Jacksonville
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -7.8 293
Results Rating -8.8 304
Consistency 0.18 299
Pace 61.1 349
Improvement +4.4 41

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 284 D C C- D+ C
Defense D+ 279 D- B- D D D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 130 D 52% 310 -1.2 227
2 Pt. Jumpers 40% 149 C 38% 171 +0.6 147
Three Pointers 38% 244 D- 30% 323 -3.9 309
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 198 D -4.4 323
1st FG Attempt D 0.93 319
Second Chance C 29.5% 199 C 1.03 174 C 0.30 186
Opponents' Steals C- 9.8% 223
Other Turnovers C- 7.5% 222
Turnovers C- 17.3% 222
Freethrows D+ 0.28 249 C 72% 211 D+ 0.20 242
Total Offense D+ -4.3 284

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots F+ 34% 348 C 10.8% 168
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 31% 103 B 2.8% 45
Three Pointers D- 76% 330 B 0.4% 70
Total F+ 45% 347 C+ 5.1% 126


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 16 D 64% 325 +6.8 356
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 206 C+ 37% 137 -0.6 139
Three Pointers 35% 340 D- 38% 329 -1.2 135
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 287 D- +4.2 331
1st FG Attempt D- 1.12 335
Second Chance C 30.2% 181 B 0.93 46 B- 0.28 93
Turnovers from Steals C 9.2% 199
Other Turnovers F 5.3% 356
Turnovers D 14.5% 316
Freethrows D- 0.37 337 B 70% 41 D 0.26 315
Total Defense D+ -3.6 279

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 46% 130 D+ 8.9% 259
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 202 C 5.2% 136
Three Pointers C 84% 181 D 0.1% 340
Total C+ 53% 127 C- 5.1% 206

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.5 354 17.1 146
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 316 0.16 126
Consistency 0.13 262 0.13 201
Improvement +3.4 40 +1.0 136

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 296 293 291
Results Rating Rank 304 301 298
Conference Record 7 - 11 7 - 11 7 - 11
Conference Finish 7 7 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 60 - 11
Quad 410 - 910 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 34 @Miami (FL) L 69 - 86 2% -9  5% 0 - 1 C +0 C- -1 B- D C+ B- +3 C F A-
 Tue, Nov 11 94 @High Point L 64 - 85 7% -11  17% 0 - 2 D- -12 F+ -9 F D+ C+ D+ -4 B A- F
 Sat, Nov 15 358 @VMI W 69 - 67 70% +3  84% 1 - 2 D -11 F -11 D A- F C +0 D F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 105 @George Mason L 57 - 79 9% -12  0% 1 - 3 F+ -15 F -11 D- C- F D -5 F A+ A-
