East Texas A&M
Southland
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -8.0 300
Expected Predictive Rating -5.9 261
Pace 71.5 105
Improvement +1.7 117

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- #343 D+ F+ D+ F+ C+
Defense C #201 D+ D+ C+ C D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 247 57% 210 -1.8 249
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 265 33% 329 -2.5 297
Three Pointers 47% 48 31% 286 +1.4 128
1st FG Attempt 0.96 263 -2.8 263
Second Chance 24.1% 340 0.87 346 0.21 353
Turnovers 18.5% 279
Freethrows 0.24 343 67% 328 0.16 354
Total Offense -7.2 343

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 20 57% 154 -3.7 309
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 299 36% 108 +1.8 49
Three Pointers 38% 270 37% 331 -0.4 202
1st FG Attempt 1.06 257 -2.3 258
Second Chance 32.2% 252 1.07 257 0.35 260
Turnovers 17.6% 132
Freethrows 0.32 245 70% 63 0.23 212
Total Defense -0.8 201

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.4 137 +1.0 345
Shot Type Accuracy -3.1 297 +1.2 228
Possession Length 17.1 151 16.8 102
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 237 0.19 241
Improvement +0.0 #175 +1.7 #94

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 1% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 29% 10% 32%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: McNeese St. (Home) - 14.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 8
Quad 32 - 42 - 12
Quad 48 - 810 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 49 @New Mexico L 54 - 76 3% -16  1% 0 - 1 D -8 F -19 F+ F+ F A+ +13 A F A
 Sun, Nov 9 102 @Hawaii L 74 - 100 8% -17  3% 0 - 2 F -18 C- -1 B D D+ F -15 F F C-
 Fri, Nov 14 220 @Rice L 64 - 71 22% -2  41% 0 - 3 D+ -7 F+ -9 C- F+ F C+ +2 F C- A+
 Mon, Nov 24 329 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 70 - 65 49% -5  26% 1 - 3 C- -3 D- -6 C- D- F+ B- +3 F D- A+
 Tue, Nov 25 341 Army W 84 - 67 65% +10  73% 2 - 3 B- +5 C+ +3 A- F+ D- B- +2 C B- C+
 Fri, Dec 5 7 @Connecticut L 59 - 83 1% -13  0% 2 - 4 C -0 C- -0 A F+ C C -1 B- B F
 Sun, Dec 7 190 Central Arkansas W 75 - 68 38% +1  48% 3 - 4 C+ +2 D- -7 F B+ C+ A- +9 C A+ C
 Fri, Dec 12 88 @McNeese St. L 66 - 102 7% -26  0% 3 - 5 0 - 1 F -27 F -13 D+ F D- F+ -10 F F A+
 Mon, Dec 15 270 @SE Louisiana W 70 - 69 32% -1  41% 4 - 5 1 - 1 C- -2 C+ +3 B F C+ D+ -5 D B F
 Sun, Dec 21 31 @Texas A&M L 77 - 118 2% -22  1% 4 - 6 F -23 D+ -4 F D+ C+ F -13 F F B-
 Mon, Dec 29 105 Stephen F. Austin L 48 - 75 19% -6  14% 4 - 7 1 - 2 F -26 F -22 D+ F F D -6 C D C+
 Wed, Dec 31 196 Lamar L 62 - 69 40% +0  38% 4 - 8 1 - 3 D- -12 F -12 F A F C -1 A F D
 Sat, Jan 3 266 @Nicholls St. L 58 - 80 31% -12  0% 4 - 9 1 - 4 F -25 F -22 F F F C- -2 D+ D B
