Wichita St.
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +6.1 92
Results Rating +5.6 94
Consistency 0.12 23
Pace 66.5 236
Improvement -1.7 248

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 114 D+ B+ B C C-
Defense B- 71 B B C- B- A-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 120 D+ 55% 261 +0.0 186
2 Pt. Jumpers 40% 147 C 38% 169 +1.1 118
Three Pointers 36% 284 C- 32% 250 -3.4 292
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.2 215 D+ -2.1 252
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.98 245
Second Chance A 39.3% 10 C- 1.01 218 B+ 0.40 40
Opponents' Steals B 8.2% 64
Other Turnovers B- 6.5% 85
Turnovers B 14.7% 59
Freethrows C+ 0.32 131 D 69% 304 C 0.22 183
Total Offense C+ +2.1 114

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D+ 44% 261 B- 8.9% 71
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 16% 315 D+ 6.4% 275
Three Pointers F 69% 360 B- 0.6% 110
Total F+ 45% 350 C+ 5.3% 156


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 266 B- 54% 83 -2.8 84
2 Pt. Jumpers 31% 8 C- 40% 236 +4.3 362
Three Pointers 33% 356 B 31% 54 -5.3 7
Shot Selection/Accuracy A- -1.4 18 B- -2.4 83
1st FG Attempt B 0.94 50
Second Chance B- 27.6% 81 B- 0.96 74 B 0.27 64
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.8% 222
Other Turnovers C 7.4% 157
Turnovers C- 16.2% 209
Freethrows C+ 0.28 119 B+ 69% 27 B- 0.20 84
Total Defense B- +4.0 71

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 224 B- 13.9% 73
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 15% 15 B- 6.7% 75
Three Pointers A+ 69% 5 D 0.2% 325
Total A- 45% 13 B- 7.1% 67

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.6 205 17.5 227
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 286 0.12 42
Consistency 0.12 112 0.12 183
Improvement -2.4 303 +0.8 153

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 99 90 78
Results Rating Rank 110 95 69
Conference Record 12 - 6 13 - 5 13 - 5
Conference Finish 3 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 11
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15% 16% 12%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 11.7 11.6 11.9
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 3% 4% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round15% 16% 12%
Second Round2% 2% 1%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Florida Atlantic (Home) - 73.4% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 24 - 35 - 7
Quad 35 - 410 - 10
Quad 411 - 121 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 246 UNC Asheville W 75 - 58 90% +4  72% 1 - 0 B +9 C- -1 F A+ F A +11 A+ F A+
