Elon
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -4.5 241
Results Rating -4.1 237
Consistency 0.19 350
Pace 67.4 211
Improvement -6.1 354

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 155 C+ C C C A-
Defense D 314 D+ D- C- C+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 32 C- 57% 200 +2.9 78
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 333 D- 32% 339 -4.4 356
Three Pointers 44% 111 C+ 35% 140 +2.4 98
Shot Selection/Accuracy A- +1.6 16 C -0.6 188
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.04 140
Second Chance C+ 32.2% 121 C- 1.00 233 C 0.32 154
Opponents' Steals C- 9.7% 218
Other Turnovers B- 6.7% 102
Turnovers C 16.4% 155
Freethrows C 0.31 173 C 72% 213 C 0.22 179
Total Offense C +0.3 155

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C- 46% 222 D+ 12.6% 280
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 209 C 5.2% 207
Three Pointers B 90% 53 C 1.0% 218
Total B- 60% 89 D+ 6.6% 300


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 297 C+ 57% 135 -2.9 83
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 257 C- 40% 238 -0.9 118
Three Pointers 47% 25 F+ 39% 352 +6.7 360
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 170 D +3.0 297
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.08 283
Second Chance D 33.7% 311 D 1.12 299 D- 0.38 329
Turnovers from Steals C 9.4% 186
Other Turnovers D+ 6.6% 266
Turnovers C- 16.1% 219
Freethrows C+ 0.28 122 C 72% 176 C+ 0.20 119
Total Defense D -4.8 314

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 54% 298 C- 10.3% 200
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 205 D+ 3.0% 286
Three Pointers D+ 86% 254 C+ 1.2% 98
Total D 63% 326 D+ 4.7% 247

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.5 197 17.4 196
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 239 0.17 185
Consistency 0.14 279 0.15 340
Improvement -7.6 364 +1.5 103

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 255 244 228
Results Rating Rank 249 245 215
Conference Record 6 - 12 6 - 12 6 - 12
Conference Finish 11 11 11
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 2% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 2% 0%
First Round0% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 12 - 3
Quad 33 - 75 - 10
Quad 47 - 812 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 297 @UNC Greensboro W 92 - 90 OT 53% +1  45% 1 - 0 C- -3 B- +5 D D- A+ F+ -9 F B C-
 Wed, Nov 12 189 @Marshall L 89 - 96 29% -6  3% 1 - 1 D+ -6 C+ +3 B- C A- F+ -9 F+ F C+
