Creighton
Big East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.3#48
Expected Predictive Rating+7.9#81
Pace71.1#118
Improvement-1.9#300

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#61
First Shot+8.5#11
After Offensive Rebound-3.9#352
Layup/Dunks+4.2#48
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#363
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.6#10
Freethrows+0.4#151
Improvement-1.3#282

Defense
Total Defense+5.7#40
First Shot+6.8#16
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#272
Layups/Dunks+3.8#58
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#347
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#139
Freethrows+5.2#1
Improvement-0.6#235
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.0% 1.6% 0.3%
Top 6 Seed 4.1% 5.7% 1.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 34.8% 42.0% 24.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 31.4% 38.3% 21.5%
Average Seed 8.9 8.7 9.3
.500 or above 69.0% 78.2% 55.4%
.500 or above in Conference 53.5% 63.5% 38.5%
Conference Champion 2.3% 3.4% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 4.1% 2.1% 7.1%
First Four7.3% 8.0% 6.3%
First Round31.3% 38.1% 21.1%
Second Round15.5% 19.3% 9.8%
Sweet Sixteen4.5% 5.8% 2.6%
Elite Eight1.7% 2.1% 1.0%
Final Four0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Villanova (Home) - 59.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 44 - 10
Quad 25 - 49 - 14
Quad 35 - 113 - 15
Quad 44 - 018 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 227   UT Rio Grande Valley W 99-86 93%     1 - 0 +6.5 +13.3 -7.9
  Nov 10, 2024 334   Fairleigh Dickinson W 96-70 98%     2 - 0 +12.8 +4.2 +5.8
  Nov 13, 2024 349   Houston Christian W 78-43 98%     3 - 0 +19.8 -0.5 +21.6
  Nov 16, 2024 240   UMKC W 79-56 94%     4 - 0 +15.7 +3.1 +12.4
  Nov 22, 2024 53   Nebraska L 63-74 63%     4 - 1 -4.0 -6.9 +3.1
  Nov 26, 2024 41   San Diego St. L 53-71 48%     4 - 2 -7.1 -9.3 +0.8
  Nov 27, 2024 25   Texas A&M L 73-77 36%     4 - 3 +9.9 +7.0 +3.0
  Nov 30, 2024 83   Notre Dame W 80-76 63%     5 - 3 +10.8 +10.0 +0.7
  Dec 04, 2024 10   Kansas W 76-63 35%     6 - 3 +27.2 +10.7 +16.4
  Dec 07, 2024 108   UNLV W 83-65 81%     7 - 3 +19.0 +14.3 +5.6
  Dec 14, 2024 8   @ Alabama L 75-83 17%     7 - 4 +12.4 +3.9 +9.1
  Dec 18, 2024 71   @ Georgetown L 57-81 47%     7 - 5 0 - 1 -13.0 -8.0 -5.8
  Dec 21, 2024 44   Villanova W 73-70 60%    
  Dec 31, 2024 13   St. John's L 74-77 40%    
  Jan 03, 2025 18   @ Marquette L 71-79 23%    
  Jan 11, 2025 74   @ Butler L 73-74 49%    
  Jan 14, 2025 73   Providence W 72-66 70%    
  Jan 18, 2025 11   @ Connecticut L 69-79 18%    
  Jan 21, 2025 103   @ DePaul W 74-72 58%    
  Jan 25, 2025 116   Seton Hall W 69-59 84%    
  Jan 29, 2025 47   Xavier W 77-74 60%    
  Feb 01, 2025 44   @ Villanova L 70-73 38%    
  Feb 05, 2025 73   @ Providence L 68-69 49%    
  Feb 08, 2025 18   Marquette L 74-76 43%    
  Feb 11, 2025 11   Connecticut L 72-76 37%    
  Feb 16, 2025 13   @ St. John's L 71-80 22%    
  Feb 23, 2025 71   Georgetown W 75-70 68%    
  Feb 26, 2025 103   DePaul W 77-69 77%    
  Mar 01, 2025 47   @ Xavier L 74-77 39%    
  Mar 04, 2025 116   @ Seton Hall W 66-62 65%    
  Mar 08, 2025 74   Butler W 77-71 70%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.0 1.2 0.3 0.0 5.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 3.2 3.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 9.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 4.8 5.2 1.9 0.3 0.0 13.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 6.0 5.7 1.7 0.2 0.0 15.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.8 5.7 5.4 1.8 0.1 14.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 5.2 4.9 1.4 0.1 13.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 3.9 3.9 1.2 0.1 0.0 10.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.9 2.9 0.9 0.1 7.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 1.6 0.5 0.0 4.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.5 6.0 8.9 11.8 13.9 14.4 13.2 10.5 7.5 4.4 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 92.2% 0.3    0.2 0.0
16-4 65.8% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
15-5 34.2% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 10.2% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.3% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 32.4% 67.6% 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.3% 100.0% 25.3% 74.7% 3.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.9% 99.8% 18.6% 81.2% 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
15-5 2.1% 99.3% 15.9% 83.3% 6.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.1%
14-6 4.4% 96.4% 13.3% 83.1% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.2 95.8%
13-7 7.5% 89.6% 11.0% 78.7% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.0 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.8 88.4%
12-8 10.5% 76.4% 8.6% 67.8% 9.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.2 2.5 1.2 0.0 2.5 74.2%
11-9 13.2% 53.7% 6.1% 47.5% 10.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.2 2.8 0.2 6.1 50.6%
10-10 14.4% 27.2% 3.7% 23.6% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.2 0.4 0.0 10.5 24.5%
9-11 13.9% 7.0% 2.2% 4.8% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 12.9 4.9%
8-12 11.8% 2.2% 1.9% 0.3% 11.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 11.6 0.3%
7-13 8.9% 1.3% 1.3% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 8.8
6-14 6.0% 0.6% 0.6% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0
5-15 3.5% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 3.4
4-16 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.6
3-17 0.6% 0.6
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 34.8% 5.0% 29.9% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 2.0 3.3 5.6 6.4 7.1 7.3 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 65.2 31.4%