 Mon, Nov 24 237 Bethune-Cookman W 69 - 64 36% -2  26% 2 - 3 C +1 C- -1 C+ D B- B- +2 C+ A F
 Tue, Nov 25 126 Pacific L 53 - 68 17% -7  5% 2 - 4 D- -12 F -12 F F+ B- C- -3 C+ B- F+
 Tue, Dec 2 319 Florida A&M W 85 - 82 OT 68% -0  49% 3 - 4 D -10 C +2 D+ C+ A+ F -11 F B+ B
 Sat, Dec 6 200 @Florida International L 65 - 88 20% -18  3% 3 - 5 F -22 D- -8 F B- F F -15 F A D+
 Sun, Dec 14 33 @Texas A&M L 75 - 112 2% -24  2% 3 - 6 F -20 C +1 A- D- F F -17 F F C+
 Wed, Dec 17 319 @Florida A&M L 65 - 72 45% -9  0% 3 - 7 D- -14 D -6 D+ F C- D- -8 F+ A+ F
 Mon, Dec 22 75 @Florida St. L 63 - 87 5% -18  0% 3 - 8 D- -13 D+ -3 D F A+ F -12 D C- D+
 Thu, Jan 1 197 @Lipscomb L 57 - 76 20% -9  2% 3 - 9 0 - 1 F -18 D- -7 D- B- F F -15 F A F
 Sat, Jan 3 176 @Austin Peay L 68 - 71 18% -2  22% 3 - 10 0 - 2 C -1 D -5 B B F B +4 B+ A F
 Thu, Jan 8 204 Queens L 51 - 77 40% -15  0% 3 - 11 0 - 3 F -31 F -29 F D+ F D+ -5 F A+ B-
 Sat, Jan 10 303 West Georgia W 75 - 43 64% +17  99% 4 - 11 1 - 3 A +20 B +7 A F A+ A+ +19 A- A+ A+
 Thu, Jan 15 169 @Central Arkansas L 60 - 62 17% +5  70% 4 - 12 1 - 4 C +0 D+ -4 F B A+ B- +3 D A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 17 342 @North Alabama W 90 - 68 57% +13  85% 5 - 12 2 - 4 B+ +12 A +14 B- A+ C C -0 C- C+ F+
 Thu, Jan 22 285 Bellarmine L 70 - 77 58% -1  32% 5 - 13 2 - 5 F+ -17 F+ -10 F C- B D- -8 F C- B-
 Sat, Jan 24 294 Eastern Kentucky W 81 - 76 OT 62% -3  13% 6 - 13 3 - 5 D+ -6 D+ -2 C A F D+ -3 D F A
 Thu, Jan 29 197 Lipscomb W 70 - 65 40% +8  97% 7 - 13 4 - 5 C -0 B- +4 B- C+ A+ C- -3 B- F F
 Sat, Jan 31 264 Florida Gulf Coast L 49 - 68 54% -3  44% 7 - 14 4 - 6 F -28 F -28 F F F C -1 C+ C D-
 Thu, Feb 5 204 @Queens L 84 - 93 21% -11  1% 7 - 15 4 - 7 D -8 C+ +3 C+ C D F -11 F B+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 303 @West Georgia L 73 - 87 41% -6  4% 7 - 16 4 - 8 F -20 D+ -3 D- B D F -18 C- F F
 Wed, Feb 11 309 @Stetson L 62 - 67 43% -5  6% 7 - 17 4 - 9 D -11 F -11 F C- C C -1 D A- F+
 Sat, Feb 14 340 North Florida W 63 - 56 77% +4  92% 8 - 17 5 - 9 D -8 F -12 F A D+ B +4 D C+ A-
 Wed, Feb 18 264 @Florida Gulf Coast L 84 - 86 31% -4  7% 8 - 18 5 - 10 C- -5 A +12 A+ D- A F -17 F C- F
 Sat, Feb 21 176 Austin Peay L 61 - 65 36% -3  30% 8 - 19 5 - 11 D+ -8 D- -6 F C+ A C- -2 B- C- F
 Thu, Feb 26 309 Stetson W 89 - 85 66% +7  90% 9 - 19 6 - 11 D+ -8 B+ +9 F A+ A+ F -17 F A F
 Sat, Feb 28 340 @North Florida W 85 - 61 56% +21  99% 10 - 19 7 - 11 B+ +15 C+ +2 C A F A+ +13 A- A+ D
