Chance 34.9% 64 0.97 260 0.34 112
Turnovers 17.8% 240
Freethrows 0.32 136 75% 107 0.24 119
Total Offense -3.6 265

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 89 57% 162 -1.8 242
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 253 35% 74 +1.5 81
Three Pointers 40% 230 33% 161 +1.0 137
1st FG Attempt 1.01 162 +0.6 161
Second Chance 35.3% 335 1.05 224 0.37 312
Turnovers 19.5% 47
Freethrows 0.40 360 74% 285 0.30 362
Total Defense +0.0 169

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -0.4 244 +0.6 272
Shot Type Accuracy -5.9 344 -1.1 135
Possession Length 19.0 332 16.6 59
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 82 0.20 259
Improvement +1.5 #105 +2.7 #45

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11% 13% 9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.5
.500 or above 99% 100% 98%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 17% 26% 8%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four1% 1% 2%
First Round10% 12% 9%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Sacred Heart (Away) - 52.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 33 - 33 - 6
Quad 414 - 617 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 53 @Seton Hall L 50 - 77 7% -16  2% 0 - 1 D- -14 D- -7 F C- C- F -11 C F D
 Sat, Nov 8 329 Fairleigh Dickinson W 93 - 83 83% +7  95% 1 - 1 C- -4 B +6 B C+ C+ F+ -10 F F A+
 Wed, Nov 12 51 @Virginia Commonwealth L 61 - 78 6% -10  9% 1 - 2 C- -3 D- -8 F B- D- B- +4 D- A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 279 @Delaware L 70 - 81 51% -14  0% 1 - 3 F+ -15 D -4 C D- B F -11 F C+ B
 Sat, Nov 22 318 Umass Lowell W 68 - 66 81% +2  72% 2 - 3 D -11 F -15 F B+ F+ B +4 F C A+
 Sat, Nov 29 240 Dartmouth L 61 - 87 65% -7  16% 2 - 4 F -33 F -14 F C+ D- F -21 F F F+
 Fri, Dec 5 346 Canisius W 69 - 57 86% +6  74% 3 - 4 1 - 0 C- -3 D -6 F A- C B- +4 A+ D- C+
 Sun, Dec 7 335 Niagara W 71 - 43 84% +13  99% 4 - 4 2 - 0 B+ +14 C +1 D A C+ A+ +17 A+ D+ A+
 Sat, Dec 13 76 @Georgetown L 68 - 76 OT 10% -7  0% 4 - 5 C+ +3 D+ -3 D- D- C B +6 C+ D A+
 Mon, Dec 29 262 @Fairfield W 70 - 66 46% -1  31% 5 - 5 3 - 0 C +1 D -5 F D- C B+ +7 A- F+ B
 Fri, Jan 2 163 Marist W 69 - 59 49% +3  69% 6 - 5 4 - 0 B- +7 C- -2 F A B- A- +9 A+ A- C
 Fri, Jan 9 289 @Mount St. Mary's L 65 - 70 53% -1  27% 6 - 6 4 - 1 D -9 F+ -9 F D F+ C -0 A F D+
 Sun, Jan 11 182 Merrimack W 76 - 63 53% +9  92% 7 - 6 5 - 1 B +9 A- +10 A A F+ C +0 A F B+
