Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -3.0 214
Results Rating -3.0 219
Consistency 0.16 225
Pace 62.0 339
Improvement +4.0 50

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 299 C D+ D- D C
Defense C+ 124 B- C C- C- C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 195 D+ 54% 279 -1.8 244
2 Pt. Jumpers 38% 174 C- 36% 237 -0.5 207
Three Pointers 42% 170 B 37% 74 +1.9 115
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 189 C -0.3 172
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 181
Second Chance C- 29.1% 215 D- 0.90 341 D+ 0.26 293
Opponents' Steals F+ 11.7% 345
Other Turnovers C- 7.8% 252
Turnovers D- 19.5% 331
Freethrows D 0.27 297 D- 68% 321 D 0.18 327
Total Offense D+ -4.8 299

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D+ 42% 278 C 10.9% 171
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 213 C+ 4.5% 154
Three Pointers B+ 92% 24 C 1.0% 208
Total C 56% 164 C 5.5% 177


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 158 B- 54% 84 -0.9 133
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 69 C- 40% 254 +1.8 316
Three Pointers 37% 301 B 31% 65 -3.6 38
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.4 107 B- -2.4 82
1st FG Attempt B- 0.97 85
Second Chance C- 31.0% 217 C 1.03 178 C 0.32 217
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.5% 251
Other Turnovers C 7.1% 197
Turnovers C- 15.7% 243
Freethrows C 0.30 182 D- 76% 333 C- 0.23 223
Total Defense C+ +1.8 124

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 160 C+ 11.9% 133
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 290 C 4.8% 184
Three Pointers A- 76% 20 D 0.2% 320
Total B- 52% 102 C 5.9% 150

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.2 338 17.2 165
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 279 0.19 240
Consistency 0.10 44 0.15 336
Improvement -1.9 280 +5.9 6

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 225 215 192
Results Rating Rank 225 214 189
Conference Record 10 - 8 10 - 8 10 - 8
Conference Finish 5 5 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 4% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.0 15.0 n/a
.500 or above 66% 100% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round2% 4% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 40 - 4
Quad 33 - 73 - 11
Quad 413 - 516 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 112 @Saint Joseph's L 65 - 76 19% -1  45% 0 - 1 C- -5 D -5 F A- D+ C+ +0 B B+ D-
 Tue, Nov 11 252 @Colgate L 83 - 90 47% -7  11% 0 - 2 D -9 B +6 A C- D+ F -15 F C- B
