Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.0#325
Expected Predictive Rating-19.4#359
Pace64.3#294
Improvement-5.5#354

Offense
Total Offense-6.5#334
First Shot-5.1#315
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#271
Layup/Dunks-1.7#247
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#97
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#293
Freethrows-1.0#247
Improvement-2.9#321

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#276
First Shot-3.8#299
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#159
Layups/Dunks-1.8#248
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#119
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#233
Freethrows-1.9#306
Improvement-2.7#313
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 4.1% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 44.8% 48.4% 18.8%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.2% 2.7%
First Four3.8% 4.0% 2.3%
First Round2.0% 2.2% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi Valley (Away) - 87.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 49 - 129 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 19   @ Mississippi L 64-66 1%     0 - 1 +16.3 +0.4 +16.0
  Nov 11, 2024 5   @ Florida L 62-86 1%     0 - 2 -0.8 -3.7 +3.9
  Nov 21, 2024 53   @ New Mexico L 58-80 3%     0 - 3 -8.8 -13.5 +7.3
  Nov 24, 2024 61   @ USC L 69-80 3%     0 - 4 +0.8 +4.7 -4.3
  Nov 26, 2024 286   @ Cal Poly L 79-82 30%     0 - 5 -7.4 +2.5 -10.0
  Dec 07, 2024 203   @ Pepperdine L 57-85 16%     0 - 6 -27.4 -14.9 -12.5
  Dec 16, 2024 220   SE Louisiana L 65-75 35%     0 - 7 -16.0 -2.9 -14.1
  Dec 19, 2024 321   Delaware St. L 60-73 47%     0 - 8 -22.3 -11.2 -12.5
  Dec 20, 2024 182   Norfolk St. L 70-76 19%     0 - 9 -6.9 +3.1 -10.6
  Dec 22, 2024 39   @ Cincinnati L 49-84 2%     0 - 10 -20.4 -6.9 -17.5
  Jan 04, 2025 330   @ Prairie View L 55-73 42%     0 - 11 0 - 1 -25.9 -20.0 -6.9
  Jan 06, 2025 300   @ Texas Southern L 66-71 OT 31%     0 - 12 0 - 2 -10.0 -13.6 +4.3
  Jan 11, 2025 255   Bethune-Cookman L 59-65 43%     0 - 13 0 - 3 -14.1 -13.2 -1.0
  Jan 13, 2025 360   Florida A&M W 79-72 76%     1 - 13 1 - 3 -10.4 +6.5 -16.2
  Jan 18, 2025 219   @ Southern L 60-67 18%     1 - 14 1 - 4 -7.5 -7.4 -0.3
  Jan 25, 2025 364   @ Mississippi Valley W 70-58 88%    
  Jan 27, 2025 363   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 79-73 69%    
  Feb 01, 2025 278   Jackson St. L 66-67 49%    
  Feb 03, 2025 332   Alcorn St. W 68-64 65%    
  Feb 08, 2025 299   @ Alabama St. L 68-73 31%    
  Feb 10, 2025 358   @ Alabama A&M W 70-68 56%    
  Feb 15, 2025 300   Texas Southern W 68-67 53%    
  Feb 17, 2025 330   Prairie View W 74-71 63%    
  Feb 22, 2025 219   Southern L 64-68 36%    
  Mar 01, 2025 360   @ Florida A&M W 69-67 57%    
  Mar 03, 2025 255   @ Bethune-Cookman L 63-70 24%    
  Mar 06, 2025 358   Alabama A&M W 73-66 76%    
  Mar 08, 2025 299   Alabama St. W 71-70 53%    
Projected Record 8 - 20 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.0 1.7 0.4 0.0 3.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 3.6 1.4 0.1 6.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 2.0 5.5 2.9 0.2 10.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 7.2 5.1 0.6 0.0 14.9 6th
7th 0.1 2.3 8.2 7.3 1.3 0.0 19.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.6 7.9 7.4 1.6 0.1 19.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.2 6.4 5.1 1.1 0.1 15.3 9th
10th 0.2 1.3 2.9 1.9 0.5 0.0 6.9 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.1 0.8 2.6 5.9 11.2 15.9 18.7 18.2 13.7 8.0 3.7 0.9 0.2 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 41.7% 0.1    0.1 0.1
13-5 11.7% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.2% 20.8% 20.8% 15.0 0.1 0.2
13-5 0.9% 19.1% 19.1% 16.0 0.2 0.8
12-6 3.7% 11.8% 11.8% 16.0 0.4 3.3
11-7 8.0% 10.0% 10.0% 16.0 0.8 7.2
10-8 13.7% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.9 12.7
9-9 18.2% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.8 17.4
8-10 18.7% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.5 18.2
7-11 15.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 15.8
6-12 11.2% 11.2
5-13 5.9% 5.9
4-14 2.6% 2.6
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.8% 3.8% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 3.8 96.2 0.0%