West Georgia
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -8.6 303
Results Rating -7.0 277
Consistency 0.17 266
Pace 71.4 102
Improvement +2.4 100

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 283 D- C C D F
Defense D 299 D+ C+ D D+ F+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 315 D 52% 312 -4.9 338
2 Pt. Jumpers 63% 9 C+ 39% 131 +5.3 8
Three Pointers 33% 330 D 31% 306 -5.6 340
Shot Selection/Accuracy F -2.0 353 D+ -3.2 294
1st FG Attempt D- 0.92 333
Second Chance C- 29.3% 208 C 1.04 170 C 0.30 189
Opponents' Steals C- 9.8% 221
Other Turnovers C+ 7.0% 145
Turnovers C 16.8% 186
Freethrows D 0.26 309 D+ 70% 259 D 0.19 313
Total Offense D+ -4.2 283

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 173 C+ 10.0% 126
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 217 B+ 2.3% 21
Three Pointers F+ 75% 341 C 1.0% 223
Total D- 47% 333 B 4.4% 53


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 49% 2 D+ 62% 286 +7.9 360
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 298 D+ 40% 269 -1.0 106
Three Pointers 34% 345 C 34% 160 -3.6 41
Shot Selection/Accuracy F+ +1.2 356 D+ +1.9 261
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.09 284
Second Chance C 30.6% 197 B- 0.98 107 C+ 0.30 152
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.6% 250
Other Turnovers D- 5.8% 345
Turnovers D 14.4% 321
Freethrows D+ 0.34 285 C 73% 191 D+ 0.24 279
Total Defense D -4.3 299

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 189 B- 13.7% 77
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 20% 79 C+ 5.7% 116
Three Pointers C+ 81% 111 D+ 0.5% 264
Total C+ 53% 120 B+ 7.8% 35

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.7 217 16.3 26
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 227 0.24 352
Consistency 0.13 207 0.11 110
Improvement +1.3 128 +1.1 128

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 314 306 292
Results Rating Rank 293 289 251
Conference Record 8 - 10 8 - 10 8 - 10
Conference Finish 5 5 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 7% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 2% 7% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four2% 6% 0%
First Round1% 3% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 8
Quad 412 - 913 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 15 @Nebraska L 53 - 86 1% -11  34% 0 - 1 D- -11 F+ -10 F B A- C -1 A- F C-
 Mon, Nov 10 30 @UCLA L 62 - 83 2% -11  0% 0 - 2 C- -3 D+ -2 A C- F C- -2 D+ B+ A-
