Texas Arlington
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.4#166
Expected Predictive Rating-8.8#294
Pace75.2#56
Improvement-0.6#260

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#104
First Shot+6.7#31
After Offensive Rebound-4.1#354
Layup/Dunks+0.1#169
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#158
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.3#16
Freethrows-0.9#229
Improvement-0.7#290

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#270
First Shot+0.1#173
After Offensive Rebounds-3.1#327
Layups/Dunks-3.3#281
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#60
Freethrows-5.1#355
Improvement+0.1#190
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.1% 14.9% 9.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.8 14.4
.500 or above 45.1% 62.8% 36.0%
.500 or above in Conference 67.6% 76.3% 63.1%
Conference Champion 12.9% 18.1% 10.3%
Last Place in Conference 4.7% 2.8% 5.7%
First Four0.8% 0.4% 1.0%
First Round10.7% 14.7% 8.7%
Second Round0.9% 1.6% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Murray St. (Neutral) - 33.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 34 - 75 - 12
Quad 49 - 314 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 87   Louisiana Tech L 77-92 35%     0 - 1 -11.6 +9.4 -21.7
  Nov 13, 2024 78   @ USC L 95-98 16%     0 - 2 +7.2 +13.6 -6.0
  Nov 19, 2024 167   @ Missouri St. L 68-78 39%     0 - 3 -7.5 -2.1 -5.3
  Nov 25, 2024 111   Murray St. L 74-78 34%    
  Nov 27, 2024 238   Austin Peay W 76-73 62%    
  Nov 28, 2024 113   Rhode Island L 82-86 35%    
  Dec 02, 2024 321   @ Louisiana Monroe W 79-73 70%    
  Dec 12, 2024 107   @ Arkansas St. L 74-82 25%    
  Dec 14, 2024 321   Louisiana Monroe W 82-70 85%    
  Dec 18, 2024 299   Evansville W 84-74 81%    
  Dec 21, 2024 80   @ Liberty L 66-77 17%    
  Dec 29, 2024 165   @ Texas St. L 72-75 40%    
  Jan 04, 2025 318   @ Tarleton St. W 80-75 68%    
  Jan 09, 2025 304   @ Utah Tech W 82-78 65%    
  Jan 11, 2025 208   @ Southern Utah L 81-82 46%    
  Jan 16, 2025 136   Utah Valley W 76-75 53%    
  Jan 23, 2025 135   Seattle W 78-77 53%    
  Jan 25, 2025 214   @ Abilene Christian L 77-78 47%    
  Jan 30, 2025 208   Southern Utah W 84-79 66%    
  Feb 01, 2025 304   Utah Tech W 85-75 81%    
  Feb 06, 2025 136   @ Utah Valley L 73-78 33%    
  Feb 08, 2025 135   @ Seattle L 75-80 33%    
  Feb 13, 2025 209   California Baptist W 79-74 66%    
  Feb 15, 2025 108   Grand Canyon L 79-80 45%    
  Feb 22, 2025 318   Tarleton St. W 83-72 84%    
  Feb 27, 2025 108   @ Grand Canyon L 76-83 26%    
  Mar 01, 2025 214   Abilene Christian W 80-75 67%    
  Mar 08, 2025 209   @ California Baptist L 76-77 46%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.8 3.9 2.4 0.9 0.2 12.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.3 5.7 3.9 1.2 0.1 14.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.4 6.6 3.3 0.5 0.0 15.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.6 6.5 2.8 0.3 0.0 15.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.4 6.3 2.1 0.1 0.0 13.7 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 4.0 4.8 1.6 0.1 11.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 3.3 3.3 1.2 0.0 8.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.9 1.8 0.5 0.0 5.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.4 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.6 6.1 8.7 11.3 13.2 13.6 13.0 10.8 8.2 5.0 2.5 0.9 0.2 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
15-1 100.0% 0.9    0.9 0.0
14-2 94.7% 2.4    2.0 0.3
13-3 76.5% 3.9    2.6 1.2 0.1 0.0
12-4 45.6% 3.8    1.6 1.7 0.5 0.0
11-5 14.7% 1.6    0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 12.9% 12.9 7.7 3.9 1.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.2% 47.7% 47.7% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 0.9% 45.9% 45.9% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5
14-2 2.5% 42.0% 42.0% 13.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 1.4
13-3 5.0% 33.4% 33.4% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.4
12-4 8.2% 27.9% 27.9% 13.9 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.1 5.9
11-5 10.8% 19.8% 19.8% 14.4 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.3 8.7
10-6 13.0% 12.7% 12.7% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 11.4
9-7 13.6% 6.6% 6.6% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 12.7
8-8 13.2% 3.4% 3.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 12.8
7-9 11.3% 1.7% 1.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.1
6-10 8.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 8.5
5-11 6.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.1
4-12 3.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.5
3-13 1.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.8
2-14 0.7% 0.7
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 11.1% 11.1% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.4 3.2 2.8 1.6 88.9 0.0%