 Wed, Mar 4 285 Bellarmine L 79 - 82 46% -5  20% 10 - 20 D -10 C -0 F+ F+ A+ F -10 D- B F
Totals 10 - 20 7 - 11 -8 D+ -4 A+ D C D+ -4 D- C D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D C D- D 40% 40% 38% C D C C C C- D+ C D+ D+ D C+ D- D- 46% 20% 35% D+ D- C B B- D D- B D
1.03 52% 38% 30% -4 0 0.93 30% 1.0 .30 17% .28 72% .20 1.14 64% 37% 38% +4 +1 1.12 30% 0.9 .28 15% .37 70% .20
Nov
3		 Miami (FL) C- A+ D+ D- B- 33% 17% 50% B B- F+ A- D C+ C- F F+ B- F C A+ C+ 61% 11% 27% F C B F F A- F F F
0.94 72% 33% 30% +1 0 1.04 16% 1.2 .19 19% .23 50% .12 1.17 74% 40% 17% +3 +3 1.14 35% 2.0 .70 20% .63 78% .49
Nov
11		 High Point F+ F+ F D- F 32% 8% 60% C+ F C D- D+ C+ C- D D+ D+ B- A+ C- B+ 48% 13% 38% C- B A- B- A- F F C- F
0.93 50% 0% 30% -9 +1 0.86 32% 0.9 .29 20% .29 69% .20 1.23 56% 14% 35% -4 +2 0.98 25% 1.1 .28 4% .46 77% .35
Nov
15		 VMI F B- F+ D+ D- 40% 13% 47% B D C A+ A- F F F F C B+ D- D D- 35% 24% 41% B+ D D- F F A+ A- F B-
1.04 67% 33% 33% +2 +1 1.09 39% 1.3 .52 29% .21 50% .11 1.01 47% 42% 35% -2 -1 0.96 30% 1.4 .43 23% .21 82% .17
Nov
18		 George Mason F F A+ F F+ 50% 19% 31% A- D- A+ F C- F A A+ A+ D F C F F 47% 21% 32% D+ F C- A+ A+ A- F A+ F
0.87 48% 50% 23% -8 +1 0.88 39% 0.6 .23 29% .32 87% .28 1.21 83% 38% 58% +23 +1 1.50 32% 0.4 .12 20% .67 63% .42
Nov
24		 Bethune-Cookman C- B+ F D+ C+ 53% 13% 34% B C+ C- D- D B- A+ F B- B- F C- A+ C 36% 28% 36% B+ C+ B A+ A F F A+ C
1.07 64% 17% 31% -1 +2 1.04 30% 1.0 .30 14% .45 56% .25 0.99 72% 36% 22% -2 -1 0.96 24% 0.7 .16 14% .43 50% .22
Nov
25		 Pacific F A+ F F F 30% 40% 30% F+ F F+ F+ F+ B- C+ B- B- C- F F A+ C+ 32% 18% 50% C+ C+ F A+ B- F+ F C+ F
0.87 79% 21% 14% -10 -3 0.77 17% 0.8 .14 13% .34 72% .25 1.12 71% 63% 23% 0 0 1.02 50% 0.6 .31 16% .45 74% .34
Dec
2		 Florida A&M C C- F B D 39% 12% 49% B- D+ C+ C+ C+ A+ D F F+ F F A+ F F 33% 28% 39% B- F A+ F B+ B A+ A+ A+
1.15 57% 14% 38% -1 +1 1.03 33% 1.0 .33 12% .29 68% .20 1.11 83% 20% 62% +20 -1 1.39 8% 2.0 .16 23% .11 50% .05
Dec
6		 Florida International D- F F C- F 23% 19% 58% D- F A- D+ B- F D F F+ F F+ A+ F F 48% 18% 34% D F A+ C+ A D+ F F F
0.95 33% 30% 33% -8 -1 0.85 43% 0.9 .41 26% .28 64% .18 1.29 67% 25% 67% +18 +1 1.41 23% 1.0 .23 16% .52 77% .40
Dec
14		 Texas A&M C D+ A+ B+ A- 39% 12% 49% A- A- C- F D- F C+ A+ B F D F F F 43% 17% 41% B+ F F F F C+ D+ B+ C
0.98 53% 67% 38% +4 +1 1.12 26% 0.7 .18 25% .30 82% .24 1.46 65% 67% 50% +18 +1 1.39 52% 1.2 .64 16% .36 70% .25
