East Texas A&M
Southland
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -8.7 308
Results Rating -6.5 269
Pace 71.1 113
Improvement +0.9 161

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- 337 D+ F+ D+ F C+
Defense C- 228 D+ D C C D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 264 C- 57% 198 -2.0 258
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% 259 D 34% 303 -2.1 279
Three Pointers 47% 51 D 31% 298 +1.1 146
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 158 D+ -3.2 298
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.96 274
Second Chance D- 23.9% 339 D- 0.89 341 F+ 0.21 351
Turnovers D+ 18.0% 266
Freethrows F+ 0.24 353 F+ 66% 345 F 0.16 360
Total Offense D- -7.0 337

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B- 54% 91 C- 11.5% 213
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A 46% 10 B 3.1% 54
Three Pointers C 83% 209 D 1.4% 308
Total B 63% 43 C+ 5.3% 149

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 30 C+ 56% 133 +2.8 274
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 318 C+ 37% 133 -1.8 45
Three Pointers 39% 236 D- 38% 348 +1.7 268
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- +1.0 346 C- +1.6 243
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 263
Second Chance C- 31.9% 242 D 1.13 313 D 0.36 301
Turnovers C 17.1% 162
Freethrows C- 0.32 225 B- 71% 96 C 0.22 208
Total Defense C- -1.7 228

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 316 C 11.5% 149
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 28% 226 D 2.3% 320
Three Pointers D+ 88% 291 D 0.2% 335
Total D 62% 319 C 5.6% 176

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.2 158 16.9 120
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 232 0.19 235
Improvement +0.8 #143 +0.0 #185

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 319 306 286
Results Rating Rank 299 267 248
Conference Record 6 - 16 7 - 15 8 - 14
Conference Finish 12 9 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 27% 7% 54%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Houston Christian (Home) - 58.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 8
Quad 31 - 51 - 12
Quad 49 - 810 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 47 @New Mexico L 54 - 76 3% -16  1% 0 - 1 D+ -8 F -19 F+ F+ F A+ +14 A+ F A
 Sun, Nov 9 119 @Hawaii L 74 - 100 9% -17  3% 0 - 2 F -20 C- -1 B- D D F -16 F F C-
 Fri, Nov 14 232 @Rice L 64 - 71 23% -2  41% 0 - 3 D+ -8 F -10 C- F F C+ +2 F C- A+
 Mon, Nov 24 333 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 70 - 65 49% -5  26% 1 - 3 C- -3 D- -7 C- D- F B +4 F D A+
 Tue, Nov 25 338 Army W 84 - 67 62% +10  73% 2 - 3 B- +5 C+ +3 A- F+ D- B- +2 C B- C+
 Fri, Dec 5 9 @Connecticut L 59 - 83 1% -13  0% 2 - 4 C -1 C- -1 A F+ C C -1 B- B- F
 Sun, Dec 7 183 Central Arkansas W 75 - 68 34% +1  48% 3 - 4 C+ +3 D- -7 F B+ C+ A +9 C- A+ C
 Fri, Dec 12 81 @McNeese St. L 66 - 102 5% -26  0% 3 - 5 0 - 1 F -26 F -12 D+ F D- F -10 F F A+
 Mon, Dec 15 287 @SE Louisiana W 70 - 69 34% -1  41% 4 - 5 1 - 1 C- -3 C +1 B- F C+ D -5 D- B F
 Sun, Dec 21 34 @Texas A&M L 77 - 118 2% -22  1% 4 - 6 F -24 D+ -4 F D+ C+ F -13 F F B
 Mon, Dec 29 102 Stephen F. Austin L 48 - 75 16% -6  14% 4 - 7 1 - 2 F -25 F -22 D F F D -6 C D C+
 Wed, Dec 31 216 Lamar L 62 - 69 40% +0  38% 4 - 8 1 - 3 D- -13 F -12 F A F C -1 A F D-
 Sat, Jan 3 256 @Nicholls St. L 58 - 80 27% -12  0% 4 - 9 1 - 4 F -24 F -22 F F F C -1 D+ D B+
 Mon, Jan 5 206 @New Orleans L 73 - 83 19% -8  0% 4 - 10 1 - 5 D -9 D -4 C- F B- D -5 C- A+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 145 UT Rio Grande Valley W 77 - 69 27% +9  87% 5 - 10 2 - 5 B- +6 B +6 A- A+ D+ C+ +1 D B- C+
 Mon, Jan 12 205 TX A&M Corpus Christi L 50 - 61 38% -5  5% 5 - 11 2 - 6 F+ -16 F -22 F D+ C- B+ +5 A- F A
 Sat, Jan 17 298 @Houston Christian L 70 - 81 36% +3  71% 5 - 12 2 - 7 F+ -16 D- -6 C F D- F -10 F+ F B+
 Mon, Jan 19 269 @Incarnate Word W 80 - 58 30% +11  83% 6 - 12 3 - 7 A +19 A +13 B+ A A+ A +10 A+ D- F
 Tue, Jan 27 216 @Lamar L 61 - 82 21% -7  4% 6 - 13 3 - 8 F -21 F -12 F B- A- F -10 F F+ B+
 Sat, Jan 31 256 Nicholls St. L 68 - 72 49% -6  8% 6 - 14 3 - 9 D- -12 F -12 F+ F C+ C -1 C D- C
 Mon, Feb 2 206 New Orleans L 85 - 94 38% -11  0% 6 - 15 3 - 10 D- -14 D+ -3 C D B- F -10 F A+ D
 Wed, Feb 4 275 @Northwestern St. W 74 - 68 30% +0  42% 7 - 15 4 - 10 C+ +3 B +6 B+ D- C C- -2 F B+ F+
 Sat, Feb 7 275 Northwestern St. W 52 - 48 53% +6  91% 8 - 15 5 - 10 D+ -5 F -25 F F B A+ +20 A+ F A+
 Mon, Feb 9 102 @Stephen F. Austin L 70 - 74 7% -2  29% 8 - 16 5 - 11 C+ +4 C+ +3 A+ F F+ C+ +1 C+ C+ B-
 Sat, Feb 14 81 McNeese St. L 54 - 97 12% -18  3% 8 - 17 5 - 12 F -39 F -18 F F B+ F -22 F D+ F
 Mon, Feb 16 287 SE Louisiana W 70 - 53 57% +12  86% 9 - 17 6 - 12 B- +7 D -5 C D+ B- A+ +12 A+ B D-
 Sat, Feb 21 269 Incarnate Word L 73 - 82 52% -5  0% 9 - 18 6 - 13 F -18 B +6 B- B A F -27 D- F D+
 Mon, Feb 23 298 Houston Christian W 70 - 68 58%
 Sat, Feb 28 145 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 66 - 79 12%
 Mon, Mar 2 205 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 64 - 73 19%
Totals 10 - 20 7 - 15 -9 D- -7 F D+ C+ C- -2 D F+ F