 Sat, Nov 15 360 Gardner-Webb W 95 - 84 93% +16  94% 2 - 1 D -10 C+ +3 A B F F -13 F D D
 Thu, Nov 20 34 @Miami (FL) L 72 - 99 3% -10  0% 2 - 2 D -10 C+ +2 A+ C- F F -10 D+ F D
 Mon, Nov 24 172 @Appalachian St. W 88 - 53 26% +17  97% 3 - 2 A+ +37 A+ +28 C+ A+ A A+ +14 A- B+ C-
 Sat, Nov 29 178 Mercer L 84 - 91 49% -1  48% 3 - 3 D -11 D+ -3 D+ D F D- -7 D B F
 Wed, Dec 3 186 Furman L 88 - 97 51% +1  42% 3 - 4 D- -14 B+ +9 C+ B- A+ F -23 F C F
 Sat, Dec 6 240 @Wofford W 73 - 52 38% +21  99% 4 - 4 A +19 B- +5 A- F D- A+ +18 A+ B+ C
 Sat, Dec 13 339 Northern Illinois W 85 - 79 85% -4  7% 5 - 4 D -9 C+ +4 C+ F A- F -13 D+ F D-
 Wed, Dec 17 135 Richmond W 73 - 70 38% -2  18% 6 - 4 C +2 C +0 A F D C+ +1 D- F A+
 Sat, Dec 20 56 @Virginia Tech L 81 - 82 OT 6% +6  84% 6 - 5 B+ +12 A +12 A A+ F+ C -0 A- F A-
 Mon, Dec 29 296 Northeastern W 103 - 91 73% +5  98% 7 - 5 1 - 0 C +1 A+ +17 A+ A+ F+ F -16 F C- C+
 Wed, Dec 31 144 College of Charleston L 81 - 85 40% -7  2% 7 - 6 1 - 1 D+ -6 C +2 C C- A+ D- -7 C+ F C
 Thu, Jan 8 281 @N.C. A&T W 69 - 64 47% +6  94% 8 - 6 2 - 1 C +1 D- -7 F+ C C A +9 A F C
 Sat, Jan 10 185 Campbell W 83 - 82 51% -6  4% 9 - 6 3 - 1 C- -4 B +7 B A+ B F -11 F B+ F
 Thu, Jan 15 296 @Northeastern L 78 - 85 52% -4  19% 9 - 7 3 - 2 D- -12 D- -8 C+ D+ F D+ -4 C F D
 Sat, Jan 17 104 @Hofstra W 89 - 85 14% +3  73% 10 - 7 4 - 2 B +11 A+ +22 A+ C- A F -11 F B+ C
 Thu, Jan 22 167 Towson L 59 - 72 46% -5  21% 10 - 8 4 - 3 F+ -17 D -4 C- C F F -15 A F F
 Sat, Jan 24 144 @College of Charleston L 70 - 80 21% -10  0% 10 - 9 4 - 4 D+ -6 D -4 D- C D C -1 D- C- A+
 Thu, Jan 29 139 William & Mary W 79 - 76 40% -4  19% 11 - 9 5 - 4 C +1 B- +5 C+ B- A+ D+ -4 C- C B+
 Sat, Jan 31 227 Stony Brook L 68 - 72 59% -6  7% 11 - 10 5 - 5 D -11 F+ -9 C+ F D+ C- -2 C F B-
 Thu, Feb 5 263 @Hampton L 79 - 87 2OT 43% -0  48% 11 - 11 5 - 6 D -11 D -5 D+ D- C D+ -5 A- F F
 Sat, Feb 7 214 Drexel L 77 - 82 56% -6  0% 11 - 12 5 - 7 D -11 B- +5 D A+ C+ F -16 F+ B- F
 Thu, Feb 12 106 @UNC Wilmington L 54 - 65 14% -9  1% 11 - 13 5 - 8 C- -4 F+ -9 F D+ C+ B- +3 D D A
 Sat, Feb 14 139 @William & Mary W 81 - 78 20% +1  57% 12 - 13 6 - 8 B- +7 B- +5 D- B A+ B- +2 B- B+ D+
 Sat, Feb 21 281 N.C. A&T L 82 - 102 69% -10  1% 12 - 14 6 - 9 F -30 C+ +3 D+ A B- F -34 F F D
 Thu, Feb 26 167 @Towson L 56 - 58 25% -0  40% 12 - 15 6 - 10 C +0 D- -8 D+ F A- A- +8 A- B- D-
 Sat, Feb 28 180 @Monmouth L 57 - 73 27% -9  4% 12 - 16 6 - 11 D- -14 F+ -10 D F D+ D -6 D+ F B-
