Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -13.6 #353
Expected Predictive Rating -17.0 #355
Pace 68.3 #196
Improvement +1.2 #136

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #364 F F D D F+
Defense #242 D D+ B- C- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #247 0.90 #363 -6.1 #350
2 Pt. Jumpers 34% #9 0.66 #315 +3.7 #32
Three Pointers 29% #357 0.91 #315 -7.5 #357
1st FG Attempt 0.82 #363 -9.9 #363
Freethrows 0.28 #266 68% #323 0.19 #303
Second Chance 24.7% #332 0.74 #365 0.18 #363
Turnovers 19.2% #320
Total Offense -11.8 #364

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #87 1.36 #359 -6.3 #354
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #326 0.73 #128 +2.1 #35
Three Pointers 42% #137 1.02 #184 -0.7 #216
1st FG Attempt 1.12 #326 -4.9 #323
Freethrows 0.32 #246 71% #126 0.23 #234
Second Chance 29.6% #134 1.18 #343 0.35 #268
Turnovers 18.2% #87
Total Defense -1.8 #242

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -3.9% #353 1.8% #328
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -16.1% #363 7.7% #317
Possession Length 19.1 #337 15.7 #9
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #138 0.20 #273
Improvement +0.1 #170 +1.2 #113

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 5.0% 4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 8.1% 11.5% 2.1%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 25.4% 9.2% 53.4%
First Four4.7% 5.0% 4.1%
First Round1.5% 1.8% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Coppin St. (Away) - 63.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 30 - 40 - 6
Quad 47 - 147 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 143 @Temple L 65 - 83 6% -9  0 - 1 -14 -4 B F F -11 F D+ F
 Sat, Nov 8 68 @Syracuse L 43 - 83 2% -23  0 - 2 -29 -25 F D- D+ -2 D- D A-
 Mon, Nov 10 349 @Niagara L 57 - 68 33% -8  0 - 3 -20 -10 F D B- -12 F A D-
 Sat, Nov 15 334 @New Haven L 52 - 65 29% -7  0 - 4 -21 -19 F F C -2 D- D+ A+
 Sun, Nov 23 40 @Miami (FL) L 41 - 97 1% -31  0 - 5 -40 -25 F F F -15 F C C
 Sat, Nov 29 261 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 57 - 71 15% -8  0 - 6 -17 -14 F F+ C -3 F+ C+ B-
 Wed, Dec 3 179 Navy L 59 - 66 19% -9  0 - 7 -11 -15 F D- A+ +3 B+ F A+
 Sat, Dec 6 286 Delaware W 75 - 72 OT 37% +1  1 - 7 -7 -8 C- D+ F +1 C C- A
 Sat, Dec 13 264 @Longwood W 81 - 76 16% +5  2 - 7 +2 +12 A+ F A -9 F C B+
 Thu, Dec 18 132 @Saint Joseph's L 51 - 67 5% -12  2 - 8 -11 -15 F D+ F +3 C+ F+ B+
 Mon, Dec 29 114 @Rutgers L 50 - 65 4% -9  2 - 9 -9 -18 F F F +8 A+ F A+
 Sat, Jan 3 364 Coppin St. L 51 - 53 82% +1  2 - 10 0 - 1 -25 -30 F F F +4 C+ F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 307 Norfolk St. L 64 - 66 43% +1  2 - 11 0 - 2 -14 -13 D C- F -0 F B- A+
 Mon, Jan 12 253 @Howard L 58 - 84 15% -14  2 - 12 0 - 3 -28 -7 F F+ F+ -24 F F F
 Sat, Jan 17 354 Morgan St. L 79 - 80 62% -5  2 - 13 0 - 4 -18 -6 F+ F C+ -12 F C+ F+
 Mon, Jan 26 359 @South Carolina St. L 64 - 70 43% -6  2 - 14 0 - 5 -18 -13 F F C- -5 F A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 31 338 Maryland Eastern Shore W 65 - 57 53% +6  3 - 14 1 - 5 -6 -3 A- F B- -2 C B+ D-
 Sat, Feb 7 364 @Coppin St. W 72 - 68 63%
 Mon, Feb 9 341 @NC Central L 66 - 71 32%
 Sat, Feb 14 307 @Norfolk St. L 64 - 72 23%
 Mon, Feb 16 253 Howard L 65 - 70 31%
 Sat, Feb 21 354 @Morgan St. L 71 - 74 39%
 Sat, Feb 28 341 NC Central W 69 - 68 53%
 Mon, Mar 2 359 South Carolina St. W 71 - 67 66%
 Thu, Mar 5 338 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 60 - 65 32%
Totals 6 - 19 4 - 10 -14 -12 F F D -2 D D+ B-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 0.1 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 0.9 0.0 1.5 3rd
4th 0.5 2.7 0.2 3.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 4.6 2.5 7.7 5th
6th 0.1 2.3 8.9 8.2 0.5 19.9 6th
7th 3.0 13.7 21.5 13.8 1.9 53.8 7th
8th 1.6 5.1 4.8 1.3 0.1 13.0 8th
Total 1.6 8.1 18.6 25.2 23.4 15.1 6.3 1.6 0.2 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 41.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 2.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 0.2% 26.5% 26.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1
8-6 1.6% 10.4% 10.4% 16.0 0.2 1.5
7-7 6.3% 11.7% 11.7% 16.0 0.7 5.5
6-8 15.1% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 1.1 14.0
5-9 23.4% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 1.0 22.4
4-10 25.2% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 1.0 24.1
3-11 18.6% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.4 18.1
2-12 8.1% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 8.0
1-13 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 1.6
0-14
Total 100% 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 16.0 95.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%