Grand Canyon
Mountain West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.2#99
Expected Predictive Rating+1.0#152
Pace70.3#164
Improvement+2.1#48

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#146
First Shot+0.7#157
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#182
Layup/Dunks+3.6#70
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#185
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#339
Freethrows+3.7#21
Improvement-1.1#269

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#56
First Shot+4.3#50
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#172
Layups/Dunks+4.2#51
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#329
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#88
Freethrows+0.3#159
Improvement+3.2#6
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.7% 6.0% 3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.5 11.5 12.0
.500 or above 78.2% 80.7% 59.9%
.500 or above in Conference 67.9% 69.2% 58.4%
Conference Champion 5.8% 6.2% 2.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.4% 1.1%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round5.6% 5.9% 3.1%
Second Round1.2% 1.3% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Coastal Carolina (Home) - 88.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 5
Quad 23 - 54 - 10
Quad 35 - 39 - 13
Quad 410 - 119 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 238 Purdue Fort Wayne W 90-71 88%     1 - 0 +11.6 +5.9 +4.4
  Fri, Nov 7 162 Youngstown St. L 81-90 80%     1 - 1 -12.6 +5.5 -17.8
  Mon, Nov 10 333 Northern Illinois W 88-59 95%     2 - 1 +15.7 +5.5 +9.4
  Sat, Nov 15 45 @Saint Louis L 64-78 20%     2 - 2 -0.1 -5.3 +6.1
  Fri, Nov 21 302 Northwestern St. W 85-72 92%     3 - 2 +2.2 +6.5 -4.1
  Tue, Nov 25 114 Utah W 68-58 57%     4 - 2 +13.4 -2.4 +16.2
  Wed, Nov 26 25 Iowa L 46-59 19%     4 - 3 +1.6 -13.0 +12.5
  Tue, Dec 2 347 Stetson W 67-45 96%     5 - 3 +6.9 -9.4 +17.5
  Sat, Dec 6 44 Oklahoma St. L 78-84 28%     5 - 4 +5.1 +8.9 -3.7
  Sat, Dec 13 235 Coastal Carolina W 78-66 88%    
  Sat, Dec 20 107 @Wyoming L 72-74 42%    
  Mon, Dec 22 356 IU Indianapolis W 95-73 98%    
  Sat, Jan 3 72 Colorado St. W 73-72 51%    
  Wed, Jan 7 52 @Boise St. L 64-72 23%    
  Sat, Jan 10 182 San Jose St. W 75-65 82%    
  Tue, Jan 13 84 @New Mexico L 74-78 34%    
  Sat, Jan 17 51 Utah St. L 72-74 42%    
  Wed, Jan 21 56 San Diego St. L 72-74 43%    
  Sat, Jan 24 183 @Fresno St. W 75-71 63%    
  Tue, Jan 27 106 @Nevada L 70-72 43%    
  Fri, Jan 30 52 Boise St. L 67-69 43%    
  Tue, Feb 3 331 Air Force W 76-58 95%    
  Sat, Feb 7 132 @UNLV W 79-78 51%    
  Wed, Feb 11 84 New Mexico W 77-75 56%    
  Sat, Feb 14 182 @San Jose St. W 72-68 64%    
  Tue, Feb 17 56 @San Diego St. L 69-77 24%    
  Sat, Feb 21 107 Wyoming W 75-71 64%    
  Wed, Feb 25 132 UNLV W 82-76 71%    
  Sat, Feb 28 51 @Utah St. L 69-77 23%    
  Tue, Mar 3 331 @Air Force W 73-61 86%    
  Sat, Mar 7 183 Fresno St. W 78-68 81%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 1.6 1.6 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 5.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.3 2.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 8.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.7 3.2 0.8 0.0 0.0 10.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.9 5.5 3.7 0.7 0.0 12.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 5.6 4.6 0.8 0.0 12.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.6 5.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 12.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.4 4.6 1.1 0.0 11.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 3.8 4.0 1.3 0.1 10.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.0 3.0 0.9 0.1 8.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.8 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 4.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.7 3.5 5.9 8.8 11.1 12.9 13.8 13.1 10.7 8.1 5.0 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 96.4% 0.4    0.4 0.0
17-3 89.1% 1.2    0.9 0.3 0.0
16-4 66.0% 1.6    0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0
15-5 32.5% 1.6    0.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-6 9.4% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.8% 5.8 2.9 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 58.8% 26.5% 32.4% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 44.0%
18-2 0.5% 44.5% 28.5% 16.1% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 22.4%
17-3 1.3% 25.1% 18.1% 7.0% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.0 8.5%
16-4 2.5% 20.0% 18.5% 1.5% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 2.0 1.8%
15-5 5.0% 16.4% 16.1% 0.3% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.2 4.1 0.4%
14-6 8.1% 12.4% 12.3% 0.2% 11.4 0.0 0.6 0.4 0.0 7.1 0.2%
13-7 10.7% 8.1% 8.0% 0.0% 11.7 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 9.8 0.0%
12-8 13.1% 5.9% 5.9% 11.8 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 12.3
11-9 13.8% 3.9% 3.9% 12.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 13.3
10-10 12.9% 2.3% 2.3% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 12.6
9-11 11.1% 1.4% 1.4% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.9
8-12 8.8% 0.7% 0.7% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.7
7-13 5.9% 0.9% 0.9% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.8
6-14 3.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.5
5-15 1.7% 1.7
4-16 0.8% 0.8
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 5.7% 5.4% 0.3% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 2.5 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 94.3 0.3%