Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -17.1 361
Results Rating -19.2 358
Pace 67.2 223
Improvement -4.7 339

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F 364 F F D- D+ F
Defense D+ 284 D- D B- C- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 259 F 46% 363 -5.9 349
2 Pt. Jumpers 67% 3 D 34% 312 +4.3 28
Three Pointers 28% 361 F+ 28% 350 -8.8 362
Shot Selection/Accuracy F -2.1 356 F -8.4 364
1st FG Attempt F 0.81 365
Second Chance D- 23.8% 341 F 0.74 365 F 0.18 364
Turnovers D- 19.7% 333
Freethrows C- 0.29 238 D 68% 309 D+ 0.20 273
Total Offense F -13.4 364

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D+ 42% 290 D 13.6% 322
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 31% 95 D+ 6.9% 297
Three Pointers D- 76% 330 F 2.2% 355
Total D- 46% 339 F+ 8.0% 350

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 70 F 69% 364 +7.4 359
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 323 C 39% 203 -1.8 46
Three Pointers 41% 168 C 34% 184 +0.1 187
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.9 337 D- +4.6 339
1st FG Attempt D- 1.14 342
Second Chance D+ 32.4% 268 D 1.14 317 D 0.37 312
Turnovers B- 18.2% 97
Freethrows D+ 0.34 280 B- 71% 98 C- 0.24 255
Total Defense D+ -3.7 284

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 52% 262 F+ 4.6% 358
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 37% 334 D- 1.7% 337
Three Pointers D- 91% 350 D 0.2% 319
Total D 61% 307 F+ 2.3% 361

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.2 344 15.9 9
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 174 0.22 324
Improvement -1.7 #268 -3.0 #320