 Wed, Jan 14 195 @Quinnipiac W 74 - 70 34% +4  72% 8 - 6 6 - 1 C+ +5 C +1 B F D+ B- +4 C D+ D
 Sat, Jan 17 354 Rider W 69 - 58 89% +4  77% 9 - 6 7 - 1 D+ -6 D- -7 D- B+ D+ C+ +2 C+ F A+
 Mon, Jan 19 247 Iona W 77 - 63 65% +3  53% 10 - 6 8 - 1 B- +6 C +1 B D D- B +6 A+ D F+
 Sat, Jan 24 182 @Merrimack L 59 - 67 31% -11  0% 10 - 7 8 - 2 D+ -6 D- -8 F B F C+ +0 C D- C+
 Fri, Jan 30 289 Mount St. Mary's W 66 - 58 74% +1  52% 11 - 7 9 - 2 C- -2 D+ -4 D- C+ C- B- +2 B D A-
 Sun, Feb 1 354 @Rider L 78 - 81 76% +6  94% 11 - 8 9 - 3 D- -14 C+ +2 F+ A+ C+ F -17 F A+ C-
 Thu, Feb 5 323 @Manhattan W 80 - 75 63% +7  97% 12 - 8 10 - 3 C- -2 B+ +8 F B A+ F+ -10 C+ F B+
 Sat, Feb 7 181 Siena W 70 - 65 53% +3  81% 13 - 8 11 - 3 C +1 D- -6 C A- F+ B+ +7 B+ A D
 Fri, Feb 13 287 @Sacred Heart W 75 - 74 53%
 Sun, Feb 15 262 Fairfield W 73 - 68 69%
 Fri, Feb 20 247 @Iona L 70 - 72 42%
 Sun, Feb 22 181 @Siena L 66 - 71 30%
 Fri, Feb 27 323 Manhattan W 78 - 68 81%
 Sun, Mar 1 163 @Marist L 60 - 66 27%
Totals 16 - 11 14 - 6 -4 D+ -4 D- C+ C- C +0 C D B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D- C D- D- 35% 22% 43% C- D- B D+ C+ C- C+ B- B- C C B- C C+ 42% 18% 40% D+ C D- C- D B F D+ F
1.03 50% 37% 29% -6 0 0.89 35% 1.0 .34 18% .32 75% .24 1.09 57% 35% 33% -1 +1 1.01 35% 1.1 .37 19% .40 74% .24
Nov
3		 Seton Hall D- F F D F 27% 24% 49% F+ F A F C- C- A+ C+ A+ F C- A+ C C+ 45% 16% 39% D C D+ F F D F F F
0.83 36% 10% 30% -15 -1 0.68 38% 0.7 .26 25% .49 73% .35 1.28 59% 17% 33% -3 +1 0.97 39% 1.4 .54 13% .69 83% .57
Nov
8		 Fairleigh Dickinson B A+ F A+ B 37% 19% 44% C B B D+ C+ C+ A B+ A+ F+ F+ F F F 38% 10% 52% F+ F D+ F F A+ F A+ C-
1.25 79% 20% 43% +11 0 1.23 32% 0.9 .29 15% .43 78% .33 1.12 67% 60% 40% +10 +1 1.25 33% 1.5 .48 24% .36 55% .20
Nov
12		 Virginia Commonwealth D- F A+ F F 33% 22% 44% D+ F A D- B- D- B+ A+ A+ B- C- C F F+ 44% 12% 44% C- D- D- A+ A+ A+ F C F
0.89 27% 50% 20% -17 -1 0.67 40% 0.8 .33 20% .35 89% .31 1.14 61% 40% 44% +9 +1 1.22 39% 0.3 .12 25% .68 74% .51
Nov
18		 Delaware D F B+ A- C 28% 19% 53% C+ C F C+ D- B F A+ F F F F F F 30% 26% 43% B+ F F A+ C+ B F B+ F
1.04 44% 45% 40% +2 -1 1.05 19% 1.0 .19 12% .10 100% .10 1.21 71% 58% 50% +20 -1 1.39 30% 0.5 .15 21% .38 70% .26
Nov
22		 Umass Lowell F F B F F 35% 13% 53% C F D+ A+ B+ F+ F C F+ B F D+ A+ F 58% 18% 24% F F F A+ C A+ F A+ F
0.95 37% 43% 24% -14 +1 0.75 29% 1.6 .45 17% .20 75% .15 0.93 73% 43% 22% +5 +2 1.16 41% 0.8 .31 34% .61 55% .34
Nov
