Arkansas Pine Bluff
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-18.5#363
Expected Predictive Rating-20.7#363
Pace79.8#8
Improvement+1.2#133

Offense
Total Offense-6.6#337
First Shot-3.9#288
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#325
Layup/Dunks+4.3#47
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#302
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#288
Freethrows-2.6#321
Improvement-1.4#265

Defense
Total Defense-11.9#364
First Shot-8.1#357
After Offensive Rebounds-3.9#358
Layups/Dunks-5.5#350
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#7
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#328
Freethrows-1.4#281
Improvement+2.5#57
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.0% 5.4% 0.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 20.3% 9.2% 21.1%
First Four0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bethune-Cookman (Away) - 6.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 20 - 7
Quad 45 - 175 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 39   @ Cincinnati L 54-109 1%     0 - 1 -40.4 -11.0 -25.9
  Nov 09, 2024 251   @ Tulsa L 80-103 7%     0 - 2 -25.3 +1.4 -25.0
  Nov 12, 2024 154   @ South Florida L 69-85 3%     0 - 3 -12.6 -3.1 -9.5
  Nov 16, 2024 303   @ Incarnate Word L 64-92 11%     0 - 4 -33.2 -11.2 -23.2
  Nov 18, 2024 17   @ Texas Tech L 64-98 0.3%    0 - 5 -14.8 -3.1 -10.5
  Nov 24, 2024 29   @ Missouri L 63-112 0.5%    0 - 6 -32.9 -10.6 -17.2
  Nov 27, 2024 302   @ Pacific L 71-83 11%     0 - 7 -17.1 -5.0 -12.2
  Dec 01, 2024 89   @ Kansas St. L 73-120 1%     0 - 8 -37.9 -4.7 -27.3
  Dec 07, 2024 339   Central Arkansas W 84-78 34%     1 - 8 -8.2 +4.5 -12.7
  Dec 11, 2024 347   @ Louisiana Monroe L 73-89 19%     1 - 9 -25.3 -10.2 -13.5
  Dec 15, 2024 38   @ Texas L 57-121 1%     1 - 10 -49.2 -13.4 -30.6
  Jan 04, 2025 358   @ Alabama A&M L 79-89 26%     1 - 11 0 - 1 -21.8 -6.8 -13.9
  Jan 06, 2025 299   @ Alabama St. L 91-93 11%     1 - 12 0 - 2 -7.0 +12.1 -19.0
  Jan 13, 2025 330   Prairie View L 64-75 31%     1 - 13 0 - 3 -24.4 -23.3 +0.1
  Jan 18, 2025 360   @ Florida A&M L 76-86 27%     1 - 14 0 - 4 -21.9 -5.4 -16.0
  Jan 20, 2025 255   @ Bethune-Cookman L 70-86 7%    
  Jan 25, 2025 219   Southern L 72-85 12%    
  Jan 27, 2025 325   Grambling St. L 73-79 31%    
  Feb 01, 2025 364   Mississippi Valley W 80-71 82%    
  Feb 04, 2025 300   Texas Southern L 76-84 24%    
  Feb 08, 2025 332   @ Alcorn St. L 72-82 16%    
  Feb 10, 2025 278   @ Jackson St. L 71-86 9%    
  Feb 15, 2025 299   Alabama St. L 78-86 23%    
  Feb 17, 2025 358   Alabama A&M L 81-82 47%    
  Feb 22, 2025 330   @ Prairie View L 81-92 16%    
  Feb 24, 2025 300   @ Texas Southern L 73-87 10%    
  Mar 01, 2025 364   @ Mississippi Valley W 77-73 63%    
  Mar 06, 2025 278   Jackson St. L 74-83 21%    
  Mar 08, 2025 332   Alcorn St. L 75-80 34%    
Projected Record 5 - 24 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.7 6th
7th 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 1.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.0 0.7 0.1 3.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.7 4.8 2.1 0.1 0.0 10.3 9th
10th 0.3 2.9 8.2 9.2 4.1 0.5 0.0 25.3 10th
11th 1.3 10.2 17.4 13.5 4.4 0.6 0.0 47.4 11th
12th 0.9 4.4 4.0 1.1 0.1 10.5 12th
Total 0.9 5.7 14.5 21.4 22.4 16.4 10.6 5.1 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8 0.2% 0.0 0.2
9-9 0.8% 0.8
8-10 2.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.0
7-11 5.1% 5.1
6-12 10.6% 10.6
5-13 16.4% 16.4
4-14 22.4% 22.4
3-15 21.4% 21.4
2-16 14.5% 14.5
1-17 5.7% 5.7
0-18 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.9%