 Mon, Jan 5 225 @New Orleans L 73 - 83 23% -8  0% 4 - 10 1 - 5 D -10 D -6 C- F C+ D+ -4 C- A+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 149 UT Rio Grande Valley W 77 - 69 29% +9  87% 5 - 10 2 - 5 B- +6 B +6 A- A+ C- C -0 D- B C+
 Mon, Jan 12 198 TX A&M Corpus Christi L 50 - 61 40% -5  5% 5 - 11 2 - 6 F+ -17 F -23 F D+ C- B +6 B+ F A
 Sat, Jan 17 298 @Houston Christian L 70 - 81 38% +3  71% 5 - 12 2 - 7 F+ -16 D- -8 C F D- D- -9 D- F B
 Mon, Jan 19 255 @Incarnate Word W 80 - 58 29% +11  83% 6 - 12 3 - 7 A +20 A+ +15 B+ A A+ A- +9 A+ D- F
 Tue, Jan 27 196 @Lamar L 61 - 82 21% -7  4% 6 - 13 3 - 8 F -20 F -12 F B- A F+ -10 F D- B+
 Sat, Jan 31 266 Nicholls St. L 68 - 72 54% -6  8% 6 - 14 3 - 9 D- -13 F -11 F+ F B- C- -2 C- D- C-
 Mon, Feb 2 225 New Orleans L 85 - 94 44% -11  0% 6 - 15 3 - 10 F+ -15 D -5 C D C+ F+ -9 F A+ D
 Wed, Feb 4 280 @Northwestern St. W 74 - 68 34% +0  42% 7 - 15 4 - 10 C+ +2 B- +5 B D C C- -2 F B+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 280 Northwestern St. W 52 - 48 57% +6  91% 8 - 15 5 - 10 D+ -6 F -25 F F B A+ +20 A+ F A
 Mon, Feb 9 105 @Stephen F. Austin L 70 - 74 8% -2  29% 8 - 16 5 - 11 C+ +3 C+ +3 A+ F F C+ +0 C+ C+ B-
 Sat, Feb 14 88 McNeese St. L 66 - 77 15%
 Mon, Feb 16 270 SE Louisiana W 67 - 66 54%
 Sat, Feb 21 255 Incarnate Word W 73 - 72 51%
 Mon, Feb 23 298 Houston Christian W 71 - 68 60%
 Sat, Feb 28 149 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 66 - 78 13%
 Mon, Mar 2 198 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 64 - 73 21%
Totals 10 - 20 7 - 15 -8 D- -7 D+ F+ D+ C -1 D+ D+ C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- C- D D+ D+ 36% 16% 47% C+ D+ D- D- F+ D+ D- D- F+ C C B- D- C- 45% 17% 38% D- D+ C- C- D+ C+ C- B C
0.98 57% 33% 31% -3 0 0.96 24% 0.9 .21 18% .24 67% .16 1.10 57% 36% 37% +1 +1 1.06 32% 1.1 .35 18% .32 70% .17
Nov
5		 New Mexico F A+ D+ F F 25% 20% 55% C F+ C F F+ F F F F A+ A A+ F A+ 51% 16% 33% C- A C F F A F+ A+ C
0.70 71% 36% 17% -11 -1 0.78 26% 0.6 .17 27% .20 64% .12 0.99 46% 13% 41% -6 +2 0.92 30% 1.4 .43 19% .37 61% .23
Nov
9		 Hawaii C- B- F B B- 46% 11% 43% B+ B D D- D D+ A+ C+ A+ F F+ B F F 56% 13% 31% D- F F F F C- F B+ F
0.96 57% 0% 35% -4 +2 0.98 24% 0.9 .21 18% .50 69% .35 1.29 68% 33% 43% +9 +2 1.24 38% 1.5 .58 18% .85 69% .58
Nov
14		 Rice F+ B+ A F C 33% 37% 31% D C- F C F+ F F F F C+ A B- F F+ 44% 13% 42% F F C- C C- A+ C- F D-
0.97 69% 44% 27% +3 -2 1.02 21% 1.0 .21 21% .25 62% .15 1.07 45% 33% 53% +5 +1 1.16 38% 0.9 .34 27% .31 80% .25
Nov
24		 Fairleigh Dickinson D- B F A C- 29% 17% 54% C- C- C- F D- F+ F F F B- D- B D F 40% 7% 53% F F F+ D+ D- A+ F+ A+ C