 Sat, Nov 15 77 Syracuse L 50 - 80 16% -10  15% 0 - 3 F -22 F -18 D F F D- -7 C D F
 Tue, Nov 18 333 NJIT W 75 - 43 86% +13  82% 1 - 3 A- +17 D -5 C- D C+ A+ +23 A+ B+ A
 Fri, Nov 21 162 Penn L 68 - 84 51% -9  0% 1 - 4 F -19 D -5 D C B+ F -15 D F C
 Sun, Nov 23 248 Old Dominion W 75 - 71 68% +1  56% 2 - 4 C- -4 C -0 C+ B- D D+ -4 C- C- D
 Tue, Nov 25 349 @Morgan St. W 71 - 66 76% +7  96% 3 - 4 D+ -5 D -5 C F F C+ +0 D A F
 Wed, Dec 3 254 @American L 73 - 75 47% +1  54% 3 - 5 C- -4 C +0 B F B- D+ -5 D A F
 Sat, Dec 6 209 La Salle L 64 - 69 49% -8  9% 3 - 6 D+ -8 D- -8 F A- C C -0 D C- D-
 Tue, Dec 16 182 Howard L 66 - 74 56% -7  4% 3 - 7 D- -13 D -5 B- F D D- -8 D F+ A-
 Fri, Dec 19 273 Mount St. Mary's W 75 - 67 72% +7  84% 4 - 7 C -1 D+ -3 A+ D+ F B- +2 F+ B- A+
 Sun, Dec 21 346 Maine W 74 - 56 88% +9  81% 5 - 7 C+ +2 A +12 A+ D- F D -6 B- F B
 Mon, Dec 29 144 @College of Charleston L 63 - 72 25% +1  58% 5 - 8 0 - 1 D+ -5 C- -2 C+ D D- D+ -4 F+ F C+
 Wed, Dec 31 106 @UNC Wilmington L 53 - 65 17% -8  1% 5 - 9 0 - 2 C- -5 F -10 F A- F B- +3 A D+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 104 Hofstra L 67 - 70 34% -8  0% 5 - 10 0 - 3 C- -2 B- +5 C+ C- A+ D- -7 C- F D+
 Thu, Jan 8 227 Stony Brook W 56 - 37 64% +7  82% 6 - 10 1 - 3 B+ +12 F+ -9 F A- F A+ +26 A+ D- F+
 Sat, Jan 10 139 William & Mary W 64 - 58 45% +5  90% 7 - 10 2 - 3 C+ +4 F -10 A+ F+ F A+ +15 A+ A B+
 Thu, Jan 15 180 @Monmouth W 73 - 51 32% +14  95% 8 - 10 3 - 3 A+ +24 A +13 A+ A- D- A+ +15 A C+ A+
 Mon, Jan 19 167 @Towson L 58 - 59 30% +7  86% 8 - 11 3 - 4 C +1 D- -7 A- F+ F A- +8 A+ F+ C-
 Sat, Jan 24 296 Northeastern W 83 - 78 78% +6  87% 9 - 11 4 - 4 D+ -6 C +0 B- F A+ D -6 C F+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 263 Hampton W 58 - 51 71% +3  69% 10 - 11 5 - 4 C- -2 F -13 F C D- A+ +12 B A+ B+
 Sat, Jan 31 281 N.C. A&T W 61 - 60 74% +6  85% 11 - 11 6 - 4 D -9 F -15 D- B- F B+ +6 A- A D-
 Thu, Feb 5 185 @Campbell L 60 - 81 34% -6  45% 11 - 12 6 - 5 F -20 F -15 C- F F D+ -5 D- D D+
 Sat, Feb 7 241 @Elon W 82 - 77 44% +6  96% 12 - 12 7 - 5 C+ +3 B +6 B- F A+ C- -3 A F D+
 Thu, Feb 12 180 Monmouth L 73 - 93 55% -16  7% 12 - 13 7 - 6 F -24 D -5 B F D F -19 F F D-
 Mon, Feb 16 227 @Stony Brook L 69 - 72 41% +1  52% 12 - 14 7 - 7 C- -4 C- -1 B- B- F C- -3 C+ B- F
 Thu, Feb 19 296 @Northeastern W 70 - 61 58% +3  80% 13 - 14 8 - 7 C+ +4 D- -7 A- F F A+ +12 A+ C+ C-
 Sun, Feb 22 167 Towson W 68 - 62 52% +4  82% 14 - 14 9 - 7 C+ +2 D+ -2 D+ B- C B +5 A+ D+ F
 Thu, Feb 26 185 Campbell W 65 - 60 56% +2  71% 15 - 14 10 - 7 C +0 D- -8 F C C A +9 A+ C+ C
