Western Carolina
Southern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.2#289
Expected Predictive Rating-5.7#254
Pace74.5#62
Improvement+0.0#190

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#301
First Shot-3.2#267
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#285
Layup/Dunks-1.8#237
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#70
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#304
Freethrows+0.3#163
Improvement-0.7#234

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#246
First Shot-4.8#330
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#49
Layups/Dunks+1.9#112
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#318
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#300
Freethrows-1.1#253
Improvement+0.7#136
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 4.8% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.0 15.6
.500 or above 9.8% 28.7% 9.1%
.500 or above in Conference 37.0% 53.7% 36.3%
Conference Champion 1.7% 5.4% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 7.9% 3.5% 8.1%
First Four1.2% 1.1% 1.2%
First Round1.9% 4.5% 1.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Tech (Away) - 3.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 61 - 12
Quad 49 - 610 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 68 @Cincinnati L 63-94 5%     0 - 1 -19.7 -6.9 -9.0
  Sat, Nov 8 3 @Duke L 54-95 1%     0 - 2 -15.5 -10.4 -1.6
  Sun, Nov 16 347 Stetson W 76-65 77%     1 - 2 -4.1 -7.4 +2.8
  Wed, Nov 19 203 UNC Asheville W 80-73 44%     2 - 2 +1.4 +10.6 -8.6
  Sat, Nov 22 161 @Lipscomb L 62-83 18%     2 - 3 -18.5 -11.8 -5.4
  Sat, Nov 29 97 @High Point L 73-93 8%     2 - 4 -11.8 -3.2 -7.4
  Sat, Dec 6 274 @South Carolina Upstate L 67-78 34%     2 - 5 -13.9 -7.4 -6.2
  Thu, Dec 11 67 @Virginia Tech L 67-86 4%    
  Thu, Dec 18 19 @Georgia L 71-97 1%    
  Wed, Dec 31 247 Wofford W 75-74 52%    
  Sat, Jan 3 148 @Furman L 69-80 16%    
  Wed, Jan 7 231 @Samford L 73-79 29%    
  Sat, Jan 10 363 @The Citadel W 76-71 67%    
  Wed, Jan 14 117 East Tennessee St. L 71-78 25%    
  Sat, Jan 17 222 Chattanooga L 73-74 48%    
  Wed, Jan 21 194 @Mercer L 76-84 23%    
  Sat, Jan 24 341 VMI W 79-72 74%    
  Thu, Jan 29 117 @East Tennessee St. L 68-81 11%    
  Sat, Jan 31 231 Samford L 75-76 50%    
  Wed, Feb 4 281 @UNC Greensboro L 73-77 37%    
  Sat, Feb 7 247 @Wofford L 72-77 32%    
  Wed, Feb 11 363 The Citadel W 79-68 83%    
  Sat, Feb 14 222 @Chattanooga L 70-76 28%    
  Wed, Feb 18 281 UNC Greensboro W 76-74 58%    
  Sat, Feb 21 341 @VMI W 76-75 54%    
  Wed, Feb 25 194 Mercer L 79-81 42%    
  Sat, Feb 28 148 Furman L 72-77 34%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 3.0 1.9 0.4 0.0 6.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.3 2.7 0.5 0.0 9.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.6 3.5 0.5 0.0 12.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.1 6.3 4.1 0.5 0.0 14.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.0 7.2 4.5 0.7 0.0 17.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.6 5.3 6.7 3.4 0.6 0.0 17.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.9 4.1 3.7 1.6 0.2 11.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.3 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.6 3.6 6.7 10.0 12.7 14.1 13.9 12.5 9.7 6.9 4.1 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 97.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 75.2% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 57.6% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.1
13-5 20.8% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 19.4% 19.4% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.4% 22.1% 22.1% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 1.0% 15.9% 15.9% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.9
13-5 2.3% 10.9% 10.9% 15.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 2.0
12-6 4.1% 7.3% 7.3% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 3.8
11-7 6.9% 4.9% 4.9% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 6.5
10-8 9.7% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4 9.3
9-9 12.5% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.4 12.1
8-10 13.9% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 13.7
7-11 14.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 14.0
6-12 12.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 12.6
5-13 10.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.9
4-14 6.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.6
3-15 3.6% 3.6
2-16 1.6% 1.6
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 97.6 0.0%