North Texas
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.8#98
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#121
Pace55.7#365
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#147
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.3#61
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.2% 13.0% 6.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.7% 1.9% 0.5%
Average Seed 10.9 10.8 11.6
.500 or above 78.4% 81.3% 55.9%
.500 or above in Conference 71.9% 73.9% 56.7%
Conference Champion 13.3% 14.2% 6.4%
Last Place in Conference 3.5% 3.1% 7.0%
First Four0.8% 0.9% 0.2%
First Round11.8% 12.5% 6.0%
Second Round3.3% 3.6% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northwestern St. (Home) - 88.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 23 - 43 - 6
Quad 38 - 511 - 11
Quad 48 - 119 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2025 252   Northwestern St. W 65-52 88%    
  Nov 09, 2025 108   Loyola Chicago W 65-61 64%    
  Nov 12, 2025 123   @ Oregon St. L 60-61 48%    
  Nov 14, 2025 49   @ St. Mary's L 51-61 19%    
  Nov 20, 2025 360   Central Arkansas W 72-50 98%    
  Nov 25, 2025 207   Eastern Washington W 68-58 82%    
  Nov 30, 2025 342   Prairie View W 74-55 95%    
  Dec 02, 2025 285   Houston Christian W 67-52 89%    
  Dec 07, 2025 85   TCU W 62-60 56%    
  Dec 14, 2025 155   @ South Alabama W 59-57 57%    
  Dec 17, 2025 97   Santa Clara L 64-65 49%    
  Dec 31, 2025 55   @ Memphis L 61-69 25%    
  Jan 04, 2026 144   Tulsa W 65-58 73%    
  Jan 07, 2026 81   South Florida W 65-64 55%    
  Jan 11, 2026 124   @ Wichita St. L 63-64 49%    
  Jan 18, 2026 111   @ Tulane L 62-64 44%    
  Jan 21, 2026 172   Texas San Antonio W 69-60 76%    
  Jan 24, 2026 154   East Carolina W 65-57 75%    
  Jan 28, 2026 144   @ Tulsa W 62-61 55%    
  Jan 31, 2026 103   UAB W 67-63 63%    
  Feb 04, 2026 171   @ Rice W 63-60 59%    
  Feb 07, 2026 172   @ Texas San Antonio W 66-63 59%    
  Feb 12, 2026 55   Memphis L 64-66 44%    
  Feb 15, 2026 133   @ Temple W 65-64 51%    
  Feb 18, 2026 111   Tulane W 65-61 63%    
  Feb 22, 2026 130   Florida Atlantic W 67-61 69%    
  Feb 25, 2026 174   @ Charlotte W 63-60 59%    
  Mar 01, 2026 103   @ UAB L 64-66 42%    
  Mar 04, 2026 171   Rice W 66-57 76%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.5 3.3 3.6 2.9 1.3 0.3 13.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.0 5.0 3.8 1.5 0.3 0.0 14.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.3 5.1 2.8 0.7 0.1 12.5 3rd
4th 0.4 2.9 4.7 2.3 0.3 0.0 10.6 4th
5th 0.1 2.2 4.7 2.6 0.3 0.0 9.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 4.2 2.6 0.3 0.0 8.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.1 2.9 0.5 0.0 7.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.2 2.8 0.7 0.0 6.1 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 2.7 1.0 0.1 5.2 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 2.1 1.2 0.1 4.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 1.6 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.2 2.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.8 13th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.3 3.5 5.1 7.1 8.3 10.4 11.3 11.6 11.1 9.6 7.8 5.2 3.2 1.4 0.3 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 98.5% 1.3    1.2 0.1
16-2 89.5% 2.9    2.3 0.6 0.0
15-3 68.9% 3.6    2.3 1.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 42.2% 3.3    1.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
13-5 15.8% 1.5    0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.3% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.3% 13.3 8.0 3.9 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 85.5% 56.5% 29.0% 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 66.7%
17-1 1.4% 70.0% 44.3% 25.6% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 46.1%
16-2 3.2% 49.5% 35.9% 13.6% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 1.6 21.3%
15-3 5.2% 37.3% 30.2% 7.1% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.1 0.2 3.3 10.2%
14-4 7.8% 27.6% 25.2% 2.4% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.6 3.3%
13-5 9.6% 18.8% 17.8% 0.9% 11.4 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.7 0.1 7.8 1.1%
12-6 11.1% 12.8% 12.7% 0.1% 11.7 0.0 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 9.6 0.1%
11-7 11.6% 7.8% 7.8% 0.0% 11.9 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 10.7 0.0%
10-8 11.3% 5.0% 5.0% 12.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.7
9-9 10.4% 2.7% 2.7% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.2
8-10 8.3% 2.1% 2.1% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.1
7-11 7.1% 1.3% 1.3% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0
6-12 5.1% 0.4% 0.4% 18.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.1
5-13 3.5% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 0.0 3.4
4-14 2.3% 2.3
3-15 1.1% 1.1
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.2% 10.6% 1.5% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.3 5.3 3.0 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 87.8 1.7%