Cleveland St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.2#238
Expected Predictive Rating-4.4#240
Pace68.1#207
Improvement+0.7#135

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#305
First Shot-7.3#348
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#45
Layup/Dunks-2.7#283
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#65
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.0#350
Freethrows+0.1#173
Improvement+0.6#134

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#149
First Shot+1.2#131
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#233
Layups/Dunks-0.1#168
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#49
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#144
Freethrows-1.6#286
Improvement+0.2#172
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.0% 6.6% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.0 15.4
.500 or above 38.4% 51.0% 26.6%
.500 or above in Conference 57.1% 70.9% 44.2%
Conference Champion 3.9% 6.4% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.9% 0.6% 3.1%
First Four1.0% 1.0% 1.1%
First Round4.5% 6.1% 3.0%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oakland (Home) - 48.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 73 - 11
Quad 411 - 514 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 21   @ Michigan L 53-101 3%     0 - 1 -30.8 -15.2 -12.5
  Nov 09, 2024 68   @ Kansas St. L 64-77 8%     0 - 2 -1.7 -2.5 +0.7
  Nov 12, 2024 232   @ Valparaiso W 75-67 37%     1 - 2 +7.3 +2.1 +5.4
  Nov 16, 2024 314   Eastern Michigan W 71-63 77%     2 - 2 -3.7 -3.9 +0.6
  Nov 19, 2024 113   @ Minnesota L 47-58 16%     2 - 3 -4.7 -17.7 +12.1
  Nov 23, 2024 114   Kent St. L 52-68 33%     2 - 4 -15.7 -14.2 -2.7
  Nov 26, 2024 353   NJIT W 56-53 86%     3 - 4 -12.7 -17.5 +5.1
  Nov 29, 2024 276   Morehead St. L 69-71 69%     3 - 5 -11.2 -7.1 -4.1
  Dec 05, 2024 138   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 67-79 21%     3 - 6 0 - 1 -7.8 +0.0 -8.8
  Dec 07, 2024 334   @ Green Bay W 83-61 62%     4 - 6 1 - 1 +14.6 +6.3 +8.6
  Dec 19, 2024 171   Oakland L 63-64 48%    
  Dec 29, 2024 155   Wright St. L 72-73 45%    
  Jan 04, 2025 354   IU Indianapolis W 75-63 86%    
  Jan 08, 2025 256   @ Robert Morris L 67-69 43%    
  Jan 11, 2025 193   @ Youngstown St. L 65-71 29%    
  Jan 15, 2025 211   Northern Kentucky W 67-66 55%    
  Jan 19, 2025 354   @ IU Indianapolis W 72-66 69%    
  Jan 22, 2025 322   Detroit Mercy W 72-64 77%    
  Jan 25, 2025 334   Green Bay W 78-69 80%    
  Jan 30, 2025 147   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 72-80 25%    
  Feb 05, 2025 211   @ Northern Kentucky L 64-69 33%    
  Feb 08, 2025 138   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72-74 41%    
  Feb 12, 2025 256   Robert Morris W 70-66 64%    
  Feb 16, 2025 193   Youngstown St. W 68-67 51%    
  Feb 21, 2025 322   @ Detroit Mercy W 69-67 56%    
  Feb 23, 2025 171   @ Oakland L 60-66 28%    
  Feb 27, 2025 155   @ Wright St. L 69-76 25%    
  Mar 01, 2025 147   Purdue Fort Wayne L 75-77 44%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.8 1.3 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 6.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.3 3.9 1.5 0.2 0.0 8.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.1 2.3 0.2 0.0 10.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.1 5.9 3.0 0.3 12.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.9 6.8 3.8 0.5 0.0 15.8 6th
7th 0.2 1.2 4.8 7.0 3.8 0.6 0.0 17.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.5 5.0 2.5 0.3 14.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.6 2.4 0.8 0.1 7.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.7 5.2 8.3 11.4 13.9 14.4 13.5 11.1 8.4 5.1 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-3 92.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0 0.0
16-4 83.4% 1.1    0.8 0.3 0.0
15-5 45.7% 1.3    0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0
14-6 16.4% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1
13-7 1.8% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.9% 3.9 1.8 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 36.2% 36.2% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.4% 29.9% 29.9% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-4 1.3% 21.2% 21.2% 13.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
15-5 2.9% 17.5% 17.5% 14.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.4
14-6 5.1% 15.9% 15.9% 14.8 0.3 0.4 0.1 4.3
13-7 8.4% 9.8% 9.8% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 7.6
12-8 11.1% 6.2% 6.2% 15.4 0.0 0.4 0.3 10.4
11-9 13.5% 5.7% 5.7% 15.6 0.3 0.5 12.7
10-10 14.4% 3.0% 3.0% 15.8 0.1 0.4 14.0
9-11 13.9% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.3 13.5
8-12 11.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 11.3
7-13 8.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 8.2
6-14 5.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.2
5-15 2.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.7
4-16 1.1% 1.1
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.9 2.0 95.0 0.0%