Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.9#325
Expected Predictive Rating-9.6#317
Pace67.0#210
Improvement-2.3#289

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#316
First Shot-3.3#275
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#308
Layup/Dunks+0.3#173
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#283
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#207
Freethrows-0.8#236
Improvement-2.3#293

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#303
First Shot-3.9#302
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#223
Layups/Dunks-5.4#344
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#55
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#86
Freethrows-2.4#331
Improvement+0.0#186
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 2.4% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 51.1% 24.5% 69.5%
First Four1.9% 2.3% 1.5%
First Round0.9% 1.2% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colgate (Home) - 40.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 30 - 30 - 5
Quad 411 - 1411 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 275   Columbia L 78-81 46%     0 - 1 -11.9 -8.9 -2.7
  Nov 12, 2024 346   @ NJIT W 68-50 51%     1 - 1 +7.9 -0.7 +10.3
  Nov 16, 2024 34   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 57-83 2%     1 - 2 -10.3 -8.8 -0.9
  Nov 19, 2024 174   @ Boston College L 61-82 14%     1 - 3 -19.1 -6.2 -14.4
  Nov 26, 2024 309   VMI W 70-67 54%     2 - 3 -8.0 -1.8 -6.0
  Dec 02, 2024 362   @ Coppin St. W 68-57 72%     3 - 3 -4.9 +3.2 -6.3
  Dec 07, 2024 303   @ Delaware St. L 77-80 33%     3 - 4 -8.5 -1.4 -7.0
  Dec 14, 2024 258   @ Mount St. Mary's W 77-69 25%     4 - 4 +5.2 +2.3 +2.7
  Dec 21, 2024 250   Hampton L 68-76 40%     4 - 5 -15.4 -5.3 -10.5
  Dec 28, 2024 120   @ DePaul L 65-84 9%     4 - 6 -13.9 -6.1 -7.4
  Jan 02, 2025 317   @ Holy Cross L 72-74 38%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -8.6 -1.1 -7.7
  Jan 05, 2025 279   Lehigh W 80-74 47%     5 - 7 1 - 1 -3.1 +2.0 -5.3
  Jan 08, 2025 287   @ Army L 72-74 30%     5 - 8 1 - 2 -6.4 +2.7 -9.2
  Jan 11, 2025 283   Navy W 75-74 48%     6 - 8 2 - 2 -8.4 +7.0 -15.2
  Jan 13, 2025 247   American L 54-73 40%     6 - 9 2 - 3 -26.4 -16.3 -12.5
  Jan 18, 2025 279   @ Lehigh W 76-60 28%     7 - 9 3 - 3 +12.0 +10.4 +3.2
  Jan 22, 2025 298   Lafayette L 59-80 51%     7 - 10 3 - 4 -31.2 -11.2 -21.9
  Jan 25, 2025 317   Holy Cross L 65-70 57%     7 - 11 3 - 5 -16.7 -12.7 -4.2
  Jan 29, 2025 232   @ Bucknell L 67-79 21%     7 - 12 3 - 6 -13.3 -1.4 -12.5
  Feb 01, 2025 300   Boston University W 69-67 52%     8 - 12 4 - 6 -8.4 -6.8 -1.5
  Feb 05, 2025 298   @ Lafayette W 71-58 32%     9 - 12 5 - 6 +7.9 +6.5 +2.8
  Feb 08, 2025 239   @ Colgate L 68-82 22%     9 - 13 5 - 7 -15.7 -8.3 -7.4
  Feb 12, 2025 287   Army L 60-64 48%     9 - 14 5 - 8 -13.5 -14.7 +1.0
  Feb 15, 2025 247   @ American L 51-72 23%     9 - 15 5 - 9 -23.3 -15.4 -11.2
  Feb 19, 2025 300   @ Boston University L 66-68 33%     9 - 16 5 - 10 -7.3 -3.2 -4.2
  Feb 23, 2025 239   Colgate L 71-74 41%    
  Feb 26, 2025 232   Bucknell L 69-72 38%    
  Mar 01, 2025 283   @ Navy L 67-73 28%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.7 0.7 5th
6th 2.2 3.5 5.7 6th
7th 6.0 16.1 0.8 23.0 7th
8th 2.4 21.6 6.3 30.3 8th
9th 11.3 13.2 0.1 24.6 9th
10th 13.7 2.0 15.7 10th
Total 27.4 42.8 24.8 5.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 5.0% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.3 4.7
7-11 24.8% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.6 24.2
6-12 42.8% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.7 42.1
5-13 27.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.3 27.1
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 16.0 1.9 98.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.9%
Lose Out 17.0%