 Fri, Nov 14 343 The Citadel W 100 - 92 76% +8  91% 1 - 2 D+ -8 B+ +9 C+ A A- F -17 F B- F
 Mon, Nov 17 312 @Tennessee Tech W 61 - 59 41% +6  79% 2 - 2 C- -4 F -14 F F F A +10 A C+ A-
 Fri, Nov 21 307 South Carolina Upstate W 72 - 64 62% +4  79% 3 - 2 C- -4 D- -7 D B+ F B- +3 A B+ F+
 Sun, Nov 23 148 @Georgia Tech L 66 - 82 13% -3  31% 3 - 3 D- -12 D- -8 D- D A- D+ -4 D F+ C
 Mon, Dec 1 151 @Troy W 93 - 89 2OT 13% -0  42% 4 - 3 B- +7 C +1 D D+ A+ B +5 D A+ B+
 Sat, Dec 6 312 Tennessee Tech L 59 - 87 64% -10  10% 4 - 4 F -40 F -22 F B- F F -18 F A+ D-
 Sat, Dec 13 257 Georgia Southern L 85 - 91 49% -9  0% 4 - 5 D- -14 C +0 D- A+ F F -14 D- F D+
 Mon, Dec 22 26 @Georgia L 74 - 103 1% -16  0% 4 - 6 D -10 D- -8 F+ C+ D+ B- +2 A F+ D
 Thu, Jan 1 285 Bellarmine W 87 - 85 55% +10  97% 5 - 6 1 - 0 D+ -8 C +1 F+ F+ A+ F+ -8 F+ B+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 294 Eastern Kentucky W 88 - 76 59% -1  33% 6 - 6 2 - 0 C +1 B- +4 D+ B+ B C- -3 C- D F
 Thu, Jan 8 340 @North Florida W 85 - 73 53% +6  98% 7 - 6 3 - 0 C+ +3 C- -1 D+ C- C B- +3 B F C
 Sat, Jan 10 293 @Jacksonville L 43 - 75 36% -17  1% 7 - 7 3 - 1 F -37 F -27 F F F F -16 F A+ F
 Thu, Jan 15 309 @Stetson L 86 - 95 40% -4  6% 7 - 8 3 - 2 F+ -15 C+ +2 F+ B B F -17 F C B-
 Sat, Jan 17 264 @Florida Gulf Coast L 72 - 90 29% -3  25% 7 - 9 3 - 3 F -21 D -5 D- F A- F -15 F F C
 Thu, Jan 22 169 Central Arkansas L 65 - 86 32% -9  24% 7 - 10 3 - 4 F -25 F -10 D A+ F F -15 F A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 24 204 Queens W 74 - 66 38% +4  84% 8 - 10 4 - 4 C+ +3 D -6 B- F D- A +9 A D- B
 Wed, Jan 28 285 @Bellarmine L 74 - 77 32% -5  0% 8 - 11 4 - 5 D+ -7 C- -1 C- C- C- D -6 D- C- F
 Sat, Jan 31 176 Austin Peay L 78 - 81 33% -6  1% 8 - 12 4 - 6 D+ -7 D+ -4 D- D A+ C- -3 B A+ D-
 Thu, Feb 5 340 North Florida L 73 - 81 75% +1  56% 8 - 13 4 - 7 F -23 F -18 F F+ A+ D+ -5 F A+ B+
 Sat, Feb 7 293 Jacksonville W 87 - 73 59% +6  94% 9 - 13 5 - 7 C+ +3 A- +10 F A+ B+ D -6 C- D- C-
 Wed, Feb 11 342 @North Alabama W 82 - 73 54% +6  94% 10 - 13 6 - 7 C -1 B+ +9 C+ C+ A- F+ -9 F A F
 Sat, Feb 14 169 @Central Arkansas L 62 - 79 16% -9  1% 10 - 14 6 - 8 F+ -15 F -12 D- D C- D+ -3 C C D-
 Wed, Feb 18 294 @Eastern Kentucky L 80 - 81 OT 36% -3  21% 10 - 15 6 - 9 D+ -6 F -11 D D D+ B+ +6 B+ C+ D
 Sat, Feb 21 204 @Queens L 84 - 91 19% -4  8% 10 - 16 6 - 10 D+ -6 C +1 D+ B- C+ D- -7 A- F F
 Wed, Feb 25 197 Lipscomb W 84 - 77 37% +6  85% 11 - 16 7 - 10 C+ +2 B +6 A+ F A+ D+ -4 D+ B F+
