Fairleigh Dickinson
Northeast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.2#334
Expected Predictive Rating-12.8#338
Pace77.2#21
Improvement+2.8#35

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#253
First Shot-1.5#215
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#270
Layup/Dunks+0.4#168
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#320
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#133
Freethrows-0.6#219
Improvement+0.5#142

Defense
Total Defense-7.3#356
First Shot-4.3#315
After Offensive Rebounds-3.0#347
Layups/Dunks-6.3#356
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#322
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.4#7
Freethrows-2.3#321
Improvement+2.3#24
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.1% 12.4% 7.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 4.8% 15.9% 4.2%
.500 or above in Conference 56.9% 69.4% 56.1%
Conference Champion 7.7% 12.8% 7.4%
Last Place in Conference 10.0% 5.5% 10.3%
First Four7.9% 11.2% 7.7%
First Round3.5% 6.1% 3.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Minnesota (Away) - 5.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 410 - 1010 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 93   @ Miami (FL) L 72-113 5%     0 - 1 -32.0 -5.3 -24.2
  Nov 10, 2024 48   @ Creighton L 70-96 2%     0 - 2 -12.7 -3.0 -6.9
  Nov 13, 2024 53   @ Nebraska L 60-86 3%     0 - 3 -13.0 -7.4 -4.8
  Nov 17, 2024 293   Manhattan W 85-82 49%     1 - 3 -7.1 +6.1 -13.2
  Nov 20, 2024 299   @ Army L 70-84 28%     1 - 4 -18.4 -7.0 -11.1
  Nov 26, 2024 210   St. Peter's L 76-78 32%     1 - 5 -7.3 +5.9 -13.3
  Dec 01, 2024 280   @ Fairfield L 74-78 26%     1 - 6 -7.6 -1.9 -5.7
  Dec 04, 2024 169   @ Fordham L 75-84 12%     1 - 7 -6.6 -3.4 -2.3
  Dec 11, 2024 44   @ Villanova L 72-86 2%     1 - 8 -0.3 +9.5 -11.1
  Dec 18, 2024 164   @ La Salle L 72-77 12%     1 - 9 -2.4 +1.5 -3.9
  Dec 21, 2024 114   @ Minnesota L 63-80 6%    
  Dec 28, 2024 152   @ Boston College L 71-85 10%    
  Jan 05, 2025 309   @ Wagner L 64-69 32%    
  Jan 10, 2025 332   @ Le Moyne L 78-81 39%    
  Jan 12, 2025 336   St. Francis (PA) W 82-78 64%    
  Jan 18, 2025 221   Central Connecticut St. L 71-75 34%    
  Jan 20, 2025 360   @ Chicago St. W 79-78 54%    
  Jan 26, 2025 322   @ Stonehill L 74-78 35%    
  Jan 30, 2025 332   Le Moyne W 81-78 61%    
  Feb 01, 2025 358   Mercyhurst W 78-71 73%    
  Feb 06, 2025 221   @ Central Connecticut St. L 68-78 17%    
  Feb 08, 2025 309   Wagner W 67-66 53%    
  Feb 13, 2025 360   Chicago St. W 82-75 74%    
  Feb 15, 2025 340   @ LIU Brooklyn L 77-79 43%    
  Feb 20, 2025 358   @ Mercyhurst W 75-74 53%    
  Feb 22, 2025 336   @ St. Francis (PA) L 79-81 42%    
  Feb 27, 2025 322   Stonehill W 77-75 57%    
  Mar 01, 2025 340   LIU Brooklyn W 80-76 64%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.8 2.4 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.0 7.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.6 4.5 4.8 2.1 0.5 0.0 13.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.7 6.4 5.3 1.4 0.1 0.0 15.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 6.6 5.3 1.0 0.0 14.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 5.9 5.7 1.0 0.0 13.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.6 5.8 1.1 0.0 12.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.4 4.9 1.3 0.0 10.2 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.8 3.7 1.3 0.1 8.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 1.8 0.7 0.0 5.2 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.4 5.3 8.4 11.6 14.3 15.1 14.3 11.4 8.0 4.6 2.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
14-2 97.6% 0.8    0.7 0.1
13-3 78.5% 1.8    1.3 0.5 0.0
12-4 52.8% 2.4    1.3 1.0 0.2 0.0
11-5 22.5% 1.8    0.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
10-6 4.5% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 7.7% 7.7 4.0 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.3% 28.1% 28.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.2
14-2 0.8% 28.7% 28.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 0.6
13-3 2.3% 22.8% 22.8% 16.0 0.0 0.5 1.8
12-4 4.6% 18.7% 18.7% 16.0 0.0 0.9 3.8
11-5 8.0% 15.7% 15.7% 16.0 1.2 6.7
10-6 11.4% 12.9% 12.9% 16.0 1.5 9.9
9-7 14.3% 8.7% 8.7% 16.0 1.2 13.1
8-8 15.1% 6.9% 6.9% 16.0 1.1 14.1
7-9 14.3% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.8 13.6
6-10 11.6% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.4 11.2
5-11 8.4% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.2 8.2
4-12 5.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.2
3-13 2.4% 2.4
2-14 0.9% 0.9
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.1% 8.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 8.1 91.9 0.0%