Maryland Eastern Shore
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.9#354
Expected Predictive Rating-15.0#343
Pace67.6#237
Improvement+0.6#108

Offense
Total Offense-7.7#351
First Shot-6.7#340
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#228
Layup/Dunks-2.8#275
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#75
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.8#326
Freethrows-0.2#195
Improvement-0.3#228

Defense
Total Defense-6.3#349
First Shot-4.6#309
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#280
Layups/Dunks-3.1#272
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#277
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#120
Freethrows-1.9#279
Improvement+1.0#60
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.7% 2.7% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.4% 3.1% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 22.4% 37.3% 22.0%
Conference Champion 1.1% 3.2% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 23.0% 11.9% 23.3%
First Four1.6% 2.5% 1.6%
First Round0.7% 1.0% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Murray St. (Away) - 2.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 30 - 40 - 11
Quad 45 - 116 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 82   @ Vanderbilt L 63-102 2%     0 - 1 -29.0 -8.4 -19.6
  Nov 07, 2024 268   @ Penn L 84-87 14%     0 - 2 -5.5 +6.8 -12.3
  Nov 12, 2024 228   @ Miami (OH) L 70-88 11%     0 - 3 -18.2 +4.5 -24.7
  Nov 15, 2024 305   @ Old Dominion L 71-73 20%     0 - 4 -6.9 -5.1 -1.7
  Nov 20, 2024 109   @ Murray St. L 58-79 2%    
  Nov 23, 2024 26   @ Illinois L 59-89 0.2%   
  Nov 25, 2024 27   @ Arkansas L 57-87 0.2%   
  Nov 27, 2024 247   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 65-78 12%    
  Nov 30, 2024 2   @ Connecticut L 50-87 0.0%   
  Dec 05, 2024 179   @ Longwood L 59-75 7%    
  Dec 08, 2024 280   Wagner L 57-62 33%    
  Dec 28, 2024 30   @ Maryland L 54-84 0.3%   
  Jan 04, 2025 206   @ Norfolk St. L 62-77 10%    
  Jan 06, 2025 232   Howard L 68-76 25%    
  Jan 11, 2025 267   @ NC Central L 64-76 15%    
  Jan 13, 2025 321   @ South Carolina St. L 66-74 24%    
  Jan 25, 2025 345   Delaware St. W 70-69 55%    
  Feb 01, 2025 333   @ Morgan St. L 71-78 29%    
  Feb 03, 2025 363   Coppin St. W 70-62 76%    
  Feb 15, 2025 206   Norfolk St. L 65-74 23%    
  Feb 17, 2025 232   @ Howard L 65-79 12%    
  Feb 22, 2025 267   NC Central L 67-73 31%    
  Feb 24, 2025 321   South Carolina St. L 69-71 43%    
  Mar 01, 2025 333   Morgan St. L 74-75 48%    
  Mar 03, 2025 363   @ Coppin St. W 67-65 57%    
  Mar 06, 2025 345   @ Delaware St. L 67-72 35%    
Projected Record 5 - 21 5 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 2.9 1.7 0.2 0.0 6.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.4 2.6 0.3 11.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.7 7.6 3.3 0.3 0.0 16.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.7 7.8 9.3 3.5 0.3 0.0 22.6 6th
7th 0.4 4.3 9.8 8.6 2.5 0.2 25.8 7th
8th 1.1 4.0 5.1 2.8 0.5 0.0 13.6 8th
Total 1.1 4.4 9.4 14.3 17.6 16.8 13.9 10.2 6.4 3.5 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
12-2 92.6% 0.2    0.2 0.0
11-3 61.9% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
10-4 26.2% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-5 3.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-2 0.2% 27.2% 27.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.1
11-3 0.6% 13.1% 13.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.5
10-4 1.5% 11.8% 11.8% 16.0 0.2 1.3
9-5 3.5% 7.5% 7.5% 16.0 0.3 3.2
8-6 6.4% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.3 6.1
7-7 10.2% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.3 10.0
6-8 13.9% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 13.7
5-9 16.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.2 16.6
4-10 17.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 17.5
3-11 14.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.2
2-12 9.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.4
1-13 4.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.4
0-14 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.6 98.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.8%