 Sat, Feb 28 342 North Alabama W 75 - 63 75% +8  97% 12 - 16 8 - 10 C- -4 D- -6 B- F+ F B- +3 B A+ C+
 Wed, Mar 4 340 North Florida W 93 - 85 65% +10  94% 13 - 16 C- -4 C +1 B C- F+ D -6 B- B F
 Fri, Mar 6 204 Queens L 80 - 86 27%
Totals 13 - 17 8 - 10 -9 D+ -4 A D+ F D -4 D D+ D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D C+ D D+ 33% 63% 33% F D- C- C C C D D+ D D D+ D+ C D+ 49% 17% 34% F+ D+ C B- C+ D D+ C D+
1.03 52% 39% 31% -3 -2 0.92 29% 1.0 .30 17% .26 70% .19 1.15 62% 40% 34% +2 +1 1.09 31% 1.0 .30 14% .34 73% .19
Nov
3		 Nebraska F+ F+ F F F 14% 46% 40% F F C+ A B A- C+ A+ B+ C D C+ A+ A+ 40% 6% 54% D- A- F F F C- F A+ F+
0.75 50% 23% 17% -18 -5 0.56 26% 1.1 .28 17% .22 85% .19 1.22 70% 33% 26% -2 +2 1.02 38% 1.3 .48 13% .41 64% .26
Nov
10		 UCLA D+ F B A+ A+ 18% 32% 50% F A D+ B- C- F D- F F C- C- F D+ D+ 44% 26% 30% D D+ F A+ B+ A- F F F
0.95 25% 43% 50% +8 -3 1.11 26% 1.0 .26 26% .23 45% .10 1.27 63% 55% 38% +8 0 1.19 48% 0.7 .33 17% .48 88% .42
Nov
14		 The Citadel B+ B+ C A+ B 48% 32% 20% F+ C+ B A A A- A+ D A F C- F F+ F 52% 14% 33% F F D+ A B- F D D- D-
1.32 70% 39% 45% +10 -1 1.20 39% 1.3 .48 12% .40 67% .27 1.21 58% 56% 38% +4 +2 1.14 29% 0.7 .21 11% .31 71% .22
Nov
17		 Tennessee Tech F F F+ A+ F 16% 55% 29% F F C+ F F F C+ A+ B+ A F D+ A+ A 36% 22% 42% C A A F C+ A- F F F
0.91 25% 30% 43% -6 -6 0.78 33% 0.6 .21 19% .30 88% .26 0.88 75% 40% 5% -12 0 0.78 23% 1.3 .29 22% .37 89% .33
Nov
21		 South Carolina Upstate D- D- A- F D+ 50% 35% 15% F+ D A C- B+ F F A+ D B- A A+ A- A+ 48% 14% 38% F A D+ A+ B+ F+ B- A B
1.01 50% 44% 25% -4 -1 0.92 40% 1.1 .46 22% .22 83% .18 0.90 44% 13% 29% -13 +2 0.79 31% 0.7 .20 14% .26 63% .16
Nov
23		 Georgia Tech D- C+ C F D+ 25% 33% 42% F D- F A+ D A- C- F F D+ F+ F+ B+ D 50% 18% 32% F D F+ D+ F+ C D+ A+ B
0.92 57% 37% 25% -6 -3 0.84 18% 1.4 .25 12% .27 53% .14 1.14 68% 44% 31% +5 +1 1.14 38% 1.2 .44 18% .32 58% .19
Dec
1		 Troy C F+ C- C+ D 42% 31% 28% D D C- D D+ A+ C- F F B B- F D- D 51% 7% 42% D- D B- A+ A+ B+ F A+ D-
1.08 47% 41% 35% -3 -1 0.93 31% 0.9 .29 6% .27 50% .14 1.03 52% 75% 38% +2 +3 1.11 31% 0.6 .18 20% .42 62% .26
Dec
6		 Tennessee Tech F F C- F F 25% 35% 40% F F D- A+ B- F B+ F C+ F F A- F F 50% 26% 24% D+ F B+ A+ A+ D- C+ D- C
0.85 33% 35% 21% -15 -3 0.67 24% 1.8 .42 20% .34 68% .23 1.25 78% 29% 62% +17 0 1.37 24% 0.3 .08 16% .27 81% .22
Dec
13		 Georgia Southern C D+ F+ C+ D 38% 27% 35% F D- A+ B+ A+ F C- A+ A- F C F C D 45% 5% 49% F+ D- F F F D+ D D- D-
1.17 56% 31% 35% -2 -1 0.96 49% 1.2 .57 23% .36 95% .34 1.25 56% 67% 33% 0 +2 1.07 35% 1.3 .46 14% .37 78% .29
