Houston Christian
Southland
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -8.0 298
Results Rating -8.2 297
Pace 61.7 346
Improvement +0.8 163

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 280 D+ D C- D C
Defense D+ 295 D- D+ C+ C+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 127 C- 55% 249 -0.1 185
2 Pt. Jumpers 44% 106 D 34% 308 -0.2 191
Three Pointers 37% 253 C- 32% 248 -2.7 270
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 202 D+ -2.8 281
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.96 273
Second Chance C- 28.4% 236 D- 0.88 346 D 0.25 312
Turnovers C- 17.7% 241
Freethrows D+ 0.28 268 D 69% 292 D 0.19 300
Total Offense D+ -4.1 280

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B- 55% 66 C- 12.0% 247
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 31% 97 C 5.6% 221
Three Pointers C 83% 208 B 0.3% 42
Total C+ 59% 108 C- 6.2% 247

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 53 D- 66% 344 +6.3 354
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 298 C 38% 180 -1.5 73
Three Pointers 39% 226 D+ 36% 286 +0.7 217
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.8 322 D- +4.5 336
1st FG Attempt D- 1.13 336
Second Chance D+ 32.8% 281 D+ 1.09 271 D+ 0.36 294
Turnovers C+ 17.4% 133
Freethrows C+ 0.28 124 C- 73% 226 C+ 0.21 132
Total Defense D+ -4.0 295

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 56% 325 C 10.5% 189
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 28% 237 D+ 3.5% 266
Three Pointers D 88% 301 B+ 1.8% 41
Total D 62% 312 C 5.9% 156

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.2 342 17.5 212
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 275 0.20 267
Improvement -2.3 #299 +3.2 #43

