IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Youngstown St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.3	#185
Expected Predictive Rating	+4.4	#107

Pace	71.2	#123
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.6	#215

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.3	#159

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	13.8%	19.6%	12.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.2	13.7	14.4

.500 or above	74.7%	90.5%	71.4%
.500 or above in Conference	78.8%	88.5%	76.8%
Conference Champion	17.1%	25.4%	15.4%
Last Place in Conference	0.9%	0.2%	1.1%

First Four	0.8%	0.5%	0.9%
First Round	13.5%	19.4%	12.3%
Second Round	1.1%	2.0%	0.9%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.4%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Syracuse (Away) - 17.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	3 - 5	3 - 8
Quad 4	15 - 5	18 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2024	342	@ Chicago St.	W	80-60	74%	1 - 0			+11.9	+1.6	+9.6
Nov 11, 2024	17	@ Ohio St.	L	47-81	5%	1 - 1			-17.0	-17.6	+0.5
Nov 16, 2024	89	@ Syracuse	L	72-82	17%
Nov 21, 2024	285	Monmouth	W	76-71	68%
Nov 22, 2024	264	Presbyterian	W	76-72	64%
Nov 23, 2024	171	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	69-73	37%
Nov 27, 2024	311	Western Michigan	W	77-67	81%
Dec 04, 2024	295	@ Robert Morris	W	74-71	59%
Dec 07, 2024	186	Oakland	W	71-68	61%
Dec 14, 2024	149	Toledo	W	77-76	52%
Dec 18, 2024	189	@ Wright St.	L	78-81	40%
Dec 21, 2024	316	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	76-72	65%
Dec 29, 2024	341	Detroit Mercy	W	78-65	87%
Jan 01, 2025	362	@ IU Indianapolis	W	77-66	82%
Jan 04, 2025	150	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	L	72-77	32%
Jan 08, 2025	180	Northern Kentucky	W	71-68	59%
Jan 11, 2025	220	Cleveland St.	W	74-69	66%
Jan 17, 2025	240	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	76-77	48%
Jan 19, 2025	290	@ Green Bay	W	76-74	58%
Jan 22, 2025	295	Robert Morris	W	77-68	77%
Jan 30, 2025	189	Wright St.	W	81-78	61%
Feb 01, 2025	362	IU Indianapolis	W	80-63	92%
Feb 06, 2025	186	@ Oakland	L	68-71	40%
Feb 08, 2025	341	@ Detroit Mercy	W	75-68	71%
Feb 12, 2025	150	Purdue Fort Wayne	W	75-74	52%
Feb 16, 2025	220	@ Cleveland St.	L	71-72	46%
Feb 21, 2025	240	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	W	79-74	67%
Feb 23, 2025	290	Green Bay	W	79-71	76%
Mar 01, 2025	180	@ Northern Kentucky	L	68-71	39%
Projected Record						17 - 12	12 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Horizon Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	1.3	3.3	4.5	4.0	2.4	1.1	0.2		17.1	1st
2nd												0.0	0.4	2.5	4.9	4.6	2.3	0.6	0.1				15.4	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.5	3.0	5.3	3.9	1.3	0.1						14.1	3rd
4th										0.0	0.5	2.7	5.4	3.2	0.7	0.0							12.6	4th
5th									0.0	0.4	2.6	5.0	2.5	0.4	0.0								11.1	5th
6th								0.0	0.5	2.4	4.0	2.3	0.3	0.0									9.7	6th
7th							0.0	0.5	2.2	3.3	1.8	0.3	0.0										8.1	7th
8th						0.1	0.5	1.7	2.4	1.3	0.2	0.0											6.2	8th
9th			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	1.1	1.3	0.6	0.1	0.0												3.8	9th
10th			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0														1.7	10th
11th		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0																0.5	11th

Total		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	1.2	2.2	3.8	5.6	7.5	9.2	10.9	11.7	11.7	10.8	9.2	6.9	4.7	2.4	1.1	0.2			Total

Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
19-1	100.0%	1.1		1.1	0.0
18-2	96.8%	2.4		2.2	0.2	0.0
17-3	86.7%	4.0		3.3	0.7	0.0
16-4	65.6%	4.5		2.8	1.6	0.2
15-5	35.9%	3.3		1.3	1.5	0.4	0.0
14-6	12.4%	1.3		0.3	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0
13-7	1.4%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0				0.0		0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	17.1%	17.1		11.2	4.5	1.1	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.2%		59.7%	53.2%	6.5%	11.2							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0				0.1		13.8%
19-1	1.1%		47.6%	47.6%		12.3								0.0				0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0		0.6
18-2	2.4%		39.3%	39.3%		12.9												0.0	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0		1.5
17-3	4.7%		36.7%	36.7%		13.4												0.0	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.2		3.0
16-4	6.9%		29.4%	29.4%		13.8													0.1	0.6	0.9	0.4	0.0	4.9
15-5	9.2%		25.1%	25.1%		14.3													0.0	0.3	1.0	0.8	0.1	6.9
14-6	10.8%		17.1%	17.1%		14.6													0.0	0.2	0.6	0.8	0.2	9.0
13-7	11.7%		14.7%	14.7%		14.9														0.1	0.4	0.9	0.4	9.9
12-8	11.7%		9.1%	9.1%		15.2														0.0	0.1	0.6	0.3	10.6
11-9	10.9%		6.7%	6.7%		15.5															0.0	0.3	0.4	10.2
10-10	9.2%		4.8%	4.8%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.3	8.8
9-11	7.5%		2.1%	2.1%		15.9																0.0	0.1	7.3
8-12	5.6%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																0.0	0.1	5.6
7-13	3.8%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.0	3.7
6-14	2.2%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	2.1
5-15	1.2%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	1.2
4-16	0.6%																							0.6
3-17	0.3%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.0	0.3
2-18	0.1%																							0.1
1-19	0.0%																							0.0
0-20

Total	100%		13.8%	13.8%	0.0%	14.2							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	1.0	2.5	3.9	4.1	2.1	86.2		0.0%