 Tue, Mar 3 104 @Hofstra L 51 - 62 17% -2  47% 15 - 15 10 - 8 C- -4 F+ -9 F C+ F B- +2 C A- A+
Totals 15 - 15 10 - 8 -3 D+ -5 D+ C C C+ +2 B D- D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D+ C- B C 38% 38% 42% C C C- D- D+ D- D D- D C+ B- C- B B- 39% 24% 37% C+ B- C- C C C- C D- C-
1.02 54% 36% 37% 0 0 1.02 29% 0.9 .26 20% .27 68% .18 1.06 54% 40% 31% -2 0 0.97 31% 1.0 .32 16% .30 76% .20
Nov
8		 Saint Joseph's D F F B F 39% 23% 39% B- F B+ B A- D+ C+ F+ C C+ C+ A+ C- B 44% 25% 31% B+ B B- A B+ D- F F F
0.91 36% 8% 36% -14 0 0.74 36% 1.1 .39 17% .24 64% .15 1.06 57% 17% 33% -6 0 0.90 30% 0.8 .24 14% .49 87% .42
Nov
11		 Colgate B D A+ A+ A- 39% 4% 57% A A A- F C- D+ D- F F F D- F F F 40% 33% 28% B F A+ F C- B F F F
1.19 52% 50% 45% +8 +2 1.22 38% 0.7 .28 16% .26 53% .14 1.30 65% 64% 58% +21 -1 1.42 17% 1.7 .28 19% .48 89% .42
Nov
15		 Syracuse F F B+ D- D 37% 23% 40% C- D A+ F F F F F F D- D- A- F C- 42% 25% 33% B C D- C D F A F B
0.78 38% 40% 29% -10 0 0.81 43% 0.5 .21 28% .22 60% .13 1.24 68% 31% 41% +6 0 1.13 36% 1.1 .39 11% .26 73% .19
Nov
18		 NJIT D D+ D+ C D+ 53% 13% 33% A- C- C- D- D C+ A+ F A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ 21% 28% 51% B+ A+ B A- B+ A F B F
1.07 54% 33% 33% -3 +2 1.00 32% 0.9 .30 14% .57 62% .35 0.62 60% 8% 13% -24 -2 0.49 22% 0.7 .16 23% .45 67% .30
Nov
21		 Penn D C- F D+ D 49% 26% 25% C- D C+ D+ C B+ B F D- F C+ F C+ D 36% 21% 43% D D F+ F F C F F F
1.01 58% 29% 31% -4 0 0.94 33% 0.9 .28 13% .29 41% .12 1.25 53% 60% 35% +3 0 1.09 37% 1.4 .50 16% .50 79% .39
Nov
23		 Old Dominion C F+ D- A+ C+ 46% 22% 33% C+ C+ B- B- B- D B- B- B D+ A+ C- F C- 40% 36% 25% B- C- F A C- D C+ A+ A-
1.14 52% 30% 47% +2 0 1.07 34% 1.1 .37 17% .38 76% .29 1.08 43% 37% 54% +1 -2 1.00 32% 0.9 .29 14% .28 56% .16
Nov
25		 Morgan St. D B+ F C C 45% 12% 43% C C B+ F F F A+ A+ A+ C+ F+ F+ A+ D- 40% 38% 23% B D A A+ A F D+ C- D+
1.09 68% 20% 33% +2 +2 1.10 41% 0.4 .18 23% .52 81% .42 1.01 63% 44% 18% -1 -2 0.96 21% 0.6 .12 11% .36 76% .28
Dec
3		 American C B+ F A+ B 54% 19% 27% B B D F F B- F F F D+ B+ F F+ D- 37% 16% 47% C+ D C A+ A F F A F
1.09 68% 30% 43% +7 +1 1.19 26% 0.3 .09 16% .27 60% .16 1.12 50% 50% 39% +3 0 1.08 26% 0.4 .10 9% .44 67% .30
Dec
6		 La Salle D- F D+ F F 42% 24% 34% C- F A+ D- A- C B D- C+ C C- C- C D 46% 22% 33% D D C+ D- C- D- F+ A+ B
0.97 38% 33% 18% -18 0 0.66 45% 1.0 .45 17% .29 63% .18 1.04 57% 40% 33% 0 0 1.02 32% 1.1 .35 15% .41 52% .21
Dec
16		 Howard D A+ D- C+ B+ 18% 16% 66% F+ B- F C+ F D B- F C D- B A F D+ 60% 17% 24% F+ D D+ F+ F+ A- F F F
