NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.2#276
Expected Predictive Rating-6.8#281
Pace66.2#257
Improvement+1.0#118

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#225
First Shot-3.5#284
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#91
Layup/Dunks-1.0#213
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#197
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#243
Freethrows+0.3#161
Improvement-0.5#231

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#308
First Shot-2.9#278
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#296
Layups/Dunks-5.2#343
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#184
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#49
Freethrows-1.5#283
Improvement+1.6#71
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.2% 14.7% 11.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 30.9% 42.1% 20.2%
.500 or above in Conference 80.4% 83.9% 77.0%
Conference Champion 14.7% 17.2% 12.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 0.9% 1.8%
First Four9.5% 9.5% 9.5%
First Round8.5% 10.0% 7.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: N.C. A&T (Away) - 48.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 42 - 7
Quad 411 - 913 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 87   @ George Mason L 58-75 8%     0 - 1 -7.6 -6.2 -1.9
  Nov 08, 2024 238   Gardner-Webb L 82-88 54%     0 - 2 -13.3 +1.7 -14.7
  Nov 12, 2024 135   @ High Point L 60-76 16%     0 - 3 -11.6 -4.5 -9.6
  Nov 15, 2024 234   Georgia Southern L 75-80 40%     0 - 4 -8.8 -5.0 -3.3
  Nov 16, 2024 222   William & Mary W 78-76 38%     1 - 4 -1.0 -1.9 +0.9
  Nov 17, 2024 187   @ Winthrop L 75-77 22%     1 - 5 -0.3 +4.0 -4.3
  Nov 22, 2024 263   @ Georgia St. L 79-93 36%     1 - 6 -16.6 +11.2 -28.8
  Dec 05, 2024 204   Radford L 67-70 45%     1 - 7 -8.0 -10.2 +2.2
  Dec 07, 2024 238   @ Gardner-Webb W 78-77 31%     2 - 7 -0.3 +2.6 -2.8
  Dec 10, 2024 39   @ West Virginia L 45-79 4%     2 - 8 -19.3 -14.0 -9.4
  Dec 14, 2024 172   @ Longwood W 77-70 21%     3 - 8 +9.3 +7.4 +2.0
  Dec 20, 2024 172   Longwood L 67-82 40%     3 - 9 -18.7 -5.1 -14.0
  Dec 28, 2024 321   @ N.C. A&T L 77-78 49%    
  Jan 04, 2025 363   @ Coppin St. W 72-63 80%    
  Jan 06, 2025 348   @ Morgan St. W 78-75 61%    
  Jan 11, 2025 359   Maryland Eastern Shore W 77-66 84%    
  Jan 13, 2025 326   Delaware St. W 76-70 71%    
  Jan 25, 2025 247   South Carolina St. W 73-71 55%    
  Feb 01, 2025 255   @ Howard L 72-76 35%    
  Feb 03, 2025 181   @ Norfolk St. L 67-75 22%    
  Feb 15, 2025 363   Coppin St. W 75-60 92%    
  Feb 17, 2025 348   Morgan St. W 81-72 79%    
  Feb 22, 2025 359   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 74-69 67%    
  Feb 24, 2025 326   @ Delaware St. W 73-72 51%    
  Mar 01, 2025 255   Howard W 75-73 56%    
  Mar 03, 2025 181   Norfolk St. L 70-72 42%    
  Mar 06, 2025 247   @ South Carolina St. L 70-74 34%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 8 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 3.3 5.5 3.8 1.4 0.2 14.7 1st
2nd 0.0 1.3 6.8 8.9 3.5 0.4 20.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 8.3 9.1 2.3 0.1 21.8 3rd
4th 0.1 2.1 8.1 7.7 1.5 0.0 19.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 6.0 4.8 0.7 0.0 13.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 3.1 2.0 0.3 0.0 6.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.7 0.1 2.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 8th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.5 5.8 10.3 15.1 18.1 18.0 14.5 9.1 4.1 1.4 0.2 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
13-1 100.0% 1.4    1.3 0.1
12-2 91.1% 3.8    2.9 0.9 0.0
11-3 60.9% 5.5    2.7 2.4 0.4 0.0
10-4 22.7% 3.3    0.7 1.6 0.9 0.1
9-5 3.2% 0.6    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 14.7% 14.7 7.8 5.0 1.6 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.2% 44.7% 44.7% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-1 1.4% 38.0% 38.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.9
12-2 4.1% 30.6% 30.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 2.9
11-3 9.1% 24.3% 24.3% 15.9 0.0 0.3 1.9 6.9
10-4 14.5% 19.8% 19.8% 16.0 0.1 2.8 11.6
9-5 18.0% 13.7% 13.7% 16.0 0.0 2.4 15.5
8-6 18.1% 10.4% 10.4% 16.0 1.9 16.2
7-7 15.1% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 1.0 14.1
6-8 10.3% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.6 9.8
5-9 5.8% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.2 5.5
4-10 2.5% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.1 2.4
3-11 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.8
2-12 0.2% 0.2
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 13.2% 13.2% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.1 11.9 86.8 0.0%