IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Lindenwood
Ohio Valley
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.9	#347
Expected Predictive Rating	-11.3	#331

Pace	69.4	#170
Improvement	+2.4	#61

Offense
Total Offense	-7.3	#350

First Shot	-5.5	#330
After Offensive Rebound	-1.8	#297

Layup/Dunks	+3.0	#77
2 Pt Jumpshots	-0.9	#232
3 Pt Jumpshots	-7.3	#354
Freethrows	-0.3	#194

Improvement	+0.1	#164

Defense
Total Defense	-4.6	#319

First Shot	-4.4	#317
After Offensive Rebounds	-0.3	#208

Layups/Dunks	-2.3	#274
2 Pt Jumpshots	+2.3	#25
3 Pt Jumpshots	-5.1	#344
Freethrows	+0.8	#128

Improvement	+2.2	#30

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.3%	2.2%	0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	4.5%	9.3%	2.4%
.500 or above in Conference	18.1%	31.7%	12.4%
Conference Champion	1.0%	2.3%	0.5%
Last Place in Conference	33.9%	16.7%	41.2%

First Four	1.2%	2.0%	0.8%
First Round	0.7%	1.2%	0.4%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Illinois (Away) - 29.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 0	0 - 3
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 6
Quad 4	9 - 14	9 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	35	@ Oklahoma	L	60-93	1%	0 - 1			-17.7	-9.6	-6.6
Nov 14, 2024	343	New Orleans	L	74-82	49%	0 - 2			-19.6	-6.8	-12.6
Nov 15, 2024	256	@ Robert Morris	L	53-67	18%	0 - 3			-16.2	-12.8	-4.9
Nov 17, 2024	323	Stonehill	W	75-74	39%	1 - 3			-8.1	+0.1	-8.1
Nov 21, 2024	224	@ Valparaiso	L	64-77	14%	1 - 4			-13.5	-12.4	-0.6
Nov 27, 2024	54	@ Missouri	L	61-81	2%	1 - 5			-7.1	-9.6	+3.2
Dec 07, 2024	28	@ Mississippi	L	53-86	1%	1 - 6			-16.5	-9.7	-8.7
Dec 14, 2024	351	IU Indianapolis	W	81-63	63%	2 - 6			+2.7	+2.1	+1.3
Dec 19, 2024	328	Tennessee Tech	L	73-79	52%	2 - 7	0 - 1		-18.5	-8.7	-9.6
Dec 21, 2024	331	Western Illinois	W	71-65	55%	3 - 7	1 - 1		-7.1	-6.1	-0.8
Jan 02, 2025	326	@ Eastern Illinois	L	66-72	30%
Jan 04, 2025	281	@ SIU Edwardsville	L	64-72	21%
Jan 09, 2025	317	Tennessee St.	L	74-75	50%
Jan 11, 2025	288	Tennessee Martin	L	69-71	42%
Jan 16, 2025	325	@ Southern Indiana	L	67-73	31%
Jan 18, 2025	276	@ Morehead St.	L	64-73	21%
Jan 23, 2025	270	Southeast Missouri St.	L	70-73	39%
Jan 25, 2025	244	Arkansas Little Rock	L	66-70	35%
Jan 30, 2025	281	SIU Edwardsville	L	67-69	41%
Feb 01, 2025	326	Eastern Illinois	W	69-68	52%
Feb 06, 2025	288	@ Tennessee Martin	L	66-74	23%
Feb 08, 2025	317	@ Tennessee St.	L	71-77	29%
Feb 13, 2025	276	Morehead St.	L	67-70	41%
Feb 15, 2025	325	Southern Indiana	W	71-70	52%
Feb 20, 2025	244	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	63-73	18%
Feb 22, 2025	270	@ Southeast Missouri St.	L	67-76	21%
Feb 25, 2025	331	@ Western Illinois	L	65-70	33%
Mar 01, 2025	328	@ Tennessee Tech	L	69-74	31%
Projected Record						9 - 19	7 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0				1.0	1st
2nd												0.2	0.7	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0						2.0	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.1	1.2	1.3	0.5	0.0	0.0							3.2	3rd
4th										0.1	1.3	2.1	0.7	0.1	0.0								4.3	4th
5th									0.1	1.1	3.1	1.3	0.1	0.0									5.6	5th
6th								0.0	0.8	3.8	2.4	0.2	0.0										7.3	6th
7th							0.0	0.7	3.8	4.2	0.6	0.0											9.4	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	0.8	3.9	5.5	1.4	0.0												11.6	8th
9th				0.0	0.1	1.1	4.2	6.4	2.6	0.2													14.6	9th
10th			0.0	0.3	2.1	5.1	6.7	3.2	0.3														17.8	10th
11th		0.5	2.1	4.9	6.8	6.0	2.5	0.4	0.0														23.2	11th

Total		0.5	2.1	5.3	9.0	12.2	14.3	14.6	13.1	10.7	7.6	5.0	2.9	1.6	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0					Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-3	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-4	88.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-5	74.8%	0.2		0.2	0.0	0.0
14-6	47.3%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	20.6%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-8	2.5%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.1%	0.0					0.0		0.0	0.0
10-10	0.0%

Total	1.0%	1.0		0.5	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2	0.0%																							0.0
17-3	0.0%																					0.0	0.0	0.0
16-4	0.1%		34.0%	34.0%		15.8																0.0	0.0	0.1
15-5	0.3%		23.7%	23.7%		16.0																	0.1	0.2
14-6	0.7%		16.9%	16.9%		16.0																0.0	0.1	0.6
13-7	1.6%		13.0%	13.0%		16.0																	0.2	1.3
12-8	2.9%		8.1%	8.1%		16.0																0.0	0.2	2.7
11-9	5.0%		3.9%	3.9%		16.0																	0.2	4.8
10-10	7.6%		2.7%	2.7%		16.0																	0.2	7.4
9-11	10.7%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.1	10.5
8-12	13.1%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	13.0
7-13	14.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	14.6
6-14	14.3%																							14.3
5-15	12.2%																							12.2
4-16	9.0%																							9.0
3-17	5.3%																							5.3
2-18	2.1%																							2.1
1-19	0.5%																							0.5
0-20

Total	100%		1.3%	1.3%	0.0%	16.0																0.0	1.3	98.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.5%