Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.3#333
Expected Predictive Rating-14.0#336
Pace72.2#94
Improvement-0.4#217

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#260
First Shot-4.4#299
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#96
Layup/Dunks-0.2#177
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#347
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#87
Freethrows-3.2#319
Improvement+1.4#30

Defense
Total Defense-7.4#357
First Shot-6.6#348
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#248
Layups/Dunks+2.1#115
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#110
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.0#356
Freethrows-1.9#286
Improvement-1.7#337
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.5% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 6.0% 10.3% 3.1%
.500 or above in Conference 21.1% 26.4% 17.5%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.3% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 20.8% 16.6% 23.7%
First Four0.9% 1.2% 0.7%
First Round0.6% 0.8% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Connecticut St. (Home) - 40.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 49 - 1410 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 114   @ Temple L 70-81 7%     0 - 1 -4.4 -4.5 +0.8
  Nov 06, 2024 2   @ Connecticut L 56-92 1%     0 - 2 -12.7 -7.6 -3.8
  Nov 09, 2024 339   @ Dartmouth L 76-81 43%     0 - 3 -13.6 -5.3 -7.8
  Nov 15, 2024 316   Holy Cross L 75-82 43%     0 - 4 -15.6 +3.8 -20.3
  Nov 16, 2024 341   New Hampshire W 80-63 56%     1 - 4 +5.1 +8.5 -2.0
  Nov 17, 2024 224   @ Brown L 70-89 17%     1 - 5 -19.0 +1.0 -21.1
  Nov 21, 2024 254   Central Connecticut St. L 71-74 40%    
  Dec 01, 2024 286   @ Boston University L 69-76 26%    
  Dec 06, 2024 247   Iona L 73-76 39%    
  Dec 08, 2024 225   @ Quinnipiac L 73-83 17%    
  Dec 18, 2024 246   Albany L 79-82 39%    
  Dec 22, 2024 228   @ Miami (OH) L 70-80 18%    
  Jan 05, 2025 351   Canisius W 79-73 70%    
  Jan 10, 2025 223   Merrimack L 69-73 35%    
  Jan 12, 2025 278   @ Mount St. Mary's L 72-79 26%    
  Jan 16, 2025 306   @ Siena L 69-74 32%    
  Jan 18, 2025 180   St. Peter's L 66-72 29%    
  Jan 23, 2025 351   @ Canisius L 75-76 49%    
  Jan 25, 2025 324   @ Niagara L 74-78 35%    
  Feb 02, 2025 329   Manhattan W 77-75 57%    
  Feb 06, 2025 242   Rider L 74-77 38%    
  Feb 08, 2025 271   @ Fairfield L 70-78 25%    
  Feb 14, 2025 225   Quinnipiac L 76-80 35%    
  Feb 16, 2025 306   Siena W 72-71 53%    
  Feb 21, 2025 223   @ Merrimack L 66-76 18%    
  Feb 23, 2025 180   @ St. Peter's L 63-75 14%    
  Feb 28, 2025 233   Marist L 71-75 37%    
  Mar 02, 2025 271   Fairfield L 73-75 44%    
  Mar 06, 2025 329   @ Manhattan L 74-78 37%    
  Mar 08, 2025 247   @ Iona L 70-79 22%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.3 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 2.1 1.0 0.1 4.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 2.7 1.8 0.2 0.0 5.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.9 2.8 0.6 0.0 7.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.1 4.1 1.1 0.1 9.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.3 4.9 2.0 0.1 0.0 10.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.3 5.6 2.7 0.3 0.0 12.8 10th
11th 0.1 1.1 4.1 5.8 3.1 0.5 0.0 14.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 1.8 4.4 5.0 2.6 0.5 0.0 14.7 12th
13th 0.3 1.3 2.8 4.0 3.2 1.5 0.3 0.0 13.5 13th
Total 0.3 1.3 3.2 5.9 8.8 11.4 12.7 13.1 12.1 10.1 7.7 5.6 3.5 2.2 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 95.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
16-4 72.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 46.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 15.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 3.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 22.5% 22.5% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.2% 14.1% 14.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-5 0.6% 10.9% 10.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.5
14-6 1.2% 11.1% 11.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.0
13-7 2.2% 7.2% 7.2% 16.0 0.2 2.1
12-8 3.5% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.2 3.3
11-9 5.6% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 5.4
10-10 7.7% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 7.6
9-11 10.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 10.0
8-12 12.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.0
7-13 13.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.1
6-14 12.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.7
5-15 11.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.4
4-16 8.8% 8.8
3-17 5.9% 5.9
2-18 3.2% 3.2
1-19 1.3% 1.3
0-20 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 98.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%