Rice
American Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.4#231
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#248
Pace65.1#298
Improvement-2.7#328

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#225
First Shot-2.6#240
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#148
Layup/Dunks-6.9#354
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#63
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#91
Freethrows-0.6#225
Improvement-0.7#226

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#241
First Shot-2.0#240
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#206
Layups/Dunks+1.5#124
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#339
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#138
Freethrows-2.0#311
Improvement-2.0#315
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.9% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.2 14.6
.500 or above 5.1% 15.6% 3.9%
.500 or above in Conference 16.8% 38.8% 14.3%
Conference Champion 0.2% 1.1% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 21.5% 8.6% 23.0%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.3% 0.9% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tulsa (Away) - 10.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 33 - 94 - 16
Quad 47 - 411 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 56 @Oregon L 63-67 7%     0 - 1 +8.2 -2.1 +10.1
  Tue, Nov 11 132 Stephen F. Austin L 69-81 38%     0 - 2 -13.2 -0.7 -13.0
  Fri, Nov 14 302 East Texas A&M W 71-64 74%     1 - 2 -4.0 -1.5 -2.1
  Mon, Nov 17 14 @Tennessee L 66-91 2%     1 - 3 -4.4 +5.5 -10.4
  Thu, Nov 20 180 Tarleton St. L 74-90 51%     1 - 4 -20.5 -4.3 -15.2
  Mon, Nov 24 152 Kennesaw St. L 84-89 OT 32%     1 - 5 -4.5 -0.1 -3.8
  Tue, Nov 25 186 @Florida Gulf Coast L 63-78 OT 30%     1 - 6 -13.8 -18.7 +6.7
  Wed, Nov 26 303 Oral Roberts W 81-62 64%     2 - 6 +11.0 +14.7 -1.1
  Wed, Dec 3 255 Texas St. W 77-72 65%     3 - 6 -3.2 +4.1 -7.2
  Sat, Dec 13 136 Arkansas St. W 77-76 38%     4 - 6 -0.3 +3.3 -3.6
  Sat, Dec 20 262 @Pepperdine L 62-84 43%     4 - 7 -24.6 -10.5 -14.0
  Wed, Dec 31 92 @Tulsa L 68-81 10%    
  Sat, Jan 3 72 Memphis L 67-76 20%    
  Wed, Jan 7 98 @Wichita St. L 63-76 11%    
  Sun, Jan 11 183 Charlotte W 69-68 51%    
  Wed, Jan 14 287 @Texas San Antonio L 71-72 47%    
  Wed, Jan 21 151 Temple L 72-74 43%    
  Sun, Jan 25 92 Tulsa L 71-78 25%    
  Wed, Jan 28 271 @East Carolina L 70-71 45%    
  Sat, Jan 31 183 @Charlotte L 66-72 31%    
  Wed, Feb 4 146 North Texas L 63-65 41%    
  Sun, Feb 8 107 @UAB L 68-80 15%    
  Wed, Feb 11 114 Florida Atlantic L 72-77 33%    
  Sat, Feb 14 271 East Carolina W 73-68 67%    
  Sun, Feb 22 194 @Tulane L 69-74 32%    
  Wed, Feb 25 79 South Florida L 72-80 22%    
  Sun, Mar 1 151 @Temple L 69-77 24%    
  Wed, Mar 4 146 @North Texas L 60-68 22%    
  Sun, Mar 8 287 Texas San Antonio W 74-69 68%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 1.3 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.3 4th
5th 0.1 0.7 1.9 0.7 0.0 3.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.5 1.7 0.1 4.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.7 3.0 0.4 0.0 6.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 3.2 4.5 1.2 0.1 9.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 3.1 6.1 2.3 0.2 12.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.2 7.0 3.7 0.4 14.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 3.4 7.4 4.3 0.6 0.0 16.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.7 3.7 6.6 4.1 0.8 0.0 15.9 12th
13th 0.3 1.5 3.8 4.4 2.4 0.5 0.0 12.8 13th
Total 0.3 1.5 4.5 8.6 12.8 15.5 15.5 14.0 10.6 7.6 5.0 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 76.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 51.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 18.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 6.1% 6.1% 13.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.4% 6.3% 6.3% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-6 1.1% 3.5% 3.5% 13.7 0.0 0.0 1.1
11-7 2.5% 2.6% 2.6% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4
10-8 5.0% 1.3% 1.3% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.9
9-9 7.6% 0.5% 0.5% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.6
8-10 10.6% 0.2% 0.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 10.6
7-11 14.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.0
6-12 15.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.5
5-13 15.5% 15.5
4-14 12.8% 12.8
3-15 8.6% 8.6
2-16 4.5% 4.5
1-17 1.5% 1.5
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%