IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Arkansas Pine Bluff
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-14.8	#361
Expected Predictive Rating	-6.3	#283

Pace	77.4	#28
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.7	#332

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-9.1	#364

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.0%	1.5%	0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	3.1%	5.7%	1.2%
.500 or above in Conference	23.2%	29.8%	18.5%
Conference Champion	0.8%	1.2%	0.5%
Last Place in Conference	17.2%	12.9%	20.3%

First Four	0.9%	1.4%	0.5%
First Round	0.4%	0.6%	0.2%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Incarnate Word (Home) - 41.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 6
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 9
Quad 4	8 - 13	8 - 22

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	22	@ Cincinnati	L	54-109	1%	0 - 1			-39.0	-14.6	-20.9
Nov 09, 2024	142	@ Tulsa	L	80-103	5%	0 - 2			-18.8	+1.6	-18.6
Nov 12, 2024	120	@ South Florida	L	69-85	4%	0 - 3			-9.9	-0.7	-9.1
Nov 16, 2024	327	Incarnate Word	L	82-84	42%
Nov 18, 2024	14	@ Texas Tech	L	61-94	0.1%
Nov 24, 2024	71	@ Missouri	L	65-91	1%
Nov 27, 2024	284	@ Pacific	L	73-84	15%
Dec 01, 2024	42	@ Kansas St.	L	62-90	0.4%
Dec 07, 2024	346	Central Arkansas	W	80-79	51%
Dec 11, 2024	319	@ Louisiana Monroe	L	71-80	21%
Dec 15, 2024	23	@ Texas	L	62-93	0.3%
Jan 04, 2025	340	@ Alabama A&M	L	75-82	27%
Jan 06, 2025	281	@ Alabama St.	L	69-81	16%
Jan 11, 2025	257	Texas Southern	L	72-79	28%
Jan 13, 2025	345	Prairie View	W	81-80	51%
Jan 18, 2025	355	@ Florida A&M	L	75-79	38%
Jan 20, 2025	291	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	73-84	17%
Jan 25, 2025	273	Southern	L	74-80	31%
Jan 27, 2025	241	Grambling St.	L	69-77	25%
Feb 01, 2025	364	Mississippi Valley	W	76-68	76%
Feb 08, 2025	352	@ Alcorn St.	L	73-78	34%
Feb 10, 2025	324	@ Jackson St.	L	73-82	23%
Feb 15, 2025	281	Alabama St.	L	72-78	32%
Feb 17, 2025	340	Alabama A&M	L	78-79	47%
Feb 22, 2025	345	@ Prairie View	L	78-84	31%
Feb 24, 2025	257	@ Texas Southern	L	69-82	14%
Mar 01, 2025	364	@ Mississippi Valley	W	73-71	57%
Mar 06, 2025	324	Jackson St.	L	76-79	41%
Mar 08, 2025	352	Alcorn St.	W	76-75	55%
Projected Record						8 - 21	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0			0.8	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0				1.6	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	0.9	1.2	0.3	0.0						2.7	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	1.3	1.7	0.6	0.1							4.0	4th
5th								0.0	0.2	1.7	2.8	0.9	0.1								5.7	5th
6th							0.0	0.2	1.9	3.7	1.5	0.1	0.0								7.5	6th
7th							0.2	2.1	4.2	2.4	0.2										9.1	7th
8th					0.0	0.3	2.1	5.4	3.3	0.5	0.0										11.6	8th
9th				0.0	0.4	2.8	6.2	4.0	0.8	0.0											14.1	9th
10th			0.1	0.8	3.8	6.5	4.4	0.9	0.0												16.6	10th
11th		0.1	1.5	4.4	5.7	3.4	0.7	0.1													15.9	11th
12th	0.5	2.1	3.4	2.9	1.3	0.3	0.0														10.4	12th

Total	0.5	2.3	4.9	8.2	11.2	13.2	13.5	12.6	10.4	8.6	6.1	3.9	2.5	1.2	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0				Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	88.2%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-3	76.1%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
14-4	43.1%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	18.7%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	3.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.3%	0.0				0.0		0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.8%	0.8		0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.0%																						0.0	0.0
16-2	0.1%		23.5%	23.5%		15.8																0.0	0.0	0.1
15-3	0.2%		19.7%	19.7%		15.9																0.0	0.0	0.2
14-4	0.5%		15.0%	15.0%		16.0																	0.1	0.4
13-5	1.2%		9.2%	9.2%		16.0																0.0	0.1	1.1
12-6	2.5%		6.2%	6.2%		16.0																	0.2	2.4
11-7	3.9%		3.9%	3.9%		16.0																	0.2	3.7
10-8	6.1%		2.2%	2.2%		16.0																	0.1	6.0
9-9	8.6%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.1	8.5
8-10	10.4%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	10.4
7-11	12.6%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	12.6
6-12	13.5%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	13.5
5-13	13.2%																							13.2
4-14	11.2%																							11.2
3-15	8.2%																							8.2
2-16	4.9%																							4.9
1-17	2.3%																							2.3
0-18	0.5%																							0.5

Total	100%		1.0%	1.0%	0.0%	16.0																0.0	0.9	99.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%