Eastern Illinois
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.4#315
Expected Predictive Rating-2.2#217
Pace69.1#183
Improvement+2.3#17

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#333
First Shot-5.0#307
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#220
Layup/Dunks-8.9#360
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#14
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#127
Freethrows-2.8#308
Improvement+0.6#88

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#262
First Shot-4.6#307
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#70
Layups/Dunks+0.0#172
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#31
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#307
Freethrows-3.4#335
Improvement+1.6#22
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.0% 10.1% 5.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 22.6% 37.1% 16.2%
.500 or above in Conference 53.7% 64.3% 49.1%
Conference Champion 8.0% 11.8% 6.3%
Last Place in Conference 8.9% 5.8% 10.2%
First Four4.2% 5.1% 3.8%
First Round4.8% 7.5% 3.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Valparaiso (Away) - 30.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 31 - 8
Quad 411 - 1012 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 26   @ Illinois L 67-112 2%     0 - 1 -28.5 -9.5 -11.9
  Nov 10, 2024 22   @ Indiana L 55-90 2%     0 - 2 -18.2 -11.3 -5.9
  Nov 15, 2024 74   @ Northwestern L 58-67 OT 5%     0 - 3 +1.7 -4.5 +5.5
  Nov 19, 2024 111   @ DePaul L 69-78 8%     0 - 4 -2.0 -0.7 -1.5
  Nov 24, 2024 276   @ Valparaiso L 68-74 30%    
  Nov 29, 2024 293   Northern Illinois W 71-70 55%    
  Dec 03, 2024 85   @ Butler L 62-80 4%    
  Dec 14, 2024 199   @ Eastern Kentucky L 68-78 19%    
  Dec 19, 2024 322   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 72-74 41%    
  Dec 21, 2024 247   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 68-75 26%    
  Jan 02, 2025 355   Lindenwood W 75-66 78%    
  Jan 04, 2025 325   Western Illinois W 68-64 63%    
  Jan 07, 2025 269   SIU Edwardsville W 68-67 51%    
  Jan 09, 2025 332   Tennessee Tech W 71-66 67%    
  Jan 16, 2025 302   @ Tennessee Martin L 72-76 37%    
  Jan 18, 2025 297   @ Tennessee St. L 69-73 35%    
  Jan 23, 2025 279   Morehead St. W 67-66 53%    
  Jan 25, 2025 323   Southern Indiana W 72-68 62%    
  Jan 30, 2025 325   @ Western Illinois L 65-67 42%    
  Feb 01, 2025 355   @ Lindenwood W 72-69 59%    
  Feb 04, 2025 269   @ SIU Edwardsville L 65-71 31%    
  Feb 08, 2025 332   @ Tennessee Tech L 68-69 46%    
  Feb 13, 2025 297   Tennessee St. W 72-70 56%    
  Feb 15, 2025 302   Tennessee Martin W 75-73 57%    
  Feb 20, 2025 323   @ Southern Indiana L 69-71 41%    
  Feb 22, 2025 279   @ Morehead St. L 64-69 32%    
  Feb 27, 2025 247   Arkansas Little Rock L 71-72 46%    
  Mar 01, 2025 322   Southeast Missouri St. W 75-71 62%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.3 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 8.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.9 3.0 1.7 0.5 0.1 9.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 3.6 3.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 9.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 4.4 3.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 10.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 4.0 3.9 1.0 0.1 10.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.7 4.4 1.2 0.1 10.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.4 4.5 1.3 0.1 10.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.9 4.3 1.6 0.1 0.0 9.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.8 3.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 9.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.4 2.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 7.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.5 1.2 0.4 0.1 5.4 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.8 4.6 6.6 8.4 10.3 11.1 11.2 11.0 9.4 7.9 5.7 4.1 2.4 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
18-2 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
17-3 94.6% 1.1    0.9 0.2
16-4 78.4% 1.9    1.3 0.5 0.0
15-5 54.6% 2.3    1.3 0.8 0.2 0.0
14-6 24.9% 1.4    0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 6.6% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 8.0% 8.0 4.7 2.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 45.5% 45.5% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.5% 45.0% 45.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
17-3 1.2% 42.5% 42.5% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7
16-4 2.4% 33.1% 33.1% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.6
15-5 4.1% 28.6% 28.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 3.0
14-6 5.7% 20.1% 20.1% 15.9 0.1 1.1 4.6
13-7 7.9% 14.6% 14.6% 16.0 0.0 1.1 6.8
12-8 9.4% 8.6% 8.6% 16.0 0.0 0.8 8.6
11-9 11.0% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.6 10.4
10-10 11.2% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.3 10.9
9-11 11.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 10.9
8-12 10.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.2
7-13 8.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.4
6-14 6.6% 6.6
5-15 4.6% 4.6
4-16 2.8% 2.8
3-17 1.6% 1.6
2-18 0.7% 0.7
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.0 5.8 93.0 0.0%