Cal St. Bakersfield
Big West
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#261
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#194
Pace63.0#338
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#235
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#272
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.3% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.7 14.4
.500 or above 22.5% 30.9% 12.2%
.500 or above in Conference 25.0% 30.3% 18.6%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.1% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 16.6% 12.7% 21.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round1.0% 1.3% 0.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fresno St. (Home) - 54.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 33 - 84 - 13
Quad 49 - 612 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 119   @ California L 73-86 15%     0 - 1 -6.9 +0.2 -6.5
  Nov 11, 2024 222   North Dakota St. W 86-81 54%     1 - 1 -1.1 +15.2 -15.8
  Nov 16, 2024 234   Fresno St. W 71-70 55%    
  Nov 22, 2024 239   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 62-67 34%    
  Nov 23, 2024 267   Florida International W 74-73 51%    
  Nov 24, 2024 170   Northeastern L 65-70 34%    
  Nov 30, 2024 214   @ Southern Utah L 68-73 32%    
  Dec 05, 2024 60   @ UC Irvine L 59-76 6%    
  Dec 07, 2024 132   @ UC San Diego L 62-72 19%    
  Dec 18, 2024 307   @ Portland L 69-70 48%    
  Dec 21, 2024 209   Portland St. W 76-75 52%    
  Dec 23, 2024 222   @ North Dakota St. L 68-73 33%    
  Jan 02, 2025 168   UC Davis L 69-71 44%    
  Jan 04, 2025 250   Long Beach St. W 74-72 57%    
  Jan 09, 2025 117   @ UC Santa Barbara L 67-78 16%    
  Jan 11, 2025 202   Cal St. Northridge W 73-72 50%    
  Jan 19, 2025 175   @ Hawaii L 64-71 26%    
  Jan 23, 2025 262   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 65-68 40%    
  Jan 25, 2025 155   UC Riverside L 69-72 40%    
  Jan 30, 2025 333   Cal Poly W 76-68 75%    
  Feb 01, 2025 202   @ Cal St. Northridge L 70-76 31%    
  Feb 06, 2025 117   UC Santa Barbara L 70-75 33%    
  Feb 08, 2025 155   @ UC Riverside L 66-75 22%    
  Feb 13, 2025 132   UC San Diego L 65-69 37%    
  Feb 15, 2025 262   Cal St. Fullerton W 68-65 60%    
  Feb 20, 2025 168   @ UC Davis L 66-74 25%    
  Feb 22, 2025 60   UC Irvine L 62-73 18%    
  Feb 27, 2025 250   @ Long Beach St. L 71-75 37%    
  Mar 01, 2025 333   @ Cal Poly W 73-71 57%    
  Mar 06, 2025 175   Hawaii L 67-68 46%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 7 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 2.2 2.2 0.8 0.2 6.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 2.9 2.5 0.8 0.1 7.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 4.1 3.3 0.9 0.1 10.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.7 3.9 1.2 0.1 0.0 12.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.9 5.5 4.1 1.1 0.1 14.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.7 6.1 4.0 0.9 0.1 16.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.4 4.7 4.9 2.5 0.7 0.0 15.8 10th
11th 0.3 1.3 2.7 3.5 2.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 11.0 11th
Total 0.3 1.3 3.3 6.0 8.1 10.1 12.0 12.3 11.3 10.4 8.2 6.1 4.6 2.9 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 93.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0
17-3 72.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 54.9% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 26.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 5.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 33.3% 33.3% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.3% 19.6% 19.6% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-5 0.8% 15.1% 15.1% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7
14-6 1.7% 10.5% 10.5% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.5
13-7 2.9% 5.3% 5.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.8
12-8 4.6% 2.9% 2.9% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.5
11-9 6.1% 1.5% 1.5% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.0
10-10 8.2% 1.1% 1.1% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.1
9-11 10.4% 0.4% 0.4% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.4
8-12 11.3% 0.2% 0.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 11.3
7-13 12.3% 0.1% 0.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 12.3
6-14 12.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.0
5-15 10.1% 10.1
4-16 8.1% 8.1
3-17 6.0% 6.0
2-18 3.3% 3.3
1-19 1.3% 1.3
0-20 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 99.0 0.0%