UT Rio Grande Valley
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.4#239
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#224
Pace72.6#79
Improvement-4.9#349

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#212
First Shot-0.8#201
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#215
Layup/Dunks+1.7#123
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#296
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#96
Freethrows-2.9#335
Improvement-4.0#348

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#265
First Shot-2.1#244
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#270
Layups/Dunks-4.8#333
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#279
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#14
Freethrows-1.7#294
Improvement-0.9#229
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 4.1% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.1
.500 or above 59.5% 81.2% 53.8%
.500 or above in Conference 56.0% 79.5% 49.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round2.2% 4.1% 1.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: McNeese St. (Home) - 20.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 31 - 41 - 9
Quad 413 - 514 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 53   @ Nebraska L 67-87 6%     0 - 1 -6.8 -4.3 -0.8
  Nov 06, 2024 33   @ Creighton L 86-99 4%     0 - 2 +2.7 +13.4 -9.6
  Nov 15, 2024 279   Charleston Southern W 86-76 59%     1 - 2 +3.3 +1.2 +1.0
  Nov 16, 2024 317   Tennessee Tech W 83-58 67%     2 - 2 +16.0 +8.8 +8.1
  Nov 18, 2024 18   @ Wisconsin L 84-87 3%     2 - 3 +15.6 +18.8 -3.2
  Nov 25, 2024 350   Le Moyne W 97-77 85%     3 - 3 +4.7 +9.3 -6.0
  Dec 05, 2024 252   Stephen F. Austin W 68-65 63%     4 - 3 1 - 0 -4.9 -3.7 -1.2
  Dec 07, 2024 222   Lamar L 52-84 57%     4 - 4 1 - 1 -38.1 -19.9 -19.7
  Dec 18, 2024 240   Southern Utah W 78-73 61%     5 - 4 -2.1 -1.1 -1.2
  Jan 04, 2025 345   @ New Orleans W 76-64 68%     6 - 4 2 - 1 +2.8 +3.7 +0.0
  Jan 06, 2025 219   @ SE Louisiana L 75-79 36%     6 - 5 2 - 2 -4.5 +5.0 -9.6
  Jan 11, 2025 180   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 74-79 28%     6 - 6 2 - 3 -3.2 +8.7 -12.4
  Jan 13, 2025 354   Texas A&M - Commerce W 57-55 86%     7 - 6 3 - 3 -14.2 -13.7 -0.2
  Jan 18, 2025 308   @ Houston Christian L 57-66 54%     7 - 7 3 - 4 -14.5 -19.0 +4.6
  Jan 20, 2025 309   @ Incarnate Word W 85-78 55%     8 - 7 4 - 4 +1.4 +10.6 -8.9
  Jan 25, 2025 73   McNeese St. L 68-77 21%    
  Jan 27, 2025 211   Nicholls St. W 78-77 54%    
  Feb 01, 2025 180   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 77-78 48%    
  Feb 03, 2025 284   @ Northwestern St. L 71-72 49%    
  Feb 08, 2025 222   @ Lamar L 70-74 36%    
  Feb 10, 2025 252   @ Stephen F. Austin L 67-69 42%    
  Feb 15, 2025 308   Houston Christian W 77-70 74%    
  Feb 17, 2025 309   Incarnate Word W 80-73 74%    
  Feb 22, 2025 211   @ Nicholls St. L 75-79 32%    
  Feb 24, 2025 73   @ McNeese St. L 65-80 8%    
  Mar 01, 2025 345   New Orleans W 83-73 85%    
  Mar 03, 2025 219   SE Louisiana W 74-72 56%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.7 1.1 0.3 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.5 2.5 0.5 7.2 3rd
4th 0.5 4.9 4.8 0.7 0.0 10.9 4th
5th 0.3 4.6 7.7 2.0 0.1 14.7 5th
6th 0.1 3.6 9.4 3.6 0.2 16.9 6th
7th 0.1 2.7 8.6 5.7 0.3 0.0 17.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 7.1 6.0 0.8 15.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 3.7 3.8 0.6 8.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.9 0.4 0.0 4.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.5 7.4 14.2 19.2 20.9 17.1 11.1 5.0 1.6 0.3 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-5 3.1% 0.0    0.0
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5 0.3% 21.9% 21.9% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-6 1.6% 14.1% 14.1% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.3
13-7 5.0% 8.0% 8.0% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 4.6
12-8 11.1% 5.7% 5.7% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 10.5
11-9 17.1% 2.2% 2.2% 15.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 16.8
10-10 20.9% 1.6% 1.6% 15.4 0.2 0.1 20.6
9-11 19.2% 0.9% 0.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 19.0
8-12 14.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.1
7-13 7.4% 7.4
6-14 2.5% 2.5
5-15 0.6% 0.6
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.5 97.7 0.0%