Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.4#332
Expected Predictive Rating-6.1#272
Pace65.6#285
Improvement-1.6#332

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#334
First Shot-2.8#257
After Offensive Rebound-3.0#329
Layup/Dunks-3.3#286
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#224
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#42
Freethrows-3.7#327
Improvement-1.0#324

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#321
First Shot-3.8#294
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#240
Layups/Dunks-4.9#321
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#84
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#281
Freethrows+2.5#66
Improvement-0.6#270
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 4.3% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 21.8% 31.7% 13.5%
.500 or above in Conference 35.8% 42.5% 30.1%
Conference Champion 3.4% 4.7% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 16.6% 13.1% 19.6%
First Four2.5% 3.2% 1.9%
First Round1.8% 2.4% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Presbyterian (Home) - 45.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 30 - 6
Quad 412 - 1212 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 55   @ Georgia L 78-83 3%     0 - 1 +7.3 +8.6 -1.1
  Nov 12, 2024 353   West Georgia W 76-73 71%     1 - 1 -13.2 -8.6 -4.8
  Nov 15, 2024 347   VMI W 72-71 58%     2 - 1 -11.4 -8.0 -3.4
  Nov 16, 2024 191   UT Rio Grande Valley L 58-83 20%     2 - 2 -26.4 -15.3 -12.0
  Nov 19, 2024 71   @ Central Florida L 69-80 3%     2 - 3 +0.0 +4.5 -4.9
  Nov 27, 2024 281   Presbyterian L 70-71 46%    
  Nov 29, 2024 82   @ Vanderbilt L 63-83 3%    
  Dec 04, 2024 187   @ North Alabama L 65-77 13%    
  Dec 07, 2024 353   @ West Georgia L 69-70 49%    
  Dec 17, 2024 325   @ Western Illinois L 63-67 35%    
  Dec 19, 2024 355   @ Lindenwood W 70-69 52%    
  Jan 02, 2025 323   Southern Indiana W 70-68 56%    
  Jan 04, 2025 279   Morehead St. L 65-66 45%    
  Jan 09, 2025 315   @ Eastern Illinois L 66-71 33%    
  Jan 11, 2025 269   @ SIU Edwardsville L 63-71 24%    
  Jan 16, 2025 322   Southeast Missouri St. W 73-71 56%    
  Jan 18, 2025 247   Arkansas Little Rock L 69-72 39%    
  Jan 23, 2025 297   @ Tennessee St. L 68-74 29%    
  Jan 25, 2025 302   @ Tennessee Martin L 70-76 30%    
  Jan 30, 2025 279   @ Morehead St. L 62-69 26%    
  Feb 01, 2025 323   @ Southern Indiana L 67-71 35%    
  Feb 06, 2025 269   SIU Edwardsville L 66-68 43%    
  Feb 08, 2025 315   Eastern Illinois W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 13, 2025 247   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 66-75 22%    
  Feb 15, 2025 322   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 70-74 35%    
  Feb 20, 2025 302   Tennessee Martin W 74-73 50%    
  Feb 22, 2025 297   Tennessee St. L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 27, 2025 325   Western Illinois W 66-64 55%    
  Mar 01, 2025 355   Lindenwood W 73-66 71%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 4.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 2.4 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 3.3 2.5 0.6 0.1 7.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 3.7 3.3 0.7 0.0 8.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 3.9 3.8 0.9 0.1 9.6 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 3.7 4.8 1.3 0.1 10.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.8 5.3 1.6 0.1 11.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.3 4.9 1.9 0.2 0.0 13.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 2.3 4.3 4.1 1.7 0.2 0.0 13.4 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.5 3.1 2.1 0.7 0.1 10.8 11th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.3 5.7 7.9 10.3 11.3 11.9 11.6 10.0 8.7 6.5 4.4 3.0 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 98.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 92.9% 0.4    0.3 0.0
16-4 79.4% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
15-5 56.3% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-6 28.1% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 7.5% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.4% 3.4 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 36.5% 36.5% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.4% 37.8% 37.8% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2
16-4 0.9% 27.9% 27.9% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6
15-5 1.7% 26.9% 26.9% 15.9 0.0 0.4 1.2
14-6 3.0% 16.5% 16.5% 16.0 0.0 0.5 2.5
13-7 4.4% 12.4% 12.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5 3.9
12-8 6.5% 7.8% 7.8% 16.0 0.5 6.0
11-9 8.7% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.3 8.4
10-10 10.0% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.2 9.8
9-11 11.6% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 11.5
8-12 11.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 11.9
7-13 11.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.3
6-14 10.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.2
5-15 7.9% 7.9
4-16 5.7% 5.7
3-17 3.3% 3.3
2-18 1.6% 1.6
1-19 0.6% 0.6
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 3.0 96.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%