Dec
22		 Georgia D- F F A F+ 34% 33% 33% F+ F+ F A+ C+ D+ C- A+ B+ B- A- C+ B+ A+ 55% 8% 37% F A F C+ F+ D F A+ F+
0.88 33% 25% 40% -10 -2 0.79 23% 1.3 .30 20% .24 94% .23 1.23 53% 40% 30% -5 +3 0.98 46% 1.1 .50 12% .45 67% .30
Jan
1		 Bellarmine C D A+ D D 13% 29% 59% F F+ B- F F+ A+ C+ A B F+ F F B+ D- 61% 11% 28% F+ F+ C A+ B+ F F A+ F
1.27 57% 56% 33% +4 -3 1.05 39% 0.8 .30 7% .33 81% .27 1.24 71% 60% 31% +9 +3 1.26 20% 0.8 .16 10% .55 68% .37
Jan
3		 Eastern Kentucky B- C- A+ F D 50% 30% 20% C D+ B+ B- B+ B B- B B C- C- F B+ C+ 33% 9% 58% F C- B- F D F A+ A+ A+
1.26 59% 63% 18% +3 0 1.07 41% 1.1 .44 13% .36 77% .28 1.09 58% 60% 30% -1 +1 1.02 29% 1.3 .39 13% .17 50% .08
Jan
8		 North Florida C- C+ B C- C+ 30% 36% 34% F D+ F+ A+ C- C B A+ A B- F A+ A+ A- 41% 7% 52% F+ B D- F F C B+ B+ A-
1.19 63% 47% 33% +4 -3 1.06 29% 1.4 .42 13% .32 85% .27 1.02 70% 25% 21% -7 +2 0.93 29% 1.6 .47 18% .19 73% .14
Jan
10		 Jacksonville F A F F F 40% 31% 29% F F F D- F F A+ F+ A- F A F F F 43% 26% 32% C+ F A+ F A+ F C F D+
0.73 71% 18% 10% -11 -1 0.77 19% 0.8 .15 25% .50 64% .32 1.27 45% 58% 60% +12 0 1.26 13% 1.3 .17 8% .28 80% .22
Jan
15		 Stetson C+ D- A+ F F+ 41% 22% 37% C- F+ B+ C- B B C- A+ B- F F+ A+ F F 51% 11% 38% F F C C+ C B- F F+ F
1.18 54% 54% 27% -2 0 0.98 39% 1.1 .44 12% .26 88% .23 1.30 67% 20% 67% +21 +2 1.49 26% 1.0 .26 20% .48 75% .36
Jan
17		 Florida Gulf Coast D C+ D+ D+ D 26% 25% 49% F+ D- D F F A- D F F F F A+ F F 43% 30% 26% C- F D+ F F C F D+ F
1.02 60% 36% 32% -1 -1 0.96 26% 0.7 .19 13% .31 58% .18 1.28 80% 21% 50% +11 -1 1.22 32% 1.5 .48 17% .61 75% .46
Jan
22		 Central Arkansas F D- A+ F D 40% 19% 42% C- D A A+ A+ F A+ F+ A F D- F+ F F 44% 13% 43% D- F A+ F A+ F+ A D+ A-
0.96 53% 63% 28% -1 0 1.00 38% 1.5 .58 33% .40 67% .26 1.28 67% 43% 52% +16 +1 1.37 11% 1.3 .15 12% .19 73% .13
Jan
24		 Queens D C B- A+ A- 30% 38% 32% F B- B- F F D- B+ F C A A+ A+ C- A+ 56% 8% 35% F A F+ C D- B C A+ A-
1.11 60% 42% 50% +10 -3 1.16 37% 0.6 .23 18% .40 64% .26 0.99 44% 25% 35% -8 +3 0.92 35% 1.1 .38 18% .31 59% .18
Jan
28		 Bellarmine C- F B- A+ B- 20% 38% 42% F C- D+ B- C- C- F F F D F D+ C D- 54% 10% 35% D- D- F+ A- C- F A D A-
1.20 50% 42% 52% +11 -4 1.18 32% 1.2 .39 16% .15 38% .06 1.25 73% 40% 35% +9 +2 1.25 26% 1.0 .26 11% .22 83% .18
Jan
31		 Austin Peay D+ D+ D C- D- 43% 31% 26% D- D- F B- D A+ A- D+ B C- C+ F A+ A- 44% 11% 44% F+ B A- A+ A+ D- F F F
1.04 56% 33% 33% -3 -1 0.95 21% 0.9 .18 11% .37 68% .25 1.08 55% 60% 20% -8 +2 0.89 22% 0.9 .19 13% .63 83% .53