 Tue, Mar 3 106 UNC Wilmington L 57 - 76 29% -11  0% 12 - 17 6 - 12 F+ -18 F -15 F A F D+ -4 F D+ A+
 Sat, Mar 7 139 William & Mary L 81 - 87 29%
Totals 12 - 18 6 - 12 -5 C +0 B- C A- D -5 C+ C C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C- D- C+ C 45% 23% 44% A- C+ C+ C- C C C C C D C+ C- F+ D 34% 18% 47% C D+ D D D- C- C+ C C+
1.09 57% 32% 35% -1 +2 1.04 32% 1.0 .32 16% .31 72% .22 1.16 57% 40% 39% +3 0 1.08 34% 1.1 .38 16% .28 72% .22
Nov
8		 UNC Greensboro B- D F A- D- 38% 16% 47% B- D A F D- A+ A+ D+ A+ F+ B D+ F F 30% 19% 51% C- F D- A+ B C- F+ A+ C
1.23 55% 22% 41% +1 +1 1.05 40% 0.6 .26 5% .43 70% .30 1.21 50% 40% 52% +12 0 1.25 31% 0.7 .21 15% .42 59% .25
Nov
12		 Marshall C+ A F D C 37% 7% 56% A B- C- C+ C A- C- C C- F+ C C F D- 31% 15% 54% F+ F+ B- F F C+ F B+ F+
1.16 71% 25% 31% +2 +2 1.09 33% 1.0 .33 13% .33 73% .24 1.26 63% 38% 43% +8 0 1.19 28% 2.1 .59 18% .35 68% .24
Nov
15		 Gardner-Webb C+ C+ D+ A+ A 33% 12% 55% C A D+ A+ B F A F B F F F+ B- F 42% 20% 38% B- F F A+ D D B- A B
1.26 65% 33% 50% +15 +1 1.33 33% 1.4 .47 20% .38 65% .25 1.11 68% 42% 30% +3 0 1.08 40% 0.7 .29 17% .24 60% .14
Nov
20		 Miami (FL) C+ B D+ A+ A+ 46% 13% 41% A A+ D- A- C- F A F C+ F D B- F D 44% 20% 35% B D+ F F+ F D D+ C- D+
0.98 62% 33% 47% +9 +1 1.24 18% 1.2 .21 25% .33 56% .18 1.35 67% 36% 42% +8 0 1.19 47% 1.3 .59 14% .36 70% .25
Nov
24		 Appalachian St. A+ B+ A+ F C+ 37% 16% 47% C+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A B A+ A A+ B A+ A A 30% 9% 61% D+ A- A C+ B+ C- F A+ C-
1.44 63% 63% 25% -1 +1 1.02 50% 1.6 .81 10% .31 82% .25 0.87 54% 25% 26% -10 +1 0.84 24% 1.0 .24 15% .44 48% .21
Nov
29		 Mercer D+ B- F D+ D- 49% 7% 44% A D+ A+ F D F A+ D A+ D- C A+ F D 31% 17% 52% C- D A+ F B F F D F
1.09 59% 0% 33% -3 +2 1.02 45% 0.6 .26 23% .44 73% .32 1.18 59% 22% 43% +4 0 1.11 22% 1.3 .27 12% .44 77% .34
Dec
3		 Furman B+ D F B- C- 45% 2% 53% A+ C+ C+ B- B- A+ A+ B+ A+ F F D+ F 38% 0% 62% F F D B+ C F F F F
1.23 50% 0% 35% -3 +3 1.02 33% 1.1 .35 8% .38 76% .29 1.35 75% 34% +7 +3 1.21 33% 0.8 .28 11% .49 77% .38
Dec
6		 Wofford B- D+ A+ A+ B+ 52% 9% 39% B+ A- A F F D- D+ C+ C- A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 32% 4% 64% D A+ C+ A+ B+ C B A+ A-
1.20 54% 75% 44% +7 +3 1.22 39% 0.5 .21 18% .28 79% .22 0.85 47% 0% 23% -15 +2 0.74 28% 0.7 .20 15% .29 60% .17
Dec
13		 Northern Illinois C+ A A+ F C 57% 10% 33% A- C+ B- F F A- A+ C A+ F B+ A+ F D+ 35% 8% 57% C- D+ D- F F D- F F F
1.20 71% 60% 19% +2 +3 1.12 34% 0.6 .22 13% .53 73% .39 1.12 47% 0% 39% -2 +1 1.00 34% 1.0 .34 18% .47 74% .35