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- C- D D D+ 36% 30% 47% C+ D+ D- D- F+ D+ F+ F+ F C- C+ C+ D- C- 45% 16% 39% D- D+ C- D D C C- B- C
0.99 57% 34% 31% -3 0 0.96 24% 0.9 .21 18% .24 66% .16 1.11 56% 37% 38% +2 +1 1.07 32% 1.1 .36 17% .32 71% .17
Nov
5		 New Mexico F A+ D+ F F 25% 20% 55% C F+ C F F+ F F F F A+ A A+ F+ A+ 51% 16% 33% C A+ C+ F F A F+ A+ C
0.70 71% 36% 17% -11 -1 0.78 26% 0.6 .17 27% .20 64% .12 0.99 46% 13% 41% -7 +2 0.92 30% 1.4 .43 19% .37 61% .23
Nov
9		 Hawaii C- C+ F B C+ 46% 11% 43% A- B- D+ D- D D A+ C A+ F F+ B- F F 56% 13% 31% D- F F F F C- F B F
0.96 57% 0% 35% -4 +2 0.98 24% 0.9 .21 18% .50 69% .35 1.29 68% 33% 43% +9 +2 1.24 38% 1.5 .58 18% .85 69% .58
Nov
14		 Rice F B+ A- F C 33% 37% 31% D C- F C- F F F F F C+ A B- F F 44% 13% 42% F F C- C C- A+ C- F D-
0.97 69% 44% 27% +2 -2 1.02 21% 1.0 .21 21% .25 62% .15 1.07 45% 33% 53% +5 +1 1.16 38% 0.9 .34 27% .31 80% .25
Nov
24		 Fairleigh Dickinson D- B F A C- 29% 17% 54% C- C- C- F D- F F F F B D- B D F 40% 7% 53% F F D- C D A+ F+ A+ C
1.05 67% 11% 43% +5 0 1.12 27% 0.7 .19 19% .17 56% .09 0.97 65% 33% 35% +3 +2 1.12 37% 0.9 .33 30% .34 56% .19
Nov
25		 Army C+ A+ F A- A- 32% 8% 60% B A- F B+ F+ D- B- A B+ B- C A+ B C+ 42% 2% 56% F C C+ B+ B- C+ F C+ F
1.22 75% 25% 40% +10 +1 1.24 20% 1.3 .27 17% .39 82% .32 0.97 55% 0% 30% -6 +3 0.96 28% 0.8 .23 19% .36 70% .25
Dec
5		 Connecticut C- B D+ B+ A 29% 25% 46% D A D F F+ C F B F C D- A+ A B+ 60% 15% 25% F+ B- C B+ B- F A- F B
0.90 57% 33% 36% 0 -1 1.00 21% 0.6 .12 20% .23 75% .17 1.26 70% 25% 29% +3 +2 1.13 38% 1.0 .38 9% .23 79% .18
Dec
7		 Central Arkansas D- B- F F F 29% 10% 60% C F F+ A+ B+ C+ A+ B A+ A D+ A+ A+ B- 61% 4% 35% F C- A+ C+ A+ C B- A+ A+
1.01 64% 20% 24% -9 +1 0.85 19% 2.1 .42 19% .41 76% .31 0.91 63% 0% 25% -3 +4 1.04 11% 1.0 .11 16% .24 33% .08
Dec
12		 McNeese St. F C A+ F D- 40% 12% 48% B D+ F+ F F D- F F F F C B+ F F 58% 6% 36% F F F+ D F A+ F D F
0.84 57% 50% 24% -6 +1 0.92 27% 0.8 .22 28% .28 56% .16 1.29 58% 33% 58% +13 +3 1.34 41% 1.1 .45 20% .38 79% .30
Dec
15		 SE Louisiana C F A+ A+ B 30% 26% 43% D B- F F F C+ D- A D+ D B+ C F D- 39% 27% 33% C D- B- A- B F B- F C-
1.08 43% 50% 45% +6 -1 1.11 20% 0.8 .17 19% .32 82% .27 1.07 50% 36% 41% 0 -1 1.00 25% 0.8 .19 11% .30 76% .23
Dec
21		 Texas A&M D+ D+ F+ F F 35% 19% 46% C+ F C+ F D+ C+ A+ B- A+ F F C+ F F 47% 16% 38% B F B- F F B A+ A+ A+
