College of Charleston
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +1.1 144
Results Rating +3.0 120
Consistency 0.12 49
Pace 69.6 143
Improvement +4.7 36

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 175 C- C C B+ C-
Defense C+ 130 B- C+ D A- B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 215 B 64% 57 +1.5 120
2 Pt. Jumpers 42% 128 D 33% 322 -0.2 191
Three Pointers 40% 212 D- 30% 333 -3.2 286
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.4 237 C- -1.6 233
1st FG Attempt C- 0.98 236
Second Chance C- 29.4% 206 B- 1.10 90 C 0.32 149
Opponents' Steals C- 10.1% 257
Other Turnovers B- 6.4% 70
Turnovers C 16.5% 165
Freethrows B 0.35 42 B- 74% 117 B+ 0.26 39
Total Offense C -0.4 175

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B- 53% 96 B- 9.2% 82
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 210 D+ 6.5% 282
Three Pointers C- 81% 258 B 0.3% 47
Total C 55% 186 C+ 5.0% 114


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% 333 D+ 61% 270 -3.1 79
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 89 B 35% 69 +0.2 212
Three Pointers 45% 55 B- 32% 81 +0.8 227
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.8 53 C+ -1.2 132
1st FG Attempt B- 0.98 117
Second Chance C- 31.1% 221 B- 0.97 77 C+ 0.30 151
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.2% 280
Other Turnovers D 6.2% 315
Turnovers D 14.4% 320
Freethrows A- 0.23 12 B- 70% 77 A- 0.16 12
Total Defense C+ +1.5 130

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 210 C+ 11.9% 135
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 219 A 9.7% 14
Three Pointers D+ 86% 251 C+ 1.2% 94
Total C- 58% 234 B- 6.6% 103

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.3 170 17.2 159
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 163 0.18 218
Consistency 0.12 110 0.14 280
Improvement -0.1 195 +4.8 14

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 153 143 129
Results Rating Rank 132 124 100
Conference Record 14 - 4 14 - 4 14 - 4
Conference Finish 2 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 13
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15% 20% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.3 13.3 n/a
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round15% 20% 0%
Second Round1% 1% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 32 - 4
Quad 34 - 57 - 10
Quad 415 - 121 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 115 @Liberty L 75 - 90 31% -8  4% 0 - 1 D -9 B+ +8 B- A+ D+ F -19 D- F F
 Sat, Nov 8 125 Florida Atlantic L 77 - 94 44% -15  0% 0 - 2 D- -14 B +7 C D B+ F -22 C- F F
