Green Bay
Horizon
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.3#332
Expected Predictive Rating-14.0#343
Pace70.3#131
Improvement-4.1#339

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#287
First Shot-0.6#195
After Offensive Rebound-3.5#344
Layup/Dunks+0.1#186
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#347
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#118
Freethrows+0.9#118
Improvement-3.5#337

Defense
Total Defense-7.1#348
First Shot-5.9#344
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#287
Layups/Dunks-5.0#340
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#55
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#327
Freethrows+1.8#64
Improvement-0.6#215
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 78.1% 67.8% 91.7%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: IU Indianapolis (Home) - 56.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 111 - 16
Quad 45 - 105 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 101   @ Oklahoma St. L 76-89 5%     0 - 1 -5.7 +3.5 -8.4
  Nov 08, 2024 124   St. Thomas L 76-90 15%     0 - 2 -14.3 -2.2 -11.8
  Nov 13, 2024 336   @ Western Illinois W 87-73 40%     1 - 2 +5.3 +12.1 -6.4
  Nov 16, 2024 81   @ Providence L 65-79 4%     1 - 3 -4.1 -0.6 -4.1
  Nov 19, 2024 263   SIU Edwardsville W 82-57 39%     2 - 3 +16.5 +5.5 +10.6
  Nov 22, 2024 261   @ Evansville L 81-98 21%     2 - 4 -19.9 -0.2 -17.4
  Nov 25, 2024 36   @ Ohio St. L 69-102 2%     2 - 5 -17.7 +1.1 -17.6
  Nov 30, 2024 250   Campbell L 66-72 37%     2 - 6 -13.8 -10.2 -3.5
  Dec 04, 2024 327   @ IU Indianapolis L 75-84 36%     2 - 7 0 - 1 -16.5 -0.4 -16.5
  Dec 07, 2024 171   Cleveland St. L 61-83 22%     2 - 8 0 - 2 -25.2 -12.0 -13.6
  Dec 11, 2024 161   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 67-88 20%     2 - 9 0 - 3 -23.5 -6.6 -17.0
  Dec 14, 2024 165   @ UC Santa Barbara L 66-83 10%     2 - 10 -14.3 -9.3 -4.2
  Dec 21, 2024 80   @ Drake L 62-72 4%     2 - 11 -0.1 +7.9 -10.2
  Dec 29, 2024 145   Purdue Fort Wayne L 67-83 18%     2 - 12 0 - 4 -17.4 -6.7 -11.4
  Jan 02, 2025 177   @ Wright St. L 51-74 11%     2 - 13 0 - 5 -21.1 -23.2 +1.9
  Jan 04, 2025 234   @ Northern Kentucky L 60-78 18%     2 - 14 0 - 6 -19.5 -3.2 -18.5
  Jan 11, 2025 161   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 59-70 10%     2 - 15 0 - 7 -8.0 -10.2 +1.8
  Jan 17, 2025 216   Robert Morris L 67-89 30%     2 - 16 0 - 8 -27.9 -7.6 -20.3
  Jan 19, 2025 208   Youngstown St. L 69-73 28%     2 - 17 0 - 9 -9.1 +1.2 -10.5
  Jan 22, 2025 327   IU Indianapolis W 76-74 57%    
  Jan 25, 2025 171   @ Cleveland St. L 66-80 9%    
  Jan 30, 2025 182   @ Oakland L 62-75 10%    
  Feb 01, 2025 331   @ Detroit Mercy L 71-74 36%    
  Feb 08, 2025 145   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 73-88 7%    
  Feb 14, 2025 234   Northern Kentucky L 67-71 35%    
  Feb 16, 2025 177   Wright St. L 74-82 24%    
  Feb 21, 2025 216   @ Robert Morris L 69-80 15%    
  Feb 23, 2025 208   @ Youngstown St. L 67-79 13%    
  Feb 27, 2025 331   Detroit Mercy W 74-72 58%    
  Mar 01, 2025 182   Oakland L 65-73 25%    
Projected Record 5 - 25 3 - 17




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.8 8th
9th 0.4 3.5 5.0 2.7 0.7 0.1 12.3 9th
10th 1.3 8.3 10.8 3.6 0.5 0.0 24.6 10th
11th 3.9 14.0 23.0 15.8 4.9 0.6 0.0 62.2 11th
Total 3.9 14.0 24.4 24.5 19.2 9.2 3.5 1.0 0.3 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 0.1% 0.1
8-12 0.3% 0.3
7-13 1.0% 1.0
6-14 3.5% 3.5
5-15 9.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.2
4-16 19.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 19.2
3-17 24.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 24.5
2-18 24.4% 24.4
1-19 14.0% 14.0
0-20 3.9% 3.9
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.5%