Dec
17		 Florida A&M D F F A+ D 49% 11% 40% B+ D+ F+ F F C- D+ C- D D- F D+ C- F 39% 31% 31% B- F+ C+ A+ A+ F F A F
1.00 48% 0% 47% -1 +2 1.04 23% 0.6 .13 18% .30 75% .23 1.10 68% 40% 33% +4 -1 1.08 27% 0.4 .10 12% .51 59% .30
Dec
22		 Florida St. D+ A+ A+ F C- 15% 32% 53% F D D- F F A+ D+ C D+ F F B C D- 29% 12% 59% B D F A+ C- D+ F D F
0.97 88% 59% 18% -2 -3 0.92 24% 0.6 .14 11% .24 71% .17 1.34 80% 33% 33% +5 +1 1.14 46% 0.9 .40 12% .46 77% .35
Jan
1		 Lipscomb D- B- F+ D- D- 27% 24% 49% D D- B+ D+ B- F C D C- F F A F F 40% 16% 44% B- F B A+ A F B- F C-
0.97 64% 30% 30% -3 -1 0.93 38% 0.9 .34 25% .27 67% .18 1.29 75% 25% 45% +12 +1 1.28 21% 0.7 .14 7% .20 91% .18
Jan
3		 Austin Peay D B- D A+ B 38% 20% 42% C- B C- A+ B F A- F C- B C- A+ A A- 44% 20% 35% C- B+ A- A+ A F D- D F+
0.99 65% 33% 42% +7 0 1.16 29% 1.1 .32 25% .38 55% .21 1.03 58% 18% 26% -8 0 0.87 23% 0.9 .20 12% .36 77% .28
Jan
8		 Queens F F F F F 48% 16% 36% B- F C- D+ D+ F B- F F D+ B- F F F 44% 4% 52% F F B A+ A+ B- C A+ A-
0.78 43% 29% 25% -14 +1 0.77 32% 1.0 .32 20% .38 45% .17 1.18 57% 50% 52% +14 +3 1.35 25% 0.4 .11 17% .31 59% .18
Jan
10		 West Georgia B F A+ A+ A+ 43% 26% 32% F+ A F A+ F A+ D- A D+ A+ F A+ A+ A 40% 31% 29% D A- A+ A+ A+ A+ F A- F
1.27 45% 58% 60% +12 0 1.26 13% 1.3 .17 8% .28 80% .22 0.73 71% 18% 10% -11 -1 0.77 19% 0.8 .15 25% .50 64% .32
Jan
15		 Central Arkansas D+ F A+ F F 34% 13% 53% C F A D- B A+ B B B+ B- D F B D- 43% 25% 33% B- D D A+ A+ C+ F C- F
1.02 31% 50% 24% -16 +1 0.72 39% 1.0 .39 10% .32 76% .25 1.05 65% 50% 31% +4 0 1.10 31% 0.5 .16 17% .43 71% .31
Jan
17		 North Alabama A D- C+ A+ C+ 61% 14% 25% B+ B- C A+ A+ C B- A+ A C C F A+ C+ 53% 11% 36% F C- A+ F C+ F+ F F F
1.34 52% 43% 54% +4 +2 1.16 35% 1.9 .65 15% .31 89% .28 1.01 54% 60% 19% -8 +2 0.91 19% 1.5 .29 15% .52 77% .40
Jan
22		 Bellarmine F+ D- A F F 43% 13% 43% B+ F F A+ C- B C A+ A D- B D+ F F 56% 11% 33% D- F D- A- C- B- B- F+ C
1.12 55% 50% 30% -2 +1 1.00 21% 1.8 .38 13% .31 100% .31 1.23 56% 40% 60% +12 +2 1.31 25% 1.0 .25 18% .27 86% .23
Jan
24		 Eastern Kentucky D+ D- A+ D+ B- 30% 43% 27% F C B+ A- A F A+ B A+ D+ C F+ D D 40% 24% 36% D D F D F A F C F
1.18 54% 63% 33% +9 -4 1.14 39% 1.2 .46 20% .55 77% .42 1.11 56% 45% 38% +3 0 1.07 40% 1.2 .47 22% .52 71% .37
Jan
29		 Lipscomb B- B C+ C+ B- 43% 21% 36% B- B- C- A- C+ A+ C A+ B C- C D- A+ B 58% 10% 32% F B- B+ F F F B B+ B