 Fri, Nov 14 359 South Carolina St. W 88 - 61 96% +14  86% 1 - 2 B- +8 B+ +8 C B- A+ C+ +1 C+ B D-
 Mon, Nov 17 207 Drake L 62 - 71 73% -5  21% 1 - 3 D- -14 F -16 F D- D+ C+ +2 C B+ A-
 Fri, Nov 21 194 Massachusetts W 69 - 65 62% -1  37% 2 - 3 C+ +2 D- -6 F A+ A- A- +8 C C+ B+
 Sun, Nov 23 87 Yale L 63 - 74 30% -9  0% 2 - 4 C- -5 D- -8 D- F C+ B- +2 C A D-
 Mon, Nov 24 295 Evansville W 78 - 59 80% +12  93% 3 - 4 B +11 C- -1 C C- C- A+ +12 A A F+
 Sun, Nov 30 68 Belmont L 73 - 96 33% -19  1% 3 - 5 F+ -17 D+ -3 F B A+ F -14 F A F
 Wed, Dec 10 54 @South Florida L 75 - 81 13% -2  27% 3 - 6 B- +7 B+ +7 D B C+ C -0 B- C D
 Sun, Dec 14 170 Charlotte W 74 - 67 68% +3  74% 4 - 6 C+ +3 D -4 B C D- A- +8 A- A D
 Wed, Dec 17 343 The Citadel W 82 - 78 93% -2  42% 5 - 6 D- -12 D+ -4 C F C F+ -8 D- C- D+
 Sun, Dec 21 183 @Northern Kentucky W 85 - 74 49% +4  86% 6 - 6 B+ +12 B +6 A C D+ B+ +5 C B A+
 Mon, Dec 29 214 Drexel W 72 - 63 75% -1  37% 7 - 6 1 - 0 C+ +3 B- +5 A- A D C -1 C+ C+ D+
 Wed, Dec 31 241 @Elon W 85 - 81 60% +7  89% 8 - 6 2 - 0 C+ +2 C+ +2 D- B C C +0 B- B- F
 Mon, Jan 5 139 William & Mary W 88 - 79 61% +6  84% 9 - 6 3 - 0 B- +7 D+ -3 B F F A +9 A+ C F
 Sat, Jan 10 263 Hampton W 74 - 70 82% +5  95% 10 - 6 4 - 0 C- -5 B- +4 C+ B- A- F+ -8 B- F+ F
 Thu, Jan 15 167 @Towson L 52 - 61 45% -9  0% 10 - 7 4 - 1 D+ -7 F -18 F C- F A +11 A+ D- C
 Sat, Jan 17 227 @Stony Brook L 106 - 112 2OT 57% -3  17% 10 - 8 4 - 2 D+ -7 A- +11 C- A A F -17 F C F
 Thu, Jan 22 185 Campbell W 87 - 83 71% +3  54% 11 - 8 5 - 2 C -1 B- +5 B+ C+ D D -5 D F C
 Sat, Jan 24 241 Elon W 80 - 70 79% +10  98% 12 - 8 6 - 2 C+ +2 D+ -4 C D+ F B+ +6 A C+ C
 Thu, Jan 29 104 @Hofstra W 66 - 64 27% -3  18% 13 - 8 7 - 2 B +9 D+ -4 F B+ B- A+ +13 A+ C D
 Sat, Jan 31 296 @Northeastern W 89 - 84 72% -2  21% 14 - 8 8 - 2 C -0 A- +10 C- C+ A+ F -10 F C F
 Thu, Feb 5 281 N.C. A&T W 78 - 62 84% +5  68% 15 - 8 9 - 2 B- +6 D -5 C+ D F A +11 B+ B A+
 Mon, Feb 9 106 UNC Wilmington L 64 - 76 50% -9  0% 15 - 9 9 - 3 D -11 F+ -9 D+ C F C- -2 B D+ F
 Thu, Feb 12 104 Hofstra L 62 - 66 49% -4  17% 15 - 10 9 - 4 C- -3 F -13 D- F+ C- A +10 A A+ C-
 Sun, Feb 15 185 @Campbell W 62 - 57 49% +2  66% 16 - 10 10 - 4 B- +6 D -5 F A+ F A+ +12 A A+ F
 Thu, Feb 19 281 @N.C. A&T W 74 - 61 67% +11  96% 17 - 10 11 - 4 B +9 C+ +3 B- F+ C+ A- +7 B+ D+ C
 Sat, Feb 21 180 Monmouth W 74 - 63 70% +4  82% 18 - 10 12 - 4 B- +7 C +1 D- B A+ B+ +6 C- A+ B-
 Thu, Feb 26 263 @Hampton W 85 - 71 65% +12  99% 19 - 10 13 - 4 B +11 A +12 C+ A+ B+ C -0 D+ C D-
