Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.7#315
Expected Predictive Rating-7.5#291
Pace66.3#235
Improvement-0.8#219

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#285
First Shot-2.1#231
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#295
Layup/Dunks+1.0#139
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#284
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#203
Freethrows-0.6#221
Improvement+1.5#86

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#311
First Shot-4.2#310
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#221
Layups/Dunks-5.5#347
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#65
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#86
Freethrows-2.5#330
Improvement-2.3#298
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.1% 5.0% 3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 14.7% 21.7% 6.8%
.500 or above in Conference 35.3% 47.8% 21.4%
Conference Champion 1.4% 2.3% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 15.1% 7.8% 23.1%
First Four3.5% 4.0% 2.9%
First Round2.2% 2.9% 1.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lafayette (Home) - 52.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 30 - 30 - 5
Quad 412 - 1212 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 203   Columbia L 78-81 35%     0 - 1 -7.8 -7.0 -0.5
  Nov 12, 2024 355   @ NJIT W 68-50 58%     1 - 1 +7.2 +0.3 +8.5
  Nov 16, 2024 50   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 57-83 3%     1 - 2 -12.5 -9.6 -2.4
  Nov 19, 2024 193   @ Boston College L 61-82 18%     1 - 3 -19.8 -7.5 -13.9
  Nov 26, 2024 329   VMI W 70-67 66%     2 - 3 -10.1 -4.1 -5.7
  Dec 02, 2024 362   @ Coppin St. W 68-57 71%     3 - 3 -3.3 +3.2 -4.7
  Dec 07, 2024 323   @ Delaware St. L 77-80 42%     3 - 4 -9.6 -2.4 -7.1
  Dec 14, 2024 266   @ Mount St. Mary's W 77-69 30%     4 - 4 +4.8 +3.5 +1.1
  Dec 21, 2024 254   Hampton L 68-76 48%     4 - 5 -16.1 -5.3 -11.1
  Dec 28, 2024 106   @ DePaul L 65-84 9%     4 - 6 -12.7 -7.3 -5.1
  Jan 02, 2025 319   @ Holy Cross L 72-74 41%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -8.4 -3.0 -5.5
  Jan 05, 2025 298   Lehigh W 80-74 57%     5 - 7 1 - 1 -4.4 +0.5 -5.1
  Jan 08, 2025 303   @ Army L 72-74 37%     5 - 8 1 - 2 -7.2 +2.5 -9.9
  Jan 11, 2025 292   Navy W 75-74 56%     6 - 8 2 - 2 -9.2 +5.2 -14.3
  Jan 13, 2025 236   American L 54-73 43%     6 - 9 2 - 3 -26.0 -15.6 -12.8
  Jan 18, 2025 298   @ Lehigh W 76-60 36%     7 - 9 3 - 3 +11.1 +9.0 +3.6
  Jan 22, 2025 277   Lafayette W 68-67 53%    
  Jan 25, 2025 319   Holy Cross W 74-71 62%    
  Jan 29, 2025 265   @ Bucknell L 66-72 29%    
  Feb 01, 2025 282   Boston University W 66-65 54%    
  Feb 05, 2025 277   @ Lafayette L 65-70 31%    
  Feb 08, 2025 199   @ Colgate L 65-75 17%    
  Feb 12, 2025 303   Army W 72-70 58%    
  Feb 15, 2025 236   @ American L 63-70 25%    
  Feb 19, 2025 282   @ Boston University L 63-67 32%    
  Feb 22, 2025 199   Colgate L 68-72 35%    
  Feb 26, 2025 265   Bucknell L 68-69 50%    
  Mar 01, 2025 292   @ Navy L 70-74 34%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 2.4 1.2 0.3 5.0 2nd
3rd 1.2 4.6 2.4 0.3 0.0 8.4 3rd
4th 0.6 5.8 4.2 0.5 11.1 4th
5th 0.2 4.3 6.9 0.7 0.0 12.1 5th
6th 0.0 2.1 8.8 2.3 0.1 13.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 8.3 5.2 0.1 14.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 5.5 7.3 0.9 14.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 3.9 6.3 1.4 0.0 12.4 9th
10th 0.5 2.3 2.9 1.4 0.1 7.2 10th
Total 0.6 3.0 7.6 14.4 19.3 19.8 16.4 10.7 5.4 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-5 56.3% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 29.5% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1
11-7 4.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.7% 15.5% 15.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.6
12-6 2.1% 13.0% 13.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 1.8
11-7 5.4% 8.9% 8.9% 16.0 0.0 0.5 4.9
10-8 10.7% 10.4% 10.4% 16.0 0.0 1.1 9.6
9-9 16.4% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.9 15.5
8-10 19.8% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.8 19.0
7-11 19.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.3 19.0
6-12 14.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 14.3
5-13 7.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 7.5
4-14 3.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 3.0
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 4.1 95.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%