1.16 65% 40% 35% +4 0 1.11 29% 1.1 .32 12% .28 80% .22 1.08 59% 40% 25% -4 +3 1.00 19% 2.0 .38 12% .19 70% .13
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Florida Gulf Coast F C- A F F 34% 30% 36% F F D F F F D- F F C C+ A+ F+ B- 48% 25% 27% F+ C+ A F C D- F A+ F
0.74 56% 50% 6% -12 -1 0.74 26% 0.7 .18 24% .30 53% .16 1.03 57% 25% 38% -2 0 0.98 22% 1.4 .31 14% .44 60% .26
Feb
5		 Queens C+ D A A+ B- 38% 27% 36% D- C+ F A+ C D A+ A+ A+ F F A F F 43% 26% 30% B F B B B+ F F B- F+
1.19 53% 50% 44% +6 -1 1.13 24% 1.5 .36 17% .50 86% .43 1.32 74% 29% 50% +12 0 1.25 25% 1.0 .25 7% .40 73% .29
Feb
7		 West Georgia D+ D+ F F F 56% 14% 30% B D- B- B B D A+ D- A- F C- A- C- C 46% 28% 26% F C- F F F F F C- F
1.08 57% 29% 27% -5 +2 0.96 34% 1.1 .37 16% .44 68% .30 1.29 57% 31% 33% -3 0 0.96 47% 1.2 .58 12% .54 72% .39
Feb
11		 Stetson F B- F F F 42% 25% 33% D+ F B F+ C- C A- C A- C B+ F+ F D 35% 23% 43% C D B- A+ A- F+ F A+ F
0.99 65% 17% 13% -13 0 0.75 37% 1.0 .37 14% .35 74% .26 1.07 50% 44% 41% +3 0 1.08 24% 0.8 .18 14% .60 56% .34
Feb
14		 North Florida F F C C- F 35% 16% 49% C- F F A+ A D+ C A B- B B+ F F C 64% 2% 33% F D F A+ C+ A- A+ A+ A+
1.08 40% 43% 33% -6 0 0.91 27% 2.1 .58 14% .28 79% .22 0.96 48% 100% 43% -1 +4 1.10 33% 0.8 .26 22% .13 50% .07
Feb
18		 Florida Gulf Coast A A+ A A- A+ 44% 25% 31% D+ A+ F B- D- A A+ F D+ F F F A F 50% 26% 24% F+ F F A C- F F D+ F
1.28 81% 50% 40% +16 0 1.33 21% 1.2 .24 12% .45 54% .24 1.31 74% 58% 27% +11 0 1.24 40% 0.8 .33 12% .48 75% .36
Feb
21		 Austin Peay D- C F F F 60% 12% 29% A F B D+ C+ A A+ B A+ C- D- A+ A+ B+ 57% 14% 30% F B- F+ A- C- F F A+ D+
1.01 60% 20% 17% -8 +3 0.90 35% 0.8 .26 13% .44 74% .32 1.08 64% 0% 23% -7 +2 0.93 34% 1.0 .34 7% .41 61% .25
Feb
26		 Stetson B+ F F A F 56% 23% 21% C+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F F F C- F 57% 7% 37% F F B- A+ A F F B- F
1.32 48% 27% 40% -6 +1 0.92 45% 1.4 .65 9% .51 97% .49 1.26 77% 67% 35% +13 +3 1.35 23% 0.7 .17 12% .46 67% .30
Feb
28		 North Florida C+ D- A+ C- C+ 45% 23% 32% D+ C A+ D- A F F A+ D- A+ B- B+ A+ A+ 51% 6% 43% F A- A- A+ A+ D F A+ F
1.23 52% 69% 33% +4 0 1.11 53% 1.1 .57 19% .20 82% .16 0.88 52% 33% 24% -10 +3 0.88 19% 0.6 .11 16% .40 65% .26
Mar
4		 Bellarmine C F A+ A+ F+ 42% 26% 32% C- F+ B F F+ A+ D+ D+ D F C- B- F D- 49% 12% 39% D+ D- C- A+ B F D- D- F
1.24 36% 57% 47% +2 -1 1.06 39% 0.7 .29 8% .29 71% .20 1.29 63% 33% 47% +9 +2 1.24 21% 0.8 .18 11% .35 85% .30



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%