UT Rio Grande Valley
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#227
Expected Predictive Rating+0.1#166
Pace76.5#27
Improvement-3.0#329

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#191
First Shot-0.6#187
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#193
Layup/Dunks+2.0#111
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#293
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#104
Freethrows-2.9#332
Improvement-3.0#350

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#256
First Shot-1.5#222
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#276
Layups/Dunks-4.2#325
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#291
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#20
Freethrows-1.2#265
Improvement+0.1#177
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.8% 5.7% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.5 14.7
.500 or above 70.3% 78.2% 52.5%
.500 or above in Conference 68.4% 76.6% 49.7%
Conference Champion 2.5% 3.2% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.3% 2.5%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round4.7% 5.6% 2.7%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Orleans (Away) - 69.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 32 - 42 - 8
Quad 414 - 515 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 53   @ Nebraska L 67-87 7%     0 - 1 -7.0 -4.1 -1.2
  Nov 06, 2024 48   @ Creighton L 86-99 7%     0 - 2 +0.3 +12.8 -11.3
  Nov 15, 2024 301   Charleston Southern W 86-76 66%     1 - 2 +2.3 -0.3 +1.6
  Nov 16, 2024 328   Tennessee Tech W 83-58 72%     2 - 2 +15.5 +7.7 +8.8
  Nov 18, 2024 36   @ Wisconsin L 84-87 5%     2 - 3 +12.3 +16.6 -4.3
  Nov 25, 2024 332   Le Moyne W 97-77 82%     3 - 3 +6.8 +11.4 -6.0
  Dec 05, 2024 217   Stephen F. Austin W 68-65 58%     4 - 3 1 - 0 -2.6 -2.8 +0.3
  Dec 07, 2024 175   Lamar L 52-84 52%     4 - 4 1 - 1 -35.9 -18.8 -18.5
  Dec 18, 2024 218   Southern Utah W 78-73 58%     5 - 4 -0.6 -1.4 +0.6
  Jan 04, 2025 345   @ New Orleans W 82-77 69%    
  Jan 06, 2025 228   @ SE Louisiana L 72-75 39%    
  Jan 11, 2025 186   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 76-81 31%    
  Jan 13, 2025 353   Texas A&M - Commerce W 81-69 87%    
  Jan 18, 2025 349   @ Houston Christian W 78-72 70%    
  Jan 20, 2025 304   @ Incarnate Word W 78-77 54%    
  Jan 25, 2025 92   McNeese St. L 71-78 27%    
  Jan 27, 2025 241   Nicholls St. W 79-75 64%    
  Feb 01, 2025 186   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 79-78 52%    
  Feb 03, 2025 292   @ Northwestern St. W 74-73 51%    
  Feb 08, 2025 175   @ Lamar L 71-77 31%    
  Feb 10, 2025 217   @ Stephen F. Austin L 67-71 36%    
  Feb 15, 2025 349   Houston Christian W 81-69 85%    
  Feb 17, 2025 304   Incarnate Word W 81-74 74%    
  Feb 22, 2025 241   @ Nicholls St. L 76-78 43%    
  Feb 24, 2025 92   @ McNeese St. L 68-81 13%    
  Mar 01, 2025 345   New Orleans W 85-74 84%    
  Mar 03, 2025 228   SE Louisiana W 75-72 61%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.3 2.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 9.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.0 5.3 3.4 0.8 0.1 13.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.6 6.3 3.3 0.6 0.0 14.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.3 6.6 3.6 0.5 0.0 14.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.8 3.9 0.6 0.0 13.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.3 3.8 0.6 0.0 11.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 4.0 3.3 0.6 0.0 9.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.8 2.2 0.5 0.0 6.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.9 5.7 8.7 12.2 14.0 15.3 13.8 11.0 7.6 3.9 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 94.9% 0.2    0.1 0.0
17-3 70.7% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
16-4 44.4% 0.9    0.5 0.3 0.1
15-5 14.8% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 3.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.5% 2.5 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.2% 53.2% 53.2% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.8% 26.1% 26.1% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6
16-4 2.0% 24.9% 24.9% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 1.5
15-5 3.9% 18.0% 18.0% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 3.2
14-6 7.6% 12.7% 12.7% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 6.6
13-7 11.0% 8.9% 8.9% 14.8 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 10.0
12-8 13.8% 4.7% 4.7% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 13.1
11-9 15.3% 2.6% 2.6% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 14.9
10-10 14.0% 1.3% 1.3% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 13.8
9-11 12.2% 0.9% 0.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 12.1
8-12 8.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.7
7-13 5.7% 5.7
6-14 2.9% 2.9
5-15 1.3% 1.3
4-16 0.5% 0.5
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 1.9 0.7 95.2 0.0%