IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Southern Indiana
Ohio Valley
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.0	#322
Expected Predictive Rating	-9.4	#304

Pace	67.9	#227
Improvement	-1.6	#324

Offense
Total Offense	-5.0	#312

First Shot	-1.2	#219
After Offensive Rebound	-3.8	#347

Layup/Dunks	-2.8	#273
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.9	#82
3 Pt Jumpshots	-1.4	#226
Freethrows	+1.2	#129

Improvement	-0.2	#202

Defense
Total Defense	-4.0	#304

First Shot	-4.0	#295
After Offensive Rebounds	+0.0	#189

Layups/Dunks	+1.1	#137
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.1	#118
3 Pt Jumpshots	-1.9	#248
Freethrows	-4.4	#347

Improvement	-1.4	#323

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.6%	5.9%	3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.9	15.9

.500 or above	22.3%	32.6%	14.7%
.500 or above in Conference	46.8%	54.1%	41.5%
Conference Champion	4.9%	6.5%	3.6%
Last Place in Conference	10.6%	7.7%	12.7%

First Four	3.4%	4.0%	2.9%
First Round	2.9%	3.9%	2.2%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota (Home) - 42.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 6
Quad 4	11 - 11	12 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	110	@ DePaul	L	78-80 OT	8%	0 - 1			+5.0	+2.1	+3.0
Nov 07, 2024	235	Bucknell	L	69-75 OT	41%	0 - 2			-12.7	-8.5	-3.9
Nov 11, 2024	196	@ Marshall	L	63-77	16%	0 - 3			-12.5	-9.3	-3.2
Nov 13, 2024	336	@ Bellarmine	W	71-69	44%	1 - 3			-5.6	-4.4	-1.1
Nov 16, 2024	139	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	L	74-93	11%	1 - 4			-14.4	+3.0	-17.9
Nov 22, 2024	239	South Dakota	L	74-76	43%
Nov 25, 2024	191	Indiana St.	L	75-80	33%
Dec 07, 2024	132	@ Southern Illinois	L	62-76	10%
Dec 19, 2024	296	Tennessee St.	W	72-71	55%
Dec 21, 2024	301	Tennessee Martin	W	75-74	55%
Dec 31, 2024	268	Morehead St.	L	65-66	48%
Jan 02, 2025	334	@ Tennessee Tech	L	68-70	44%
Jan 09, 2025	320	@ Southeast Missouri St.	L	72-75	39%
Jan 11, 2025	205	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	66-76	18%
Jan 16, 2025	355	Lindenwood	W	75-67	76%
Jan 18, 2025	326	Western Illinois	W	68-65	61%
Jan 23, 2025	272	@ SIU Edwardsville	L	65-71	29%
Jan 25, 2025	315	@ Eastern Illinois	L	68-71	38%
Jan 28, 2025	268	@ Morehead St.	L	63-69	29%
Feb 01, 2025	334	Tennessee Tech	W	71-67	65%
Feb 06, 2025	205	Arkansas Little Rock	L	69-73	36%
Feb 08, 2025	320	Southeast Missouri St.	W	75-72	60%
Feb 13, 2025	326	@ Western Illinois	L	65-68	40%
Feb 15, 2025	355	@ Lindenwood	W	72-70	57%
Feb 20, 2025	315	Eastern Illinois	W	71-68	59%
Feb 22, 2025	272	SIU Edwardsville	L	68-69	49%
Feb 27, 2025	301	@ Tennessee Martin	L	72-77	35%
Mar 01, 2025	296	@ Tennessee St.	L	69-74	34%
Projected Record						11 - 17	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.3	1.0	1.4	1.1	0.7	0.3	0.0	0.0		4.9	1st
2nd												0.1	0.9	2.2	2.2	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.0				7.1	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.2	3.2	2.9	1.0	0.2	0.0	0.0					8.7	3rd
4th										0.1	1.4	3.8	3.4	1.0	0.1	0.0							9.8	4th
5th									0.0	1.3	4.4	4.1	1.0	0.1	0.0								10.9	5th
6th								0.0	1.0	4.2	4.2	1.1	0.1										10.6	6th
7th							0.1	1.0	4.0	4.8	1.4	0.0											11.2	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	0.9	3.5	4.3	1.7	0.1	0.0											10.7	8th
9th				0.0	0.2	1.2	3.3	4.0	1.5	0.1													10.3	9th
10th			0.1	0.4	1.6	3.0	2.9	1.2	0.2	0.0													9.3	10th
11th	0.0	0.3	0.8	1.5	2.0	1.4	0.5	0.1															6.6	11th

Total	0.0	0.3	0.8	1.9	3.8	5.6	7.7	9.9	11.0	12.1	11.7	10.3	8.6	6.5	4.4	2.8	1.5	0.8	0.3	0.0	0.0			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	99.2%	0.3		0.3	0.0
17-3	89.3%	0.7		0.6	0.1
16-4	74.5%	1.1		0.8	0.3	0.0
15-5	49.6%	1.4		0.7	0.5	0.1	0.0
14-6	22.5%	1.0		0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0
13-7	5.3%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.5%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	4.9%	4.9		2.8	1.5	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%																			0.0	0.0			0.0
19-1	0.0%																				0.0	0.0		0.0
18-2	0.3%		45.8%	45.8%		15.0														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.2
17-3	0.8%		36.0%	36.0%		15.5															0.0	0.1	0.1	0.5
16-4	1.5%		32.8%	32.8%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.4	1.0
15-5	2.8%		26.2%	26.2%		15.9																0.0	0.7	2.0
14-6	4.4%		17.4%	17.4%		16.0																0.0	0.7	3.6
13-7	6.5%		11.5%	11.5%		16.0																0.0	0.7	5.8
12-8	8.6%		7.0%	7.0%		16.0																	0.6	8.0
11-9	10.3%		3.3%	3.3%		16.0																	0.3	10.0
10-10	11.7%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																	0.2	11.5
9-11	12.1%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.2	11.9
8-12	11.0%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	10.9
7-13	9.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.9
6-14	7.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	7.7
5-15	5.6%																							5.6
4-16	3.8%																							3.8
3-17	1.9%																							1.9
2-18	0.8%																							0.8
1-19	0.3%																							0.3
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		4.6%	4.6%	0.0%	15.9														0.0	0.1	0.3	4.2	95.4		0.0%