St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.2#292
Expected Predictive Rating-7.9#296
Pace60.1#356
Improvement-3.6#319

Offense
Total Offense-7.4#342
First Shot-8.0#353
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#142
Layup/Dunks-7.5#357
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#267
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#129
Freethrows-0.5#205
Improvement-3.4#324

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#171
First Shot+0.4#170
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#212
Layups/Dunks-2.4#276
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#5
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#37
Freethrows-4.2#360
Improvement-0.2#195
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 2.0% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.0% 1.6% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.4% 1.8% 7.8%
First Four1.2% 1.7% 0.6%
First Round0.8% 1.2% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sacred Heart (Home) - 57.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 32 - 42 - 5
Quad 49 - 1211 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 167   @ Seton Hall L 53-57 19%     0 - 1 -1.8 -10.0 +7.7
  Nov 08, 2024 225   @ Umass Lowell L 74-81 27%     0 - 2 -7.9 -2.0 -5.9
  Nov 11, 2024 63   @ Rutgers L 65-75 6%     0 - 3 +0.9 +1.8 -1.6
  Nov 16, 2024 288   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 69-61 40%     1 - 3 +3.5 +2.7 +2.2
  Nov 26, 2024 318   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 78-76 48%     2 - 3 -4.7 +7.3 -11.9
  Dec 03, 2024 132   @ Duquesne W 62-59 14%     3 - 3 +7.2 +4.3 +3.4
  Dec 06, 2024 263   Manhattan L 67-70 53%     3 - 4 0 - 1 -11.0 -11.0 -0.1
  Dec 08, 2024 259   @ Iona L 63-72 34%     3 - 5 0 - 2 -11.8 -4.0 -8.3
  Dec 20, 2024 244   Delaware W 72-64 49%     4 - 5 +1.0 +3.1 -1.0
  Jan 03, 2025 189   Quinnipiac L 46-59 39%     4 - 6 0 - 3 -17.2 -22.1 +3.6
  Jan 10, 2025 319   @ Niagara L 60-70 48%     4 - 7 0 - 4 -16.7 -11.9 -5.6
  Jan 12, 2025 354   @ Canisius W 62-49 65%     5 - 7 1 - 4 +2.0 -12.6 +16.0
  Jan 16, 2025 223   Marist L 51-56 45%     5 - 8 1 - 5 -10.8 -13.1 +1.3
  Jan 18, 2025 274   @ Sacred Heart W 66-61 37%     6 - 8 2 - 5 +1.2 -9.6 +10.9
  Jan 23, 2025 214   Merrimack L 37-48 42%     6 - 9 2 - 6 -16.2 -26.5 +8.1
  Jan 31, 2025 313   @ Rider L 64-67 47%     6 - 10 2 - 7 -9.5 -0.9 -9.1
  Feb 02, 2025 258   Mount St. Mary's L 64-79 53%     6 - 11 2 - 8 -22.9 -2.7 -22.2
  Feb 06, 2025 228   @ Siena L 63-77 28%     6 - 12 2 - 9 -15.1 -12.4 -2.0
  Feb 08, 2025 263   @ Manhattan L 83-84 OT 34%     6 - 13 2 - 10 -3.9 +6.9 -10.8
  Feb 14, 2025 328   Fairfield W 65-52 71%     7 - 13 3 - 10 +0.2 -10.6 +11.6
  Feb 16, 2025 313   Rider W 66-65 67%     8 - 13 4 - 10 -10.6 -2.5 -8.0
  Feb 21, 2025 258   @ Mount St. Mary's L 58-69 34%     8 - 14 4 - 11 -13.8 -5.7 -9.7
  Feb 23, 2025 274   Sacred Heart W 69-67 57%    
  Feb 28, 2025 189   @ Quinnipiac L 62-70 22%    
  Mar 02, 2025 223   @ Marist L 56-62 26%    
  Mar 06, 2025 319   Niagara W 65-60 68%    
  Mar 08, 2025 354   Canisius W 70-61 81%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.1 0.1 7th
8th 0.7 1.0 1.7 8th
9th 0.1 5.3 10.0 1.2 16.5 9th
10th 3.7 18.9 4.2 0.0 26.8 10th
11th 0.7 14.3 9.8 0.3 25.0 11th
12th 1.3 12.8 13.7 1.1 28.9 12th
13th 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.0 13th
Total 1.9 14.0 31.7 35.0 15.1 2.3 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 2.3% 3.9% 3.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 2.2
8-12 15.1% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.5 14.7
7-13 35.0% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.7 34.3
6-14 31.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.2 31.5
5-15 14.0% 14.0
4-16 1.9% 1.9
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.4 98.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 1.9%