 Sat, Nov 8 323 Prairie View W 105 - 62 96% +18  99% 2 - 0 A+ +29 A +14 A- B- A A +11 A+ F A+
 Thu, Nov 13 279 Loyola Chicago W 95 - 74 92% +14  90% 3 - 0 B+ +12 A+ +22 C+ A+ A+ F+ -9 F+ A+ D
 Tue, Nov 18 59 @Boise St. L 59 - 62 27% -4  23% 3 - 1 B +9 D -6 F A- D+ A+ +15 A+ B- C
 Sat, Nov 22 274 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 75 - 58 92% +1  56% 4 - 1 B- +8 D+ -3 D- D A A+ +11 A C+ C+
 Wed, Nov 26 32 St. Mary's L 65 - 70 21% -3  19% 4 - 2 B +10 C- -1 C- C+ F+ A +10 A+ A- D-
 Thu, Nov 27 85 Colorado St. L 70 - 76 48% -10  0% 4 - 3 C +1 B+ +8 F A+ B F+ -9 F A+ C-
 Fri, Nov 28 131 Western Kentucky L 70 - 75 66% -1  31% 4 - 4 C- -3 B- +4 C- C+ A- D- -7 D+ B D-
 Sat, Dec 6 88 @Northern Iowa W 74 - 69 OT 38% +2  55% 5 - 4 B+ +14 B +7 A- B+ D+ A- +8 B A+ D-
 Sat, Dec 13 90 DePaul L 58 - 61 61% -1  30% 5 - 5 C +0 D -6 D- C B+ B+ +6 F A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 17 240 Wofford W 84 - 73 89% +7  99% 6 - 5 C+ +3 B +7 B- B- B+ C- -3 B- F+ D+
 Sun, Dec 21 294 Eastern Kentucky W 88 - 57 93% +22  95% 7 - 5 A +20 B +7 C- A+ A A+ +14 A A+ F+
 Wed, Dec 31 116 @UAB W 75 - 70 50% -6  9% 8 - 5 1 - 0 B +11 A- +10 C+ A+ C- C+ +2 B- C C-
 Sat, Jan 3 170 @Charlotte L 100 - 104 2OT 65% +4  67% 8 - 6 1 - 1 C- -2 A+ +16 B- A+ C F -18 B- F F
 Wed, Jan 7 218 Rice L 64 - 66 88% -2  36% 8 - 7 1 - 2 D -8 F -11 F F+ A B- +2 D+ A+ D
 Sun, Jan 11 136 North Texas W 78 - 67 77% +8  91% 9 - 7 2 - 2 B +9 B- +5 A B- D- B +4 A C- C
 Thu, Jan 15 125 @Florida Atlantic L 67 - 85 52% -15  0% 9 - 8 2 - 3 D- -12 D -5 F B- C- D- -8 F A+ C
 Sun, Jan 18 54 @South Florida W 86 - 85 OT 24% +1  43% 10 - 8 3 - 3 B+ +14 A- +10 B C+ A+ B +5 B- A+ C-
 Wed, Jan 21 234 East Carolina W 77 - 60 89% +14  99% 11 - 8 4 - 3 B +10 B- +5 F A+ A B+ +6 A A F
 Sat, Jan 24 120 Memphis W 74 - 59 73% +13  92% 12 - 8 5 - 3 A- +15 C- -1 B- B- B A+ +15 A+ B- A
 Sun, Feb 1 64 @Tulsa L 83 - 93 29% -6  13% 12 - 9 5 - 4 C+ +2 B +7 F A+ A D+ -5 D- F C
 Wed, Feb 4 170 Charlotte W 74 - 64 83% +5  83% 13 - 9 6 - 4 B- +6 D+ -3 B D- A+ A +9 B A+ A
 Sun, Feb 8 184 @Tulane W 75 - 61 68% +6  77% 14 - 9 7 - 4 A- +15 C- -2 B- F D- A+ +17 A A+ A-
 Wed, Feb 11 54 South Florida L 58 - 66 45% +2  70% 14 - 10 7 - 5 C -1 F -13 F F+ C+ A+ +13 B- B A+
 Sat, Feb 14 64 Tulsa W 81 - 77 51% -3  7% 15 - 10 8 - 5 B +10 B +7 C+ C+ A+ B- +3 A A+ D+
 Wed, Feb 18 234 @East Carolina W 92 - 89 2OT 75% -1  26% 16 - 10 9 - 5 C+ +2 C- -1 C- D- C B- +3 D+ A F
 Sat, Feb 21 165 Temple W 69 - 57 82% +5  70% 17 - 10 10 - 5 B +8 C -0 D+ B+ D- A +10 A+ D D
 Thu, Feb 26 120 @Memphis W 88 - 82 51% +3  79% 18 - 10 11 - 5 B+ +12 A+ +16 C- A A+ D+ -5 F+ A+ F
 Sun, Mar 1 335 @Texas San Antonio W 84 - 67 91% +9  92% 19 - 10 12 - 5 B +8 B- +5 F A B- B +4 A+ F F
