Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.4#311
Expected Predictive Rating-17.6#355
Pace76.2#40
Improvement-0.3#207

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#196
First Shot+0.4#163
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#242
Layup/Dunks+4.1#55
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#222
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#179
Freethrows-3.1#313
Improvement+0.9#60

Defense
Total Defense-7.6#361
First Shot-5.6#328
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#299
Layups/Dunks-2.2#251
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#325
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#206
Freethrows+0.3#167
Improvement-1.2#321
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.7% 3.3% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 12.8% 18.4% 6.4%
.500 or above in Conference 35.4% 41.0% 29.0%
Conference Champion 2.0% 2.5% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 11.6% 9.2% 14.3%
First Four2.0% 2.3% 1.6%
First Round1.8% 2.3% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston University (Home) - 53.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 49 - 910 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 32   @ Penn St. L 54-103 2%     0 - 1 -33.3 -17.8 -9.0
  Nov 14, 2024 363   Coppin St. W 92-67 89%     1 - 1 +3.0 +10.0 -7.6
  Nov 16, 2024 178   St. Peter's L 61-69 33%     1 - 2 -11.9 -1.1 -12.2
  Nov 19, 2024 310   Hampton L 68-78 61%     1 - 3 -21.4 -3.2 -19.1
  Nov 23, 2024 284   Boston University W 76-75 53%    
  Nov 25, 2024 232   Howard L 80-82 43%    
  Nov 27, 2024 333   Morgan St. W 86-81 68%    
  Dec 02, 2024 126   @ Georgetown L 73-87 10%    
  Dec 07, 2024 134   @ Towson L 66-79 12%    
  Dec 18, 2024 106   @ Georgia Tech L 77-93 8%    
  Dec 21, 2024 234   @ Marist L 72-80 24%    
  Dec 29, 2024 265   @ American L 72-78 29%    
  Jan 04, 2025 329   @ Binghamton L 77-79 44%    
  Jan 09, 2025 360   @ NJIT W 76-73 62%    
  Jan 16, 2025 341   New Hampshire W 83-76 72%    
  Jan 18, 2025 241   Maine L 72-73 45%    
  Jan 23, 2025 248   @ Albany L 81-88 27%    
  Jan 25, 2025 149   @ Vermont L 65-77 15%    
  Jan 30, 2025 159   Bryant L 84-89 32%    
  Feb 01, 2025 154   Umass Lowell L 79-85 32%    
  Feb 06, 2025 341   @ New Hampshire W 80-79 52%    
  Feb 08, 2025 241   @ Maine L 69-76 26%    
  Feb 13, 2025 329   Binghamton W 80-76 65%    
  Feb 15, 2025 159   @ Bryant L 81-92 16%    
  Feb 20, 2025 154   @ Umass Lowell L 76-88 16%    
  Feb 22, 2025 360   NJIT W 79-70 79%    
  Feb 27, 2025 248   Albany L 84-85 46%    
  Mar 01, 2025 149   Vermont L 68-74 31%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.3 1.5 0.2 0.0 7.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.8 5.1 2.1 0.2 11.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.9 6.0 6.2 2.2 0.2 16.7 5th
6th 0.4 3.4 7.9 6.9 2.1 0.1 20.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 4.1 7.4 4.8 1.0 0.1 18.1 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 3.9 5.0 2.4 0.4 0.0 12.9 8th
9th 0.2 1.0 2.3 2.0 0.7 0.1 6.3 9th
Total 0.2 1.1 3.3 6.6 10.3 13.4 15.0 14.7 12.5 9.6 6.6 3.7 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 95.1% 0.3    0.2 0.0
13-3 75.3% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.0
12-4 35.6% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-5 8.2% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.3% 26.0% 26.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 0.8% 19.5% 19.5% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6
12-4 1.9% 16.9% 16.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.6
11-5 3.7% 10.8% 10.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 3.3
10-6 6.6% 6.1% 6.1% 15.9 0.0 0.4 6.2
9-7 9.6% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4 9.2
8-8 12.5% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.3 12.2
7-9 14.7% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.3 14.4
6-10 15.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 14.9
5-11 13.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 13.3
4-12 10.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.3
3-13 6.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.6
2-14 3.3% 3.3
1-15 1.1% 1.1
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 2.4 97.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%