0.99 75% 29% 34% +2 -1 1.05 21% 1.1 .24 21% .36 63% .23 1.11 48% 29% 50% -2 +2 1.02 38% 1.2 .46 24% .49 92% .45
Dec
19		 Mount St. Mary's D+ B+ F A+ A 51% 5% 44% A+ A+ F A+ D+ F A A A+ B- A+ F F F 24% 22% 54% A+ F+ D+ A- B- A+ F F F
1.05 64% 0% 42% +6 +3 1.21 13% 2.0 .26 25% .43 83% .35 0.93 40% 44% 45% +6 -1 1.12 31% 0.9 .28 32% .41 75% .31
Dec
21		 Maine A A+ D A+ A+ 29% 14% 57% C A+ C- F+ D- F F F F D F A+ A+ B 50% 21% 29% D B- F F F B A F B-
1.29 83% 33% 54% +24 0 1.50 35% 0.9 .30 23% .16 57% .09 0.98 71% 22% 8% -8 +1 0.88 33% 1.3 .44 23% .25 73% .18
Dec
29		 College of Charleston C- D+ F A+ B- 20% 25% 55% D C+ C- F+ D D- A C- A- D+ F D+ B+ F 33% 28% 39% B+ F+ D F F C+ B A+ A+
1.01 56% 18% 42% +1 -2 1.00 29% 0.8 .24 18% .31 69% .21 1.15 87% 38% 28% +6 -1 1.11 33% 1.4 .47 18% .31 56% .17
Dec
31		 UNC Wilmington F F+ A- F F 18% 25% 57% D+ F A C A- F A+ F A- B- A+ F A+ A- 30% 37% 33% A+ A B- F D+ F F D+ F
0.88 50% 45% 12% -18 -2 0.61 38% 1.1 .40 18% .39 63% .24 1.08 38% 50% 21% -8 -3 0.81 31% 1.3 .40 10% .52 71% .37
Jan
3		 Hofstra B- F+ D+ B C 44% 18% 38% B+ C+ C- C- C- A+ B+ F C D- B+ F C C 41% 20% 39% D- C- C F F D+ D B+ C-
1.13 45% 33% 37% -5 +1 0.94 29% 1.0 .29 5% .36 60% .21 1.18 50% 56% 35% +1 0 1.05 33% 1.6 .53 15% .34 71% .24
Jan
8		 Stony Brook F+ F F C+ F 36% 12% 52% B F C- A+ A- F F+ A D A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 26% 17% 57% B A+ F+ C- D- F+ B- C- B-
0.98 33% 20% 36% -9 +1 0.86 30% 1.3 .40 23% .23 80% .18 0.65 25% 13% 15% -29 0 0.43 34% 0.9 .32 14% .22 73% .16
Jan
10		 William & Mary F B B A+ A+ 44% 22% 34% C- A+ C+ F F+ F C- F D A+ B A+ A+ A+ 45% 15% 40% C+ A+ C A+ A B+ A+ C A+
0.96 67% 44% 50% +13 0 1.29 31% 0.6 .19 29% .27 62% .17 0.87 54% 25% 24% -10 +1 0.85 26% 0.7 .18 20% .22 75% .17
Jan
15		 Monmouth A F A+ A+ A+ 27% 20% 54% D A+ A C A- D- A- F D A+ D A+ A+ A+ 40% 33% 28% B- A F A+ C+ A+ F D F
1.23 45% 50% 55% +15 -1 1.32 42% 1.0 .42 22% .34 50% .17 0.86 63% 23% 18% -10 -1 0.80 42% 0.7 .31 23% .39 78% .31
Jan
19		 Towson D- B A C A- 44% 25% 31% C A- F A+ F+ F F F F A- A+ C+ B+ A+ 36% 34% 30% B- A+ F+ D F+ C- F D+ F
0.92 62% 50% 33% +4 0 1.10 8% 2.0 .15 21% .08 25% .02 0.94 29% 38% 29% -13 -2 0.72 41% 0.9 .39 16% .40 71% .28
Jan
24		 Northeastern C A- A+ C+ B+ 35% 31% 35% F B- D+ F F A+ A+ D- A- D A+ F D- C- 38% 24% 38% B+ C C F F+ F D+ B- C-
1.20 71% 60% 35% +12 -2 1.22 26% 0.4 .12 10% .45 68% .30 1.12 43% 54% 38% 0 0 1.02 26% 1.4 .38 12% .29 67% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