0.92 53% 30% 24% -10 0 0.81 31% 0.7 .21 19% .47 75% .35 1.41 87% 40% 46% +20 +1 1.45 32% 1.8 .58 17% .22 53% .11
Dec
29		 Stephen F. Austin F F D- A- D+ 30% 26% 45% D- D F F F F C- F F D A+ F D C- 25% 27% 47% B C F+ C D C+ F+ D F
0.74 36% 33% 38% -5 -1 0.89 19% 0.3 .05 22% .28 29% .08 1.16 38% 50% 38% +1 -2 1.00 38% 1.0 .38 14% .30 71% .21
Dec
31		 Lamar F D F F F 29% 16% 56% C F D+ A+ A F F+ A+ C+ C A+ C- A+ A+ 45% 29% 25% F A D+ F F D- F+ C D-
0.93 54% 14% 28% -10 0 0.82 27% 1.7 .45 24% .32 88% .28 1.04 39% 40% 23% -12 -1 0.76 36% 1.4 .51 14% .30 71% .21
Jan
3		 Nicholls St. F A D F F 47% 6% 47% A- F D F F F F F F C C+ A+ D- C- 38% 8% 55% F+ D+ F A+ D B+ F B- D-
0.79 73% 33% 14% -8 +2 0.91 30% 0.8 .24 33% .22 64% .14 1.08 55% 0% 38% -1 +2 1.04 39% 0.8 .32 19% .37 64% .23
Jan
5		 New Orleans D F C- A+ D 41% 9% 50% B C- F F F B- F+ A+ C- D B- F B C 40% 15% 44% F+ C- F A+ A+ F F C+ F
1.03 27% 40% 44% -5 +2 0.96 26% 0.5 .14 14% .30 83% .25 1.17 52% 63% 30% -1 +1 1.02 44% 0.4 .20 13% .48 73% .36
Jan
10		 UT Rio Grande Valley B A- D A- A- 33% 13% 54% B A- B- A+ A+ D+ F F F C+ C+ A+ F D+ 47% 4% 49% F D C A- B- C+ C- A C+
1.17 69% 33% 38% +7 +1 1.17 36% 1.4 .50 18% .24 62% .15 1.05 57% 0% 42% +3 +3 1.14 28% 0.9 .25 18% .24 69% .17
Jan
12		 TX A&M Corpus Christi F F+ C F F 48% 16% 36% B- F C F+ D+ C- C F F+ B+ A D- A+ B+ 36% 32% 32% A A- C F F A F C F
0.75 50% 38% 0% -22 +1 0.60 29% 0.8 .24 21% .42 59% .25 0.91 44% 43% 21% -10 -2 0.80 28% 1.4 .41 22% .46 67% .31
Jan
17		 Houston Christian D- B F B+ C+ 38% 15% 48% C C D+ F F D- C+ F F+ F B+ B- F F+ 43% 13% 43% F+ F+ F F F B+ F B- F
1.02 67% 29% 39% +6 +1 1.15 30% 0.6 .18 20% .29 50% .15 1.18 50% 33% 45% +3 +1 1.11 35% 1.1 .38 20% .55 67% .37
Jan
19		 Incarnate Word A B A B+ B 51% 9% 40% B+ B+ C A+ A A+ D- D+ F+ A A+ D+ A+ A+ 39% 24% 37% C- A+ D D D- F D+ F F
1.33 65% 50% 39% +8 +2 1.22 32% 1.6 .52 10% .31 71% .22 0.96 37% 42% 17% -17 0 0.67 35% 1.1 .38 10% .29 88% .26
Jan
27		 Lamar F F D- F F 50% 13% 37% A- F D+ A+ B- A- F F F F D D+ F F 34% 24% 42% F F F C+ F+ B+ C- A- C
0.90 46% 29% 16% -17 +2 0.71 28% 1.3 .37 13% .29 47% .14 1.21 59% 42% 48% +10 -1 1.20 44% 0.9 .42 19% .26 64% .16
Jan
31		 Nicholls St. F F+ D C F+ 33% 17% 50% D+ F+ C F F C+ C+ D+ C C D- D+ B+ D+ 36% 28% 36% A- C B+ F D- C F D+ F
