NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#264
Expected Predictive Rating-9.0#297
Pace66.0#273
Improvement+0.8#98

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#216
First Shot-0.6#206
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#240
Layup/Dunks-2.3#259
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#132
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#147
Freethrows+0.1#183
Improvement+0.4#113

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#299
First Shot-0.5#195
After Offensive Rebounds-3.2#330
Layups/Dunks-9.1#358
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#189
3 Pt Jumpshots+10.6#4
Freethrows-2.3#297
Improvement+0.4#126
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.3% 20.4% 15.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 40.8% 57.1% 33.2%
.500 or above in Conference 85.9% 90.0% 84.0%
Conference Champion 20.8% 25.6% 18.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.6% 1.2%
First Four12.3% 12.0% 12.4%
First Round11.5% 14.8% 10.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia St. (Away) - 31.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 62 - 9
Quad 412 - 713 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 92   @ George Mason L 58-75 10%     0 - 1 -8.4 -8.0 -0.8
  Nov 08, 2024 219   Gardner-Webb L 82-88 51%     0 - 2 -11.7 +3.1 -14.6
  Nov 12, 2024 125   @ High Point L 60-76 16%     0 - 3 -10.5 -4.2 -8.8
  Nov 15, 2024 220   Georgia Southern L 75-80 40%     0 - 4 -7.8 -6.3 -1.1
  Nov 16, 2024 210   William & Mary W 78-76 38%     1 - 4 -0.3 +0.4 -0.8
  Nov 17, 2024 195   @ Winthrop L 75-77 26%     1 - 5 -0.5 +4.6 -5.1
  Nov 22, 2024 229   @ Georgia St. L 70-75 32%    
  Dec 05, 2024 226   Radford W 72-71 53%    
  Dec 07, 2024 219   @ Gardner-Webb L 70-76 30%    
  Dec 10, 2024 56   @ West Virginia L 62-80 5%    
  Dec 14, 2024 179   @ Longwood L 64-71 25%    
  Dec 20, 2024 179   Longwood L 67-68 45%    
  Dec 28, 2024 285   @ N.C. A&T L 75-77 43%    
  Jan 04, 2025 363   @ Coppin St. W 72-61 84%    
  Jan 06, 2025 332   @ Morgan St. W 77-75 55%    
  Jan 11, 2025 354   Maryland Eastern Shore W 76-65 85%    
  Jan 13, 2025 346   Delaware St. W 75-65 81%    
  Jan 25, 2025 314   South Carolina St. W 74-68 71%    
  Feb 01, 2025 231   @ Howard L 70-75 33%    
  Feb 03, 2025 197   @ Norfolk St. L 66-73 28%    
  Feb 15, 2025 363   Coppin St. W 75-58 93%    
  Feb 17, 2025 332   Morgan St. W 80-72 75%    
  Feb 22, 2025 354   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 73-68 68%    
  Feb 24, 2025 346   @ Delaware St. W 72-68 64%    
  Mar 01, 2025 231   Howard W 73-72 54%    
  Mar 03, 2025 197   Norfolk St. L 69-70 47%    
  Mar 06, 2025 314   @ South Carolina St. W 72-71 51%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 9 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 3.2 6.7 6.5 3.1 0.7 20.8 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 6.3 10.0 5.7 0.9 24.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 7.8 9.7 3.5 0.2 23.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 6.3 6.1 1.5 0.0 15.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 4.1 3.3 0.6 0.0 9.3 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 2.1 1.6 0.2 4.8 6th
7th 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 1.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 8th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.9 7.5 11.7 15.5 18.1 16.8 12.7 7.4 3.1 0.7 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
13-1 100.0% 3.1    3.0 0.2
12-2 87.7% 6.5    4.7 1.8 0.0
11-3 53.0% 6.7    2.9 3.2 0.6
10-4 19.2% 3.2    0.7 1.5 1.0 0.1 0.0
9-5 2.5% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 20.8% 20.8 11.9 6.8 1.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.7% 49.3% 49.3% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4
13-1 3.1% 43.7% 43.7% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.8
12-2 7.4% 37.9% 37.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.1 4.6
11-3 12.7% 28.7% 28.7% 15.9 0.0 0.4 3.2 9.0
10-4 16.8% 21.4% 21.4% 16.0 0.1 3.5 13.2
9-5 18.1% 14.4% 14.4% 16.0 0.0 2.6 15.4
8-6 15.5% 9.6% 9.6% 16.0 0.0 1.5 14.0
7-7 11.7% 7.9% 7.9% 16.0 0.9 10.8
6-8 7.5% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.4 7.1
5-9 3.9% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.1 3.8
4-10 1.8% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 1.7
3-11 0.7% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.7
2-12 0.2% 0.2
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14
Total 100% 17.3% 17.3% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.8 15.1 82.7 0.0%