IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Seton Hall
Big East
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+5.3	#97
Expected Predictive Rating	-5.5	#271

Pace	62.8	#344
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.9	#232

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+7.2	#15

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.6%	0.7%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	6.9%	7.5%	0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	6.0%	6.5%	0.1%
Average Seed	9.8	9.8	10.3

.500 or above	28.1%	30.0%	6.5%
.500 or above in Conference	24.0%	25.2%	10.2%
Conference Champion	0.6%	0.7%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	19.0%	17.5%	36.0%

First Four	2.9%	3.1%	0.0%
First Round	5.6%	6.0%	0.1%
Second Round	2.9%	3.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	1.0%	1.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.3%	0.4%	0.0%
Final Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Wagner (Home) - 92.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 5	1 - 5
Quad 1b	1 - 3	2 - 9
Quad 2	3 - 5	5 - 14
Quad 3	4 - 3	9 - 17
Quad 4	4 - 1	13 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	188	St. Peter's	W	57-53	82%	1 - 0			-0.3	-9.4	+9.5
Nov 09, 2024	159	Fordham	L	56-57	77%	1 - 1			-3.5	-11.8	+8.3
Nov 13, 2024	130	Hofstra	L	48-49	63%	1 - 2			+0.8	-13.3	+13.8
Nov 16, 2024	275	Wagner	W	62-48	92%
Nov 21, 2024	53	Virginia Commonwealth	L	60-64	38%
Nov 30, 2024	286	Monmouth	W	73-58	91%
Dec 04, 2024	353	NJIT	W	72-50	98%
Dec 08, 2024	87	Oklahoma St.	W	68-66	57%
Dec 14, 2024	38	@ Rutgers	L	58-67	22%
Dec 17, 2024	78	@ Villanova	L	60-65	34%
Dec 22, 2024	104	Georgetown	W	67-63	63%
Dec 31, 2024	42	@ Xavier	L	65-73	23%
Jan 08, 2025	113	DePaul	W	68-63	66%
Jan 11, 2025	84	@ Providence	L	58-63	34%
Jan 15, 2025	93	@ Butler	L	64-67	40%
Jan 18, 2025	18	St. John's	L	63-69	32%
Jan 21, 2025	29	Marquette	L	63-67	35%
Jan 25, 2025	16	@ Creighton	L	59-71	17%
Jan 28, 2025	84	Providence	W	61-60	54%
Feb 02, 2025	113	@ DePaul	L	65-66	47%
Feb 05, 2025	93	Butler	W	67-64	60%
Feb 08, 2025	104	@ Georgetown	L	64-66	42%
Feb 15, 2025	1	Connecticut	L	56-68	15%
Feb 18, 2025	29	@ Marquette	L	60-70	19%
Feb 23, 2025	42	Xavier	L	68-70	44%
Feb 26, 2025	78	Villanova	W	63-62	55%
Mar 01, 2025	18	@ St. John's	L	60-72	16%
Mar 04, 2025	16	Creighton	L	62-68	32%
Mar 08, 2025	1	@ Connecticut	L	53-71	7%
Projected Record						12 - 17	7 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big East Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0		0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1				0.6	1st
2nd													0.0	0.5	0.6	0.2	0.2	0.0					1.6	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.6	0.8	1.4	0.8	0.2	0.1						4.0	3rd
4th										0.1	1.0	2.3	2.0	0.8	0.1								6.2	4th
5th									0.0	1.6	3.1	2.2	1.1	0.2									8.2	5th
6th								0.1	2.2	4.5	3.3	0.7	0.1										10.9	6th
7th							0.3	3.5	5.6	3.3	1.0	0.0											13.8	7th
8th					0.1	0.6	2.4	5.5	3.8	1.0													13.3	8th
9th				0.0	0.9	4.1	5.2	3.6	0.3	0.1													14.2	9th
10th			0.6	1.9	4.5	5.6	2.4	0.4															15.2	10th
11th	0.4	1.3	2.3	3.7	2.7	1.4	0.4																12.1	11th

Total	0.4	1.3	2.8	5.6	8.0	11.7	10.7	13.0	11.9	10.5	8.5	5.8	3.9	2.9	1.7	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.1					Total

Big East Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-3	90.6%	0.1		0.1
16-4	42.6%	0.2		0.2	0.0
15-5	25.5%	0.1		0.1	0.1	0.0
14-6	8.3%	0.1			0.1	0.0
13-7	0.0%
12-8	0.1%	0.0					0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.6%	0.6		0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2	0.1%		100.0%		100.0%	3.0				0.1																100.0%
17-3	0.1%		100.0%	84.4%	15.6%	4.1				0.0	0.1		0.0		0.0											100.0%
16-4	0.5%		100.0%	13.4%	86.6%	6.5					0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1								100.0%
15-5	0.6%		99.6%	24.2%	75.3%	8.4			0.1		0.0		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1					0.0		99.4%
14-6	1.7%		86.9%	4.1%	82.8%	9.2						0.0	0.1	0.0	0.4	0.5	0.1	0.4						0.2		86.3%
13-7	2.9%		43.3%	2.5%	40.8%	10.3							0.0	0.1	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.6	0.1					1.6		41.8%
12-8	3.9%		30.9%	3.8%	27.1%	10.8									0.0	0.0	0.4	0.5	0.2					2.7		28.2%
11-9	5.8%		13.9%	0.0%	13.9%	10.9										0.1	0.1	0.5	0.2					5.0		13.9%
10-10	8.5%		6.7%	0.9%	5.8%	11.0										0.0	0.1	0.4	0.1					8.0		5.8%
9-11	10.5%		2.6%	1.9%	0.7%	11.7												0.1	0.1	0.1				10.3		0.7%
8-12	11.9%		0.1%	0.1%		13.3													0.0	0.0		0.0		11.9
7-13	13.0%		0.0%	0.0%		13.0												0.0				0.0		13.0
6-14	10.7%																							10.7
5-15	11.7%		0.0%	0.0%		15.0																0.0		11.7
4-16	8.0%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	8.0
3-17	5.6%																							5.6
2-18	2.8%																							2.8
1-19	1.3%																							1.3
0-20	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		6.9%	0.9%	6.0%	9.8			0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.5	1.0	1.0	2.7	0.7	0.1		0.0	0.1	93.1		6.0%