0.98 53% 33% 35% -2 0 0.98 35% 0.4 .14 20% .36 75% .27 1.04 65% 38% 29% 0 -1 1.00 20% 1.7 .33 16% .43 68% .29
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
2		 New Orleans D+ D A+ D C 39% 16% 45% C+ C F A+ D B- A+ B- A+ F D C+ F F 51% 27% 22% D+ F A- A+ A+ D F D+ F
1.09 50% 63% 30% -2 +1 1.00 18% 1.7 .29 14% .55 76% .42 1.20 62% 36% 73% +14 0 1.29 29% 0.1 .03 17% .55 78% .43
Feb
4		 Northwestern St. B C+ F A+ B 43% 6% 51% A- B+ F A+ D- C F A+ F C- C+ F F F 40% 25% 35% D F A+ F B+ F+ B+ A+ A+
1.17 62% 0% 44% +7 +2 1.20 15% 2.0 .31 17% .19 90% .17 1.08 53% 58% 41% +7 0 1.15 13% 1.5 .19 13% .25 50% .13
Feb
7		 Northwestern St. F F F F F 42% 12% 46% B F D F F B B D- C A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 37% 31% 33% C+ A+ F F+ F A+ B- D- C
0.78 41% 17% 25% -16 +1 0.73 29% 0.1 .04 15% .37 67% .25 0.72 17% 27% 25% -23 -1 0.53 34% 1.3 .43 23% .29 80% .23
Feb
9		 Stephen F. Austin C+ A+ B- B A+ 32% 15% 53% C A+ F D+ F F+ D D D C+ C- A+ D B- 47% 22% 31% F C+ D A- C+ B- F C+ F
1.05 87% 43% 36% +11 0 1.26 8% 1.0 .08 21% .25 69% .17 1.11 58% 18% 38% -3 +1 0.98 36% 0.8 .31 15% .35 65% .23
Feb
14		 McNeese St. F A F F F 28% 17% 55% C- F F B- F B+ F A+ F+ F D- D F F 38% 15% 47% C- F A F D+ F B A- B+
0.79 69% 25% 19% -11 0 0.79 18% 1.2 .21 22% .26 86% .23 1.42 65% 44% 46% +12 +1 1.28 28% 1.3 .38 6% .25 69% .17
Feb
16		 SE Louisiana D C+ A+ F C 39% 22% 39% C+ C F A+ D+ B- B- F F A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ 42% 13% 44% F A+ A D+ B D- C+ A- B-
1.03 61% 60% 28% +2 0 1.07 19% 1.5 .29 18% .41 52% .22 0.78 27% 14% 30% -19 +1 0.67 20% 1.0 .20 15% .31 61% .19
Feb
21		 Incarnate Word B B+ C A B+ 31% 20% 49% D- B- A- D+ B A F F F F B+ F F+ F+ 31% 21% 48% C D- F F F D+ D- F F
1.28 67% 40% 42% +9 -1 1.18 40% 1.1 .43 10% .16 63% .10 1.43 46% 56% 40% +4 -1 1.10 43% 2.1 .91 14% .33 94% .30



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 4.2 1.1 5.3 7th
8th 5.7 9.6 0.4 15.7 8th
9th 31.5 3.1 0.0 34.6 9th
10th 5.4 12.4 0.0 17.9 10th
11th 19.5 1.4 20.9 11th
12th 5.7 0.0 5.8 12th
Total 30.6 51.0 16.9 1.5 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11
10-12
9-13 1.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.5
8-14 16.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.9
7-15 51.0% 51.0
6-16 30.6% 30.6
5-17
4-18
3-19
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 30.6%