Texas Arlington
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -0.1 #156
Expected Predictive Rating +2.6 #127
Pace 66.1 #263
Improvement +0.0 #182

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #271 D C F B+ B-
Defense #79 B B C+ C- B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #38 1.01 #327 +0.5 #156
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #215 0.70 #243 -1.2 #234
Three Pointers 37% #270 0.96 #244 -3.1 #285
1st FG Attempt 0.94 #284 -3.8 #283
Freethrows 20.9 #32 73% #167 15.3 #36
Second Chance 35.1% #65 0.96 #279 0.34 #145
Turnovers 20.7% #354
Total Offense -3.5 #271

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #105 1.25 #288 -3.6 #298
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #49 0.68 #90 -1.0 #250
Three Pointers 33% #350 0.78 #3 +7.8 #3
1st FG Attempt 0.95 #82 +3.2 #82
Freethrows 19.1 #272 72% #144 13.6 #109
Second Chance 26.0% #41 1.03 #177 0.27 #64
Turnovers 17.8% #104
Total Defense +3.4 #79

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.5% #83 -0.8% #96
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -9.0% #312 -5.5% #82
Possession Length 19.4 #353 16.3 #47
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #185 0.23 #328
Improvement -0.1 #196 +0.2 #176

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.6% 16.3% 10.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.6 14.1
.500 or above 83.3% 89.1% 70.2%
.500 or above in Conference 75.8% 83.4% 58.7%
Conference Champion 13.9% 17.2% 6.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.6% 1.8%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round14.5% 16.3% 10.5%
Second Round0.7% 0.8% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Abilene Christian (Home) - 69.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 37 - 68 - 11
Quad 49 - 217 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 56 @New Mexico L 56 - 74 12%  -12  0 - 1 -5 -11 F C F +6 B- A+ B-
 Sat, Nov 15 192 Missouri St. W 67 - 49 69%  +7  1 - 1 +13 -6 C D- F +19 A+ A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 263 @Evansville W 84 - 76 61%  +3  2 - 1 +5 +15 A+ A+ F -10 C F D
 Fri, Nov 21 199 Campbell L 67 - 71 59%  +4  2 - 2 -6 -11 F D F +5 B- F A+
 Sat, Nov 22 212 @Weber St. W 74 - 73 49%  +0  3 - 2 +1 +4 C C+ F -2 C+ F B-
 Sat, Nov 29 112 Stephen F. Austin W 66 - 61 46%  -3  4 - 2 +6 +4 C+ C F +3 B+ B B
 Tue, Dec 2 126 @Arkansas St. L 63 - 83 31%  -10  4 - 3 -15 -10 F A+ D -4 D A+ C
 Thu, Dec 11 220 @UT Rio Grande Valley W 58 - 50 50%  +0  5 - 3 +8 -1 D B- F +11 A+ A+ C
 Wed, Dec 17 79 @Stanford L 60 - 76 16%  -12  5 - 4 -5 -5 C- F C- -1 C B- A-
 Mon, Dec 22 298 @Oral Roberts W 69 - 57 67%  +6  6 - 4 +7 -3 C- C+ F +10 A+ B- B+
 Mon, Dec 29 172 Tarleton St. L 63 - 69 65%  -6  6 - 5 0 - 1 -10 -8 F D+ F -3 C B F
 Thu, Jan 1 147 California Baptist W 63 - 51 58%  +4  7 - 5 1 - 1 +10 -4 F B C- +15 A- A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 329 @Southern Utah W 86 - 77 76%  +1  8 - 5 2 - 1 +1 +7 B F F -6 D C C
 Sat, Jan 10 202 Abilene Christian W 69 - 64 69% 
 Thu, Jan 15 227 @Utah Tech W 69 - 68 52% 
 Sat, Jan 17 101 @Utah Valley L 65 - 73 22% 
 Wed, Jan 21 172 Tarleton St. W 73 - 69 65% 
 Thu, Jan 29 329 Southern Utah W 77 - 64 90% 
 Sat, Jan 31 147 California Baptist W 67 - 65 58% 
 Thu, Feb 5 227 @Utah Tech W 69 - 68 52% 
 Sat, Feb 7 101 @Utah Valley L 65 - 73 22% 
 Thu, Feb 12 202 @Abilene Christian L 66 - 67 48% 
 Sat, Feb 14 329 Southern Utah W 77 - 64 89% 
 Thu, Feb 19 227 Utah Tech W 72 - 65 72% 
 Sat, Feb 21 101 Utah Valley L 68 - 70 43% 
 Thu, Feb 26 147 @California Baptist L 64 - 68 37% 
 Thu, Mar 5 172 @Tarleton St. L 70 - 72 43% 
 Sat, Mar 7 202 @Abilene Christian L 66 - 67 48% 
Totals 16 - 12 10 - 8 +0 -3 D C F +3 B B C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 3.1 4.6 3.5 1.5 0.4 0.1 13.9 1st
2nd 0.3 3.2 9.4 8.4 3.5 0.6 0.0 25.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.8 9.6 5.7 1.2 0.0 20.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.8 8.3 4.0 0.4 17.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.6 3.5 6.2 3.0 0.2 13.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.8 3.4 1.3 0.1 9.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 7th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.4 3.5 7.3 11.7 15.5 17.1 16.2 12.7 8.2 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 100.0% 0.4    0.4
15-3 98.3% 1.5    1.4 0.1
14-4 85.1% 3.5    2.7 0.8
13-5 56.1% 4.6    2.2 2.2 0.2
12-6 24.6% 3.1    0.9 1.6 0.6 0.0
11-7 4.3% 0.7    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.9% 13.9 7.8 4.8 1.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 48.9% 48.9% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
15-3 1.5% 37.9% 37.9% 12.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.9
14-4 4.2% 36.1% 36.1% 13.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.3 2.7
13-5 8.2% 28.7% 28.7% 13.3 0.2 1.4 0.7 0.0 5.8
12-6 12.7% 24.5% 24.5% 13.6 0.1 1.2 1.6 0.2 0.0 9.6
11-7 16.2% 17.9% 17.9% 13.9 0.1 0.8 1.5 0.5 0.0 13.3
10-8 17.1% 10.3% 10.3% 14.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.4 0.0 15.3
9-9 15.5% 8.1% 8.1% 14.6 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.1 14.3
8-10 11.7% 5.1% 5.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.1 11.1
7-11 7.3% 2.9% 2.9% 15.5 0.1 0.1 7.1
6-12 3.5% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 3.4
5-13 1.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 1.4
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 14.6% 14.6% 0.0% 13.7 85.4 0.0%