TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.3#186
Expected Predictive Rating-4.8#246
Pace70.7#128
Improvement+0.8#127

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#192
First Shot+0.0#177
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#231
Layup/Dunks+6.1#18
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#129
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#325
Freethrows-2.0#293
Improvement-1.4#294

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#184
First Shot-1.1#204
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#123
Layups/Dunks-1.2#215
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#125
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#119
Freethrows-2.2#314
Improvement+2.3#29
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.7% 17.8% 9.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 13.5 14.4
.500 or above 71.4% 91.9% 71.1%
.500 or above in Conference 85.5% 94.0% 85.4%
Conference Champion 6.9% 13.6% 6.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.1% 0.3%
First Four0.3% 0.0% 0.3%
First Round9.6% 17.8% 9.5%
Second Round0.5% 1.9% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Houston (Away) - 1.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 52 - 9
Quad 414 - 416 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 20   @ Purdue L 73-90 5%     0 - 1 +0.3 +3.0 -2.0
  Nov 12, 2024 70   @ New Mexico L 81-100 12%     0 - 2 -7.8 -0.5 -4.1
  Nov 14, 2024 201   @ New Mexico St. L 82-83 41%     0 - 3 +0.2 +5.4 -5.2
  Nov 21, 2024 324   Tennessee Martin W 81-77 85%     1 - 3 -8.3 +3.3 -11.5
  Nov 23, 2024 332   Le Moyne W 82-61 86%     2 - 3 +7.8 +4.9 +3.3
  Nov 30, 2024 337   Prairie View W 109-74 88%     3 - 3 +20.8 +20.9 -1.6
  Dec 05, 2024 175   Lamar L 61-65 60%     3 - 4 0 - 1 -7.9 -10.0 +1.9
  Dec 07, 2024 217   Stephen F. Austin W 67-48 66%     4 - 4 1 - 1 +13.4 +3.5 +11.8
  Dec 14, 2024 174   @ Hawaii L 62-71 37%     4 - 5 -6.8 -4.8 -2.7
  Dec 21, 2024 6   @ Houston L 55-78 1%    
  Jan 04, 2025 228   @ SE Louisiana L 69-70 47%    
  Jan 06, 2025 345   @ New Orleans W 80-72 76%    
  Jan 11, 2025 227   UT Rio Grande Valley W 81-76 69%    
  Jan 13, 2025 292   Northwestern St. W 74-65 79%    
  Jan 18, 2025 304   @ Incarnate Word W 75-72 63%    
  Jan 20, 2025 349   @ Houston Christian W 76-68 76%    
  Jan 25, 2025 241   Nicholls St. W 76-70 72%    
  Jan 27, 2025 92   McNeese St. L 69-73 35%    
  Feb 01, 2025 227   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 78-79 48%    
  Feb 03, 2025 353   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 75-67 77%    
  Feb 08, 2025 217   @ Stephen F. Austin L 65-67 44%    
  Feb 10, 2025 175   @ Lamar L 69-72 38%    
  Feb 15, 2025 304   Incarnate Word W 78-69 81%    
  Feb 17, 2025 349   Houston Christian W 79-65 89%    
  Feb 22, 2025 92   @ McNeese St. L 66-76 18%    
  Feb 24, 2025 241   @ Nicholls St. W 74-73 51%    
  Mar 01, 2025 228   SE Louisiana W 72-67 68%    
  Mar 03, 2025 345   New Orleans W 83-69 89%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.3 1.8 0.7 0.1 6.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.8 5.9 6.2 3.1 0.7 0.0 19.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.9 7.6 5.9 1.9 0.3 0.0 20.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.4 7.0 4.4 0.8 0.1 16.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.5 3.5 0.6 0.0 12.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.3 3.0 0.5 0.0 9.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 2.9 2.5 0.5 0.0 7.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 1.8 1.8 0.4 0.0 4.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 1.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.1 4.2 6.7 10.1 13.0 15.4 15.4 13.0 9.5 5.7 2.5 0.8 0.1 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 95.8% 0.7    0.6 0.1 0.0
17-3 71.7% 1.8    1.2 0.6 0.0
16-4 40.5% 2.3    1.2 1.0 0.2 0.0
15-5 14.9% 1.4    0.4 0.7 0.3 0.0
14-6 3.6% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.9% 6.9 3.5 2.5 0.8 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 46.6% 46.6% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.8% 40.4% 40.4% 13.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5
17-3 2.5% 32.3% 32.3% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 1.7
16-4 5.7% 29.3% 29.3% 13.8 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.0 4.0
15-5 9.5% 20.7% 20.7% 14.3 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.7 0.1 7.5
14-6 13.0% 15.3% 15.3% 14.6 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.2 11.0
13-7 15.4% 9.0% 9.0% 14.9 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.3 14.0
12-8 15.4% 5.3% 5.3% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 14.6
11-9 13.0% 3.2% 3.2% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 12.6
10-10 10.1% 2.0% 2.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.9
9-11 6.7% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1 6.6
8-12 4.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.2
7-13 2.1% 2.1
6-14 1.0% 1.0
5-15 0.4% 0.4
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 9.7% 9.7% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.1 3.7 1.2 90.3 0.0%