Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -13.0 #352
Expected Predictive Rating -15.1 #347
Pace 68.7 #199
Improvement +1.9 #86

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #363 F F D- D+ F
Defense #208 D D A- C+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #246 0.96 #348 -4.9 #325
2 Pt. Jumpers 36% #6 0.54 #358 +2.2 #71
Three Pointers 28% #363 0.86 #323 -8.9 #361
1st FG Attempt 0.78 #365 -11.6 #365
Freethrows 16.2 #245 69% #290 11.1 #271
Second Chance 24.9% #321 0.72 #365 0.18 #364
Turnovers 19.3% #320
Total Offense -12.0 #363

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #166 1.38 #363 -4.8 #326
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #308 0.66 #65 +2.4 #32
Three Pointers 45% #81 1.00 #168 -1.7 #251
1st FG Attempt 1.10 #305 -4.1 #300
Freethrows 17.1 #174 68% #42 11.7 #235
Second Chance 31.1% #201 1.19 #324 0.37 #297
Turnovers 19.9% #37
Total Defense -1.1 #208

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -4.3% #359 1.3% #287
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -19.3% #364 6.8% #300
Possession Length 19.3 #346 14.8 #2
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 #93 0.18 #184
Improvement -1.8 #288 +3.6 #19

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.2% 8.1% 5.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 3.2% 6.6% 1.3%
.500 or above in Conference 39.1% 57.5% 28.4%
Conference Champion 4.3% 9.0% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 18.3% 9.2% 23.6%
First Four6.1% 7.9% 5.0%
First Round2.2% 2.9% 1.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Norfolk St. (Home) - 36.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 30 - 6
Quad 48 - 129 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 143 @Temple L 65 - 83 7%  -9  0 - 1 -14 -5 C+ F F -10 F D- F
 Sat, Nov 8 69 @Syracuse L 43 - 83 2%  -23  0 - 2 -29 -24 F F D- -4 F D A+
 Mon, Nov 10 354 @Niagara L 57 - 68 40%  -8  0 - 3 -21 -11 F F B+ -12 F A+ D-
 Sat, Nov 15 338 @New Haven L 52 - 65 33%  -7  0 - 4 -22 -19 F F C -3 F C- A+
 Sun, Nov 23 36 @Miami (FL) L 41 - 97 1%  -31  0 - 5 -39 -24 F F F -15 F C C
 Sat, Nov 29 267 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 57 - 71 18%  -8  0 - 6 -17 -15 F F C -3 F B+ B-
 Wed, Dec 3 193 Navy L 59 - 66 23%  -9  0 - 7 -12 -16 F F A+ +4 A F A+
 Sat, Dec 6 277 Delaware W 75 - 72 OT 37%  +1  1 - 7 -7 -7 C D F +0 C C- A+
 Sat, Dec 13 279 @Longwood W 81 - 76 19%  +5  2 - 7 +1 +10 A+ F B+ -9 F C A
 Thu, Dec 18 185 @Saint Joseph's L 51 - 67 10%  -12  2 - 8 -15 -18 F D- F +2 C- D+ A+
 Mon, Dec 29 131 @Rutgers L 50 - 65 6%  -9  2 - 9 -10 -18 F F F +7 A+ F A+
 Sat, Jan 3 364 Coppin St. L 51 - 53 83%  +1  2 - 10 0 - 1 -25 -27 F F F +2 C F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 272 Norfolk St. L 63 - 67 37% 
 Mon, Jan 12 271 @Howard L 61 - 71 18% 
 Sat, Jan 17 362 Morgan St. W 73 - 67 71% 
 Sat, Jan 24 347 @NC Central L 63 - 67 36% 
 Mon, Jan 26 357 @South Carolina St. L 67 - 68 47% 
 Sat, Jan 31 341 Maryland Eastern Shore W 63 - 61 56% 
 Sat, Feb 7 364 @Coppin St. W 69 - 65 64% 
 Sat, Feb 14 272 @Norfolk St. L 60 - 70 19% 
 Mon, Feb 16 271 Howard L 64 - 68 37% 
 Sat, Feb 21 362 @Morgan St. W 71 - 70 50% 
 Sat, Feb 28 347 NC Central W 66 - 64 58% 
 Mon, Mar 2 357 South Carolina St. W 70 - 65 67% 
 Thu, Mar 5 341 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 60 - 64 34% 
Totals 8 - 17 6 - 8 -13 -12 F F D- -1 D D A-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.1 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 4.3 1st
2nd 0.2 2.2 3.9 1.2 0.1 7.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.0 6.2 1.9 0.1 11.2 3rd
4th 0.1 3.1 8.3 2.9 0.1 14.6 4th
5th 0.1 2.9 10.1 4.4 0.2 17.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 3.5 9.4 5.0 0.3 18.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.8 7.8 3.7 0.3 16.1 7th
8th 0.2 1.1 2.8 4.0 1.7 0.2 10.1 8th
Total 0.2 1.1 3.4 8.1 13.1 16.4 18.6 16.2 11.5 7.0 3.0 1.2 0.3 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
12-2 100.0% 0.3    0.2 0.0
11-3 91.9% 1.1    0.8 0.3 0.0
10-4 56.6% 1.7    0.6 0.8 0.3 0.0
9-5 16.0% 1.1    0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 4.3% 4.3 1.7 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-2 0.3% 27.5% 27.5% 16.0 0.1 0.2
11-3 1.2% 23.5% 23.5% 16.0 0.3 0.9
10-4 3.0% 18.4% 18.4% 16.0 0.6 2.5
9-5 7.0% 13.4% 13.4% 16.0 0.9 6.0
8-6 11.5% 9.8% 9.8% 16.0 1.1 10.4
7-7 16.2% 6.5% 6.5% 16.0 1.1 15.1
6-8 18.6% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 1.0 17.7
5-9 16.4% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.7 15.7
4-10 13.1% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.3 12.8
3-11 8.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 8.0
2-12 3.4% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 3.3
1-13 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.1
0-14 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 6.2% 6.2% 0.0% 16.0 93.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%