TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.3#169
Expected Predictive Rating+0.2#170
Pace70.5#127
Improvement+0.6#153

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#164
First Shot+0.7#154
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#197
Layup/Dunks+5.2#24
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#115
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#297
Freethrows-1.7#289
Improvement-1.0#244

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#206
First Shot-1.9#236
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#103
Layups/Dunks+0.6#146
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#127
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#208
Freethrows-3.1#345
Improvement+1.6#96
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.5% 14.9% 10.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.9 14.2
.500 or above 94.9% 97.5% 88.6%
.500 or above in Conference 99.1% 99.8% 97.6%
Conference Champion 7.1% 9.0% 2.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round13.5% 14.9% 10.2%
Second Round0.6% 0.7% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Houston Christian (Away) - 69.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 21 - 5
Quad 33 - 33 - 9
Quad 415 - 318 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 10   @ Purdue L 73-90 4%     0 - 1 +3.4 +5.8 -1.7
  Nov 12, 2024 53   @ New Mexico L 81-100 11%     0 - 2 -5.8 +2.7 -5.3
  Nov 14, 2024 128   @ New Mexico St. L 82-83 30%     0 - 3 +4.0 +7.4 -3.3
  Nov 21, 2024 288   Tennessee Martin W 81-77 82%     1 - 3 -6.0 +3.2 -9.2
  Nov 23, 2024 350   Le Moyne W 82-61 91%     2 - 3 +5.6 +3.0 +3.0
  Nov 30, 2024 330   Prairie View W 109-74 88%     3 - 3 +21.6 +24.0 -3.8
  Dec 05, 2024 231   Lamar L 61-65 73%     3 - 4 0 - 1 -10.7 -11.1 +0.3
  Dec 07, 2024 249   Stephen F. Austin W 67-48 76%     4 - 4 1 - 1 +11.3 +3.0 +10.2
  Dec 14, 2024 181   @ Hawaii L 62-71 41%     4 - 5 -7.1 -5.2 -2.5
  Dec 21, 2024 3   @ Houston L 51-87 2%     4 - 6 -11.7 +0.3 -18.2
  Jan 04, 2025 220   @ SE Louisiana W 80-71 51%     5 - 6 2 - 1 +8.4 +12.8 -3.8
  Jan 06, 2025 343   @ New Orleans W 97-83 79%     6 - 6 3 - 1 +5.0 +11.3 -7.4
  Jan 11, 2025 247   UT Rio Grande Valley W 79-74 75%     7 - 6 4 - 1 -2.5 +9.7 -11.7
  Jan 13, 2025 289   Northwestern St. W 73-64 82%     8 - 6 5 - 1 -1.0 -0.1 -0.3
  Jan 18, 2025 303   @ Incarnate Word W 69-63 68%     9 - 6 6 - 1 +0.8 -11.6 +12.2
  Jan 20, 2025 316   @ Houston Christian W 75-69 70%    
  Jan 25, 2025 205   Nicholls St. W 78-73 67%    
  Jan 27, 2025 74   McNeese St. L 69-74 32%    
  Feb 01, 2025 247   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 78-76 56%    
  Feb 03, 2025 354   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 77-67 83%    
  Feb 08, 2025 249   @ Stephen F. Austin W 68-66 56%    
  Feb 10, 2025 231   @ Lamar W 71-70 53%    
  Feb 15, 2025 303   Incarnate Word W 79-69 84%    
  Feb 17, 2025 316   Houston Christian W 78-67 86%    
  Feb 22, 2025 74   @ McNeese St. L 66-77 16%    
  Feb 24, 2025 205   @ Nicholls St. L 75-76 46%    
  Mar 01, 2025 220   SE Louisiana W 75-69 71%    
  Mar 03, 2025 343   New Orleans W 84-70 91%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 2.1 2.8 1.3 0.3 7.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 6.0 14.1 18.1 12.1 4.3 0.3 55.7 2nd
3rd 0.5 4.7 8.3 5.9 1.4 0.2 20.9 3rd
4th 0.2 2.1 4.6 2.2 0.4 9.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.1 1.0 0.1 4.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.5 0.1 1.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.4 5.3 11.2 16.6 20.4 20.1 14.4 7.0 1.5 0.3 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
18-2 81.8% 1.3    0.8 0.5
17-3 39.4% 2.8    1.2 1.5
16-4 14.6% 2.1    0.6 1.4 0.1
15-5 3.2% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
14-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 7.1% 7.1 3.0 3.7 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.3% 30.8% 30.8% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
18-2 1.5% 35.7% 35.7% 12.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.0
17-3 7.0% 26.3% 26.3% 13.2 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.0 5.2
16-4 14.4% 22.2% 22.2% 13.7 0.1 1.2 1.6 0.3 11.2
15-5 20.1% 16.8% 16.8% 14.1 0.1 0.6 1.7 1.1 0.0 16.7
14-6 20.4% 12.0% 12.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.2 0.0 18.0
13-7 16.6% 7.5% 7.5% 14.6 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 15.3
12-8 11.2% 5.0% 5.0% 15.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 10.7
11-9 5.3% 2.5% 2.5% 15.2 0.1 0.0 5.1
10-10 2.4% 3.8% 3.8% 15.6 0.0 0.1 2.3
9-11 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.7
8-12 0.2% 0.2
7-13 0.0% 0.0
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 13.5% 13.5% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.7 3.1 5.6 3.7 0.4 86.5 0.0%