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 364 361 357
Results Rating Rank 364 359 356
Conference Record 1 - 13 2 - 12 4 - 10
Conference Finish 8 8 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 100% 100% 100%
First Four1% 1% 1%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: NC Central (Home) - 49.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 30 - 50 - 7
Quad 45 - 145 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 156 @Temple L 65 - 83 4% -9  0% 0 - 1 F+ -15 D- -7 B- F F F+ -9 F D+ F
 Sat, Nov 8 73 @Syracuse L 43 - 83 1% -23  0% 0 - 2 F -29 F -29 F D- D C +0 D- D A-
 Mon, Nov 10 336 @Niagara L 57 - 68 21% -8  2% 0 - 3 F -20 F -12 F D B- F+ -9 F A F+
 Sat, Nov 15 321 @New Haven L 52 - 65 18% -7  3% 0 - 4 F -20 F -21 F F C- C +0 D- D+ A+
 Sun, Nov 23 39 @Miami (FL) L 41 - 97 1% -31  0% 0 - 5 F -40 F -28 F F F F -12 F C C
 Sat, Nov 29 234 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 57 - 71 8% -8  1% 0 - 6 F+ -15 F -15 F D- C C -0 F+ B- B
 Wed, Dec 3 154 Navy L 59 - 66 10% -9  0% 0 - 7 D -10 F -16 F D- A+ B+ +7 B+ F A+
 Sat, Dec 6 265 Delaware W 75 - 72 OT 22% +1  56% 1 - 7 D+ -6 F -12 C D- F B+ +6 C+ C- A
 Sat, Dec 13 262 @Longwood W 81 - 76 10% +5  85% 2 - 7 C+ +2 A- +9 A+ F A D- -7 F C A-
 Thu, Dec 18 133 @Saint Joseph's L 51 - 67 3% -12  0% 2 - 8 D -11 F -16 F D+ F B +5 C+ D- B+
 Mon, Dec 29 111 @Rutgers L 50 - 65 3% -9  2% 2 - 9 D -9 F -21 F F F A+ +12 A+ F A+
 Sat, Jan 3 363 Coppin St. L 51 - 53 66% +1  64% 2 - 10 0 - 1 F -23 F -29 F F F B+ +5 B- F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 302 Norfolk St. L 64 - 66 29% +1  57% 2 - 11 0 - 2 D- -13 F -16 D C- F B- +3 F B A+
 Mon, Jan 12 202 @Howard L 58 - 84 6% -14  12% 2 - 12 0 - 3 F -25 F+ -8 F F+ F F -20 F F F
 Sat, Jan 17 350 Morgan St. L 79 - 80 48% -5  18% 2 - 13 0 - 4 F+ -18 F+ -9 D- F C F+ -9 F C F+
 Mon, Jan 26 357 @South Carolina St. L 64 - 70 33% -6  0% 2 - 14 0 - 5 F -18 F -15 F F C+ D+ -4 F A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 31 349 Maryland Eastern Shore W 65 - 57 48% +6  73% 3 - 14 1 - 5 D -8 D- -7 B+ F C+ C -1 C A- D-
 Sat, Feb 7 363 @Coppin St. L 47 - 65 43% -4  45% 3 - 15 1 - 6 F -33 F -31 F F F D+ -4 D- F B
 Mon, Feb 9 352 @NC Central L 63 - 72 27% -0  48% 3 - 16 1 - 7 F -20 D- -6 F+ B- F F -16 F F F
 Sat, Feb 14 302 @Norfolk St. L 58 - 75 14% -10  3% 3 - 17 1 - 8 F -22 F -12 F F C F -12 F+ F C
 Mon, Feb 16 202 Howard L 59 - 91 14% -22  0% 3 - 18 1 - 9 F -37 F -17 D- F D- F -19 F C+ C-
 Sat, Feb 21 350 @Morgan St. L 68 - 82 26% -3  23% 3 - 19 1 - 10 F -25 F -16 F F C D- -8 F D C
 Sat, Feb 28 352 NC Central L 68 - 69 49%
 Mon, Mar 2 357 South Carolina St. W 69 - 68 55%
 Thu, Mar 5 349 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 59 - 66 27%
Totals 4 - 21 2 - 12 -17 F -13 F F F D+ -4 F+ D D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F F D F+ F 36% 67% 28% F F D- F F D- C- D D+ D+ F C C D- 43% 16% 41% D D- D+ D D B- D+ B- C-
