Southern Utah
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#214
Expected Predictive Rating+4.6#105
Pace72.6#95
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#203
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#228
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.2% 5.1% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.6 14.2
.500 or above 39.2% 47.1% 20.7%
.500 or above in Conference 43.0% 47.9% 31.5%
Conference Champion 4.3% 5.2% 2.1%
Last Place in Conference 13.6% 11.1% 19.6%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round4.1% 5.0% 2.1%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nebraska Omaha (Home) - 70.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 31 - 5
Quad 33 - 63 - 11
Quad 410 - 513 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 267   Florida International W 80-75 70%     1 - 0 -3.4 -7.0 +2.9
  Nov 16, 2024 266   Nebraska Omaha W 76-71 70%    
  Nov 19, 2024 108   @ Loyola Chicago L 69-79 17%    
  Nov 22, 2024 277   @ San Diego W 76-75 50%    
  Nov 23, 2024 282   Idaho W 74-71 63%    
  Nov 26, 2024 30   @ UCLA L 59-77 5%    
  Nov 30, 2024 261   Cal St. Bakersfield W 73-68 68%    
  Dec 07, 2024 8   @ Arizona L 68-91 2%    
  Dec 16, 2024 147   @ New Mexico St. L 68-75 27%    
  Dec 18, 2024 269   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 78-79 50%    
  Dec 21, 2024 288   Northern Arizona W 80-73 72%    
  Jan 04, 2025 85   @ Grand Canyon L 68-81 13%    
  Jan 09, 2025 299   Tarleton St. W 76-69 73%    
  Jan 11, 2025 160   Texas Arlington L 80-81 48%    
  Jan 18, 2025 152   @ Seattle L 69-76 28%    
  Jan 23, 2025 85   Grand Canyon L 71-78 28%    
  Jan 25, 2025 181   California Baptist W 71-70 54%    
  Jan 30, 2025 160   @ Texas Arlington L 77-83 29%    
  Feb 01, 2025 299   @ Tarleton St. W 73-72 54%    
  Feb 06, 2025 181   @ California Baptist L 68-73 33%    
  Feb 08, 2025 237   Abilene Christian W 75-71 62%    
  Feb 13, 2025 301   Utah Tech W 80-73 73%    
  Feb 15, 2025 124   Utah Valley L 70-73 41%    
  Feb 20, 2025 237   @ Abilene Christian L 72-74 42%    
  Feb 27, 2025 301   @ Utah Tech W 77-76 54%    
  Mar 01, 2025 124   @ Utah Valley L 67-76 24%    
  Mar 06, 2025 152   Seattle L 72-73 48%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.2 1.9 0.5 0.1 8.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.2 4.3 1.9 0.3 0.0 10.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 4.6 5.3 1.7 0.1 12.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 5.7 5.4 1.6 0.1 14.2 5th
6th 0.1 2.0 6.4 5.3 1.3 0.1 15.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.5 6.2 4.5 1.0 0.1 14.6 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 3.0 4.7 3.0 0.6 0.0 12.1 8th
9th 0.4 1.2 2.6 2.6 1.3 0.3 0.0 8.3 9th
Total 0.4 1.3 3.3 5.9 8.6 11.5 12.9 13.1 12.2 10.5 8.2 5.9 3.4 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
14-2 91.1% 0.7    0.6 0.1
13-3 72.4% 1.3    0.9 0.4 0.0
12-4 36.0% 1.2    0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
11-5 12.1% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 4.3% 4.3 2.3 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.2% 53.0% 51.5% 1.5% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 3.1%
14-2 0.7% 37.9% 37.1% 0.9% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.4%
13-3 1.8% 27.9% 27.9% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.3
12-4 3.4% 22.9% 22.9% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.6
11-5 5.9% 14.0% 14.0% 13.7 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 5.1
10-6 8.2% 8.3% 8.3% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 7.5
9-7 10.5% 3.8% 3.8% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 10.1
8-8 12.2% 2.5% 2.5% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 11.9
7-9 13.1% 1.1% 1.1% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.9
6-10 12.9% 0.9% 0.9% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.8
5-11 11.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.5
4-12 8.6% 8.6
3-13 5.9% 5.9
2-14 3.3% 3.3
1-15 1.3% 1.3
0-16 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 13.7 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.3 95.8 0.0%