1.05 67% 11% 43% +5 0 1.12 27% 0.7 .19 19% .17 56% .09 0.97 65% 33% 35% +3 +2 1.12 37% 0.9 .33 30% .34 56% .19
Nov
25		 Army C+ A+ F A- A- 32% 8% 60% B A- F A- F+ D- B A A- B- C A+ B C+ 42% 2% 56% F C C+ B B- C+ F C F
1.22 75% 25% 40% +10 +1 1.24 20% 1.3 .27 17% .39 82% .32 0.97 55% 0% 30% -6 +3 0.96 28% 0.8 .23 19% .36 70% .25
Dec
5		 Connecticut C- B D+ A- A+ 29% 25% 46% D+ A D F F+ C F B F C D- A+ A B+ 60% 15% 25% F+ B- C B+ B F A- F B
0.90 57% 33% 36% 0 -1 1.00 21% 0.6 .12 20% .23 75% .17 1.26 70% 25% 29% +3 +2 1.13 38% 1.0 .38 9% .23 79% .18
Dec
7		 Central Arkansas D- B- F F F 29% 10% 60% C F F A+ B+ C+ A+ B A+ A- D+ A+ A+ B 61% 4% 35% F C A+ C+ A+ C B- A+ A+
1.01 64% 20% 24% -9 +1 0.85 19% 2.1 .42 19% .41 76% .31 0.91 63% 0% 25% -3 +4 1.04 11% 1.0 .11 16% .24 33% .08
Dec
12		 McNeese St. F C A+ F D 40% 12% 48% B D+ F+ F F D- F F F F+ C B+ F F 58% 6% 36% F F F+ D F A+ F+ D F
0.84 57% 50% 24% -6 +1 0.92 27% 0.8 .22 28% .28 56% .16 1.29 58% 33% 58% +13 +3 1.34 41% 1.1 .45 20% .38 79% .30
Dec
15		 SE Louisiana C+ F A+ A+ B+ 30% 26% 43% D B F F F C+ D- A C- D+ B+ C F D- 39% 27% 33% C D B- B+ B F B- F C-
1.08 43% 50% 45% +6 -1 1.11 20% 0.8 .17 19% .32 82% .27 1.07 50% 36% 41% 0 -1 1.00 25% 0.8 .19 11% .30 76% .23
Dec
21		 Texas A&M D+ D+ F+ F F 35% 19% 46% C+ F C+ F D+ C+ A+ B- A+ F F B- F F 47% 16% 38% B- F C+ F F B- A+ A+ A+
0.92 53% 30% 24% -10 0 0.81 31% 0.7 .21 19% .47 75% .35 1.41 87% 40% 46% +20 +1 1.45 32% 1.8 .58 17% .22 53% .11
Dec
29		 Stephen F. Austin F F D- A- D+ 30% 26% 45% D- D+ F F F F C- F F D A+ F D C 25% 27% 47% B- C F+ C D C+ F D F
0.74 36% 33% 38% -5 -1 0.89 19% 0.3 .05 22% .28 29% .08 1.16 38% 50% 38% +1 -2 1.00 38% 1.0 .38 14% .30 71% .21
Dec
31		 Lamar F D F F F 29% 16% 56% C F D+ A+ A F F+ A+ C+ C A+ C- A+ A+ 45% 29% 25% F A D+ F F D F+ C+ D-
0.93 54% 14% 28% -10 0 0.82 27% 1.7 .45 24% .32 88% .28 1.04 39% 40% 23% -12 -1 0.76 36% 1.4 .51 14% .30 71% .21
Jan
3		 Nicholls St. F A- D F F 47% 6% 47% A- F D- F F F F F F C- C+ A+ D- C- 38% 8% 55% F+ D+ F A D B F C+ D-
0.79 73% 33% 14% -8 +2 0.91 30% 0.8 .24 33% .22 64% .14 1.08 55% 0% 38% -1 +2 1.04 39% 0.8 .32 19% .37 64% .23
Jan
5		 New Orleans D F C- A+ D+ 41% 9% 50% B C- F F F C+ D- A+ D+ D+ B- F B+ C 40% 15% 44% F+ C- F A+ A+ F F B- F
1.03 27% 40% 44% -4 +2 0.96 26% 0.5 .14 14% .30 83% .25 1.17 52% 63% 30% -1 +1 1.02 44% 0.4 .20 13% .48 73% .36
Jan
10		 UT Rio Grande Valley B A- D+ A- A- 33% 13% 54% B A- B A+ A+ C- F F F C C+ A+ F D+ 47% 4% 49% F D- C A B C+ C- A- C
1.17 69% 33% 38% +7 +1 1.17 36% 1.4 .50 18% .24 62% .15 1.05 57% 0% 42% +3 +3 1.14 28% 0.9 .25 18% .24 69% .17
Jan
12		 TX A&M Corpus Christi F F+ C F F 48% 16% 36% B F C F+ D+ C- C+ F D- B A- D- A+ B 36% 32% 32% A B+ C+ F F A F C F