0.90 46% 34% 28% -8 -2 0.81 24% 0.7 .18 20% .29 68% .20 1.14 69% 39% 34% +5 +1 1.14 32% 1.1 .37 18% .34 71% .20
Nov
5		 Temple D- A+ D+ A+ A 23% 46% 31% F B- C- F F F D B D+ F+ F C+ C- F 43% 16% 41% D- F C D- D+ F C A+ A-
0.98 73% 36% 47% +9 -4 1.10 28% 0.3 .07 24% .26 77% .20 1.25 81% 38% 35% +10 +1 1.24 29% 1.1 .32 9% .36 59% .22
Nov
8		 Syracuse F F F F F 35% 41% 24% F F B- F D- D C A+ B C F A+ C D- 49% 10% 41% F D- A F D A- D+ A+ B
0.60 28% 10% 8% -31 -3 0.33 33% 0.8 .25 21% .30 82% .25 1.16 83% 0% 35% +9 +2 1.24 25% 1.6 .39 20% .37 52% .19
Nov
10		 Niagara F F C+ F F 36% 26% 38% D+ F F A- D B- F+ F F F+ D+ B- F F 55% 7% 39% F F A+ A- A F+ D A C-
0.96 41% 42% 28% -9 -1 0.83 23% 1.3 .29 13% .23 67% .15 1.14 58% 33% 53% +11 +3 1.30 12% 0.7 .08 15% .28 64% .18
Nov
15		 New Haven F B- F F F 30% 36% 34% F F F C+ F C- F D- F C F C- A- F+ 35% 20% 45% C- D- F B D+ A+ F D F
0.79 63% 16% 22% -13 -3 0.72 15% 1.2 .18 17% .18 70% .13 0.98 79% 38% 28% +3 0 1.08 29% 0.9 .25 26% .41 75% .31
Nov
23		 Miami (FL) F F F F F 33% 36% 31% D- F C+ F F F A F C F F A+ F F 45% 15% 40% C- F C C C C C+ A+ B+
0.58 40% 25% 29% -13 -2 0.71 25% 0.1 .02 27% .33 53% .17 1.37 84% 25% 45% +17 +1 1.38 38% 1.1 .41 16% .32 58% .18
Nov
29		 Maryland Baltimore Co. F D F F F 35% 52% 13% F F D+ F D- C F+ A D C F+ A+ D- D- 47% 13% 40% F F+ F+ A+ B- B A+ A A+
0.86 53% 29% 29% -8 -4 0.78 25% 0.8 .20 14% .16 78% .12 1.07 68% 14% 38% +4 +2 1.13 27% 0.7 .18 18% .17 67% .11
Dec
3		 Navy F D- F F F 28% 40% 32% F F F A- D- A+ B F C B+ B- F A+ A 45% 16% 39% F B+ C F F A+ F B+ F
0.83 53% 24% 24% -12 -3 0.72 19% 1.1 .21 11% .30 63% .19 0.93 53% 50% 20% -9 +1 0.87 30% 1.6 .47 25% .60 69% .41
Dec
6		 Delaware F D C B C- 45% 25% 30% B- C D F+ D- F A+ F B- B+ C A+ D- C+ 41% 17% 43% D C+ B F C- A B- F D
0.98 54% 38% 38% 0 0 1.02 25% 0.9 .22 22% .40 63% .25 0.94 59% 22% 39% +1 +1 1.06 17% 1.2 .20 23% .22 100% .22
Dec
13		 Longwood A- C A- A+ A+ 46% 28% 26% D- A+ F F F A A D+ B+ D- F F A+ F 38% 16% 47% D- F D- B+ C A- F+ F F
1.21 62% 46% 67% +17 0 1.35 19% 0.4 .07 13% .43 68% .29 1.14 82% 57% 24% +5 +1 1.13 38% 0.8 .31 24% .39 90% .36
Dec
18		 Saint Joseph's F F F F F 37% 35% 29% D F C F+ D+ F C- F+ D+ B D+ A+ B- C+ 38% 15% 48% C C+ F B- D- B+ F+ A+ C
0.76 32% 28% 27% -16 -2 0.65 30% 0.8 .26 21% .21 64% .13 0.99 61% 14% 30% -5 +1 0.94 44% 0.9 .41 21% .34 61% .21
Dec
29		 Rutgers F F F C+ F 30% 39% 30% F F F C+ F F A+ F B- A+ A+ B- A+ A+ 21% 33% 45% B+ A+ F D- F A+ F F F
0.74 43% 22% 36% -10 -3 0.76 18% 1.0 .18 22% .35 61% .21 0.97 22% 36% 16% -21 -3 0.55 50% 1.3 .64 25% .58 83% .48
Jan
3		 Coppin St. F F F F+ F 50% 29% 21% D F C- F F F F F F B+ C A B C+ 28% 30% 43% B+ B- C F F A+ C A+ A+
0.78 42% 29% 30% -12 0 0.77 33% 0.7 .23 23% .26 38% .10 0.81 55% 25% 29% -8 -2 0.83 28% 1.6 .44 29% .32 40% .13
Jan