29		 Dartmouth F F B F F 50% 13% 37% B F B D C+ D- B- A+ A F D D+ F F 41% 11% 48% F+ F F C- F F+ F F F
0.93 42% 43% 21% -14 +2 0.77 36% 0.9 .31 15% .31 88% .27 1.32 61% 40% 43% +8 +1 1.20 41% 1.1 .45 15% .50 86% .43
Dec
5		 Canisius D F A+ F F 42% 12% 47% B F C+ A+ A- C A+ A A+ B- A- A+ A+ A+ 40% 17% 43% F+ A+ F B D- C+ F B F
1.07 39% 60% 20% -15 +1 0.74 33% 1.3 .44 16% .48 81% .39 0.89 41% 14% 22% -18 +1 0.67 40% 0.8 .33 20% .55 64% .35
Dec
7		 Niagara C F A+ B+ D- 40% 20% 40% C D C A+ A C+ D+ C+ D+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 23% 38% A- A+ F B D+ A+ F F F
1.17 39% 56% 39% -1 0 1.00 33% 1.5 .50 15% .27 79% .21 0.71 53% 11% 20% -16 0 0.69 30% 0.8 .23 30% .33 86% .28
Dec
13		 Georgetown D+ C+ A+ F F+ 29% 20% 51% C+ D- D+ F D- C A+ F A+ B D+ A+ A B 55% 10% 36% F C+ D D+ D A+ F A+ F
0.96 57% 50% 20% -8 -1 0.84 26% 0.7 .19 17% .49 66% .32 1.07 61% 25% 27% -4 +3 1.00 38% 1.2 .44 21% .64 67% .43
Dec
29		 Fairfield D C+ F F F 57% 10% 33% B+ F A F D- C F A F+ B+ A+ B B+ A+ 48% 12% 40% F A- B F F+ B F D F
1.04 61% 0% 21% -9 +3 0.90 42% 0.6 .23 15% .19 82% .16 0.98 40% 33% 29% -12 +2 0.81 30% 1.4 .41 18% .34 74% .25
Jan
2		 Marist C- D- F F F 36% 22% 42% C+ F B A+ A B- A+ A A+ A- A+ C- A+ A+ 42% 24% 34% D A+ B- A+ A- C F F F
1.00 50% 20% 21% -15 0 0.71 35% 1.3 .45 17% .49 79% .39 0.85 33% 42% 18% -18 0 0.66 24% 0.8 .18 19% .41 87% .36
Jan
9		 Mount St. Mary's F+ F B- F F 27% 16% 58% C F A F D F+ A+ D+ A+ C A+ A+ B A+ 46% 12% 41% D A D- F F D+ F F F
0.95 33% 43% 27% -12 0 0.78 40% 0.6 .24 18% .51 72% .37 1.02 42% 20% 29% -12 +2 0.80 33% 1.4 .45 20% .59 81% .48
Jan
11		 Merrimack A- A- D A+ A+ 38% 38% 24% F A A B- A F+ A+ C- A+ C C F A+ A 43% 17% 39% C+ A F F+ F B+ F D+ F
1.23 64% 36% 56% +9 -2 1.16 52% 1.1 .55 23% .63 70% .44 1.02 55% 50% 11% -13 +1 0.78 35% 1.2 .41 19% .42 81% .34
Jan
14		 Quinnipiac C D- A A+ B 41% 25% 34% D+ B D F F D+ A+ A+ A+ B- B- B D C 40% 27% 33% C+ C B F D+ D F A D-
1.06 50% 45% 47% +5 0 1.11 28% 0.7 .20 19% .46 81% .37 1.00 53% 31% 38% -2 -1 0.96 27% 1.3 .36 14% .40 63% .25
Jan
17		 Rider D- B- A+ F C- 33% 33% 33% F D- A+ D B+ D+ C- F F+ C+ C+ C+ A+ C+ 43% 43% 13% B C+ F C+ F A+ D D+ D
1.11 63% 56% 25% +3 -2 1.04 46% 0.9 .43 14% .26 50% .13 0.93 50% 35% 17% -8 -3 0.80 53% 0.9 .47 27% .31 71% .22
Jan
19		 Iona C C- C A+ B 49% 19% 33% B- B D D+ D D- A+ B+ A+ B A+ F B+ A+ 33% 8% 59% D- A+ A F D F+ F A+ D
1.13 57% 38% 43% +4 +1 1.12 29% 0.9 .26 19% .65 75% .49 0.92 29% 50% 30% -12 +1 0.80 17% 1.7 .29 13% .37 55% .20
