Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.7#296
Expected Predictive Rating-9.7#314
Pace72.2#83
Improvement-0.7#218

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#244
First Shot-4.4#298
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#89
Layup/Dunks-2.1#262
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#324
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#95
Freethrows-2.0#301
Improvement+0.0#176

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#317
First Shot-5.4#335
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#137
Layups/Dunks-0.9#206
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#33
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#340
Freethrows-1.7#292
Improvement-0.8#222
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 2.7% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 3.2% 5.0% 1.0%
.500 or above in Conference 21.1% 29.1% 11.5%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 15.8% 6.2% 27.5%
First Four1.7% 2.1% 1.3%
First Round1.3% 1.7% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Canisius (Away) - 54.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 411 - 1211 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 110   @ Temple L 70-81 11%     0 - 1 -5.1 -5.0 +0.6
  Nov 06, 2024 24   @ Connecticut L 56-92 2%     0 - 2 -18.2 -14.6 -2.3
  Nov 09, 2024 274   @ Dartmouth L 76-81 35%     0 - 3 -8.6 -3.6 -4.6
  Nov 15, 2024 319   Holy Cross L 75-82 56%     0 - 4 -16.1 +3.8 -20.8
  Nov 16, 2024 351   New Hampshire W 80-63 70%     1 - 4 +4.0 +9.7 -4.4
  Nov 17, 2024 207   @ Brown L 70-89 22%     1 - 5 -18.5 +1.0 -20.6
  Nov 21, 2024 230   Central Connecticut St. W 67-54 46%     2 - 5 +6.4 -3.2 +10.0
  Dec 01, 2024 282   @ Boston University W 73-65 37%     3 - 5 +3.8 +0.9 +3.0
  Dec 06, 2024 253   Iona W 83-59 51%     4 - 5 1 - 0 +16.0 +5.7 +9.2
  Dec 08, 2024 183   @ Quinnipiac L 73-83 19%     4 - 6 1 - 1 -8.3 +0.8 -8.8
  Dec 18, 2024 258   Albany L 66-74 52%     4 - 7 -16.3 -12.7 -3.5
  Dec 22, 2024 151   @ Miami (OH) L 76-94 15%     4 - 8 -14.5 -1.5 -11.6
  Jan 05, 2025 346   Canisius W 99-82 75%     5 - 8 2 - 1 +2.3 +14.8 -12.7
  Jan 10, 2025 206   Merrimack L 65-66 39%     5 - 9 2 - 2 -5.9 -5.8 -0.1
  Jan 12, 2025 266   @ Mount St. Mary's L 71-73 33%     5 - 10 2 - 3 -5.2 +1.5 -6.7
  Jan 16, 2025 272   @ Siena L 75-93 34%     5 - 11 2 - 4 -21.5 +2.5 -24.1
  Jan 18, 2025 231   St. Peter's L 61-66 46%     5 - 12 2 - 5 -11.7 -10.1 -1.6
  Jan 23, 2025 346   @ Canisius W 77-75 55%    
  Jan 25, 2025 311   @ Niagara L 71-73 42%    
  Feb 02, 2025 297   Manhattan W 81-78 60%    
  Feb 06, 2025 294   Rider W 74-71 61%    
  Feb 08, 2025 318   @ Fairfield L 75-76 44%    
  Feb 14, 2025 183   Quinnipiac L 75-79 36%    
  Feb 16, 2025 272   Siena W 73-72 56%    
  Feb 21, 2025 206   @ Merrimack L 66-74 22%    
  Feb 23, 2025 231   @ St. Peter's L 63-69 26%    
  Feb 28, 2025 217   Marist L 68-70 45%    
  Mar 02, 2025 318   Fairfield W 77-73 66%    
  Mar 06, 2025 297   @ Manhattan L 78-81 40%    
  Mar 08, 2025 253   @ Iona L 71-76 30%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.4 0.1 1.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 2.1 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.4 4th
5th 0.3 3.0 2.5 0.4 0.0 6.2 5th
6th 0.1 2.9 5.1 0.9 0.0 9.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.5 6.6 2.4 0.1 10.7 7th
8th 0.6 5.4 5.0 0.5 11.5 8th
9th 0.1 3.3 7.5 1.4 0.0 12.3 9th
10th 0.0 1.5 7.2 3.6 0.1 12.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 5.2 5.3 0.6 11.9 11th
12th 0.0 1.0 4.1 5.4 1.4 11.8 12th
13th 0.2 1.1 2.7 3.0 0.9 0.1 7.9 13th
Total 0.2 1.1 3.7 8.0 13.1 17.8 18.7 16.4 11.8 5.8 2.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6 19.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.3% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0
14-6 0.2% 9.5% 9.5% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-7 0.8% 17.7% 17.7% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.7
12-8 2.5% 8.8% 8.8% 15.9 0.0 0.2 2.3
11-9 5.8% 9.3% 9.3% 16.0 0.5 5.3
10-10 11.8% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.4 11.4
9-11 16.4% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.4 16.0
8-12 18.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 18.5
7-13 17.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 17.7
6-14 13.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.1
5-15 8.0% 8.0
4-16 3.7% 3.7
3-17 1.1% 1.1
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 2.0 97.9 0.0%