San Jose St.
Mountain West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.6#182
Expected Predictive Rating-2.3#203
Pace64.8#302
Improvement+1.5#80

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#187
First Shot-2.8#260
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#69
Layup/Dunks-5.2#336
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.3#8
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#282
Freethrows-0.6#219
Improvement-0.7#235

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#192
First Shot-1.0#206
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#176
Layups/Dunks-5.1#335
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#145
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#212
Freethrows+4.1#12
Improvement+2.2#29
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.3 13.8
.500 or above 7.8% 9.4% 2.5%
.500 or above in Conference 13.4% 14.8% 8.6%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 10.2% 9.1% 13.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Long Beach St. (Home) - 77.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 82 - 12
Quad 33 - 75 - 19
Quad 46 - 111 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 114 @Utah L 75-84 22%     0 - 1 -2.6 +3.1 -5.7
  Sat, Nov 8 141 @UC Santa Barbara L 74-85 28%     0 - 2 -6.7 +8.4 -16.5
  Thu, Nov 13 12 @Michigan St. L 60-79 3%     0 - 3 +2.5 +3.2 -1.8
  Fri, Nov 21 199 Southern W 80-66 64%     1 - 3 +8.6 +6.5 +2.1
  Tue, Nov 25 89 Tulsa L 51-81 23%     1 - 4 -24.0 -14.2 -14.0
  Wed, Nov 26 260 Loyola Chicago W 63-51 64%     2 - 4 +6.6 -1.3 +10.3
  Sun, Nov 30 120 UC Irvine L 63-72 44%     2 - 5 -9.1 -1.0 -8.6
  Fri, Dec 5 264 San Diego W 86-69 75%     3 - 5 +8.5 +4.4 +3.3
  Tue, Dec 9 280 Long Beach St. W 74-66 77%    
  Sat, Dec 13 85 Stanford L 71-76 32%    
  Sat, Dec 20 84 @New Mexico L 69-80 15%    
  Tue, Dec 30 56 San Diego St. L 67-76 21%    
  Sat, Jan 3 51 @Utah St. L 64-79 8%    
  Tue, Jan 6 183 Fresno St. W 74-71 61%    
  Sat, Jan 10 99 @Grand Canyon L 65-75 18%    
  Tue, Jan 13 331 Air Force W 72-60 85%    
  Sat, Jan 17 132 UNLV L 77-78 48%    
  Tue, Jan 20 106 @Nevada L 66-75 21%    
  Sat, Jan 24 107 @Wyoming L 67-76 21%    
  Tue, Jan 27 52 Boise St. L 63-72 21%    
  Sat, Jan 31 84 New Mexico L 72-77 32%    
  Sat, Feb 7 72 @Colorado St. L 65-78 13%    
  Tue, Feb 10 132 @UNLV L 74-81 28%    
  Sat, Feb 14 99 Grand Canyon L 68-72 36%    
  Tue, Feb 17 106 Nevada L 69-72 40%    
  Sat, Feb 21 52 @Boise St. L 60-75 10%    
  Tue, Feb 24 331 @Air Force W 69-63 69%    
  Sat, Feb 28 72 Colorado St. L 68-75 28%    
  Tue, Mar 3 183 @Fresno St. L 71-74 39%    
  Sat, Mar 7 107 Wyoming L 70-73 40%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 1.8 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 1.6 0.7 0.1 3.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 2.3 1.2 0.1 4.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.5 3.2 2.1 0.3 0.0 7.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.7 3.3 0.6 0.0 11.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 3.1 6.3 4.4 1.1 0.0 0.0 15.5 9th
10th 0.4 2.2 6.3 8.2 5.0 1.2 0.1 23.4 10th
11th 0.1 1.6 5.1 8.1 7.0 3.2 0.6 0.0 25.8 11th
12th 0.2 1.0 1.9 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 5.6 12th
Total 0.2 1.1 3.5 7.0 11.0 14.2 14.8 14.1 12.0 8.8 6.0 3.8 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 85.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 57.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 31.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-6 11.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 3.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 6.3% 6.3% 12.0 0.0 0.1
14-6 0.4% 5.5% 5.5% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-7 1.0% 2.0% 2.0% 11.7 0.0 0.0 1.0
12-8 2.1% 3.1% 3.1% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0
11-9 3.8% 1.7% 1.7% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7
10-10 6.0% 0.4% 0.4% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.9
9-11 8.8% 0.5% 0.5% 15.2 0.0 0.0 8.7
8-12 12.0% 0.3% 0.3% 15.4 0.0 0.0 11.9
7-13 14.1% 0.0% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 14.1
6-14 14.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.8
5-15 14.2% 14.2
4-16 11.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.0
3-17 7.0% 7.0
2-18 3.5% 3.5
1-19 1.1% 1.1
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.7 0.0%