Dec
17		 Richmond C C- A+ A+ A- 43% 12% 45% A+ A B- F F D C D+ C C+ A D+ F F+ 22% 26% 52% B- D- F C+ F A+ A+ F B
1.10 57% 50% 41% +6 +1 1.16 33% 0.5 .15 20% .30 69% .21 1.06 50% 42% 46% +8 -2 1.15 39% 1.0 .39 30% .22 100% .22
Dec
20		 Virginia Tech A A F B- A- 49% 8% 43% A+ A A+ C A+ F+ D A+ C C A F B- A- 43% 32% 26% B+ A- F C- F A- F A- F
1.17 69% 0% 35% +3 +2 1.13 47% 1.0 .47 22% .20 82% .17 1.18 50% 47% 33% -1 -1 0.98 49% 1.2 .57 19% .51 69% .35
Dec
29		 Northeastern A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 49% 6% 45% A A+ A+ A+ A+ F+ A B- A F C+ A- F F 44% 19% 37% C F C- C- C- C+ D+ B C
1.43 76% 67% 48% +20 +3 1.47 46% 1.3 .58 19% .43 76% .33 1.26 57% 30% 68% +17 +1 1.37 28% 1.1 .31 18% .29 65% .19
Dec
31		 College of Charleston C C A+ F D+ 45% 10% 45% A+ C F+ A C- A+ A- D- B D- A+ F D+ B- 43% 16% 41% F+ C+ D F F C F F F
1.10 59% 50% 26% -4 +2 0.98 24% 1.2 .29 8% .30 65% .19 1.15 43% 50% 35% -4 +1 0.96 33% 1.4 .45 16% .47 90% .42
Jan
8		 N.C. A&T D- F F B+ F 56% 8% 36% A+ F+ C- B- C C A- F C+ A A D+ A+ A+ 22% 24% 55% C+ A D- F F C A+ D A+
1.02 46% 0% 39% -7 +3 0.94 26% 1.1 .29 13% .37 59% .22 0.94 45% 42% 25% -9 -2 0.80 35% 1.4 .48 19% .16 78% .13
Jan
10		 Campbell B D+ F A+ C+ 58% 8% 34% A+ B C- A+ A+ B F F F F A- F F F 39% 15% 46% B F A- C B+ F A C+ A
1.23 58% 25% 44% +4 +3 1.17 30% 1.9 .57 15% .17 40% .07 1.22 48% 50% 48% +7 +1 1.19 28% 1.0 .28 12% .29 71% .20
Jan
15		 Northeastern D- C- F A+ C 44% 8% 48% B+ C+ D C- D+ F D+ F F+ D+ C+ F+ B- C 39% 19% 42% C+ C D+ F F D A+ D A-
1.03 59% 0% 46% +6 +2 1.18 26% 1.0 .26 24% .31 61% .19 1.13 57% 45% 32% -1 0 1.02 29% 1.9 .56 15% .17 73% .12
Jan
17		 Hofstra A+ A D+ A+ A+ 52% 7% 41% A+ A+ C+ D- C- A A+ A+ A+ F B+ F F F 17% 31% 52% A+ F D- A+ B+ C F C F
1.34 67% 33% 42% +9 +3 1.26 32% 0.9 .29 11% .45 81% .37 1.28 50% 53% 48% +14 -3 1.25 38% 0.7 .26 17% .38 76% .29
Jan
22		 Towson D D+ F C C- 37% 12% 51% B C- B+ F+ C F A C- A- F A- A+ F A 31% 29% 41% C A F F F F C- F D-
1.00 53% 20% 33% -4 +1 0.95 33% 0.8 .27 22% .35 69% .24 1.22 47% 0% 40% -11 -2 0.78 50% 1.1 .57 8% .30 81% .24
Jan
24		 College of Charleston D B+ A+ F D- 27% 23% 50% C- D- D+ B+ C D A- C+ A- C F A+ B+ F+ 30% 28% 42% B+ D- F A C- A+ F A+ D+
0.97 67% 54% 18% -6 -1 0.88 28% 1.1 .31 17% .30 72% .22 1.11 100% 21% 29% +4 -2 1.08 38% 0.9 .34 22% .46 62% .29
Jan
29		 William & Mary B- D+ D- B C 53% 6% 42% A C+ C A- B- A+ D- F+ F+ D+ B A+ F C- 40% 4% 56% D C- C- C+ C B+ A D+ A-
