Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.4#327
Expected Predictive Rating-4.7#250
Pace71.3#109
Improvement+4.9#9

Offense
Total Offense-5.3#321
First Shot-5.6#334
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#167
Layup/Dunks-3.9#313
2 Pt Jumpshots+9.2#1
3 Pt Jumpshots-10.0#362
Freethrows-1.0#240
Improvement+3.0#22

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#299
First Shot-2.7#265
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#296
Layups/Dunks-2.8#294
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#4
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#305
Freethrows+0.0#190
Improvement+1.9#51
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.5% 7.4% 5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 27.1% 53.8% 26.1%
.500 or above in Conference 55.6% 67.3% 55.2%
Conference Champion 5.9% 10.7% 5.7%
Last Place in Conference 6.4% 3.2% 6.5%
First Four4.4% 4.5% 4.4%
First Round2.8% 5.0% 2.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Saint Joseph's (Away) - 3.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 40 - 8
Quad 411 - 712 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 138   @ Virginia Tech L 60-83 11%     0 - 1 -18.7 -11.1 -7.3
  Nov 09, 2024 179   @ Columbia L 62-83 14%     0 - 2 -18.9 -16.3 -1.2
  Nov 19, 2024 75   @ Providence L 48-78 4%     0 - 3 -19.5 -10.3 -14.1
  Nov 23, 2024 234   @ Mount St. Mary's L 66-76 21%     0 - 4 -11.0 -0.7 -11.1
  Nov 29, 2024 33   @ Texas L 68-90 2%     0 - 5 -6.4 -0.7 -4.3
  Dec 03, 2024 215   @ Delaware L 80-93 18%     0 - 6 -12.7 -2.8 -8.5
  Dec 07, 2024 322   Loyola Maryland W 80-77 60%     1 - 6 -9.1 -1.5 -7.7
  Dec 11, 2024 352   NJIT W 71-59 72%     2 - 6 -3.6 -6.4 +2.8
  Dec 19, 2024 310   Grambling St. W 73-60 46%     3 - 6 +4.7 +3.7 +2.3
  Dec 20, 2024 291   Alabama St. W 83-80 41%     4 - 6 -4.0 +7.1 -11.0
  Dec 28, 2024 86   @ Saint Joseph's L 64-83 4%    
  Jan 04, 2025 255   @ Howard L 72-79 25%    
  Jan 06, 2025 184   Norfolk St. L 70-75 31%    
  Jan 11, 2025 253   South Carolina St. L 71-72 45%    
  Jan 13, 2025 274   @ NC Central L 70-76 28%    
  Jan 25, 2025 359   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 74-72 56%    
  Feb 01, 2025 362   @ Coppin St. W 71-66 67%    
  Feb 03, 2025 350   Morgan St. W 81-75 70%    
  Feb 15, 2025 255   Howard L 75-76 45%    
  Feb 17, 2025 184   @ Norfolk St. L 67-78 15%    
  Feb 22, 2025 253   South Carolina St. L 71-72 45%    
  Feb 24, 2025 274   NC Central L 72-73 49%    
  Mar 01, 2025 362   Coppin St. W 74-63 83%    
  Mar 03, 2025 350   @ Morgan St. L 78-79 49%    
  Mar 06, 2025 359   Maryland Eastern Shore W 77-69 76%    
Projected Record 11 - 14 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.9 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.0 5.9 1st
2nd 0.0 1.2 4.5 4.1 1.0 0.1 10.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.1 7.2 5.5 0.8 0.0 15.7 3rd
4th 0.2 3.1 8.8 6.4 0.8 0.0 19.4 4th
5th 0.5 4.3 9.8 6.0 0.8 0.0 21.4 5th
6th 0.5 4.0 7.0 3.5 0.4 15.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.6 3.5 1.5 0.1 8.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.1 8th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.6 4.2 8.3 13.1 16.6 17.3 15.6 11.3 6.9 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.3    0.2 0.0
12-2 93.6% 1.0    0.8 0.2
11-3 67.5% 2.2    1.2 0.9 0.2
10-4 28.2% 1.9    0.4 0.9 0.6 0.0
9-5 4.2% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 5.9% 5.9 2.7 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.3% 26.4% 26.4% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-2 1.1% 23.9% 23.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8
11-3 3.3% 18.0% 18.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.7
10-4 6.9% 13.7% 13.7% 16.0 0.0 0.9 5.9
9-5 11.3% 9.0% 9.0% 16.0 0.0 1.0 10.3
8-6 15.6% 6.5% 6.5% 16.0 0.0 1.0 14.5
7-7 17.3% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.7 16.6
6-8 16.6% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.5 16.1
5-9 13.1% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 12.8
4-10 8.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 8.2
3-11 4.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 4.2
2-12 1.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.6
1-13 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.5% 5.5% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 5.2 94.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%