 Sat, Mar 7 125 Florida Atlantic W 77 - 70 73%
Totals 20 - 10 13 - 5 +6 C+ +2 A+ D+ C- B- +4 C- D C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ D+ C C- D+ 41% 40% 36% C- D+ A C- B+ B C+ D C B- B- C- B B- 36% 31% 33% A- B B- B- B C- C+ B+ B-
1.12 55% 38% 32% -2 0 0.98 39% 1.0 .40 15% .32 69% .22 1.03 54% 40% 31% -2 -1 0.94 28% 1.0 .27 16% .28 69% .22
Nov
4		 UNC Asheville C- F A D F 45% 29% 27% D- F A+ A+ A+ F D F D- A A+ C A- A- 13% 58% 29% A+ A+ C- F F A+ A- A- A
1.11 36% 50% 31% -8 -1 0.86 51% 1.3 .66 21% .28 60% .17 0.86 33% 39% 29% -5 -7 0.79 31% 1.5 .47 24% .25 62% .15
Nov
8		 Prairie View A C A+ A+ A- 42% 13% 44% B- A- B C- B- A A+ C+ A+ A A A+ A+ A+ 27% 46% 27% A+ A+ D- F F A+ F D+ F
1.37 59% 57% 43% +9 +1 1.23 41% 1.1 .44 13% .61 76% .46 0.81 43% 25% 7% -21 -4 0.52 28% 1.4 .40 22% .47 79% .37
Nov
13		 Loyola Chicago A+ D+ F A+ C+ 33% 18% 49% C C+ A- A+ A+ A+ C+ F D+ F+ D A+ F F 40% 17% 44% B F+ D+ A+ A+ D D+ F F
1.46 53% 10% 46% +2 0 1.07 37% 1.6 .58 3% .30 68% .21 1.13 63% 13% 48% +7 +1 1.17 32% 0.5 .15 17% .33 83% .28
Nov
18		 Boise St. D F B+ F+ F 40% 29% 31% C+ F A+ F+ A- D+ A+ C- A A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ 44% 22% 33% B- A+ B+ C- B- C F A+ C
0.92 33% 46% 29% -10 -1 0.80 36% 0.9 .33 17% .36 68% .25 0.97 40% 10% 40% -11 0 0.80 30% 1.1 .32 16% .43 65% .28
Nov
22		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee D+ F A A- D- 45% 24% 31% D+ D- B+ F D A A+ F+ A A+ C+ A+ A A 30% 32% 38% A A B+ D C+ C+ C- B+ C
1.12 41% 50% 40% -2 0 0.98 36% 0.8 .28 12% .47 68% .32 0.87 53% 25% 26% -10 -2 0.78 26% 1.2 .31 16% .29 63% .18
Nov
26		 St. Mary's C- D- D D+ D+ 48% 26% 26% C+ C- B- C- C+ F+ A+ A- A+ A B D- A+ A+ 43% 29% 29% B+ A+ A C+ A- D- F D F
0.95 46% 31% 31% -9 0 0.84 26% 0.9 .23 19% .34 79% .27 1.02 52% 43% 7% -13 -1 0.76 31% 1.1 .33 13% .44 85% .37
Nov
27		 Colorado St. B+ D+ A F F 41% 18% 41% B F A+ A+ A+ B C+ F D+ F+ F+ F F F 30% 13% 57% C F C- A+ A+ C- A+ A+ A+
1.19 56% 50% 11% -13 0 0.77 54% 1.4 .76 14% .30 60% .18 1.30 71% 100% 46% +22 0 1.48 32% 0.6 .18 17% .23 55% .12
Nov
28		 Western Kentucky B- D+ D+ B C 31% 29% 40% D C- A+ F C+ A- A- A+ A+ D- A F F D- 40% 29% 31% A- D+ C A- B D- F D F
1.10 53% 36% 37% 0 -2 0.98 40% 0.7 .28 14% .48 81% .38 1.18 42% 50% 40% 0 -1 1.00 32% 0.8 .26 11% .41 78% .32
Dec
6		 Northern Iowa B A- F A A 35% 22% 43% D+ A- B+ B B+ D+ B B+ B+ A- B F A+ B+ 58% 17% 25% D- B C A+ A+ D- F A+ D+
1.05 65% 27% 38% +2 -1 1.06 32% 1.0 .32 20% .30 76% .23 0.98 55% 56% 23% -3 +2 1.00 22% 0.5 .11 11% .35 55% .19
Dec
13		 DePaul D D- F D- F 50% 19% 31% A- D- A+ F C B+ A+ F B B+ C F F F 40% 21% 38% C F A- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+
