Green Bay
Horizon
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.2#333
Expected Predictive Rating-12.6#336
Pace74.0#60
Improvement-5.0#358

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#287
First Shot-0.4#184
After Offensive Rebound-3.4#340
Layup/Dunks-1.1#219
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#354
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#86
Freethrows+1.5#95
Improvement-4.2#363

Defense
Total Defense-6.4#349
First Shot-5.4#340
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#267
Layups/Dunks-4.0#320
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#91
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#328
Freethrows+1.7#68
Improvement-0.9#249
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.8% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.6% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 2.1% 4.4% 2.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 44.3% 35.2% 44.5%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
First Round0.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Drake (Away) - 2.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 81 - 14
Quad 46 - 117 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 97   @ Oklahoma St. L 76-89 5%     0 - 1 -4.4 +3.3 -7.0
  Nov 08, 2024 142   St. Thomas L 76-90 22%     0 - 2 -16.2 -1.9 -14.0
  Nov 13, 2024 331   @ Western Illinois W 87-73 38%     1 - 2 +7.0 +13.5 -6.0
  Nov 16, 2024 73   @ Providence L 65-79 4%     1 - 3 -3.4 +1.6 -5.6
  Nov 19, 2024 269   SIU Edwardsville W 82-57 44%     2 - 3 +16.3 +6.0 +9.9
  Nov 22, 2024 290   @ Evansville L 81-98 27%     2 - 4 -20.8 -3.6 -14.9
  Nov 25, 2024 38   @ Ohio St. L 69-102 2%     2 - 5 -18.3 +0.0 -17.0
  Nov 30, 2024 295   Campbell L 66-72 50%     2 - 6 -16.2 -11.9 -4.2
  Dec 04, 2024 354   @ IU Indianapolis L 75-84 48%     2 - 7 0 - 1 -18.8 -0.5 -18.7
  Dec 07, 2024 224   Cleveland St. L 61-83 35%     2 - 8 0 - 2 -28.2 -12.7 -15.9
  Dec 11, 2024 137   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 67-88 21%     2 - 9 0 - 3 -22.8 -8.2 -14.7
  Dec 14, 2024 138   @ UC Santa Barbara L 66-83 10%     2 - 10 -12.8 -8.6 -3.4
  Dec 21, 2024 67   @ Drake L 58-80 2%    
  Dec 29, 2024 144   Purdue Fort Wayne L 79-87 23%    
  Jan 02, 2025 154   @ Wright St. L 73-86 11%    
  Jan 04, 2025 214   @ Northern Kentucky L 67-78 16%    
  Jan 11, 2025 137   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 74-88 9%    
  Jan 17, 2025 259   Robert Morris L 74-76 43%    
  Jan 19, 2025 195   Youngstown St. L 72-78 30%    
  Jan 22, 2025 354   IU Indianapolis W 79-73 70%    
  Jan 25, 2025 224   @ Cleveland St. L 70-80 18%    
  Jan 30, 2025 206   @ Oakland L 65-76 15%    
  Feb 01, 2025 323   @ Detroit Mercy L 73-77 35%    
  Feb 08, 2025 144   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 76-90 11%    
  Feb 14, 2025 214   Northern Kentucky L 70-75 34%    
  Feb 16, 2025 154   Wright St. L 76-83 25%    
  Feb 21, 2025 259   @ Robert Morris L 71-79 24%    
  Feb 23, 2025 195   @ Youngstown St. L 69-81 15%    
  Feb 27, 2025 323   Detroit Mercy W 76-74 57%    
  Mar 01, 2025 206   Oakland L 68-73 32%    
Projected Record 7 - 23 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.8 6th
7th 0.1 0.6 1.7 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.8 2.6 0.6 0.0 9.3 8th
9th 0.2 1.8 5.5 7.1 3.9 0.9 0.1 19.5 9th
10th 0.1 1.7 6.4 10.6 9.6 4.2 0.8 0.0 33.4 10th
11th 1.0 4.5 8.7 9.2 5.3 1.8 0.3 0.0 30.8 11th
Total 1.0 4.6 10.4 15.8 17.7 17.3 13.5 9.1 5.5 2.9 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 60.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-6 50.0% 0.0    0.0
13-7 10.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0
14-6 0.0% 0.0
13-7 0.1% 10.7% 10.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-8 0.2% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2
11-9 0.5% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.5
10-10 1.3% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.0 1.3
9-11 2.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 2.9
8-12 5.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.5
7-13 9.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.1
6-14 13.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 13.5
5-15 17.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 17.3
4-16 17.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 17.7
3-17 15.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.7
2-18 10.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.4
1-19 4.6% 4.6
0-20 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.9%