Lehigh
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -8.4 #307
Expected Predictive Rating -9.3 #314
Pace 67.7 #220
Improvement +1.3 #117

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #297 C- F C- C- D-
Defense #286 C- D C D+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #325 1.12 #219 -4.2 #316
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #84 0.82 #84 +2.7 #55
Three Pointers 42% #156 1.00 #200 +0.3 #170
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #218 -1.1 #217
Freethrows 16.2 #270 73% #159 11.8 #241
Second Chance 22.6% #350 0.98 #263 0.22 #349
Turnovers 17.3% #238
Total Offense -4.6 #297

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #45 1.09 #91 -1.7 #238
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #74 0.90 #344 -3.2 #351
Three Pointers 32% #359 1.11 #307 +3.1 #64
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #236 -1.7 #236
Freethrows 19.1 #263 73% #212 13.9 #268
Second Chance 34.7% #321 1.06 #210 0.37 #295
Turnovers 16.2% #201
Total Defense -3.7 #286

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.1% #312 -0.1% #152
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -0.1% #177 3.4% #246
Possession Length 17.7 #210 16.6 #63
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 #114 0.18 #205
Improvement +1.5 #101 -0.1 #198

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.0% 5.7% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 5.1% 7.2% 1.2%
.500 or above in Conference 58.6% 69.0% 39.7%
Conference Champion 1.6% 2.3% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 4.2% 1.7% 8.6%
First Four4.3% 4.7% 3.5%
First Round2.8% 3.4% 1.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lafayette (Home) - 64.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 8
Quad 410 - 1112 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 4 @Houston L 57 - 75 1% -15  0 - 1 +7 -1 C- D- B+ +7 A+ D A+
 Sun, Nov 9 52 @West Virginia L 47 - 69 3% -18  0 - 2 -8 -14 C F F +4 B- C- A+
 Fri, Nov 14 115 @Rutgers L 72 - 84 9% -4  0 - 3 -6 +2 C+ F A+ -8 F D- D+
 Tue, Nov 18 358 St. Francis (PA) W 79 - 62 81% +9  1 - 3 -1 -5 D D+ D- +4 B+ F A+
 Fri, Nov 21 180 Columbia L 67 - 82 35% -9  1 - 4 -19 -7 C F C- -12 D- F C+
 Tue, Nov 25 160 @Marist L 55 - 78 15% -13  1 - 5 -20 -9 F D+ A+ -12 F B- F
 Fri, Nov 28 144 UC Santa Barbara L 70 - 72 19% +1  1 - 6 -1 +1 D+ D+ D- -2 A+ C F
 Sat, Nov 29 263 Texas St. W 78 - 74 OT 39% -1  2 - 6 -2 +4 A+ F C -6 C- D C+
 Tue, Dec 2 362 @Binghamton L 71 - 80 OT 67% -1  2 - 7 -22 -9 F F F -13 F A D+
 Sat, Dec 6 222 LIU Brooklyn L 82 - 87 43% -7  2 - 8 -12 +3 C A+ F -14 C F D+
 Sun, Dec 21 202 @Monmouth L 62 - 76 20% -7  2 - 9 -14 -6 A- F F -8 F A+ A
 Wed, Dec 31 333 Army L 78 - 85 OT 70% -3  2 - 10 0 - 1 -21 -11 D F B- -9 C- F A
 Sat, Jan 3 319 @Bucknell L 65 - 72 44% +8  2 - 11 0 - 2 -14 -12 F C F -2 A+ F C
 Wed, Jan 7 320 Holy Cross W 66 - 58 67% +5  3 - 11 1 - 2 -5 -6 C F F +2 B+ A- F
 Sat, Jan 10 199 @Colgate W 78 - 77 20% +2  4 - 11 2 - 2 +1 +10 A- D- A+ -8 C D+ C
 Wed, Jan 14 285 @Boston University W 93 - 91 OT 34% +6  5 - 11 3 - 2 -2 +6 C- F A+ -8 D- A+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 194 Navy L 79 - 82 2OT 38% +0  5 - 12 3 - 3 -8 -2 D+ F A+ -6 C F B
 Mon, Jan 19 324 Loyola Maryland W 88 - 81 67% -2  6 - 12 4 - 3 -6 +10 A F B- -16 F C+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 314 Lafayette W 74 - 70 65%
 Wed, Jan 28 333 @Army L 74 - 75 48%
 Sat, Jan 31 199 Colgate L 72 - 75 39%
 Wed, Feb 4 324 @Loyola Maryland L 74 - 75 45%
 Sat, Feb 7 320 @Holy Cross L 69 - 71 44%
 Wed, Feb 11 224 American L 71 - 73 44%
 Sat, Feb 14 314 @Lafayette L 71 - 73 42%
 Wed, Feb 18 194 @Navy L 65 - 74 20%
 Sat, Feb 21 285 Boston University W 73 - 71 56%
 Wed, Feb 25 224 @American L 68 - 76 24%
 Sat, Feb 28 319 Bucknell W 72 - 68 66%
Totals 11 - 18 9 - 9 -8 -5 C- F C- -4 C- D C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.9 2.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 5.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.6 5.5 2.4 0.2 0.0 12.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.8 9.7 11.2 4.1 0.5 0.0 27.3 4th
5th 0.8 7.7 9.3 2.3 0.1 20.2 5th
6th 0.1 4.1 7.5 1.7 0.0 13.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 5.5 1.9 0.0 8.9 7th
8th 0.3 3.1 2.3 0.1 5.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 2.0 0.2 3.4 9th
10th 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.1 10th
Total 0.3 2.1 6.9 13.0 19.1 21.2 17.3 11.7 6.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 83.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 81.3% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
13-5 36.0% 0.7    0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 7.2% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1
11-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.5% 14.6% 14.6% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-5 2.0% 16.5% 16.5% 15.9 0.0 0.3 1.6
12-6 6.0% 9.9% 9.9% 15.9 0.1 0.5 5.4
11-7 11.7% 8.4% 8.4% 16.0 1.0 10.7
10-8 17.3% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 1.2 16.2
9-9 21.2% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 1.0 20.2
8-10 19.1% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.5 18.6
7-11 13.0% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 12.8
6-12 6.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 6.8
5-13 2.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.1
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 16.0 95.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%