 Sun, Mar 1 106 @UNC Wilmington W 79 - 76 28% -5  13% 20 - 10 14 - 4 B +10 A +14 C+ B- A D+ -4 C F A+
Totals 20 - 10 14 - 4 +1 C +0 B C- C- C+ +1 D- B- B+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C B D D- C- 37% 42% 40% C- C- C- B- C C B B- B+ C+ D+ B B- C+ 32% 23% 45% B B- C- B- C+ D A- B- A-
1.08 64% 33% 30% -2 0 0.98 29% 1.1 .32 16% .35 74% .26 1.07 61% 35% 32% -1 -1 0.98 31% 1.0 .30 14% .23 70% .25
Nov
7		 Liberty B+ D A A- B- 35% 22% 43% C- B- B A+ A+ D+ A+ F B+ F C- F F F+ 44% 8% 48% B- D- F F F F D+ D+ D
1.20 50% 50% 40% +4 0 1.09 36% 1.5 .55 19% .34 65% .22 1.44 64% 50% 46% +12 +2 1.30 32% 1.3 .42 8% .30 71% .21
Nov
8		 Florida Atlantic B C- F+ B C+ 43% 20% 37% C- C A F D B+ A+ A+ A+ F D+ F B+ C- 35% 15% 50% C- C- F F F F F+ F+ F
1.14 55% 30% 37% -2 0 1.00 36% 0.5 .19 13% .41 88% .36 1.39 63% 63% 30% +2 +1 1.07 46% 1.3 .62 10% .36 77% .28
Nov
14		 South Carolina St. B+ A+ F F C 48% 14% 38% C- C A D- B- A+ A+ D- A- C+ F+ A+ F C- 17% 52% 31% A+ C+ F A+ B D- F A+ C
1.31 92% 29% 16% +4 +2 1.14 47% 1.1 .50 10% .51 68% .35 0.91 63% 20% 47% -3 -6 0.85 38% 0.6 .22 18% .49 44% .22
Nov
17		 Drake F A+ F F F+ 13% 44% 42% F F B F D- D+ B F C C+ D A+ D+ C 26% 21% 53% C+ C C A+ B+ A- B+ A+ A
0.90 100% 26% 27% -4 -5 0.85 36% 0.6 .20 16% .33 63% .21 1.03 64% 27% 36% +1 -1 1.02 27% 0.8 .22 19% .25 57% .14
Nov
21		 Massachusetts D- B+ B F F 40% 15% 45% C+ F F A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ A- A- F B+ C- 35% 22% 43% C+ C C- B- C+ B+ A A+ A+
1.02 68% 43% 14% -8 +1 0.87 11% 4.3 .48 13% .49 83% .41 0.96 50% 70% 30% +2 0 1.04 32% 1.1 .35 22% .25 46% .11
Nov
23		 Yale D- C+ F F F 42% 17% 42% B D- C F F C+ A+ D- A+ B- B C- F D+ 39% 29% 33% A- C B A+ A D- C A+ A-
0.97 60% 25% 25% -7 +1 0.90 29% 0.5 .14 14% .43 67% .29 1.14 53% 43% 50% +7 -1 1.14 29% 0.9 .26 12% .32 61% .19
Nov
24		 Evansville C- D C+ A C 31% 20% 49% C C D B+ C- C- A C+ A A+ A- C+ A+ A+ 47% 21% 32% F A A+ F A F+ D+ C+ C-
1.11 53% 40% 42% +5 -1 1.10 27% 1.1 .30 17% .36 76% .27 0.84 52% 36% 18% -11 +1 0.81 6% 2.0 .11 14% .30 72% .22
Nov
30		 Belmont D+ F F F F 13% 17% 69% D F C+ A- B A+ A+ D+ A+ F F F F F 32% 20% 48% A F C A+ A F C+ A+ B
1.03 43% 22% 25% -14 -1 0.71 33% 1.2 .39 11% .48 73% .35 1.36 83% 55% 48% +22 0 1.45 28% 0.9 .24 8% .29 58% .17
Dec
10		 South Florida B+ F+ F C- F+ 42% 12% 46% A D A D+ B C+ A+ A+ A+ C D+ F A+ B- 44% 8% 48% C B- F A C D C- B+ C+
1.09 45% 17% 33% -8 +1 0.88 40% 0.9 .35 19% .45 80% .36 1.18 61% 50% 24% -5 +2 0.96 46% 1.0 .43 13% .38 70% .27
Dec
14		 Charlotte D A A D- B+ 40% 26% 34% C- B D A C D- D+ F D- A- F C A+ A- 28% 16% 56% B+ A- A- A+ A D A F B
