St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.3#187
Expected Predictive Rating-5.7#275
Pace61.5#354
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#272
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#114
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.0% 20.7% 13.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.5 15.1
.500 or above 74.1% 82.4% 61.6%
.500 or above in Conference 87.2% 90.3% 82.4%
Conference Champion 27.3% 31.6% 20.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.5% 1.4%
First Four2.5% 2.2% 3.1%
First Round16.9% 19.8% 12.5%
Second Round1.2% 1.5% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Baltimore Co. (Away) - 60.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 42 - 7
Quad 414 - 617 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 97   @ Seton Hall L 53-57 18%     0 - 1 +4.3 -5.4 +9.3
  Nov 08, 2024 138   @ Umass Lowell L 74-81 29%     0 - 2 -2.7 +2.3 -5.0
  Nov 11, 2024 37   @ Rutgers L 65-75 8%     0 - 3 +4.2 +6.4 -2.9
  Nov 16, 2024 302   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 74-71 60%    
  Nov 26, 2024 348   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 74-66 78%    
  Dec 03, 2024 157   @ Duquesne L 61-66 32%    
  Dec 06, 2024 334   Manhattan W 71-59 86%    
  Dec 08, 2024 221   @ Iona L 64-65 46%    
  Dec 20, 2024 204   Delaware W 69-65 65%    
  Jan 03, 2025 247   Quinnipiac W 71-65 70%    
  Jan 10, 2025 320   @ Niagara W 67-62 66%    
  Jan 12, 2025 318   @ Canisius W 67-63 65%    
  Jan 16, 2025 226   Marist W 64-59 67%    
  Jan 18, 2025 335   @ Sacred Heart W 73-67 71%    
  Jan 23, 2025 206   Merrimack W 62-58 64%    
  Jan 31, 2025 227   @ Rider L 65-66 46%    
  Feb 02, 2025 256   Mount St. Mary's W 69-62 72%    
  Feb 06, 2025 308   @ Siena W 65-62 61%    
  Feb 08, 2025 334   @ Manhattan W 68-62 69%    
  Feb 14, 2025 258   Fairfield W 67-60 72%    
  Feb 16, 2025 227   Rider W 68-63 67%    
  Feb 21, 2025 256   @ Mount St. Mary's W 66-65 52%    
  Feb 23, 2025 335   Sacred Heart W 76-64 85%    
  Feb 28, 2025 247   @ Quinnipiac L 68-69 49%    
  Mar 02, 2025 226   @ Marist L 61-62 47%    
  Mar 06, 2025 320   Niagara W 70-59 82%    
  Mar 08, 2025 318   Canisius W 70-60 81%    
Projected Record 16 - 11 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.8 6.4 6.7 4.4 2.2 0.6 27.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.5 5.4 5.3 3.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 17.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.0 4.2 1.5 0.3 0.0 13.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 4.5 3.2 0.9 0.1 10.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 3.4 3.1 0.7 0.0 8.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.6 2.6 0.7 0.1 6.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.7 2.5 0.8 0.0 5.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.9 0.9 0.1 3.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.3 0.8 0.1 2.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.7 0.2 2.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.1 3.3 5.1 7.1 8.6 11.0 11.8 12.4 11.7 9.6 7.6 4.5 2.2 0.6 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
19-1 99.7% 2.2    2.2 0.0
18-2 97.4% 4.4    4.0 0.4
17-3 88.3% 6.7    5.3 1.3 0.1
16-4 66.4% 6.4    4.1 2.0 0.3 0.0
15-5 41.1% 4.8    2.0 2.0 0.7 0.1
14-6 15.5% 1.9    0.5 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 2.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 27.3% 27.3 18.7 6.6 1.6 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.6% 60.2% 60.2% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
19-1 2.2% 50.2% 50.2% 12.9 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.1
18-2 4.5% 42.8% 42.8% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.6
17-3 7.6% 36.9% 36.9% 14.1 0.0 0.5 1.4 0.8 0.1 4.8
16-4 9.6% 28.7% 28.7% 14.6 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.3 0.3 6.9
15-5 11.7% 24.1% 24.1% 15.1 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.8 8.9
14-6 12.4% 19.1% 19.1% 15.4 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.2 10.0
13-7 11.8% 14.4% 14.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.2 10.1
12-8 11.0% 10.1% 10.1% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 9.9
11-9 8.6% 6.8% 6.8% 15.9 0.1 0.5 8.0
10-10 7.1% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.3 6.9
9-11 5.1% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 5.0
8-12 3.3% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 3.3
7-13 2.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.1
6-14 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 1.2
5-15 0.6% 0.6
4-16 0.3% 0.3
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 18.0% 18.0% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 4.1 5.5 5.4 82.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 10.3 12.5 3.1 3.1 6.3 43.8 28.1 3.1