0.92 48% 25% 31% -9 +1 0.86 39% 0.7 .26 17% .54 46% .25 0.97 59% 56% 44% +10 0 1.21 25% 0.7 .17 29% .22 60% .13
Dec
17		 Wofford B A B+ D+ B 42% 24% 33% D- B- B- C+ B- B+ A+ F A+ C- B F A B- 37% 18% 45% B B- F B- F+ D+ F C F
1.27 68% 45% 33% +6 0 1.13 33% 1.2 .39 12% .62 69% .43 1.11 50% 56% 27% -4 0 0.94 39% 0.9 .37 14% .44 72% .32
Dec
21		 Eastern Kentucky B C F C D- 54% 5% 41% A+ C- B A+ A+ A F F F A+ F A+ A A 20% 34% 46% A A A+ F A+ F+ A+ A+ A+
1.31 60% 33% 35% +1 +3 1.11 38% 1.4 .54 10% .23 57% .13 0.85 82% 16% 27% -8 -3 0.80 15% 1.3 .20 13% .12 57% .07
Dec
31		 UAB A- A+ F A+ B- 36% 30% 34% D- C+ A+ A- A+ C- B+ C+ B+ C+ D+ B+ A+ B- 47% 33% 20% B+ B- B D C C- F C F
1.15 72% 7% 47% +2 -1 1.04 43% 1.1 .46 17% .30 75% .22 1.08 63% 29% 20% -5 -1 0.90 29% 1.1 .31 11% .41 71% .29
Jan
3		 Charlotte A+ B D- B- B- 42% 18% 40% B- B- A+ A- A+ C B- A+ A- F A F C- B- 39% 16% 45% C+ B- F F F F F D- F
1.34 65% 30% 36% +3 +1 1.09 56% 1.3 .73 15% .35 82% .28 1.39 50% 56% 36% +1 +1 1.05 45% 1.4 .63 12% .58 76% .44
Jan
7		 Rice F F F D+ F 39% 27% 34% B- F C F F+ A A+ B A+ B- C+ F A+ D- 22% 45% 33% A+ D+ A A+ A+ D C A- B-
0.99 41% 17% 33% -13 -1 0.75 33% 0.7 .22 11% .54 77% .42 1.02 55% 59% 25% +4 -4 1.02 27% 0.7 .19 15% .29 63% .18
Jan
11		 North Texas B- C A A+ A 52% 25% 23% B- A A F+ B- D- A+ B- A+ B A+ B F+ A 60% 25% 15% C A C- C C- C D+ D+ D
1.10 57% 45% 50% +6 0 1.16 43% 0.8 .36 25% .55 72% .40 0.94 39% 29% 38% -13 +1 0.78 36% 1.0 .36 17% .37 73% .27
Jan
15		 Florida Atlantic D F+ D F F 55% 22% 24% C+ F A+ F+ B- C- A F C D- F F C F 46% 21% 32% C- F C- A+ A+ C D+ A C
0.96 47% 33% 23% -11 +1 0.82 38% 0.8 .31 17% .40 57% .22 1.21 73% 58% 33% +11 0 1.25 33% 0.5 .17 17% .33 63% .21
Jan
18		 South Florida A- F F A+ B- 41% 20% 39% B- B A+ F C+ A+ B F C- B A+ A+ F C+ 42% 16% 42% A- B- B+ A+ A+ C- B D+ C+
1.12 42% 25% 52% +1 0 1.05 41% 0.7 .30 14% .35 61% .21 1.11 42% 22% 42% -5 +1 0.95 34% 0.9 .30 14% .33 77% .26
Jan
21		 East Carolina B- A A+ F F 26% 20% 54% C- F A+ B+ A+ A A- C A- B+ C A+ A+ A 33% 35% 31% A A B+ A+ A F B- A B+
1.18 69% 60% 15% -8 -1 0.84 43% 1.3 .55 12% .33 74% .25 0.92 56% 21% 24% -12 -2 0.74 27% 0.8 .20 9% .32 63% .20
Jan
24		 Memphis C- B D+ C- B- 39% 21% 39% C+ B- C- A B- B F F F A+ C+ C- A+ A+ 27% 35% 37% A+ A+ A+ F B- A A C A
1.03 64% 33% 32% 0 0 1.02 31% 1.1 .33 18% .14 63% .08 0.82 57% 39% 16% -10 -3 0.76 24% 1.6 .38 24% .20 73% .15
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
1		 Tulsa B F B+ C- F 47% 24% 29% C F B A+ A+ A A+ F A+ D+ F D- C- F 42% 19% 40% A- D- C- F F C F A+ D-
1.14 38% 42% 33% -9 0 0.84 30% 1.5 .47 11% .50 63% .31 1.28 75% 44% 37% +10 0 1.23 33% 2.1 .71 15% .44 70% .31