1.09 70% 46% 29% +5 -1 1.10 26% 1.4 .35 18% .29 63% .18 0.98 79% 38% 25% -2 0 0.98 27% 0.7 .18 16% .25 86% .21
Dec
17		 The Citadel D+ A+ C+ F+ C 33% 12% 55% C- C F A+ F C A+ A- A+ F+ B B+ F F+ 27% 17% 56% C+ D- D+ C+ C- D+ A+ A- A
1.14 86% 40% 30% +7 +1 1.17 10% 1.3 .14 15% .67 76% .51 1.08 50% 30% 39% +1 0 1.03 29% 0.9 .26 17% .17 60% .10
Dec
21		 Northern Kentucky B C+ A+ C- A 43% 17% 39% C+ A C- B- C D+ A+ C- A+ B+ B- D- B- C 35% 14% 51% C+ C F+ A+ B A+ C+ F D
1.15 60% 88% 33% +9 +1 1.22 32% 1.2 .39 20% .49 69% .34 1.00 56% 43% 31% -3 +1 0.98 36% 0.7 .26 23% .28 88% .25
Dec
29		 Drexel B- A+ C F+ A 33% 28% 39% D A- C+ A+ A D C+ F F+ C C A+ F C- 20% 25% 55% A C+ C B C+ D+ D C- D
1.15 87% 38% 28% +6 -1 1.11 33% 1.4 .47 18% .31 56% .17 1.01 56% 18% 42% +1 -2 1.00 29% 0.8 .24 18% .31 69% .21
Dec
31		 Elon C+ F A C F+ 43% 16% 41% B- D- C A+ B C A+ A+ A+ C C- F A+ B 45% 10% 45% C- B- A F B- F C+ A- B
1.15 43% 50% 35% -4 +1 0.96 33% 1.4 .45 16% .47 90% .42 1.10 59% 50% 26% -4 +2 0.98 24% 1.2 .29 8% .30 65% .19
Jan
5		 William & Mary D+ A+ F A- A- 25% 26% 49% F B D- F F F A+ A A+ A F A+ A+ A+ 20% 31% 49% A+ A+ C+ D+ C F B- D- C
1.07 92% 21% 38% +7 -2 1.13 24% 0.8 .18 23% .46 79% .36 0.96 85% 5% 22% -14 -3 0.69 25% 1.2 .31 7% .33 80% .26
Jan
10		 Hampton B- A+ B- F+ B- 32% 24% 44% D- C+ F A+ B- A- A+ B+ A+ F+ D D- A+ C 25% 37% 37% A+ B- F B- F+ F A C+ A
1.18 85% 40% 28% +5 -1 1.10 17% 2.0 .35 13% .55 73% .40 1.11 62% 42% 21% -5 -3 0.86 45% 0.9 .39 13% .25 71% .18
Jan
15		 Towson F F F F+ F 36% 14% 50% B- F B+ F C- F F D+ F A A+ C A+ A+ 29% 25% 46% C- A+ B+ F D- C C- F F
0.77 39% 14% 28% -15 +1 0.74 34% 0.7 .25 22% .17 67% .11 0.90 40% 38% 17% -17 -1 0.65 30% 1.3 .38 16% .30 88% .26
Jan
17		 Stony Brook A- D+ F A C- 46% 19% 35% B- C- D A+ A A A+ A+ A+ F D F F+ F 35% 12% 53% D+ F A F C F F A F
1.23 55% 25% 41% 0 +1 1.03 26% 1.6 .43 12% .47 83% .39 1.30 61% 75% 40% +10 +1 1.24 20% 1.2 .24 9% .40 65% .26
Jan
22		 Campbell B- A+ B A- A 44% 35% 21% D- B+ B- C- C+ D A+ A- A+ D D- B- F F 20% 30% 50% A+ D C F F C A+ B+ A+
1.20 76% 41% 40% +11 -2 1.21 35% 1.1 .38 19% .49 79% .39 1.14 64% 31% 41% +4 -2 1.06 34% 1.8 .60 18% .20 67% .13
Jan
24		 Elon D+ A+ F F C+ 30% 28% 42% F+ C B- F D+ F A+ F A+ B+ F+ F A+ A- 27% 23% 50% A+ A B D C+ C C+ C C
1.11 100% 21% 29% +4 -2 1.08 38% 0.9 .34 22% .46 62% .29 0.97 67% 54% 18% -6 -1 0.88 28% 1.1 .31 17% .30 72% .22
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
29		 Hofstra D+ F B F F 47% 24% 29% B F A- C+ B+ B- A- F C A+ A A+ A A+ 32% 23% 45% C- A+ F A- C D A+ A+ A+
