Boys - Girls
Tournament Simulation Summary
2025 - 2026 - 2027

Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.



RankSchool Size Regional Team Rating State
Champion		Medal
(Top 5)		Top 10Advance to State FinalsAdvance to Regional
1 Columbus North L Mater Dei #1   110 75.6% 99.3% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2 Carmel L Brownsburg #1   163 10.9% 81.7% 98.6% 99.9% 100.0%
3 Homestead L New Haven #1   167 7.3% 75.7% 96.6% 100.0% 100.0%
4 Carroll (FW) L New Haven #2   176 3.3% 66.8% 95.7% 100.0% 100.0%
5 Brownsburg L Brownsburg #2   189 1.3% 45.3% 85.6% 99.7% 100.0%
6 Noblesville L Shelbyville #1   228 0.2% 16.4% 67.4% 92.3% 100.0%
7 Center Grove L Shelbyville #2   236 0.2% 20.1% 66.9% 92.9% 100.0%
8 Yorktown M New Haven #3   238 0.3% 21.8% 69.0% 100.0% 100.0%
9 Westfield L Shelbyville #3   242 0.2% 21.4% 70.1% 92.4% 100.0%
10 Penn L New Prairie #1   246 0.4% 21.9% 65.1% 100.0% 100.0%
11 North Central (Indpls) L Brownsburg #3   253 0.0% 7.9% 44.6% 96.5% 100.0%
12 Hamilton Southeastern L Shelbyville #4   270 0.1% 13.8% 55.3% 87.5% 100.0%
13 Avon L Brownsburg #4   279 2.3% 22.4% 88.6% 100.0%
14 Fishers L Shelbyville #5   300 0.0% 2.6% 20.5% 57.5% 100.0%
15 Harrison (WL) L Brownsburg #5   300 1.5% 15.7% 83.6% 100.0%
16 Franklin Central L Shelbyville #6   319 0.9% 9.7% 37.6% 100.0%
17 Franklin Community L Shelbyville #7   319 0.3% 6.7% 29.5% 100.0%
18 Bloomington North L Mater Dei #2   345 0.2% 6.2% 99.0% 100.0%
19 F.J. Reitz L Mater Dei #3   349 0.3% 95.2% 100.0%
20 Zionsville L Brownsburg #6   370 0.0% 0.9% 25.0% 100.0%
21 Northridge L New Prairie #2   374 0.0% 1.6% 95.8% 100.0%
22 Greenfield-Central L Shelbyville #8   376 0.0% 0.7% 7.1% 100.0%
23 Lawrence North L Shelbyville #9   382 0.3% 3.1% 100.0%
24 Concordia Lutheran M New Haven #4   407 0.0% 0.1% 98.2% 100.0%
25 Chesterton L New Prairie #3   421 0.1% 56.7% 100.0%
26 Barr-Reeve S Mater Dei #4   427 0.1% 82.4% 100.0%
27 Northview M Brownsburg #7   433 0.0% 5.1% 100.0%
28 Terre Haute South L Brownsburg #8   442 1.0% 100.0%
29 Valparaiso L New Prairie #4   442 66.7% 100.0%
30 Crown Point L New Prairie #5   452 63.0% 100.0%
31 Wawasee M New Prairie #6   461 0.0% 56.4% 100.0%
32 Bloomington South L Mater Dei #5   468 60.3% 100.0%
33 Castle L Mater Dei #6   476 0.0% 57.4% 100.0%
34 Lowell M New Prairie #7   481 26.7% 100.0%
35 Bishop Chatard M Brownsburg #9   510 0.5% 99.6%
36 Mishawaka L New Prairie #8   516 17.6% 100.0%
37 Plainfield L Brownsburg #10   520 0.0% 86.8%
38 NorthWood M New Prairie #9   522 15.1% 100.0%
39 Warsaw L New Haven #5   538 56.3% 100.0%
40 Oak Hill S New Haven #6   539 17.7% 100.0%
41 Pike L Brownsburg #11   548 68.8%
42 West Lafayette M Brownsburg #12   549 0.0% 100.0%
43 Ben Davis L Brownsburg #13   551 0.1% 75.6%
