Western Kentucky
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.8#134
Expected Predictive Rating+2.7#122
Pace82.4#3
Improvement-3.9#335

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#230
First Shot-1.1#209
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#257
Layup/Dunks-1.1#219
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#312
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#178
Freethrows+2.2#62
Improvement-2.6#314

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#74
First Shot+3.7#66
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#154
Layups/Dunks+5.7#25
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#150
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#190
Freethrows-2.7#341
Improvement-1.3#249
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.8% 11.7% 7.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.1 13.6
.500 or above 75.5% 88.2% 68.4%
.500 or above in Conference 56.0% 72.7% 46.7%
Conference Champion 6.1% 10.9% 3.4%
Last Place in Conference 4.5% 1.8% 6.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round8.8% 11.7% 7.1%
Second Round0.7% 1.1% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana Tech (Away) - 35.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 22 - 32 - 6
Quad 37 - 79 - 12
Quad 47 - 217 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 138   Wichita St. L 84-91 61%     0 - 1 -8.1 -3.0 -3.9
  Nov 09, 2024 85   @ Grand Canyon L 72-74 23%     0 - 2 +7.5 -0.8 +8.5
  Nov 17, 2024 92   Lipscomb W 66-61 44%     1 - 2 +8.4 -9.6 +17.7
  Nov 20, 2024 280   Jackson St. W 79-62 86%     2 - 2 +7.4 +0.6 +6.0
  Nov 26, 2024 15   @ Kentucky L 68-87 6%     2 - 3 +0.3 -6.7 +8.9
  Nov 30, 2024 178   Marshall W 90-82 70%     3 - 3 +4.4 +6.1 -2.6
  Dec 07, 2024 261   @ Evansville W 79-65 67%     4 - 3 +11.1 +7.6 +3.3
  Dec 10, 2024 301   Tennessee St. W 84-60 87%     5 - 3 +13.4 +1.1 +10.6
  Dec 14, 2024 141   Murray St. W 81-76 OT 61%     6 - 3 +3.8 -5.0 +7.9
  Dec 17, 2024 150   Seattle W 86-73 63%     7 - 3 +11.2 +13.3 -2.1
  Dec 29, 2024 11   @ Michigan L 64-112 6%     7 - 4 -28.0 -11.1 -9.0
  Jan 02, 2025 91   @ Liberty W 71-70 25%     8 - 4 1 - 0 +9.9 +2.1 +7.7
  Jan 04, 2025 243   @ Florida International L 66-85 63%     8 - 5 1 - 1 -20.7 -14.0 -4.1
  Jan 09, 2025 162   Jacksonville St. L 67-73 66%     8 - 6 1 - 2 -8.5 -9.1 +0.6
  Jan 11, 2025 185   Kennesaw St. W 85-69 70%     9 - 6 2 - 2 +12.2 +2.1 +8.6
  Jan 18, 2025 111   @ Middle Tennessee L 57-71 35%     9 - 7 2 - 3 -8.1 -11.7 +3.4
  Jan 23, 2025 121   @ Louisiana Tech L 71-75 36%    
  Jan 25, 2025 169   @ Sam Houston St. L 78-79 46%    
  Jan 30, 2025 131   UTEP W 77-74 60%    
  Feb 01, 2025 128   New Mexico St. W 74-72 60%    
  Feb 06, 2025 185   @ Kennesaw St. W 82-81 50%    
  Feb 08, 2025 162   @ Jacksonville St. L 73-74 45%    
  Feb 15, 2025 111   Middle Tennessee W 76-75 57%    
  Feb 20, 2025 169   Sam Houston St. W 81-76 69%    
  Feb 22, 2025 121   Louisiana Tech W 74-72 57%    
  Feb 27, 2025 131   @ UTEP L 74-77 39%    
  Mar 01, 2025 128   @ New Mexico St. L 71-74 38%    
  Mar 06, 2025 243   Florida International W 80-71 80%    
  Mar 08, 2025 91   Liberty L 70-72 46%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.6 2.0 0.8 0.1 6.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 4.2 3.2 0.7 0.1 8.8 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.9 4.9 0.9 0.0 10.0 3rd
4th 0.1 3.1 7.7 1.8 0.0 12.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.6 7.8 3.5 0.2 13.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 6.9 5.5 0.3 13.9 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.9 6.7 1.0 0.0 13.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 4.1 5.3 1.9 0.1 11.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 2.5 3.2 1.5 0.0 8.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.3 1.9 10th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.8 8.7 12.8 17.1 17.9 16.2 11.7 6.6 2.7 0.8 0.1 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-4 93.9% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 72.5% 2.0    1.2 0.7 0.1
12-6 39.4% 2.6    0.6 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0
11-7 5.1% 0.6    0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.1% 6.1 2.6 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.8% 31.7% 31.7% 12.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.6
13-5 2.7% 18.7% 18.7% 12.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.2
12-6 6.6% 17.0% 17.0% 12.7 0.5 0.6 0.1 5.5
11-7 11.7% 13.8% 13.8% 13.0 0.3 1.0 0.4 0.0 10.1
10-8 16.2% 12.5% 12.5% 13.3 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.7 14.2
9-9 17.9% 7.9% 7.9% 13.5 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.1 16.4
8-10 17.1% 6.7% 6.7% 14.4 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 16.0
7-11 12.8% 3.7% 3.7% 14.8 0.1 0.3 0.0 12.3
6-12 8.7% 1.6% 1.6% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 8.5
5-13 3.8% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 3.7
4-14 1.3% 1.3
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 8.8% 8.8% 0.0% 13.4 0.1 1.6 3.4 2.6 1.0 0.1 91.2 0.0%