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 313 297 274
Results Rating Rank 320 293 265
Conference Record 6 - 16 7 - 15 8 - 14
Conference Finish 12 9 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 25% 2% 41%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: East Texas A&M (Away) - 41.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 51 - 11
Quad 48 - 99 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 134 @UC San Diego L 60 - 78 12% -13  17% 0 - 1 D- -13 F -10 C+ F F C- -3 F+ C C+
 Thu, Nov 13 353 Louisiana Monroe W 72 - 61 80% -3  32% 1 - 1 D+ -6 F -13 F+ F B- A- +7 C- A+ A-
 Tue, Nov 25 285 Bellarmine L 69 - 74 48% +1  48% 1 - 2 D- -12 D- -7 F A- B D -6 F A+ B-
 Wed, Nov 26 348 @The Citadel W 72 - 65 58% +6  96% 2 - 2 C- -3 B +6 B- B- D D- -7 D+ F D-
 Sat, Nov 29 266 @Georgia Southern L 62 - 80 31% -6  6% 2 - 3 F -21 F -13 F+ F F F+ -8 F D F+
 Tue, Dec 2 137 @North Texas L 75 - 77 13% -1  35% 2 - 4 C+ +2 A+ +16 A+ F A+ F -14 F F+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 206 @New Orleans W 85 - 76 21% +4  77% 3 - 4 1 - 0 B +10 A +14 C+ A- A+ D+ -4 D- B+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 287 SE Louisiana L 71 - 74 OT 59% -3  4% 3 - 5 1 - 1 D- -13 D- -7 C- D F+ D- -7 D D+ C+
 Mon, Dec 15 81 McNeese St. L 68 - 78 13% +1  56% 3 - 6 1 - 2 D+ -6 B +6 D B A+ F -13 F F C
 Wed, Dec 17 256 @Nicholls St. L 64 - 79 29% -11  0% 3 - 7 1 - 3 F+ -17 F -13 D F F D -5 D D F
 Mon, Dec 29 8 @Iowa St. L 61 - 89 1% -12  2% 3 - 8 C- -4 C +1 B F B- D- -7 A+ F C-
 Sat, Jan 3 269 @Incarnate Word L 56 - 73 32% -9  0% 3 - 9 1 - 4 F -20 F -21 F F F C+ +1 C- B+ F+
 Mon, Jan 5 205 TX A&M Corpus Christi L 65 - 81 40% -8  10% 3 - 10 1 - 5 F -21 F+ -9 F+ B- F F -13 F F D+
 Sat, Jan 10 102 @Stephen F. Austin L 67 - 85 8% -15  0% 3 - 11 1 - 6 D -10 B- +5 A- D+ F F -17 F+ F D-
 Mon, Jan 12 216 @Lamar L 56 - 64 23% +1  59% 3 - 12 1 - 7 D -8 F -12 F D- D B- +3 F+ B+ A+
 Sat, Jan 17 308 East Texas A&M W 81 - 70 64% -3  25% 4 - 12 2 - 7 C -1 B- +4 C+ C+ F+ D+ -5 F B- B
 Mon, Jan 19 275 Northwestern St. W 82 - 80 55% -4  4% 5 - 12 3 - 7 D+ -7 A+ +24 A+ A+ C- F -31 F F D
 Sat, Jan 24 145 UT Rio Grande Valley L 51 - 68 29% -8  10% 5 - 13 3 - 8 F -19 F -18 C D- F D+ -4 F A+ C+
 Tue, Jan 27 269 Incarnate Word W 81 - 75 54% -6  21% 6 - 13 4 - 8 C- -3 D -4 F A- F+ C+ +1 F+ C+ A+
 Sat, Jan 31 205 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 71 - 73 21% -0  45% 6 - 14 4 - 9 C -1 A- +10 A+ F C+ F -12 F A- C+
 Mon, Feb 2 145 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 57 - 74 14% -15  0% 6 - 15 4 - 10 D- -13 F+ -9 F+ F A+ D -6 B- F A
 Sat, Feb 7 287 @SE Louisiana L 47 - 55 36% -6  1% 6 - 16 4 - 11 D- -12 F -16 F F D C+ +2 F+ D+ A+
 Mon, Feb 9 81 @McNeese St. L 69 - 73 6% -5  4% 6 - 17 4 - 12 B- +6 C +1 D+ D B B +5 F+ A- B+
 Sat, Feb 14 206 New Orleans W 61 - 60 40% +1  45% 7 - 17 5 - 12 C- -4 F -11 D C- F+ B+ +6 A- C D-
 Mon, Feb 16 256 Nicholls St. W 72 - 68 51% +5  77% 8 - 17 6 - 12 C- -4 D -6 F C- A+ C+ +1 A+ F D+
 Sat, Feb 21 275 @Northwestern St. L 53 - 71 32% -10  10% 8 - 18 6 - 13 F -21 F -18 F D- F D -5 C F+ F
 Mon, Feb 23 308 @East Texas A&M L 68 - 70 42%
 Sat, Feb 28 102 Stephen F. Austin L 63 - 73 18%
 Mon, Mar 2 216 Lamar L 66 - 68 43%
Totals 9 - 20 7 - 15 -8 D+ -4 B D+ C D+ -4 C- D D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C- D C- D+ 40% 44% 37% C D+ C- D- D C- D+ D D D+ D- C D+ D- 44% 17% 39% D D- D+ D+ D+ C+ C+ C- C+