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 North Florida F F+ F F F 27% 30% 42% F F D- D+ F+ A+ D C D D+ D F F+ F 45% 11% 43% D- F C- A+ A+ B+ F+ A- D
0.98 50% 20% 21% -16 -2 0.67 30% 1.1 .34 3% .24 71% .17 1.09 63% 50% 39% +7 +2 1.19 26% 0.6 .15 22% .31 72% .22
Feb
7		 Jacksonville A- D+ D- D+ F+ 46% 28% 26% D F A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ B- A+ D C- A A C+ 56% 14% 30% F C- D- D+ D- C- F B F
1.29 57% 31% 33% -3 0 0.96 47% 1.2 .58 12% .54 72% .39 1.08 57% 29% 27% -5 +2 0.96 34% 1.1 .37 16% .44 68% .30
Feb
11		 North Alabama B+ D- C+ A+ B+ 33% 31% 37% F C+ D+ A- C+ A- D A+ C F+ D C+ F F 53% 23% 25% C F A A A F B- C- C+
1.27 53% 44% 47% +7 -2 1.13 31% 1.3 .41 11% .24 86% .21 1.13 61% 33% 46% +5 +1 1.13 22% 0.9 .19 12% .28 69% .19
Feb
14		 Central Arkansas F F B C- D- 41% 29% 31% D- D- D+ D- D C- C- F F D+ B A+ D- C+ 50% 10% 40% F C F A C D- C- F D-
0.90 50% 43% 33% -2 -1 0.96 25% 1.0 .25 20% .26 50% .13 1.15 54% 20% 38% -1 +2 1.04 34% 0.8 .29 13% .28 82% .23
Feb
18		 Eastern Kentucky F C A+ F C- 23% 40% 37% F D D- C- D D+ B- F F B+ D- A+ A B+ 30% 30% 40% B- B+ C+ C C+ D D- B+ D+
1.00 62% 57% 29% +5 -4 1.05 27% 1.0 .27 16% .36 50% .18 1.02 63% 26% 28% -6 -2 0.87 30% 1.1 .33 15% .31 67% .21
Feb
21		 Queens C C A+ F C- 36% 32% 32% F D+ C B B- C+ D C D D- F F A+ A 53% 16% 31% F+ A- C- F F F F D+ F
1.17 60% 61% 22% +2 -2 1.04 34% 1.2 .40 14% .31 74% .23 1.26 74% 50% 0% -6 +2 0.94 29% 1.9 .56 8% .54 78% .42
Feb
25		 Lipscomb B A+ A+ C+ A+ 50% 20% 30% B+ A+ F D- F A+ C F F D+ D+ F A+ C- 61% 5% 33% F D+ D- A+ B F+ F+ A D+
1.19 75% 55% 35% +12 +1 1.29 18% 0.8 .15 10% .28 44% .13 1.09 63% 67% 26% +1 +4 1.11 30% 0.6 .19 13% .29 67% .19
Feb
28		 North Alabama D- D+ A+ C- B- 47% 16% 37% C B- C F F+ F F A+ C- B- B+ A+ A- A- 63% 15% 23% F B B+ A+ A+ C+ F F F
1.09 57% 75% 33% +5 +1 1.14 34% 0.8 .28 20% .20 100% .20 0.92 47% 14% 27% -13 +2 0.81 26% 0.7 .18 19% .49 81% .40
Mar
4		 North Florida C A+ F A+ A- 34% 23% 43% D- B C+ D C- F+ A B- A D D+ F A+ B- 31% 15% 54% B- B- A F B F F F F
1.24 78% 25% 43% +10 -1 1.21 39% 1.1 .42 16% .36 74% .27 1.13 61% 56% 25% -4 0 0.95 17% 1.3 .23 7% .34 88% .30



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 1.7 98.3
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 16.0 98.3 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.7% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 5.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 19.3%
Lose Out 73.5%