29		 Hampton F F+ C- F F 45% 33% 21% D- F C- B- C D- B+ B A- A+ A+ F A+ B- 39% 37% 24% B+ B D- A+ A+ B+ A+ F B+
0.93 53% 36% 22% -7 -1 0.86 28% 1.1 .31 19% .44 73% .32 0.82 37% 50% 25% -7 -2 0.84 37% 0.1 .05 21% .24 83% .20
Jan
31		 N.C. A&T F F D- B+ F+ 41% 24% 35% C- D- C A- B- F F F F B+ B B- A+ A 35% 22% 43% D A- A+ F+ A D- A F B-
0.95 48% 33% 39% -3 0 0.96 28% 1.2 .33 17% .04 0% .00 0.94 53% 36% 24% -9 -1 0.84 16% 1.2 .19 16% .28 87% .24
Feb
5		 Campbell F C A+ F C 38% 36% 26% F C- D- F F F F F F D+ F A+ B F+ 52% 21% 27% B- D- D+ D D D+ F D+ F
0.87 61% 53% 25% +3 -2 1.04 25% 0.9 .21 28% .16 63% .10 1.17 76% 10% 31% +2 +1 1.08 37% 1.1 .40 16% .48 75% .36
Feb
7		 Elon B C+ D A+ B 33% 18% 49% C B- F C+ F A+ A+ C- A C- B- B+ A A 35% 14% 51% B+ A A- F F D+ F F F
1.21 59% 33% 44% +7 0 1.16 20% 1.1 .23 9% .39 71% .28 1.14 53% 29% 28% -8 +1 0.88 26% 2.0 .53 15% .47 85% .40
Feb
12		 Monmouth D A F C- B- 53% 10% 37% A B F F F D B+ A- A- F A- F F F 41% 20% 39% F+ F F D- F D- F F F
1.02 69% 20% 33% +4 +2 1.14 20% 0.7 .13 21% .34 79% .26 1.30 48% 60% 45% +6 0 1.16 39% 1.1 .44 14% .39 83% .32
Feb
16		 Stony Brook C- F+ A A+ B 36% 24% 40% D+ B- A D- B- F F A D- C- B+ D C C+ 36% 21% 43% B- C+ C+ B B- F F+ F F
1.06 50% 45% 44% +5 -1 1.11 42% 0.8 .33 26% .21 80% .17 1.10 47% 45% 35% -2 0 0.98 27% 0.8 .22 9% .32 84% .27
Feb
19		 Northeastern D- A+ F B+ A- 48% 10% 43% B+ A- F F F F A+ F B+ A+ A+ F A A+ 36% 28% 36% A A+ A F C+ C- C+ F C-
1.04 85% 0% 39% +12 +2 1.31 4% 0.0 .00 22% .46 63% .29 0.91 33% 50% 28% -9 -1 0.82 19% 1.4 .27 16% .25 79% .20
Feb
22		 Towson D+ F+ A+ F D+ 38% 27% 36% D+ D+ B+ D+ B- C A+ F A+ B A A+ A+ A+ 42% 35% 23% C A+ A+ F D+ F F D F
1.03 47% 67% 19% -5 -1 0.91 33% 0.9 .30 15% .59 61% .36 0.94 45% 22% 25% -14 -2 0.71 21% 1.6 .33 8% .36 73% .26
Feb
26		 Campbell D- C+ F F F 39% 31% 31% D- F B- D+ C C F A+ D A A C+ A+ A+ 52% 13% 35% D+ A+ C- B- C+ C A+ F A+
1.02 63% 20% 27% -7 -1 0.86 34% 1.1 .37 17% .21 91% .19 0.94 44% 33% 24% -14 +2 0.79 36% 0.9 .33 17% .21 82% .17
Mar
3		 Hofstra F+ F C C- F 29% 19% 52% C+ F D+ A C+ F F A+ D+ B- A+ F A- C 36% 25% 39% C- C F A+ A- A+ D+ A+ C+
0.90 17% 38% 32% -14 0 0.74 26% 1.2 .32 19% .22 90% .20 1.09 44% 73% 29% +1 -1 1.02 50% 0.5 .25 25% .33 64% .21



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 2.4% 2.4% 15.0 0.0 0.3 1.8 0.3 97.6
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 15.0 97.6 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.4% 100.0% 15.0 0.4 13.8 73.6 12.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 6.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 19.8%
Lose Out 34.2%