Jan
24		 Merrimack D- F F F F 36% 22% 42% C- F A+ F B F A+ C A+ C+ A+ A+ F B- 56% 7% 37% F C C F D- C+ F F F
0.93 44% 30% 16% -18 0 0.64 60% 0.8 .47 25% .51 71% .36 1.06 39% 0% 47% -6 +3 0.95 25% 1.3 .32 17% .48 88% .42
Jan
30		 Mount St. Mary's D+ D+ F B- D- 33% 24% 43% D+ D- A- D- C+ C- B- C- B- B- F+ A+ A- B 38% 15% 46% C+ B F A- D A- F B+ D-
1.07 53% 17% 36% -5 -1 0.90 38% 0.9 .33 15% .36 74% .27 0.94 67% 0% 28% -7 +1 0.90 42% 0.8 .35 26% .42 63% .26
Feb
1		 Rider C+ F C+ B D- 31% 24% 45% F F+ B A+ A+ C+ D+ C C- F D- D- F F 30% 37% 33% B+ F B+ A+ A+ C- F F F
1.20 44% 42% 39% 0 -1 1.00 39% 1.4 .53 12% .26 67% .17 1.24 62% 44% 64% +18 -3 1.33 27% 0.6 .15 17% .44 92% .41
Feb
5		 Manhattan B+ F A+ F F 38% 22% 40% C- F B+ C B A+ A- A A F+ C D B+ C 27% 22% 51% B- C+ F F F B+ F C F
1.28 47% 55% 25% -6 0 0.90 44% 1.1 .49 6% .31 83% .26 1.20 55% 44% 29% -4 -1 0.93 46% 1.3 .57 19% .52 81% .42
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Siena D- A+ B- F B- 28% 35% 38% F C B+ B+ A- F+ A+ F A+ B+ C D A+ A 44% 22% 34% F B+ A+ C- A D F D+ F
1.03 82% 43% 27% +4 -3 1.05 38% 1.1 .41 21% .67 61% .41 0.96 59% 45% 18% -6 0 0.90 19% 1.0 .19 15% .36 76% .28



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1.5 7.9 6.6 1.4 17.4 1st
2nd 1.8 19.0 15.1 2.7 0.2 38.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 10.3 10.8 0.4 21.7 3rd
4th 0.1 3.8 10.1 0.6 14.5 4th
5th 0.7 4.5 1.9 7.1 5th
6th 0.4 0.1 0.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 1.2 8.6 24.2 31.9 23.3 9.3 1.6 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 88.8% 1.4    1.0 0.4
16-4 71.0% 6.6    3.5 3.1 0.1
15-5 33.8% 7.9    1.3 3.6 2.7 0.3
14-6 4.8% 1.5    0.2 0.6 0.5 0.3
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total 17.4% 17.4 5.8 7.2 3.4 0.8 0.3



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 1.6% 18.8% 18.8% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.3
16-4 9.3% 17.0% 17.0% 14.9 0.4 1.0 0.2 7.7
15-5 23.3% 13.6% 13.6% 15.2 0.0 0.3 1.8 1.0 20.1
14-6 31.9% 11.8% 11.8% 15.5 0.1 1.6 2.1 28.1
13-7 24.2% 7.5% 7.5% 15.7 0.0 0.4 1.4 22.3
12-8 8.6% 4.7% 4.7% 15.8 0.1 0.3 8.2
11-9 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 1.2
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 11.1% 11.1% 0.0% 15.3 88.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 14.2 10.0 60.0 30.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.6%
Lose Out 0.4%