Feb
4		 Charlotte D+ C+ A+ C B 43% 20% 37% C+ B C- F D- A+ A F D+ A B+ D- D C+ 35% 33% 33% A+ B B+ A+ A+ A A- C B+
1.11 62% 50% 33% +4 0 1.10 29% 0.9 .26 9% .40 50% .20 0.96 53% 44% 38% +2 -2 1.02 28% 0.4 .11 23% .27 71% .19
Feb
8		 Tulane C- B- A+ D- C+ 42% 16% 42% B- B- B- F F D- C+ F F+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ 45% 20% 35% C- A A- A+ A+ A- D F F+
1.03 61% 56% 30% +2 +1 1.07 36% 0.6 .21 21% .33 53% .17 0.84 64% 10% 18% -12 0 0.80 16% 0.7 .11 19% .41 83% .34
Feb
11		 South Florida F D D+ F F 27% 29% 44% D- F B F F+ C+ C D+ C- A+ B- F A C+ 48% 18% 34% A- B- C A- B A+ F A+ F+
0.84 50% 33% 22% -12 -2 0.75 33% 0.5 .18 19% .32 67% .21 0.95 52% 50% 27% -4 +1 0.95 39% 1.0 .39 26% .54 61% .33
Feb
14		 Tulsa B A- A+ F B 43% 31% 25% D C+ A F C+ A+ A+ F A+ B- B- F A- B+ 20% 25% 55% A+ A A A+ A+ D+ C+ C+ C+
1.18 68% 56% 15% +3 -1 1.06 36% 0.9 .31 9% .43 63% .27 1.13 55% 50% 30% -1 -2 0.96 24% 1.0 .24 13% .32 79% .25
Feb
18		 East Carolina C- B- A+ F C 38% 28% 34% D+ C- C- F D- C B+ F C+ B- A+ F A F+ 35% 48% 17% A+ D+ B- A+ A F C- A+ B
1.04 63% 56% 23% +1 -1 1.02 30% 0.9 .27 17% .31 65% .21 1.01 38% 61% 25% +1 -4 0.97 30% 0.7 .22 12% .36 57% .21
Feb
21		 Temple C F D A+ C 26% 44% 31% F D+ A+ D- B+ D- A+ C A+ A A+ A+ D+ A+ 24% 53% 22% A+ A+ C+ F D D C+ A+ B+
1.12 40% 35% 50% +2 -4 0.97 42% 0.9 .39 18% .58 72% .42 0.93 42% 27% 36% -9 -5 0.73 28% 1.2 .33 11% .35 63% .22
Feb
26		 Memphis A+ A+ B- F C+ 30% 38% 32% F C- A+ C+ A A+ A+ A- A+ D+ D+ F C F 23% 55% 21% A+ F+ A+ C A+ F B- D C+
1.22 75% 40% 18% -2 -3 0.92 46% 0.9 .44 11% .52 79% .41 1.14 62% 55% 33% +10 -6 1.11 19% 1.2 .22 10% .26 76% .20
Mar
1		 Texas San Antonio B- D F D+ F 26% 31% 43% F F A B A B- C+ A+ A- B A+ A+ A A+ 43% 26% 30% C+ A+ C+ F F F F C F
1.21 53% 28% 32% -6 -2 0.86 47% 1.2 .56 14% .28 88% .25 0.96 35% 21% 25% -19 0 0.64 29% 1.4 .40 9% .44 71% .31



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 2.6 2.6 1st
2nd 7.1 70.9 77.9 2nd
3rd 19.5 19.5 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 26.6 73.4 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 3.5% 2.6    0.6 2.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 2.6% 2.6 0.6 2.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 73.4% 15.8% 15.8% 11.6 0.0 4.5 6.8 0.3 61.9
12-6 26.6% 11.9% 11.9% 11.9 0.7 2.1 0.3 23.4
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 14.7% 14.7% 0.0% 11.7 85.3 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 11.6% 100.0% 11.6 0.1 38.4 58.5 2.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 14.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 28.5%
Lose Out 8.2%