0.96 42% 42% 13% -16 0 0.71 38% 1.1 .40 13% .37 59% .22 0.94 44% 23% 28% -12 -1 0.77 41% 0.9 .35 15% .09 40% .03
Jan
31		 Northeastern A- B A+ F D 58% 13% 28% A- C- D+ A C+ A+ A- B A F F C+ F F 40% 23% 37% B F F A+ C F A+ A+ A+
1.29 68% 57% 20% +2 +2 1.11 27% 1.2 .33 7% .41 77% .31 1.22 71% 36% 41% +8 0 1.18 33% 0.8 .28 7% .08 40% .03
Feb
5		 N.C. A&T D A+ C+ F B 35% 31% 33% F+ C+ D C- D F D- B- D A D A+ C+ B+ 23% 30% 47% B B+ C- A+ B A+ C+ F D+
1.10 84% 41% 28% +7 -2 1.13 23% 1.0 .23 20% .25 71% .18 0.87 64% 21% 32% -5 -2 0.87 31% 0.8 .26 25% .34 83% .28
Feb
9		 UNC Wilmington F+ C A- F D+ 27% 33% 40% D- D+ D A C F A+ A A+ C- F A+ C- B- 23% 37% 40% A+ B B F D+ F A C- A-
0.94 58% 47% 22% -4 -2 0.89 21% 1.3 .27 19% .42 83% .35 1.12 77% 14% 35% -4 -3 0.88 30% 1.3 .40 7% .27 71% .19
Feb
12		 Hofstra F F F C- F+ 23% 23% 54% D+ D- F B F+ C- B- A+ A- A D B+ A+ A 22% 25% 53% B A B- A+ A+ C- F B- F
0.88 42% 17% 32% -10 -1 0.79 18% 1.1 .20 16% .32 84% .27 0.94 64% 31% 26% -7 -2 0.84 31% 0.5 .14 16% .44 73% .32
Feb
15		 Campbell D B+ F D- F 41% 30% 28% D F C A+ A+ F F A+ F A+ D- A+ A+ A+ 54% 15% 31% C- A F A+ A+ F A+ F A+
1.02 68% 7% 31% -7 -1 0.87 32% 1.7 .55 21% .17 88% .15 0.94 64% 0% 13% -12 +2 0.81 43% 0.3 .14 12% .19 90% .17
Feb
19		 N.C. A&T C+ A+ F A+ B 31% 29% 40% F+ B- B F F+ C+ D- B- D A- A C+ B+ A 37% 17% 46% F B+ B- F D+ C A- A A
1.17 81% 20% 43% +7 -2 1.13 32% 0.6 .19 13% .25 71% .18 0.96 47% 38% 29% -8 0 0.87 28% 1.3 .36 19% .29 67% .19
Feb
21		 Monmouth C C F+ F F+ 53% 20% 27% B- D- F+ A+ B A+ A D- B+ B+ C+ F C+ D+ 25% 33% 41% A C- A+ A- A+ B- A+ D A+
1.10 59% 30% 21% -6 +1 0.92 24% 1.6 .38 12% .37 68% .25 0.94 54% 47% 33% +1 -3 1.00 21% 0.9 .18 19% .17 78% .13
Feb
26		 Hampton A A- F A+ C+ 54% 26% 20% C C+ A A+ A+ B+ A+ C A C D+ B+ C+ D+ 30% 20% 50% D+ D+ A+ F C D- C+ F+ C
1.24 72% 8% 44% +3 0 1.09 39% 1.3 .52 13% .49 69% .34 1.04 60% 30% 32% -3 -1 0.96 20% 1.4 .29 15% .33 79% .26
Mar
1		 UNC Wilmington A F D+ A B- 23% 29% 48% D C+ C+ B+ B- A A+ C A+ D+ C+ A- C- C 22% 22% 56% B- C F C+ F A+ B- C B-
1.23 45% 36% 39% 0 -2 0.98 28% 1.2 .33 9% .48 75% .36 1.18 55% 27% 36% -2 -1 0.96 54% 1.0 .56 23% .32 69% .22



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 14.6% 14.6% 13.3 0.8 8.4 5.1 0.4 85.4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 14.6% 14.6% 0.0% 13.3 85.4 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 14.6% 100.0% 13.3 5.6 57.2 34.8 2.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 15.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 41.9%
Lose Out 28.3%