Oral Roberts
Summit League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#249
Expected Predictive Rating-9.0#299
Pace68.4#207
Improvement+1.0#77

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#185
First Shot+6.1#38
After Offensive Rebound-6.4#364
Layup/Dunks+5.9#29
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#293
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#210
Freethrows+3.4#40
Improvement-0.5#253

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#315
First Shot-9.9#364
After Offensive Rebounds+5.6#3
Layups/Dunks-3.9#307
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#65
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#345
Freethrows-1.5#264
Improvement+1.5#32
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.6% 12.7% 7.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 14.5 15.3
.500 or above 18.7% 43.9% 17.4%
.500 or above in Conference 47.9% 65.4% 47.0%
Conference Champion 8.3% 15.3% 7.9%
Last Place in Conference 16.3% 8.2% 16.7%
First Four3.0% 2.1% 3.1%
First Round6.3% 11.8% 6.0%
Second Round0.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi (Away) - 4.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 72 - 12
Quad 47 - 510 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 90   @ Minnesota L 57-80 11%     0 - 1 -14.2 -5.5 -10.4
  Nov 13, 2024 185   @ Tulsa L 76-85 27%     0 - 2 -7.3 +4.3 -11.7
  Nov 19, 2024 141   @ Belmont L 80-90 20%     0 - 3 -5.6 -0.4 -4.2
  Nov 21, 2024 47   @ Mississippi L 65-82 5%    
  Dec 01, 2024 167   Missouri St. L 71-72 46%    
  Dec 04, 2024 277   Northern Arizona W 74-70 65%    
  Dec 07, 2024 232   @ Idaho St. L 66-70 35%    
  Dec 16, 2024 14   @ Texas Tech L 62-85 2%    
  Dec 22, 2024 86   @ Oklahoma St. L 69-83 10%    
  Jan 04, 2025 217   @ UMKC L 69-74 33%    
  Jan 09, 2025 241   North Dakota St. W 74-72 58%    
  Jan 11, 2025 253   North Dakota W 76-73 61%    
  Jan 16, 2025 239   @ South Dakota L 76-80 37%    
  Jan 18, 2025 153   @ South Dakota St. L 73-81 24%    
  Jan 23, 2025 294   Denver W 80-74 68%    
  Jan 25, 2025 259   Nebraska Omaha W 76-73 61%    
  Jan 29, 2025 168   @ St. Thomas L 70-77 26%    
  Feb 01, 2025 217   UMKC W 72-71 54%    
  Feb 08, 2025 239   South Dakota W 79-77 58%    
  Feb 13, 2025 241   @ North Dakota St. L 71-75 38%    
  Feb 15, 2025 253   @ North Dakota L 73-76 40%    
  Feb 19, 2025 294   @ Denver L 77-78 49%    
  Feb 22, 2025 168   St. Thomas L 73-74 46%    
  Feb 27, 2025 153   South Dakota St. L 76-78 43%    
  Mar 01, 2025 259   @ Nebraska Omaha L 73-76 42%    
Projected Record 9 - 16 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.8 2.6 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 8.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 3.5 3.7 1.6 0.3 0.0 10.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 4.6 4.2 1.1 0.1 0.0 11.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 5.1 4.6 0.9 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 5.4 5.2 1.1 0.0 12.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 4.5 5.5 1.2 0.0 12.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 4.3 5.3 1.4 0.0 12.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.5 4.0 4.4 1.3 0.1 11.5 8th
9th 0.2 1.0 2.4 3.4 2.4 0.8 0.1 10.3 9th
Total 0.2 1.0 2.6 4.9 7.5 10.4 11.9 13.4 12.7 11.3 9.2 6.6 4.3 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
14-2 96.0% 1.0    0.9 0.1
13-3 86.2% 2.0    1.5 0.5 0.0
12-4 60.3% 2.6    1.5 1.0 0.2 0.0
11-5 26.9% 1.8    0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
10-6 5.7% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 8.3% 8.3 4.8 2.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 42.9% 42.9% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.4% 48.6% 48.6% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-2 1.0% 36.2% 36.2% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6
13-3 2.3% 32.3% 32.3% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.5
12-4 4.3% 21.2% 21.2% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 3.4
11-5 6.6% 18.9% 18.9% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 5.4
10-6 9.2% 12.6% 12.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 8.0
9-7 11.3% 9.5% 9.5% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 10.3
8-8 12.7% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 11.9
7-9 13.4% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.0 0.6 12.9
6-10 11.9% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.3 11.6
5-11 10.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 10.3
4-12 7.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 7.5
3-13 4.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.9
2-14 2.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.6
1-15 1.0% 1.0
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 7.6% 7.6% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 2.0 4.0 92.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%