44 Northwestern M Brownsburg #14   561 0.1% 100.0%
45 Richmond L Shelbyville #10   563 100.0%
46 Brebeuf Jesuit M Brownsburg #15   567 0.0% 68.8%
47 Lake Central L New Prairie #10   570 0.9% 98.5%
48 Bishop Dwenger M New Haven #7   574 17.4% 100.0%
49 Floyd Central L Mater Dei #7   581 4.3% 100.0%
50 Lakewood Park Christian S New Haven #8   584 6.2% 100.0%
51 Reitz Memorial M Mater Dei #8   589 0.6% 100.0%
52 Goshen L New Prairie #11   600 0.3% 100.0%
53 New Palestine L Shelbyville #11   612 100.0%
54 Herron M Brownsburg #16   614 97.2%
55 Whiteland L Shelbyville #12   620 98.3%
56 Wabash S New Haven #9   628 2.5% 100.0%
57 Hanover Central M New Prairie #12   640 0.6% 95.9%
58 Silver Creek M Mater Dei #9   657 0.0% 100.0%
59 LaPorte L New Prairie #13   664 0.1% 98.4%
60 Corydon Central M Mater Dei #10   665 0.8% 100.0%
61 Northrop L New Haven #10   673 0.5% 100.0%
62 Western M Brownsburg #17   673 100.0%
63 Mt. Vernon (Fortville) L Shelbyville #13   675 100.0%
64 Covenant Christian (DeMotte) S New Prairie #14   678 0.0% 100.0%
65 Norwell M New Haven #11   678 1.2% 100.0%
66 Signature Mater Dei #11   690 90.1%
67 McCutcheon L Brownsburg #18   706 100.0%
68 Greenwood Christian Academy S Shelbyville #14   706 83.1%
69 Guerin Catholic M Shelbyville #15   711 55.7%
70 Munster L New Prairie #15   713 76.2%
71 Illiana Christian S New Prairie #16   721 29.0%
72 Indian Creek M Shelbyville #16   726 53.8%
73 Roncalli M Shelbyville #17   727 64.6%
74 New Prairie M New Prairie #17   729 81.1%
75 Jasper M Mater Dei #12   735 100.0%
76 Pendleton Heights L Shelbyville #18   743 39.0%
77 Austin S Shelbyville #19   746 100.0%
78 Angola M New Haven #12   751 0.1% 100.0%
79 Heritage Christian S Brownsburg #19   764 3.2%
80 Gibson Southern M Mater Dei #13   773 88.6%
81 Brown County S Mater Dei #14   778 99.8%
82 St. Joseph's M New Prairie #18   781 61.1%
83 Adams L New Prairie #19   785 59.4%
84 Elkhart New Prairie #20   806 97.1%
85 Hamilton Heights M Shelbyville #20   837 3.8%
86 Leo M New Haven #13   845 99.1%
87 Cascade S Brownsburg #20   850
88 Portage L New Prairie #21   872 100.0%
89 Jennings County L Mater Dei #15   874 95.9%
90 Tell City S Mater Dei #16   876 100.0%
91 Lapel S Shelbyville #21   887 1.5%
92 Highland M New Prairie #22   888 0.4%
93 Edgewood M Mater Dei #17   892 91.8%
94 Madison M Shelbyville #22   899 100.0%
95 Bellmont M New Haven #14   906 99.9%
96 South Central (Elizabeth) S Mater Dei #18   912 100.0%
98 Mater Dei S Mater Dei #19   928 20.3%
99 Bluffton S New Haven #15   931 99.9%
100 Seymour L Mater Dei #20   933 90.5%
101 Greenwood L Shelbyville #23   938 0.2%
102 West Noble M New Haven #16   966 77.4%
103 Columbia City L New Haven #17   971 99.5%
104 Delta M New Haven #18   972 98.0%
105 Concord L New Prairie #23   988 2.7%
106 Danville M Brownsburg #21   997