10		 Norfolk St. F F A+ F D 42% 15% 44% C- D C- C- C- F F A+ F B- D F C+ F 49% 22% 29% F+ F A- C B A+ F+ C D-
0.91 50% 100% 24% -1 +1 1.02 32% 1.0 .32 27% .21 82% .17 0.93 60% 56% 33% +4 +1 1.12 24% 1.0 .24 28% .42 67% .28
Jan
12		 Howard F+ F D B- D- 27% 32% 41% F F D F F+ F A B+ A+ F F A+ A+ F 60% 18% 22% D- F F C- F F F D F
0.91 36% 31% 35% -7 -2 0.83 29% 0.9 .26 23% .43 76% .33 1.31 81% 13% 20% +5 +2 1.16 48% 1.1 .52 14% .49 78% .38
Jan
17		 Morgan St. F+ F A+ F D- 43% 26% 30% F+ D- D+ F F C A+ D+ A+ F+ A D- F F 30% 26% 44% C- F B+ F+ C F+ F C F
1.08 45% 75% 21% -2 0 0.98 32% 0.9 .29 15% .63 69% .43 1.09 44% 43% 42% +2 -1 1.04 24% 1.0 .24 15% .43 74% .32
Jan
26		 South Carolina St. F F A- F F 52% 13% 35% C+ F F+ F F C+ B+ A A D+ B F F F 45% 14% 40% F F A+ A A+ F+ F C+ F
0.93 50% 50% 19% -11 +2 0.85 29% 0.9 .26 16% .45 81% .36 1.02 47% 67% 47% +7 +1 1.19 19% 0.8 .15 17% .49 64% .32
Jan
31		 Maryland Eastern Shore D- C- C- A+ A+ 33% 40% 26% F B+ F B+ F C+ A+ F B- C D C A+ C 58% 29% 13% D C A+ F A- D- D- F F
1.06 57% 35% 64% +10 -3 1.17 14% 1.3 .18 15% .44 61% .27 0.93 62% 38% 0% -5 0 0.93 13% 1.3 .17 20% .28 93% .26
Feb
7		 Coppin St. F F F+ F F 31% 45% 24% F F F F F F A- B+ A D+ C+ F B- D- 44% 26% 30% D D- F D- F B F A+ D-
0.71 38% 32% 10% -18 -4 0.60 26% 0.8 .21 27% .43 81% .35 0.98 53% 45% 31% -2 0 0.98 40% 1.1 .43 26% .47 57% .26
Feb
9		 NC Central D- C+ A- D- D+ 27% 41% 32% F F+ B C+ B- F B- C B- F F+ F C F 56% 24% 20% D- F F C- F F D+ D+ D
1.08 64% 47% 31% +4 -4 1.02 41% 1.0 .41 24% .34 73% .25 1.23 64% 45% 33% +5 +1 1.13 40% 1.0 .40 12% .33 76% .25
Feb
14		 Norfolk St. F C F F F 42% 29% 29% F F F F F C A+ C+ A+ F F A+ C- F+ 44% 23% 33% D F+ F F F C F A F
0.92 63% 27% 18% -8 -1 0.84 19% 0.7 .13 17% .69 72% .50 1.19 74% 20% 36% +4 0 1.09 39% 1.4 .55 19% .53 59% .31
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
16		 Howard F F B D+ D+ 32% 30% 38% F D- F F F D- C- F D- F F F A- F 54% 15% 30% D- F D- A- C+ C- F D- F
0.82 44% 40% 32% -5 -2 0.88 18% 0.7 .12 22% .32 61% .20 1.27 76% 71% 29% +12 +2 1.30 40% 0.9 .36 19% .52 80% .41
Feb
21		 Morgan St. F D+ F F F 55% 20% 25% C- F F+ F F C F+ F+ F D- F+ D+ C- F 39% 20% 41% F F F C D C F C F
0.93 57% 18% 21% -10 +1 0.85 28% 0.8 .21 15% .37 65% .24 1.12 65% 40% 33% +3 0 1.08 36% 0.8 .31 19% .45 74% .34



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 1.0 1.0 7th
8th 17.6 41.4 32.9 7.1 99.0 8th
Total 17.6 41.4 32.9 8.2 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10 8.2% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 8.1
3-11 32.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.3 32.6
2-12 41.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.3 41.0
1-13 17.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 17.5
0-14
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 16.0 99.1 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.6%
Lose Out 13.8%