1.03 55% 34% 32% -3 0 0.96 28% 0.9 .25 18% .28 69% .19 1.14 66% 38% 36% +5 +1 1.13 33% 1.1 .36 17% .28 73% .20
Nov
8		 UC San Diego F A- F C- C+ 34% 22% 44% C- C+ F F+ F F C F F C- D- C F F 36% 16% 48% B F+ C C C C+ B F C+
0.86 65% 27% 32% -2 0 0.98 19% 0.9 .16 23% .26 36% .09 1.12 67% 38% 42% +9 0 1.20 27% 1.0 .27 17% .23 77% .17
Nov
13		 Louisiana Monroe F D F D F 45% 11% 45% B- F+ F+ F F B- F A+ D- A- C+ C C+ C 43% 15% 42% F+ C- A+ C A+ A- A+ F A+
1.03 56% 33% 32% -3 +2 1.00 28% 0.9 .25 14% .17 80% .13 0.87 52% 38% 32% -4 +1 0.96 12% 1.0 .12 21% .13 86% .11
Nov
25		 Bellarmine D- B+ F C F 32% 25% 43% D F D A+ A- B A+ F F+ D F A+ F+ F 45% 19% 36% B- F A+ A+ A+ B- F F F
1.13 71% 18% 37% +1 -1 1.02 29% 1.7 .50 13% .45 38% .17 1.21 89% 25% 40% +15 +1 1.33 6% 0.0 .00 18% .40 90% .36
Nov
26		 The Citadel B A+ A D B- 38% 13% 49% C B- C+ B B- D C- F D D- C- A+ F+ D 30% 15% 55% C- D+ D- F F D- B F D+
1.23 82% 50% 32% +9 +1 1.22 35% 1.1 .38 17% .27 62% .16 1.11 57% 0% 38% -2 0 0.98 32% 1.2 .39 15% .22 91% .20
Nov
29		 Georgia Southern F D F F F 52% 9% 39% B+ F+ D- F F F F F F F+ D A+ F F 46% 9% 44% D F D- C D F+ B- A+ A
0.93 54% 25% 28% -7 +3 0.93 30% 0.8 .24 22% .29 67% .19 1.20 60% 20% 42% +4 +2 1.15 32% 1.1 .35 12% .31 56% .17
Dec
2		 North Texas A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ 39% 18% 43% B- A+ F F F A+ A+ F A F D- A+ F F 61% 5% 34% F F C- F F+ A+ D- A+ A-
1.21 71% 38% 42% +10 0 1.23 21% 0.3 .06 6% .55 59% .33 1.24 64% 0% 64% +17 +4 1.44 35% 1.2 .42 24% .40 47% .19
Dec
6		 New Orleans A C- B- B- C+ 46% 19% 35% C+ C+ C+ A+ A- A+ A+ B A+ D+ C- A+ F D 44% 12% 44% F D- A- C+ B+ F C+ A+ B+
1.29 55% 44% 35% 0 +1 1.04 36% 1.3 .45 8% .49 77% .38 1.15 59% 17% 41% +2 +2 1.10 29% 1.0 .29 14% .35 65% .23
Dec
13		 SE Louisiana D- C- F C D 48% 12% 40% A C- B- F D F+ D F F D- C- B- C- D 39% 24% 37% C- D D+ D+ D+ C+ F D F
1.01 58% 17% 35% -2 +2 1.02 34% 0.8 .29 23% .33 67% .22 1.05 58% 33% 33% -2 0 0.98 30% 1.0 .30 19% .44 72% .31
Dec
15		 McNeese St. B F F A+ D+ 27% 27% 47% F+ D C A B A+ D A C F F D A+ F 46% 19% 35% C- F B+ F F C A+ D+ A+
1.13 42% 17% 43% -4 -2 0.91 34% 1.3 .46 17% .34 82% .28 1.30 86% 44% 24% +9 +1 1.21 30% 2.1 .65 13% .17 78% .13
Dec
17		 Nicholls St. F C B F D- 62% 17% 21% B+ D F A+ F F A+ F B+ D F F B+ D 39% 19% 42% C D C- F D F A+ F A-
0.93 62% 43% 22% -1 +2 1.05 19% 1.4 .27 26% .49 64% .31 1.14 68% 45% 29% +2 0 1.07 26% 1.2 .31 10% .18 73% .13
Dec
29		 Iowa St. C A+ B- D A 19% 45% 36% F B F A+ F B- A A+ A+ D- F A+ A+ A+ 41% 25% 34% B A+ F F F C- F D F
0.92 89% 38% 29% +3 -4 1.00 10% 1.3 .13 21% .32 82% .27 1.34 83% 9% 27% -1 0 1.00 53% 1.4 .75 14% .66 71% .47
Jan
3		 Incarnate Word F F+ F F F 53% 19% 28% C+ F C- F F F F F F C+ F F+ A C- 36% 20% 45% D+ C- A C- B+ F+ A- D B
0.84 50% 30% 27% -9 +1 0.87 32% 0.3 .10 21% .21 55% .11 1.09 65% 45% 28% 0 0 1.02 24% 1.0 .24 12% .20 75% .15
Jan
5		 TX A&M Corpus Christi F+ B D- F F+ 35% 20% 45% D+ F+ B- C B- F D C+ D F D- F B- F 46% 23% 31% C F F D+ F D+ A F B
0.94 65% 30% 23% -7 0 0.88 32% 1.0 .32 25% .36 74% .27 1.17 63% 50% 31% +4 0 1.10 45% 1.0 .45 16% .26 73% .19
Jan
10		 Stephen F. Austin B- A B- D+ A- 45% 17% 38% B A- C+ F+ D+ F A- A A F F F C+ D 40% 8% 52% F F+ F B+ F D- C+ F D+
1.07 68% 43% 31% +4 +1 1.12 30% 0.9 .26 22% .35 82% .29 1.36 67% 50% 33% +4 +2 1.13 49% 0.9 .43 10% .21 83% .18
Jan