0.75 50% 38% 0% -22 +1 0.60 29% 0.8 .24 21% .42 59% .25 0.91 44% 43% 21% -10 -2 0.80 28% 1.4 .41 22% .46 67% .31
Jan
17		 Houston Christian D- B- F B+ C 38% 15% 48% C- C D+ F F D- C+ F F+ D- B+ C+ F D- 43% 13% 43% F+ D- F+ F F B F B- F
1.02 67% 29% 39% +6 +1 1.15 30% 0.6 .18 20% .29 50% .15 1.18 50% 33% 45% +3 +1 1.11 35% 1.1 .38 20% .55 67% .37
Jan
19		 Incarnate Word A+ B A B+ B 51% 9% 40% B+ B+ C A+ A A+ F+ D+ F+ A- A+ D A+ A+ 39% 24% 37% C- A+ D D- D- F C- F F+
1.33 65% 50% 39% +8 +2 1.22 32% 1.6 .52 10% .31 71% .22 0.96 37% 42% 17% -17 0 0.67 35% 1.1 .38 10% .29 88% .26
Jan
27		 Lamar F F F+ F F 50% 13% 37% A- F C- A B- A F F F F+ D D+ F F 34% 24% 42% F F F B- D- B+ D+ A C
0.90 46% 29% 16% -17 +2 0.71 28% 1.3 .37 13% .29 47% .14 1.21 59% 42% 48% +10 -1 1.20 44% 0.9 .42 19% .26 64% .16
Jan
31		 Nicholls St. F F+ D C F 33% 17% 50% D+ F+ C- F F B- C+ D+ C C- D- D+ B+ D+ 36% 28% 36% A- C- A- F D- C- F D+ F
0.98 53% 33% 35% -2 0 0.98 35% 0.4 .14 20% .36 75% .27 1.04 65% 38% 29% 0 -1 1.00 20% 1.7 .33 16% .43 68% .29
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
2		 New Orleans D D A+ D C 39% 16% 45% C+ C F A+ D C+ A+ B- A+ F+ D B- F F 51% 27% 22% D+ F B+ A+ A+ D F D+ F
1.09 50% 63% 30% -2 +1 1.00 18% 1.7 .29 14% .55 76% .42 1.20 62% 36% 73% +14 0 1.29 29% 0.1 .03 17% .55 78% .43
Feb
4		 Northwestern St. B- C+ F A+ B- 43% 6% 51% B+ B F A+ D C F A+ F C- C+ F F F 40% 25% 35% D+ F A+ F B+ F B+ A+ A+
1.17 62% 0% 44% +7 +2 1.20 15% 2.0 .31 17% .19 90% .17 1.08 53% 58% 41% +7 0 1.15 13% 1.5 .19 13% .25 50% .13
Feb
7		 Northwestern St. F F F F F 42% 12% 46% B- F D+ F F B B- F+ C A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 37% 31% 33% C+ A+ F D- F A C+ F+ C
0.78 41% 17% 25% -16 +1 0.73 29% 0.1 .04 15% .37 67% .25 0.72 17% 27% 25% -23 -1 0.53 34% 1.3 .43 23% .29 80% .23
Feb
9		 Stephen F. Austin C+ A+ B- B A+ 32% 15% 53% C+ A+ F D+ F F D D D- C+ C- A+ D B 47% 22% 31% F C+ D A- C+ B- F C+ F
1.05 87% 43% 36% +12 0 1.26 8% 1.0 .08 21% .25 69% .17 1.11 58% 18% 38% -2 +1 0.98 36% 0.8 .31 15% .35 65% .23



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.0 0.2 5th
6th 0.3 0.7 0.1 1.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 3.4 0.9 0.0 5.4 7th
8th 2.1 12.5 5.4 0.3 20.2 8th
9th 0.2 12.2 9.4 0.6 0.0 22.5 9th
10th 4.6 15.0 1.6 0.0 21.2 10th
11th 0.8 11.9 4.8 17.6 11th
12th 5.8 5.9 0.2 11.9 12th
Total 6.6 22.6 34.4 24.6 9.7 2.0 0.1 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11 0.1% 0.1
10-12 2.0% 2.0
9-13 9.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.7
8-14 24.6% 24.6
7-15 34.4% 34.4
6-16 22.6% 22.6
5-17 6.6% 6.6
4-18
3-19
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 6.6%