1.19 57% 33% 36% +1 +3 1.09 29% 1.2 .35 11% .23 64% .15 1.14 55% 0% 39% +2 +2 1.10 27% 1.1 .30 20% .26 79% .21
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Stony Brook F+ D+ D+ B- C- 57% 6% 37% A+ C+ C+ F F D+ B- C C+ C- A+ D F+ C 24% 18% 57% B+ C F F F B- F D+ F
0.99 55% 33% 37% 0 +3 1.08 33% 0.3 .10 17% .32 72% .23 1.04 33% 44% 39% 0 -1 1.00 36% 1.1 .39 19% .36 75% .27
Feb
5		 Hampton D A+ F C C- 31% 31% 38% F D+ C F D- C A- F C+ D+ A+ B+ B+ A 33% 30% 37% B- A- D F F F F B- F
1.00 76% 24% 33% +1 -2 1.00 30% 0.8 .23 16% .46 60% .27 1.10 42% 29% 29% -11 -2 0.77 36% 1.5 .53 13% .54 70% .38
Feb
7		 Drexel B- D+ F F+ D- 35% 14% 51% B D D A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ F C- B- F F 33% 18% 49% C F+ A+ F B- F F D+ F
1.14 53% 29% 28% -8 +1 0.88 26% 2.0 .53 15% .47 85% .40 1.21 59% 33% 44% +7 0 1.16 20% 1.1 .23 9% .39 71% .28
Feb
12		 UNC Wilmington F+ F+ F+ F F 29% 21% 50% C+ F C+ F D+ C+ C+ F D+ B- A C+ F D 25% 20% 55% C D B+ F D A A+ A+ A+
0.90 50% 30% 21% -14 -1 0.73 29% 0.8 .24 13% .27 64% .17 1.08 45% 33% 42% +2 -1 1.05 29% 1.4 .41 20% .25 50% .12
Feb
14		 William & Mary B- F F A- F+ 46% 13% 41% B D- F A+ B A+ B+ C+ B+ B- C F A B- 43% 13% 43% C+ B- D+ A+ B+ D+ F+ B D
1.14 46% 14% 39% -5 +2 0.95 21% 1.8 .37 8% .34 73% .25 1.10 61% 57% 26% -1 +1 1.02 28% 0.8 .22 15% .42 72% .30
Feb
21		 N.C. A&T C+ F F A D 40% 11% 49% B+ D+ A B A B- B- A- B+ F F F F F 43% 31% 27% C- F F C- F D C- F F+
1.21 48% 17% 42% 0 +1 1.04 38% 1.1 .43 12% .33 75% .25 1.51 81% 67% 54% +26 -1 1.53 50% 1.1 .55 16% .37 86% .32
Feb
26		 Towson D- F F A+ F+ 57% 6% 36% A+ D+ F+ F F A- D+ C D+ A- D A+ A+ A+ 38% 23% 38% D- A- A- D+ B- D- D F D-
0.91 41% 0% 41% -9 +3 0.91 20% 0.7 .14 11% .24 69% .16 0.94 61% 27% 17% -11 0 0.79 30% 0.9 .27 13% .32 76% .24
Feb
28		 Monmouth F+ A+ C- F D+ 34% 25% 41% D- D F F F D+ B A A- D A- F D- D 31% 25% 44% C+ D+ F D+ F B- D+ F F+
0.90 73% 36% 22% -2 -1 0.95 23% 0.4 .10 21% .32 81% .26 1.16 47% 50% 38% +2 -1 1.04 39% 1.1 .42 19% .31 88% .27
Mar
3		 UNC Wilmington F F C+ F F 38% 11% 51% A+ F B A+ A F A A+ A+ D+ F C+ F F 29% 12% 59% F+ F C+ D D+ A+ A+ A+ A+
0.85 33% 40% 17% -23 +1 0.60 31% 1.3 .41 19% .33 89% .30 1.14 71% 33% 41% +10 0 1.22 33% 1.2 .39 22% .17 33% .06



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.6 99.4
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 16.0 99.4 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.7% 100.0% 16.0 3.1 96.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.4%
Lose Out 71.2%