12		 Lamar F F+ F F F 43% 21% 36% C+ F B F D- D A- C B+ B- D B+ F+ D- 36% 21% 43% F F+ B+ B- B+ A+ F D F
0.90 50% 22% 27% -11 0 0.81 36% 0.6 .23 19% .46 70% .32 1.03 60% 33% 39% +3 0 1.07 29% 0.9 .25 26% .50 74% .37
Jan
17		 East Texas A&M B- D- D A+ C+ 43% 13% 43% C+ C+ B- C- C+ F+ A+ D A+ D+ F+ A- F F 38% 15% 48% D+ F F+ A+ B- B D- A+ C+
1.18 50% 33% 45% +3 +1 1.11 35% 1.1 .38 20% .55 67% .37 1.02 67% 29% 39% +6 +1 1.15 30% 0.6 .18 20% .29 50% .15
Jan
19		 Northwestern St. A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 41% 13% 46% B- A+ A+ A A+ C- A+ C A+ F F+ F D- F 46% 15% 39% F F F F+ F D F D- F
1.48 56% 60% 56% +17 +1 1.38 50% 1.4 .68 18% .48 73% .35 1.44 63% 67% 38% +9 +1 1.22 48% 1.3 .61 14% .51 79% .40
Jan
24		 UT Rio Grande Valley F D C+ B+ C 37% 24% 39% C- C C F D- F F F F D+ F+ A+ F F 58% 4% 38% F F A A+ A+ C+ A+ F A+
0.84 53% 40% 38% +1 -1 1.02 32% 0.6 .18 31% .19 63% .12 1.12 68% 0% 44% +10 +4 1.29 20% 0.4 .08 18% .08 100% .08
Jan
27		 Incarnate Word D D F F F 61% 15% 24% B+ F A+ D+ A- F+ A+ B+ A+ C+ A+ F F D- 39% 18% 43% D- F+ F A+ C+ A+ F A+ F+
1.12 54% 29% 27% -7 +2 0.93 45% 1.1 .48 19% .64 78% .50 1.04 37% 56% 48% +4 0 1.10 41% 0.7 .30 28% .42 59% .25
Jan
31		 TX A&M Corpus Christi A- C B- A+ A+ 29% 24% 46% F+ A+ B+ F F C+ C A+ B+ F F A+ F+ F 60% 13% 28% F F F A+ A- C+ F C F+
1.17 58% 40% 53% +14 -1 1.27 34% 0.2 .07 20% .41 85% .35 1.20 71% 17% 38% +7 +3 1.21 37% 0.5 .19 18% .42 67% .28
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
2		 UT Rio Grande Valley F+ F C+ D+ F 42% 20% 38% B- F+ D+ F F A+ F A- F+ D A- A D+ B 41% 9% 50% F+ B- F F F A F F F
0.92 43% 40% 32% -7 0 0.88 29% 0.3 .10 11% .24 77% .18 1.20 50% 25% 36% -3 +2 1.00 47% 1.3 .59 23% .38 94% .36
Feb
7		 SE Louisiana F F+ F F F 46% 23% 31% B- F B+ F F D C- C C- C+ D- F C+ F 34% 27% 39% C+ F+ F B+ D+ A+ A+ A+ A+
0.83 50% 11% 25% -14 0 0.74 37% 0.5 .17 21% .36 75% .27 0.97 64% 45% 31% +3 -1 1.05 37% 0.8 .30 28% .17 57% .10
Feb
9		 McNeese St. C C A F D+ 40% 23% 36% C- D+ D- C+ D B C- A+ B+ B D+ F B D- 60% 19% 21% F+ F+ A+ F A- B+ C- B+ C+
1.02 58% 45% 24% -4 0 0.94 29% 1.1 .32 22% .36 89% .32 1.08 62% 56% 30% +4 +2 1.15 22% 1.2 .26 16% .30 71% .21
Feb
14		 New Orleans F B- A F D+ 33% 26% 41% D- D F+ A C- F+ F C- F B+ C+ C+ A+ A 54% 29% 17% D+ A- C- C+ C D- B+ A+ A+
0.98 60% 50% 21% -4 -1 0.91 27% 1.2 .33 19% .28 71% .20 0.97 54% 36% 13% -8 0 0.85 36% 1.0 .36 16% .31 56% .17
Feb
16		 Nicholls St. D D+ D+ F F 39% 35% 27% F F F A+ C- A+ A D- B+ C+ A+ F A+ A+ 43% 24% 33% B- A+ B- F F D+ F D- F
1.07 58% 35% 23% -5 -2 0.88 25% 1.4 .36 10% .43 73% .31 1.01 43% 50% 19% -11 0 0.80 22% 1.8 .38 15% .42 71% .30
Feb
21		 Northwestern St. F F D D F 39% 25% 36% D F F B- D- F F D- F D D+ C- A+ C 40% 35% 25% B- C C+ F F+ F D+ D- D
0.84 35% 36% 31% -11 -1 0.80 24% 1.2 .30 22% .24 67% .16 1.12 58% 41% 25% -2 -2 0.94 23% 1.6 .37 11% .34 79% .27



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 9.1 3.6 12.7 7th
8th 5.1 11.9 0.1 17.2 8th
9th 26.6 2.8 29.4 9th
10th 5.4 10.9 0.0 16.3 10th
11th 17.8 1.5 19.3 11th
12th 5.1 0.0 5.1 12th
Total 28.2 44.2 23.8 3.8 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11
10-12
9-13 3.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.7
8-14 23.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 23.8
7-15 44.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 44.2
6-16 28.2% 28.2
5-17
4-18
3-19
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%
Lose Out 28.2%