Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.5#335
Expected Predictive Rating-8.9#296
Pace67.0#253
Improvement-1.2#303

Offense
Total Offense-7.3#347
First Shot-3.9#286
After Offensive Rebound-3.4#342
Layup/Dunks-1.6#237
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#253
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#97
Freethrows-3.4#324
Improvement+0.6#92

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#283
First Shot-2.5#263
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#237
Layups/Dunks-4.5#317
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#208
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#133
Freethrows+0.5#152
Improvement-1.9#344
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 2.4% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 12.9% 16.5% 5.2%
.500 or above in Conference 21.0% 24.2% 14.2%
Conference Champion 1.6% 1.9% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 35.9% 31.8% 44.4%
First Four1.6% 1.8% 1.0%
First Round1.1% 1.4% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: VMI (Home) - 67.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 30 - 51 - 7
Quad 410 - 1210 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 190   Columbia L 78-81 28%     0 - 1 -7.4 -7.2 +0.1
  Nov 12, 2024 360   @ NJIT W 68-50 54%     1 - 1 +6.4 -2.6 +10.6
  Nov 16, 2024 50   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 57-83 3%     1 - 2 -13.5 -8.8 -4.1
  Nov 19, 2024 138   @ Boston College L 61-82 8%     1 - 3 -16.3 -4.8 -13.0
  Nov 26, 2024 344   VMI W 75-70 68%    
  Dec 02, 2024 363   @ Coppin St. W 67-61 70%    
  Dec 07, 2024 346   @ Delaware St. L 67-68 46%    
  Dec 14, 2024 278   @ Mount St. Mary's L 65-72 25%    
  Dec 21, 2024 307   Hampton W 66-65 52%    
  Dec 28, 2024 110   @ DePaul L 61-78 5%    
  Jan 02, 2025 316   @ Holy Cross L 67-72 32%    
  Jan 05, 2025 283   Lehigh L 71-72 45%    
  Jan 08, 2025 293   @ Army L 61-68 28%    
  Jan 11, 2025 309   Navy W 69-68 53%    
  Jan 13, 2025 260   American L 65-67 42%    
  Jan 18, 2025 283   @ Lehigh L 68-75 26%    
  Jan 22, 2025 240   Lafayette L 63-67 37%    
  Jan 25, 2025 316   Holy Cross W 70-69 54%    
  Jan 29, 2025 235   @ Bucknell L 62-72 19%    
  Feb 01, 2025 286   Boston University L 66-67 45%    
  Feb 05, 2025 240   @ Lafayette L 60-70 20%    
  Feb 08, 2025 189   @ Colgate L 59-71 14%    
  Feb 12, 2025 293   Army L 64-65 48%    
  Feb 15, 2025 260   @ American L 62-70 24%    
  Feb 19, 2025 286   @ Boston University L 63-70 26%    
  Feb 22, 2025 189   Colgate L 62-68 29%    
  Feb 26, 2025 235   Bucknell L 65-69 37%    
  Mar 01, 2025 309   @ Navy L 66-71 33%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.3 3rd
4th 0.3 1.9 2.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 5.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.5 1.2 0.1 7.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.5 1.9 0.1 9.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.4 5.4 2.7 0.2 0.0 11.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 3.4 6.2 3.4 0.3 14.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.8 5.4 6.7 3.8 0.6 0.0 18.6 9th
10th 0.8 3.0 5.7 7.3 6.0 2.7 0.4 0.0 25.9 10th
Total 0.8 3.0 6.0 9.1 12.1 13.2 13.0 11.9 9.8 7.8 5.6 3.5 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 86.5% 0.2    0.2 0.0
14-4 66.5% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 41.5% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 17.3% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 2.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 25.8% 25.8% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.2% 15.7% 15.7% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.5% 20.0% 20.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4
13-5 1.2% 15.9% 15.9% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.0
12-6 2.1% 11.5% 11.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 1.9
11-7 3.5% 7.7% 7.7% 16.0 0.0 0.3 3.2
10-8 5.6% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.0 0.3 5.3
9-9 7.8% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3 7.5
8-10 9.8% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 9.6
7-11 11.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 11.8
6-12 13.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 13.0
5-13 13.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.2
4-14 12.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.1
3-15 9.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.1
2-16 6.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.0
1-17 3.0% 3.0
0-18 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.8 98.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%