107 Lakeland M New Haven #19   998 21.2%
108 Fairfield S New Prairie #24   1,004 0.2%
109 Frankfort M Brownsburg #22   1,005 100.0%
110 Eastern Greene S Mater Dei #21   1,006 100.0%
111 Princeton M Mater Dei #22   1,016 0.7%
112 Jefferson L Brownsburg #23   1,017 98.2%
113 Perry Meridian L Shelbyville #24   1,022 0.0%
114 Columbus East L Mater Dei #23   1,023 9.8%
115 Monroe Central S New Haven #20   1,024 94.7%
116 Heritage Hills M Mater Dei #24   1,027 0.3%
117 Union County S Shelbyville #25   1,028 100.0%
119 Washington Township S New Prairie #25   1,043 99.7%
120 Cathedral M Shelbyville #26   1,047
121 South Vermillion S Brownsburg #24   1,048 100.0%
122 Snider L New Haven #21   1,057 37.3%
123 Greensburg M Mater Dei #25   1,058 12.1%
124 Morgan Twp S New Prairie #26   1,074 98.3%
125 New Haven M New Haven #22   1,074 62.7%
126 Glenn M New Prairie #27   1,077
127 Springs Valley S Mater Dei #26   1,092 98.9%
128 Batesville M Shelbyville #27   1,095 100.0%
129 Plymouth M New Haven #23   1,103 68.4%
130 Lincoln (Vincennes) M Mater Dei #27   1,106 100.0%
131 Culver Academies M New Haven #24   1,108 75.7%
132 Huntington North L New Haven #25   1,119 56.1%
133 Griffith M New Prairie #28   1,126
134 Kokomo L Brownsburg #25   1,131 99.4%
135 DeKalb M New Haven #26   1,138 2.2%
136 North Montgomery S Brownsburg #26   1,139 56.5%
137 Hauser S Mater Dei #28   1,155 0.1%
138 Faith Christian S Brownsburg #27   1,159 41.0%
139 Bremen S New Prairie #29   1,171
140 Decatur Central L Shelbyville #28   1,181
141 Bedford North Lawrence L Mater Dei #29   1,182 99.7%
142 Blackford S New Haven #27   1,182 6.1%
143 Western Boone S Brownsburg #28   1,198
144 Warren Central L Shelbyville #29   1,204
145 Rensselaer Central S New Prairie #30   1,221 100.0%
146 Westview S New Prairie #31   1,236
147 East Noble M New Haven #28   1,247 0.1%
148 Scottsburg M Shelbyville #30   1,248 52.9%
149 Marion M New Haven #29   1,252 100.0%
150 Adams Central S New Haven #30   1,260 0.6%
151 Speedway S Brownsburg #29   1,265
152 Kankakee Valley M New Prairie #32   1,265 100.0%
153 Southmont S Brownsburg #30   1,268 3.3%
154 Elkhart Christian Academy New Prairie #33   1,269
155 East Central L Shelbyville #31   1,270 91.0%
156 Charlestown M Shelbyville #32   1,270 79.9%
157 Jay County M New Haven #31   1,270 0.7%
158 Shawe Memorial S Shelbyville #33   1,274 83.4%
159 New Castle M Shelbyville #34   1,274 73.7%
160 Wes-Del S New Haven #32   1,275 100.0%
161 Clay City S Brownsburg #31   1,282 95.8%
162 Evansville North L Mater Dei #30   1,285
163 Muncie Central L New Haven #33   1,285 100.0%
164 Hebron S New Prairie #34   1,294 1.8%
165 Tri-County S New Prairie #35   1,295 100.0%
166 Crawfordsville M Brownsburg #32   1,295 1.0%
167 Shelbyville L Shelbyville #35   1,297